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December

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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Missouri State Bears at Southeast Missouri Redhawks

12.07.2016     08:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Missouri State -9 at Southeast Missouri O/U 144.5
Recommendation: Over


Southeast Missouri is your typical up-tempo, no defense low mid-major. The Redhawks appear a bit improved over last season's 5-24 disaster with three wins already over DI competition. Of 2015's 27 games against DI teams, on only seven occasions did SEMO net better than a point per possession. This season, they've done in four times and have a shot to do it again on their home floor this evening. Missouri State is another team that looks much improved on the offensive end. They hung 96 against Alabama A&M and 91 against Jacksonville State to kick off the season. Not exactly stiff competition but SEMO isn't either as the Redhawks rank near the bottom nationally in a number of defensive categories. The Bears saw more resistance in their last three games against DePaul, North Dakota State and Air Force but still averaged a respectable 67.7 ppg with all three games at 68 possessions or less. There's also an injury to be aware with Missouri State's Obediah Church unlikely to play due to an bum knee. He's a strong "under" player with limited offensive ability and a big Read more



Tags: College Basketball Missouri State Bears Southeast Missouri Redhawks Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Betting Pick: Air Force Falcons at Wyoming Cowboys

01.06.2016     12:10 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Air Force +5.5 at Wyoming O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Air Force


Air Force heads to Wyoming to take on the Cowboys in a Mountain West matchup pinning two very different approaches. Wyoming has fallen on tough times of late dropping their last four games as it sports the forth youngest roster in the nation. They are welcoming in a 10-4 Air Force team who has not lost in Laramie since the 1998 season. Air Force has transitioned its offense a bit of late in response to the almost strictly zone defense it has seen. Since the switch forward Hayden Graham has been flashing to the free throw line and the Falcons have been running their offense through him. Graham has excelled in his increase role averaging 15.4 ppg and 7.8 rpg. Wyoming defensively ranks amongst the bottom nationally in steal percentage; they just cannot turn anyone over and there’s no reason to think that would change tonight against a Falcons squad that typically values possessions. This is Wyoming first home game in nearly a month but even accounting for the uptick in play, there simply isn’t much of any difference between these two squads. Better times are on the horizon for Read more



Tags: College Basketball Air Force Falcons Wyoming Cowboys Drew Martin




GoDaddy.com Bowl Betting Preview: Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons

12.22.2015     12:46 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
GoDaddy.com Bowl - Mobile, AL
Georgia Southern vs. Bowling Green
Wednesday, December 23, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Bowling Green -7  O/U 65
CRIS Current: Bowling Green -7 O/U 63.5
Recommendation: Georgia Southern
 
This year’s GoDaddy.com Bowl in will feature the contrasting styles of Bowling Green and Georgia Southern. The Falcons boast one of the most potent passing games in the country with MAC Offensive Player of the Year Matt Johnson throwing to a foursome of receivers that caught a combined 294 passes.  The polar opposite will take place for Georgia Southern as the Eagles led the nation with 355.6 ypg on the ground at nearly 6.5 ypc.

Both teams must deal with the exit of their head coach as BG’s Dino Babers took off for Syracuse and GSU’s Willie Fritz made the odd choice to take over at Tulane. Dell McGee (former running backs coach) will call the shots for Georgia Southern and Brian Ward (former defensive coordinator) will do the same for Bowling Green.

It’s generally understood that Bowling Green will move the ball through the Read more



Tags: College Football Georgia Southern Eagles Sun Belt Bowling Green Falcons MAC Drew Martin




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Sportsbooks get crushed in Week 15

12.21.2015     09:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsbooks around Las Vegas reported shorter lines and reduced handle on Sunday.  Bettors around town were short on cash due to the holidays, but also due to the fact that the books beat the public over the first two weeks of December.  But that certainly wasn’t the case this week!

On Sunday, just about every major NFL decision went in favor of the bettors, not the house, and the books took an absolute beating.  Public favorites cashed in game after game.  The Patriots covered -14.5 against the Titans.  The Seahawks covered -14.5 against the Browns.  The Packers covered -4 against the Raiders.  Most Steelers bettors cashed when Pittsburgh rallied to win by a TD, even though the line closed at -7.5 in many locations.  The Chargers beat up on Miami.  And Arizona hammered Philly on Sunday Night.  The only major decision that went in favor of the house was when the Giants stormed back from a four TD deficit to cover the spread against Carolina.

These quotes from Matt Youmans' excellent article in the Las Vegas Review Journal tell the story from the bookmaker perspective.  William Hill sportsbook director Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: San Diego State to keep it simple on offense vs. Air Force

12.02.2015     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With quarterback Maxwell Smith out for Saturday's Mountain West Championship vs. Air Force, San Diego State has been pretty vocal about playing it conservative with backup Christian Chapman under center. With Smith, San Diego State has quietly been one of the more effective offenses in the Mountain West with 6.11 yards per play in league play, behind only Air Force (6.55 ypp). Note also that the Aztecs didn't play the Falcons during the regular season therefore didn't spend much of any time during training camp practicing for the triple option. That said, SDSU won last year's meeting 30-14 and lost to Navy in the postseason, 17-16.


"We got good confidence in Christian Chapman. He throws the ball well, he is quick on his feet, he can get out of trouble. What he doesn't have is the experience," Long said. "We are going to probably have to be very conservative on offense. Make sure he's comfortable with everything we ask him to do. But he's going to have to throw the ball and complete some passes to give us a chance to

Read more



Tags: College Football San Diego State Aztecs Air Force Falcons Mountain West




College Basketball Free Betting Pick: The Citadel Bulldogs at Air Force Falcons

12.02.2015     09:50 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Citadel at Air Force -14.5 O/U 168.5
Recommendation: Over


Even with the increase in scoring and pace, you don't see many college basketball games totaled above 165 -- unless The Citadel is involved. Head coach Duggar Baucom came over from VMI and instantly employed his crazy up-tempo scheme. The game scores have been very NBA-esque: 215, 187, 174, 185, and 169. And with the exception of Butler, the competition has been extremely weak meaning if Presbyterian can hang 95, why can't Air Force? In their "slowest" game of the season against USC Upstate, there were 74 possessions and both teams still hit 169 points. The Falcons have the rep of having a slow-paced, plodding offense but they've shown much more willingness to score on the offensive end. They scored 75 at Southern Illinois, 80 vs. Tennessee Tech and 70 on the road against Colorado. They've also played some low scoring games as well, but The Citadel is such an outlier that no matter what your philosophy is, there's going to be a lot of possessions and a ton of opportunity to score. In the comforts of home, the Falcons have a good shot at hitting the century mark which puts the Read more



Tags: College Basketball The Citadel Bulldogs Air Force Falcons OTTO Sports




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing bye-less College Football teams

11.02.2015     10:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seventeen college football teams enter November without having had a single bye week since the start of the season and without a bye this coming week.  Those teams are Arizona, Ball State, Boston College, Colorado, UConn, Eastern Michigan, Florida International, Hawaii, Louisiana Tech, Miami-Ohio, Ole Miss, Nebraska, Penn State, Texas Tech, Western Kentucky, Wisconsin and Wyoming.  Two more teams, North Texas and UMass, haven’t had byes since Week 1; teams that started their seasons a week late, but haven’t had a break since.  Is there anything unique or different about these non-bye squads?  Read on to find out.

Five of the 17 teams listed above don’t have any bye weeks at all.  Florida International, Miami-Ohio, Hawaii (with their 13 game schedule!), Arizona and Colorado will finish the season without a break.  Note that none of those five are going to play in a conference championship game, and only two (Arizona and FIU) have any realistic shot to make a bowl game.  Bye-less teams don’t tend to be very successful.  Most importantly for our purposes, they also don’t tend to cover many pointspreads Read more



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Football Handicapping: Air Force goes with backup QB, Michigan State has inside knowledge of option

09.16.2015     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A couple of interesting angles to consider for Saturday's Air Force-Michigan State game. To start, the Falcons lost starting quarterback Nate Romine to a knee injury and will go with backup Karson Roberts. Roberts gets good marks as a runner but even though Air Force is obviously run-based, he's shown absolutely no ability to throw the football which is concerning with the Falcons likely to be trailing by margin at some point. Also is play is MSU defensive line coach Ron Burton who is well-versed in AFA's system having coached there for over a decade. According to reports, Sparty has been prepping for the option dating back to the summer. A few sportsbooks have chucked up the side with Michigan State -26.5. Still no total available.


“You’re always concerned (about cut-blocks), but that’s football. That’s why we’ve worked on these things every other day in summer practice,” said

Read more



Tags: College Football Air Force Falcons Mountain West Michigan State Spartans Big Ten




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings 1-32

09.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season starts on Thursday.  Here’s how I have the 32 teams ranked heading into the campaign, with a quick blurb each squad.

1. New England Patriots - With Tom Brady set to open the season as the starting quarterback, the defending champs are the team to beat, worthy of my #1 ranking heading into the regular season.

2. Seattle Seahawks - Seattle enjoyed the best yards-per-rush differential between offense and defense last year, but they’ve got significant offensive line question marks as they head to St Louis for Week 1.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers passing game was second to none in the NFL last year, but the loss of Jordy Nelson leaves Aaron Rodgers without his top target for the entire season.

4. Indianapolis Colts - Most elite contenders face a tougher than average schedule because they’ve got to face other contending teams.  Indy, however, plays only four games against playoff teams from last year.

5. Denver Broncos - Peyton Manning is the oldest starting quarterback in the NFL by a wide margin, and he’s coming off a season where his arm strength noticeably declined down the Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC Playoff Contenders

12.22.2014     10:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 16 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch from last year in the AFC Championship Game.

Last week in this space, I poked holes in the NFC contenders, explaining why every other live team in the playoff race had at least one fundamental flaw primed to doom their chances in January.  This week, I’m going to point the magnifying glass towards the seven fringe contenders in the AFC.  Can any of them knock off the Patriots in Foxboro or the Broncos in Denver when January rolls around?  Read on to find out. 

The Houston Texans remain one of five teams still fighting for the final two playoff spots in the AFC after knocking off the Ravens on Sunday.  But if the Texans do manage to sneak into the postseason with a Wild Card berth, I’m not expecting them to do any damage. 

Houston’s defense ranks among the league’s elite, as we clearly saw once again this past weekend.  But the Texans average Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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December

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