Regular listeners of the Sportsmemo radio show know we often discuss the importance of home court in college basketball, and mention how teams perform with a home/road ‘dichotomy’. I’ve written about this in past seasons, yet understanding home court advantage and the situations surrounding the current contests is important in helping you isolate winners. While the linemaker factors home court into the point spread, there are teams who still perform much better on their home floor. Understanding player strengths and match-ups, team chemistry, current form and statistical performance both home and away is part of breaking down a game. Supporting fans and a comfortable surrounding should only help the home team perform better. Along with good coaching and preparation, players can become more consistent in their play and performance when having to take to the road in hostile environments. Once teams get to postseason play, you must factor in and handicap a team’s home/road performance to deliver more point spread winners.
If you have not yet figured out ways to benefit from this information, or how to also utilize weaker home courts and evaluate losing teams down the stretch, then contact the office and get on my bag as we shoot for more green the final month of the regular season and into the College Conference Tournaments (CCT’s), NIT and NCAA Tournament. Fairway’s Forecast is providing profits for the sixth consecutive season in college basketball, and one of the best times of year for situational plays is during February. Many conference teams are now playing "second meets" or opponents for the second time in conference play. These contests present another dynamic with familiarity, revenge, motivation and home court all factoring into your handicap. Thursday night we provided one of the situations in the Sportsmemo.com posting forum as Notre Dame delivered a big home win over Cincinnati. Plenty of ‘Big Drives’ ahead as we drive the lane and slam dunk our way to more profits and green.
With plenty of college basketball to look forward to in February and March, I thought you might benefit by knowing the teams that have gone undefeated at home this basketball season. Below I present to you the current list of undefeated home teams in college basketball along with their record at home Against-the-Spread (ATS) record. I’ve also indicated the teams remaining home games. While the teams listed below remain undefeated, there are plenty of teams with one or two home losses that have proven to perform their best at home. I’ve also listed the one-loss teams on their home court
you follow the team rosters and personnel as youth turns into experience and provides more cohesiveness both home and away.
Each college basketball season there are approx. 10-15 teams who go undefeated at home for the entire season. Through February 4th, there are currently 16 teams that remain undefeated on their home court. Many of these teams have a proven and strong 3-4 year record on their home floor, and some will clearly be overvalued at home the remainder of the season. Note that the three highest rated teams entering the season that remain undefeated at home all have losing ATS records (Butler, Kentucky and Michigan State).
The ability to understand scheduling and motivational situations will help you when playing on teams with both strong and weak home courts in the final month of the season. By following a teams roster, personnel and growth along with teams and coaches strengths and weaknesses, you should be able to isolate more winners It’s up to you the creative self-handicapper to find ways to use the power of these sites (think momentum, revenge, off a loss) to deliver more point spread winners.
If you don’t have the time, energy or ability to follow all the action and if your shots are not falling consistently, then join me as we ‘bang the boards’ and shoot for more Fairways and Green through the Final Four.
Butler…9-0 (3-6 ATS) – 3
Charleston…9-0 (5-1 ATS) – 4
Harvard…7-0 (3-1 ATS) – 6
Kentucky…15-0 (6-7 ATS) - 4
Michigan State…13-0 (4-8 ATS) - 4
Murray State…12-0 (5-3 ATS) – 2
Ohio State…14-0 (8-5 ATS) - 4
Oklahoma…10-0 (4-3 ATS) - 5
Siena…12-0 (5-5 ATS) – 3
Texas A&M…12-1 (4-4 ATS) – 4
Vanderbilt…11-0 (6-4 ATS) - 5
Virginia Tech…11-0 (3-3 ATS) – 5
Western Carolina…12-0 (5-3 ATS) – 4
Wichita State…13-0 (5-2 ATS) - 4
Wisconsin…13-0 (8-3 ATS) - 4
Cal State Fullerton…7-1