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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Reevaluating NFL teams during the preseason

08.29.2016     09:13 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you read my NFL previews over the summer months (eight different Wiseguy Reports, one for each division), you know that I had some pretty strong opinions about a good handful of teams prior to the start of training camp and preseason.  In fact, 15 of the 32 NFL teams were on my initial short list for potential season win total bets, just shy of half the league.  These were all teams that, on paper, looked better or worse than initial oddsmaker projections.

After watching three weeks of NFL Preseason action, most of my initial opinions have been reinforced, and the betting markets have agreed with the vast majority of the win total wagers that I’ve made and those I’ve advised my clients to make.  That being said, I’ve changed my opinion on a handful of those 15 teams, in several cases rather strongly.  In this week’s wiseguy report, I’m going to flesh out what I’ve seen in the Washington Redskins, Miami Dolphins, Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens that have me thinking very differently about those squads today compared to my opinion of them a month ago.

For the Redskins, the change in thought process is Read more



Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Washington Redskins Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 7-27-2016: New York Jets

07.27.2016     10:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy wrapped up his coverage of the AFC East with a breakdown of the New York Jets.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 7/27
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: New York Jets
2015-16 Record: 10-6 SU, 8-6-2 ATS, 8-8 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 7.5
Odds to Win AFC: +3000
Odds to Win AFC East: +630
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +7500
Week 1 Line: New York +2 vs. Cincinnati

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL New York Jets Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 7-22-2016: New England Patriots

07.22.2016     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy continued his coverage of the AFC East by breaking down the New England Patriots.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 7/22
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: New England Patriots
2015-16 Record: 12-4 SU, 7-7-2 ATS, 9-7 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 10.5un-125
Odds to Win AFC: +365
Odds to Win AFC East: -198
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +690
Week 1 Line: New England +5.5 at Arizona

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 7-20-2016: Miami Dolphins

07.20.2016     10:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy continued his coverage of the AFC East by breaking down the Miami Dolphins.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 7/20
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: Miami Dolphins
2015-16 Record: 6-10 SU, 5-11 ATS, 7-9 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 7ov-130
Odds to Win AFC: +3350
Odds to Win AFC East: +775
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +8800
Week 1 Line: Miami +9 at Seattle

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 7-19-2016: Buffalo Bills

07.19.2016     10:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy kicked off his coverage of the AFC East by breaking down the Buffalo Bills.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 7/19
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: Buffalo Bills
2015-16 Record: 8-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS, 8-8 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 8
Odds to Win AFC: +2025
Odds to Win AFC East: +555
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +4600
Week 1 Line: Buffalo +2.5 at Baltimore

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling News: Patriots remain AFC and Super Bowl favs despite Brady's supension

07.19.2016     07:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While Tom Brady's 4-game suspension will have an impact on the pointspreads of New England's games, it hasn't caused much of a stir in the futures market. According to 5Dimes, the Patriots remain the betting favorite to win the AFC East (-198), AFC (+365), and Super Bowl 51 (+690). Week 1's matchup at Arizona was originally lined as a pick 'em but CRIS reopened with the Cardinals a -5.5 favorite. Following Week 1, New England will play three consecutive home games vs. Miami, Houston, and Buffalo.  




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC East

07.18.2016     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Our NFL Team Previews for the upcoming campaign continues.  This week, I’ll be focusing on the AFC East, and next week I’ll conclude the series with a look at four squads from the NFC East.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order within their division.

We'll start with the Buffalo Bills who are lined at 8 wins for the upcoming season.  Buffalo owns the longest playoff drought in the NFL; now at 16 seasons and counting.  The Bills have at least returned to relevance over the past two seasons, winning nine games in 2014, followed by an 8-8 campaign last year.

Rex Ryan is set to begin his second year on the job.  Rex’s brother, defensive coordinator Rob Ryan, coached one of the worst defenses in NFL history in New Orleans last year.  Now Ryan takes over a defense that plummeted from a no. 4 yardage ranking in 2014 to 19th in 2015 as sacks dropped from 54 to 21.  Top two draft choices Shaq Lawson (Clemson), Reggie Ragland (Alabama) are expected to contribute in the sacks department immediately.

Offensive coordinator Greg Roman crafted a Super Bowl caliber offense Read more



Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC North

07.18.2016     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, when I previewed the AFC North, there wasn’t a whole lot that I liked in the division.  If I’m going to put an AFC North win total in my pocket, it’s not going to be on an over wager!  But that’s most assuredly not the case in the NFC North, where several teams – including a Super Bowl contender – have the feeling of an undervalued commodity at this stage of the offseason.

Let’s start with the Chicago Bears who are lined at 7 or 7.5 wins; a legitimate split line.  Bettors shopping around for the best price on the Bears (over or under) should remember the standard rule of thumb for converting juice into wins with mid-range totals (teams lined between 6.5 and 9.5 wins). Fifty cents of juice equates to about a half win.  If you like the over, an over 7 -140 trumps over 7.5 at +100.  If you like under, under 7.5 -140 trumps under 7 at +100.

Last year, the Bears went 6-10 SU, 8-8 ATS and 8-8 O/U.  Their mainstream stats were indicative of a sub .500 squad: ranked 21st in total offense, #14 in total defense, #22 in yards per play differential Read more



Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC North

07.05.2016     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve already previewed four NFL Divisions throughout the hot summer months – we’re at the halfway point; with four more divisional previews still to come.  Let’s continue the process this week with an early breakdown of the AFC North. As always, teams are listed in alphabetical order within the division.

The Baltimore Ravens had been a model of consistency throughout the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco eras...until last year.  Baltimore suffered through an injury riddled disaster of a campaign, finishing with a 5-11 SU, 5-9-2 ATS mark, while going 7-9 O/U.  By the end of the season a franchise record 20 different players were on injured reserve.  It’s worth noting that the Ravens switched their field surface this past offseason, at least in part due to all of those injuries last year, replacing the field turf with natural grass for 2016.

The betting markets are expecting a significant Ravens bounceback this year, lining Baltimore as an 8.5 win team for 2016 (there are a handful of books that have Baltimore lined at 8 wins with juice to the over).  A quick look at their mainstream stats from last Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC West

06.06.2016     09:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The calendar has turned to June and Vegas is sweltering hot.  That can only mean one thing for NFL bettors – the offseason marketplace starts to heat up with the weather.  The season win total markets and the odds to win each division have seen some movement.  That means it’s time to get to work (if you haven’t done so already) on a thorough offseason analysis of each team.

Over the course of the hot summer months, I’ll be previewing all eight NFL divisions from a win total standpoint, moving from West to East here in my Wiseguy Report.  So without further ado, let’s take a look at the AFC West this week, starting with the defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos.

The Broncos went 12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS and 10-6 to the Under last year; lined Over/Under 9.5 wins for 2016.  They finished -4 in turnovers for the campaign, leading the league in throwing interceptions.  Bettors seem to be worried about the QB situation, whether it’s Trevor Siemian or Marc Sanchez behind center.  But the Broncos cannot get worse quarterbacking than they had last year, when an ineffective Peyton Manning finished with a Read more



Tags: NFL AFC West Denver Broncos San Diego Charges Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 30, 2016 11:55 AM.