 | College Football Top 120: From a betting perspective
| 11/12/08 12:00 AM | Teddy Covers
| 1) Florida: I’m not a politician, I’m a handicapper. In politics, flip-flopping is an indictable offense. In handicapping, it’s an absolute necessity to re-visit every team periodically throughout the campaign. Hence, the flip-flop at #1 this week – the Gators are playing better than any team in the country right now.
2) USC: Pete Carroll’s defense is amazing, allowing a grand total of 13 points in the Trojans last five games. The offense, however, is not at a #1 level, managing only 17 points in each of their last two competitive conference games against Arizona and Cal.
3) Texas Tech: OK, I’ll admit it – I bet against Texas Tech last Saturday. My clients and I were certainly not happy with the result, as the Red Raiders firmly earned my respect with the way they dismantled an Oklahoma State team that had beaten Missouri and taken Texas to the wire.
4) Alabama: Even in a down year for the SEC West, going undefeated through an SEC campaign is a remarkable accomplishment. To reach that goal, the Crimson Tide must snap a two game losing streak against Mississippi State and a six game losing streak against Auburn.
5) Texas: The Longhorns have already started to run up scores late in an effort to impress poll voters. Remember, if Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma all finish tied in the Big 12 South standings, the team with the highest BCS ranking will go to the Big 12 title game.
6) Oklahoma: I rip the Sooners’ defense in this column every week, so I’d better give credit where credit is due – this offense is unbelievable right now, hanging 58, 62 and 66 points in three straight wins and covers against a trio of weaker Big XII defenses.
7) Missouri: The Tigers had better not get caught looking past lowly Iowa State this weekend. The Cyclones have given the Tigers a world of trouble. Two of the last four meetings have gone into overtime. In a third, Iowa State pulled the outright upset as a double-digit dog.
8) Penn State: Joe Pa’s quote following Penn State’s crushing last second loss at Iowa last week: “Whaddaya gonna do?.” How about doing this, Mr. Paterno – get your team to execute effectively on the road with a two score lead in the fourth quarter.
9) Ohio State: In three Big 10 road games, the Buckeyes have outscored their foes 110-34, winning and covering the spread each time. In three Big 10 home games, Ohio State’s margin is only 56-37, and the Buckeyes are still looking for their first pointspread cover of the year in Columbus.
10) Utah: Give the Utes some credit. They were outplayed and outworked for three and a half quarters at home against TCU last Thursday Night, but played staunch red zone defense, got lucky with some TCU missed field goals, and found a way to pull out the victory in the final minute.
11) Georgia: The preseason #1 (do those voters bother to do ANY research at all before voting?) has fallen apart defensively, allowing at least 38 points in each of their last three ballgames. Good thing for Mark Richt that the offense produced more than 40 in two of those three contests.
12) Boise State: For those of you who think that Boise is a ‘Johnny Come Lately’ in the college football world, consider these facts: The Broncos are now 57-4 SU in conference play since joining the WAC in 2001, earning six straight conference titles in the process.
13) Oklahoma State: Well, every streak has to end sometime. The Cowboys were the last unbeaten team against the spread in the country, cashing eight straight tickets to open the season. That streak most assuredly did not survive their trip to Lubbock on Saturday Night.
14) TCU: Freshman kicker Ross Evans had nailed 13 of 15 field goal tries heading into the Utah game, but two misses from inside 40 yards cost the Horned Frogs their chance at a perfect Mountain West season and a potential BCS Bowl berth.
15) South Carolina: Last year, the Gamecocks fell apart down the stretch, losing five straight games to close out the season, missing out on a bowl bid for the first time in the Spurrier era. This year, the Gamecocks are getting better as the season has progressed, winning five of their last six.
16) Arizona: The Wildcats clinched bowl eligibility with their win at Washington State last week. They’ll need one more victory in their final three games to earn their first winning season since 1998 and to remove Mike Stoops from any list of ‘coaches on the hot seat’.
17) Florida State: Every time I watch the Seminoles, I think “If this team could just stay out of their own way, they’d be a juggernaut.” In the watered down ACC, Florida State has more talent than any other team, but turnovers, penalties and mental meltdowns continue to plague them.
18) LSU: The Tigers have now lost three games in the last five weeks, two of those losses coming at home. Les Miles’ squad gave Alabama their toughest test of the year to date, but Jarrett Lee’s fourth interception of the day cost them the chance at the upset.
19) Oregon: Based on "true rushing" numbers, the Ducks rank #3 in the country with 6.6 yards per rush attempt and #6 in the country, allowing only 3.7 yards per carry. But quarterback Jeremiah Masoli continues to struggle, still looking for his first 200 yard passing game of the season.
20) Oregon State: The Beavers control their own destiny in the PAC-10. While USC is still figuring out who needs to lose ahead of them for a chance at the national title, the Trojans won’t even earn a seventh consecutive PAC-10 championship if Oregon State can win their final three games.
21) Ball State: It’s long past time for me to include the Cardinals in my Top 25. The best team in the MAC hasn’t exactly faced a killer schedule. Navy and Indiana are their ‘signature’ wins this year, and they still must face heavyweights Central and Western Michigan to close out the season.
22) Pittsburgh: Dave Wannstedt’s squad snapped a three-year ATS losing streak as a home favorite in Big East play with their blowout win over Louisville last week. Even more impressive was the way they did it, winning by 34 despite LeSean McCoy’s worst rushing day of the season.
23) Michigan State: I guess I’ve got to bump the Spartans back up into my Top 25 this week. They are 9-2, after all, and have a half-game lead in the Big 10 standings. But they got blasted by Ohio State last month, and still have a trip to Happy Valley to take on Penn State on deck.
24) North Carolina: Butch Davis’s name has popped up in the rumor mill surrounding the upcoming coaching vacancy at Tennessee. Will that be a distraction for the Tar Heels this week as they travel to College Station to take on a Maryland squad that has been brilliant off a loss all year?
25) BYU: Teams like BYU are real bankroll boosters for savvy bettors. The Cougars got a ton of national hype for pitching back-2-back shutouts against UCLA and Wyoming back in September. Since that time, the Cougars are 0-6 against the spread, failing to live up to market expectations.
26) Cincinnati
27) California
28) Miami-FL
29) Mississippi
30) Iowa
31) Tulsa
32) Georgia Tech
33) West Virginia
34) Virginia Tech
35) Wake Forest
36) Boston College
37) Kansas
38) South Florida
39) Illinois
40) Wisconsin
41) Air Force
42) Nebraska
43) Maryland
44) Minnesota
45) Notre Dame
46) Clemson
47) Houston
48) Louisville
49) Virginia
50) East Carolina
51) Central Michigan
52) Connecticut
53) Rutgers
54) Arkansas
55) Arizona State
56) Nevada
57) Stanford
58) Kentucky
59) Northwestern
60) Auburn
61) Navy
62) Rice
63) North Carolina State
64) Western Michigan
65) Vanderbilt
66) Baylor
67) Buffalo
68) Bowling Green
69) Southern Miss
70) Louisiana-Lafayette
71) Mississippi State
72) Troy
73) Kansas State
74) Duke
75) New Mexico
76) Northern Illinois
77) Louisiana Tech
78) Michigan
79) Tennessee
80) Temple
81) Marshall
82) Memphis
83) Colorado
84) UCLA
85) Fresno State
86) Akron
87) Purdue
88) UTEP
89) Texas A&M
90) Hawaii
91) Florida Atlantic
92) San Jose State
93) Colorado State
94) Army
95) UNLV
96) Florida International
97) Miami-Ohio
98) Indiana
99) Utah State
100) Middle Tennessee State
101) Louisiana-Monroe
102) Arkansas State
103) Toledo
104) Central Florida
105) Syracuse
106) Kent
107) Tulane
108) Wyoming
109) UAB
110) Iowa State
111) Eastern Michigan
112) Ohio U
113) SMU
114) Washington
115) New Mexico State
116) San Diego State
117) Western Kentucky
118) Idaho
119) North Texas
120) Washington State
To discuss or comment on Teddy's rankings, visit the sportsmemo.com posting forum.
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