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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 3 Betting Recap

09.22.2014     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re three weeks into the new NFL season and I’ve already got some pointspread and totals streakers to write about.  Three teams are 3-0 ATS, four more have yet to cover a pointspread. Four teams are 3-0 to the Over; five more are 3-0 to the Under. Who are these teams and why are they trending early? Most importantly, can we expect them to continue to trend in the same direction moving forward? Read on to find out.

I’ll focus here on the pointspread streakers, saving the totals streakers for a thorough look next week. That being said, I will list the early season totals streakers here, so you don’t have to go through the trouble of looking them up. 3-0 to the Over: Browns, Jaguars, Colts and Eagles. 3-0 to the Under: Bengals, Cardinals, Bills, Vikings and Titans.

The NFL is a parity filled league, and pointspreads can adjust rather dramatically based on a single early season performance. A big Week 1 or Week 2 victory, therefore, makes it more difficult to cover the spread the following week. Only three teams have managed to avoid an ATS defeat through the first three weeks of the season. All three of those squads were less than Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Football Betting Podcast 8-21-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Paul Stone and Erin Rynning

08.21.2014     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Paul Stone and Erin Rynning. Paul broke down the SEC East while Erin talked AFC South and AFC West.

Today's segments
Full Show

Paul Stone - SEC East Preview

Erin Rynning - NFL Preview (AFC South, AFC West)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football SEC Paul Stone Erin Rynning




Football Betting Podcast 8-20-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning

08.20.2014     12:15 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Erin Rynning. Ian broke down CFL Week 9 while Erin talked AFC East and AFC North.

Today's segments
Full Show

Ian Cameron - CFL Week 9

Erin Rynning - NFL Preview (AFC East, AFC North)

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: CFL NFL Ian Cameron Erin Rynning




NFL Division-by-Division Betting Podcasts with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

08.18.2014     09:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For those who have missed any of our ongoing NFL Division-by-Division breakdowns on the Sportsmemo Podcast with Teddy Covers, below are links to all of the past shows.

AFC South

AFC North

AFC West

AFC East

NFC South

NFC North

NFC West

NFC East




Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Podcast 8-13-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

08.13.2014     10:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked AFC East.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - AFC East Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: 2014-15 Schedule Partners

07.16.2014     02:09 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We posted this earlier this spring but worth another look for those who missed it.

Below is a schedule breakdown for the upcoming 2014-15 NFL season. Each team plays its division mates twice (six games). Each division is paired up with fellow division within the conference (ex. AFC East plays AFC West; AFC South plays AFC North; NFC East plays NFC West; NFC South plays NFC North; four games). Each team also plays two other games within the conference against teams that placed the same (ex. Buffalo placed fourth in the AFC East and plays fellow fourth place finishers, Houston and Cleveland). Lastly, each division is paired with another division in the other conference (ex. AFC East plays the NFC North; four games). For the curious, here's a link to last year's breakdown so you can compare.

2014-15 NFL Schedule Breakdown
AFC East
AFC Partners (West)
NFC North
Buffalo
at Houston, vs. Cleveland
at Chicago, at Detroit, vs. Minnesota, vs. Green Bay
Miami
at Jacksonville, vs. Baltimore
vs. Green Bay, at Chicago, at Detroit, vs. Minnesota
New England
vs. Cincinnati, at Indianapolis
at Minnesota, vs. Chicago, vs. Detroit, at Green Bay
NY Jets
vs. Pittsburgh, at Tennessee
at Green Bay, vs. Chicago, vs. Detroit, at Minnesota
AFC West
AFC Partners (East)
NFC West
Denver
vs. Indianapolis, at Cincinnati
at Seattle, vs. Arizona vs. San Francisco, at St. Louis
Kansas City
vs. Tennessee, at Pittsburgh
at San Francisco, vs. St. Louis, vs. Seattle, at Arizona
Oakland
vs. Houston, at Cleveland
vs. Arizona, at Seattle, at St. Louis, vs. San Francisco
San Diego
vs. Jacksonville, at Baltimore
at Arizona, vs. Seattle, vs. St. Louis, at San Francisco
AFC South
AFC Partners (North)
NFC East
Houston
at Oakland, vs. Buffalo
vs. Washington, at NY Giants, at Dallas, vs. Philadelphia
Indianapolis
at Denver, vs. New England
vs. Philadelphia, at NY Giants, vs. Washington, at Dallas
Jacksonville
at San Diego, vs. Miami
at Philadelphia, at Washington, vs. Dallas, vs. NY Giants
Tennessee
at Kansas City, vs. NY Jets
vs. Dallas, at Washington, at Philadelphia, vs. NY Giants
AFC North
AFC Partners (South)
NFC South
Baltimore
vs. San Diego, at Miami
vs. Carolina, at Tampa Bay, vs. Atlanta, at New Orleans
Cincinnati
at New England, vs. Denver
vs. Atlanta, vs. Carolina, at New Orleans, at Tampa Bay
Cleveland
vs. Oakland, at Buffalo
vs. New Orleans, vs. Tampa Bay, at Atlanta, at Carolina
Pittsburgh
at NY Jets, vs. Kansas City
at Carolina, vs. Tampa Bay, vs. New Orleans, at Atlanta
NFC East
NFC Partners (West)
AFC South
Dallas
vs. New Orleans, at Chicago
at Tennessee, vs. Houston, vs. Jacksonville, vs. Indianapolis
NY Giants
at Detroit, vs. Atlanta
vs. Houston, vs. Indianapolis, at Jacksonville, at Tennessee
Philadelphia
vs. Carolina, at Green Bay
vs. Jacksonville, at Indianapolis, at Houston, vs. Tennessee
Washington
at Minnesota, vs. Tampa Bay
at Houston, vs. Jacksonville, vs. Tennessee, at Indianapolis
NFC West
NFC Partners (East)
AFC West
Arizona
vs. Detroit, at Atlanta
vs. San Diego, at Denver, vs. Oakland, vs. Kansas City
San Francisco
vs. Chicago, at New Orleans
vs. Kansas City, at Denver, at Oakland, vs. San Diego
Seattle
vs. Green Bay, at Carolina
at San Diego, vs. Denver, vs. Oakland, at Kansas City
St. Louis
at Tampa Bay, vs. Minnesota
at Kansas City, vs. Denver, at San Diego, vs. Oakland
NFC South
NFC Partners (North)
AFC North
Atlanta
at NY Giants, vs. Arizona
at Cincinnati, at Baltimore, vs. Cleveland, vs. Pittsburgh
Carolina
vs. Seattle, at Philadelphia
vs. Pittsburgh, at Baltimore, at Cincinnati, vs. Cleveland
New Orleans
at Dallas, vs. San Francisco
at Cleveland, vs. Cincinnati, vs. Baltimore, at Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay
vs. St. Louis, at Washington
at Pittsburgh, vs. Baltimore, at Cleveland, vs. Cincinnati
NFC North
NFC Partners (South)
AFC East
Chicago
at San Francisco, vs. Dallas
vs. Buffalo, at NY Jets, vs. Miami, at New England
Detroit
vs. NY Giants, at Arizona
at NY Jets, vs. Buffalo, vs. Miami, at New England
Green Bay
at Seattle, vs. Philadelphia
vs. NY Jets, at Miami, vs. New England, at Buffalo
Minnesota
at St. Louis, vs. Washington
vs. New England, at Buffalo, vs. NY Jets, at Miami




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: Using Strength of Schedule to Handicap Season Over/Under Wins Part I

07.14.2014     01:59 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When looking at the entirety of the NFL futures market, Super Bowl odds and odds to win divisions or conferences only give bettors one choice – betting ON a particular team.  Then that team has to beat out all of their competition to win the division/conference/Super Bowl for you to cash, offering the potential for big payday longshot returns, but cashing a low percentage of the wagers that are made.

NFL Season Win totals, on the other hand, offer bettors the opportunity to bet AGAINST teams in relatively low juice situations.  And with win totals, even when betting Overs, the team you are betting on doesn’t have to win anything big. 

For example, the Kansa City Chiefs didn’t win their division last year; unable to get past mighty Denver.  They didn’t win the AFC or the Super Bowl.  But they cashed every Over ticket that was bet on their season wins by the time their bye week rolled around.  KC’s 11-5 campaign offered a positive return-on-investment for a squad lined at 7 or 7.5 wins prior to the season.

In my opinion, NFL win totals rank among the most profitable set of wagers currently Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC Season Over/Under Win "morphers"

06.23.2014     08:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Two weeks ago, I wrote about the seven NFC teams that are projected to improve or decline by two wins or more in 2014 based on the current market numbers for their season win totals.  I intended to write Part II of the article last week, talking about the four AFC teams that are also projected to improve or decline by two wins or more in 2014, but I got derailed by the College Football Game of the Year openers at the Golden Nugget; a “must report” event.  So, let’s just call it better late than never!

The markets are telling us to expect more of the same from 12 of the 16 AFC teams.  What makes these four squads different? My goal here is to focus on why these particular teams are expected to improve or decline significantly compared to last year.  I’ll do that by looking at how the broader market conditions affect the numbers.  What do the markets fixate upon?  What do they largely ignore?  Read on to find out. 

Kansas City Chiefs: 11-5 in 2013, O/U 8 wins in 2014
Last year in this space, I called the Chiefs coming off a truly dismal 2-14 campaign “the poster child for Read more


Tags: NFL AFC Kansas City Chiefs Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals Houston Texas Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC Season Over/Under Win "morphers"

06.09.2014     08:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve been waiting patiently for the NFL Season Wins market to mature, but that doesn’t happen quickly here in June.  Most of the notable offshores have not posted Over/Under win totals yet, leaving Vegas as the only active market right now. As a result, all the numbers used in this article are from right here in Sin City.

Of the 32 NFL teams, only 11 have Over/Under win totals that are different from their final record last year by two games or more.  In other words, the markets are telling us to expect ‘more of the same’ from 21 of the 32 teams in the league.

In my Vegas Wiseguy Report article over the next two weeks, I’m going to focus on those eleven teams that are expected to morph positively or negatively from last year.  The goal of this discussion is to focus on why these particular teams are expected to improve or decline significantly compared to last year.  I’ll do that by looking at how the broader market conditions affect the numbers.  What do the markets fixate upon?  What do they largely ignore?  Read on to find out.

This week’s focus will be on the seven NFC Read more


Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Carolina Panthers Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks Atlanta Falcons Tampa Bay Buccaneers Arizona Cardinals Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Preseason NFC Betting News and Notes

06.02.2014     10:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote that “the NFL offseason, at least for sports bettors, is essentially over.  Numbers are up, and they’re moving!”

“My first step in assessing the upcoming NFL season begins with a thorough look back at last year.  Every team’s power rating is set, in large part, based on where they finished the previous campaign.  Obviously, adjustments are made for injuries, luck, offseason improvements or declines, coaching changes and the like, but those base power rating numbers factor in what happened in 2013 very heavily.”

Last week, I focused on the 16 teams from the AFC.  In this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report, I’ll pass along a tidbit or two from each of the 16 NFC teams in regards to last year.  My focus is on things that are NOT likely to repeat the same way in 2014.  And this week, I’ll do my absolute best to avoid egregious errors like my ‘San Diego didn’t make the 2013 playoffs’ Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 30, 2014 12:52 PM.