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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Playoff Contenders

12.15.2014     08:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 15 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.

In my Wiseguy Report over the next two weeks, I’m going to poke holes in every other team that is still alive in the playoff chase.  Can any of the fringe contenders knock off the favorites when January rolls around?  Read on to find out.  This week I’ll focus on the second tier contenders in the NFC, and next week, I’ll shift my focus to the AFC.

The Dallas Cowboys have looked good on national TV repeatedly this year.  They are a perfect 7-0 SU on the road, including impressive wins at Seattle and Philly.  But the Cowboys have at least one fundamental flaw – their defense isn’t much better than it was last year when the Cowboys ranked at or near the bottom of nearly every statistical category. 

In 2013, the Cowboys stop unit was ridiculed nationally, allowing 6.1 yards per play (ranked #30 out of 32 Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC News and Notes

11.10.2014     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Cleveland Browns went into Thursday Night’s matchup at Cincinnati with a winning record, but without much respect from the betting markets.  Cleveland had spent the last month feasting on the weak, facing off against the likes of the Titans, Jaguars, Raiders and Bucs in their previous five games; arguably the four worst teams in the NFL.  The Browns didn’t blow out any of those squads; locked in tight, competitive games each time except their only loss during that span – a blowout defeat at Jacksonville.

Without pro bowl center Alex Mack in the lineup over their previous three games, the Browns offense became completely one-dimensional; a team that couldn’t run the football one iota.  Against Tampa’s shoddy rush D, it was 26 carries for 50 yards.  The week before, it was 25 rushes for 39 yards.  The week before that, it was 30 rushes for 69 yards.  That’s less than two yards per carry against weaklings.

So what did the Browns do in their step-up game on Thursday Night at Cincinnati?  Simple – they dominated on both sides of the football, start to finish, rushing for 170 yards and Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling Preview: Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos

10.01.2014     02:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at Denver
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -8.5 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current: Denver -7 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -7.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

The defending AFC champion Broncos have yet to cover a pointspread in three tries this season; one of only three teams that are winless ATS (the Jets at 0-3-1 ATS and the Jaguars at 0-4 ATS are the other two).  But all three of the Broncos ATS defeats deserve at least a little bit of an asterisk attached to them.

In Week 1, Denver was in complete control throughout against the Colts, but Indy made a late rally thanks to a recovered onside kick to lose by only seven points as 7.5 point underdogs.  The following week, the Broncos were again comfortably in control against the Chiefs but a serious of penalties and ‘third and long’ conversions allowed KC to hang around.  The Broncos offense only had two drives Read more


Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Denver Broncos Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 3 Betting Recap

09.22.2014     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re three weeks into the new NFL season and I’ve already got some pointspread and totals streakers to write about.  Three teams are 3-0 ATS, four more have yet to cover a pointspread. Four teams are 3-0 to the Over; five more are 3-0 to the Under. Who are these teams and why are they trending early? Most importantly, can we expect them to continue to trend in the same direction moving forward? Read on to find out.

I’ll focus here on the pointspread streakers, saving the totals streakers for a thorough look next week. That being said, I will list the early season totals streakers here, so you don’t have to go through the trouble of looking them up. 3-0 to the Over: Browns, Jaguars, Colts and Eagles. 3-0 to the Under: Bengals, Cardinals, Bills, Vikings and Titans.

The NFL is a parity filled league, and pointspreads can adjust rather dramatically based on a single early season performance. A big Week 1 or Week 2 victory, therefore, makes it more difficult to cover the spread the following week. Only three teams have managed to avoid an ATS defeat through the first three weeks of the season. All three of those squads were less than Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Football Betting Podcast 8-21-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Paul Stone and Erin Rynning

08.21.2014     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Paul Stone and Erin Rynning. Paul broke down the SEC East while Erin talked AFC South and AFC West.

Today's segments
Full Show

Paul Stone - SEC East Preview

Erin Rynning - NFL Preview (AFC South, AFC West)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football SEC Paul Stone Erin Rynning




Football Betting Podcast 8-20-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

08.20.2014     12:15 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian broke down CFL Week 9 while Erin talked AFC East and AFC North.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - CFL Week 9

Erin Rynning - NFL Preview (AFC East, AFC North)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: CFL NFL Ian Cameron Erin Rynning




NFL Division-by-Division Betting Podcasts with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

08.18.2014     09:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For those who have missed any of our ongoing NFL Division-by-Division breakdowns on the Sportsmemo Podcast with Teddy Covers, below are links to all of the past shows.

AFC South

AFC North

AFC West

AFC East

NFC South

NFC North

NFC West

NFC East




Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Podcast 8-13-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

08.13.2014     10:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked AFC East.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - AFC East Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: 2014-15 Schedule Partners

07.16.2014     02:09 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We posted this earlier this spring but worth another look for those who missed it.

Below is a schedule breakdown for the upcoming 2014-15 NFL season. Each team plays its division mates twice (six games). Each division is paired up with fellow division within the conference (ex. AFC East plays AFC West; AFC South plays AFC North; NFC East plays NFC West; NFC South plays NFC North; four games). Each team also plays two other games within the conference against teams that placed the same (ex. Buffalo placed fourth in the AFC East and plays fellow fourth place finishers, Houston and Cleveland). Lastly, each division is paired with another division in the other conference (ex. AFC East plays the NFC North; four games). For the curious, here's a link to last year's breakdown so you can compare.

2014-15 NFL Schedule Breakdown
AFC East
AFC Partners (West)
NFC North
Buffalo
at Houston, vs. Cleveland
at Chicago, at Detroit, vs. Minnesota, vs. Green Bay
Miami
at Jacksonville, vs. Baltimore
vs. Green Bay, at Chicago, at Detroit, vs. Minnesota
New England
vs. Cincinnati, at Indianapolis
at Minnesota, vs. Chicago, vs. Detroit, at Green Bay
NY Jets
vs. Pittsburgh, at Tennessee
at Green Bay, vs. Chicago, vs. Detroit, at Minnesota
AFC West
AFC Partners (East)
NFC West
Denver
vs. Indianapolis, at Cincinnati
at Seattle, vs. Arizona vs. San Francisco, at St. Louis
Kansas City
vs. Tennessee, at Pittsburgh
at San Francisco, vs. St. Louis, vs. Seattle, at Arizona
Oakland
vs. Houston, at Cleveland
vs. Arizona, at Seattle, at St. Louis, vs. San Francisco
San Diego
vs. Jacksonville, at Baltimore
at Arizona, vs. Seattle, vs. St. Louis, at San Francisco
AFC South
AFC Partners (North)
NFC East
Houston
at Oakland, vs. Buffalo
vs. Washington, at NY Giants, at Dallas, vs. Philadelphia
Indianapolis
at Denver, vs. New England
vs. Philadelphia, at NY Giants, vs. Washington, at Dallas
Jacksonville
at San Diego, vs. Miami
at Philadelphia, at Washington, vs. Dallas, vs. NY Giants
Tennessee
at Kansas City, vs. NY Jets
vs. Dallas, at Washington, at Philadelphia, vs. NY Giants
AFC North
AFC Partners (South)
NFC South
Baltimore
vs. San Diego, at Miami
vs. Carolina, at Tampa Bay, vs. Atlanta, at New Orleans
Cincinnati
at New England, vs. Denver
vs. Atlanta, vs. Carolina, at New Orleans, at Tampa Bay
Cleveland
vs. Oakland, at Buffalo
vs. New Orleans, vs. Tampa Bay, at Atlanta, at Carolina
Pittsburgh
at NY Jets, vs. Kansas City
at Carolina, vs. Tampa Bay, vs. New Orleans, at Atlanta
NFC East
NFC Partners (West)
AFC South
Dallas
vs. New Orleans, at Chicago
at Tennessee, vs. Houston, vs. Jacksonville, vs. Indianapolis
NY Giants
at Detroit, vs. Atlanta
vs. Houston, vs. Indianapolis, at Jacksonville, at Tennessee
Philadelphia
vs. Carolina, at Green Bay
vs. Jacksonville, at Indianapolis, at Houston, vs. Tennessee
Washington
at Minnesota, vs. Tampa Bay
at Houston, vs. Jacksonville, vs. Tennessee, at Indianapolis
NFC West
NFC Partners (East)
AFC West
Arizona
vs. Detroit, at Atlanta
vs. San Diego, at Denver, vs. Oakland, vs. Kansas City
San Francisco
vs. Chicago, at New Orleans
vs. Kansas City, at Denver, at Oakland, vs. San Diego
Seattle
vs. Green Bay, at Carolina
at San Diego, vs. Denver, vs. Oakland, at Kansas City
St. Louis
at Tampa Bay, vs. Minnesota
at Kansas City, vs. Denver, at San Diego, vs. Oakland
NFC South
NFC Partners (North)
AFC North
Atlanta
at NY Giants, vs. Arizona
at Cincinnati, at Baltimore, vs. Cleveland, vs. Pittsburgh
Carolina
vs. Seattle, at Philadelphia
vs. Pittsburgh, at Baltimore, at Cincinnati, vs. Cleveland
New Orleans
at Dallas, vs. San Francisco
at Cleveland, vs. Cincinnati, vs. Baltimore, at Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay
vs. St. Louis, at Washington
at Pittsburgh, vs. Baltimore, at Cleveland, vs. Cincinnati
NFC North
NFC Partners (South)
AFC East
Chicago
at San Francisco, vs. Dallas
vs. Buffalo, at NY Jets, vs. Miami, at New England
Detroit
vs. NY Giants, at Arizona
at NY Jets, vs. Buffalo, vs. Miami, at New England
Green Bay
at Seattle, vs. Philadelphia
vs. NY Jets, at Miami, vs. New England, at Buffalo
Minnesota
at St. Louis, vs. Washington
vs. New England, at Buffalo, vs. NY Jets, at Miami




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: Using Strength of Schedule to Handicap Season Over/Under Wins Part I

07.14.2014     01:59 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When looking at the entirety of the NFL futures market, Super Bowl odds and odds to win divisions or conferences only give bettors one choice – betting ON a particular team.  Then that team has to beat out all of their competition to win the division/conference/Super Bowl for you to cash, offering the potential for big payday longshot returns, but cashing a low percentage of the wagers that are made.

NFL Season Win totals, on the other hand, offer bettors the opportunity to bet AGAINST teams in relatively low juice situations.  And with win totals, even when betting Overs, the team you are betting on doesn’t have to win anything big. 

For example, the Kansa City Chiefs didn’t win their division last year; unable to get past mighty Denver.  They didn’t win the AFC or the Super Bowl.  But they cashed every Over ticket that was bet on their season wins by the time their bye week rolled around.  KC’s 11-5 campaign offered a positive return-on-investment for a squad lined at 7 or 7.5 wins prior to the season.

In my opinion, NFL win totals rank among the most profitable set of wagers currently Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 19, 2014 05:39 AM.