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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs update

04.27.2015     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re midway through the opening round of the NBA Playoffs and the Eastern Conference still looks noticeably weaker than the West, just as it was during the regular season.  The Cavs weren’t really tested in their sweep over Boston, facing a Celtics team that probably would have struggled to won 30 games against a Western Conference slate.  Atlanta is 0-3 ATS in its first three games against the Nets, looking nothing like the team that dominated the East for extended stretches before the All-Star break.  The Bulls blew a chance to close out their series with the Bucks with a sweep, unable to seal the deal in the closing minutes of Game 4. And while Washington has looked every bit as good as any of the other Eastern Conference contenders, there’s still a lingering stink from the Wizards second half struggles and Randy Wittman’s consistent failures at getting his teams to overachieve.

So which of those four teams (assuming the Hawks don’t blow the series against the Nets) is truly elite, capable of winning at least two more series to make it to the Finals?  Cleveland is the prohibitive favorite to come out of the East, Read more



Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: National League Preview

04.13.2015     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, I wrote a team-by-team overview of the 15 American League squads.  This week, I’ll shift my focus to the National League, breaking down each team from a Las Vegas perspective.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order, by division.

A week ago, the Atlanta Braves were viewed as likely bottom feeders following a massive offseason rebuild that resulted in only six players from opening day last year returning on opening day in 2015; lined in the same range as teams like Arizona, Colorado and Minnesota.  One week later and the market view of Atlanta has changed at least somewhat thanks to a 5-1 record with the best run differential in the NL.  Julio Teheran, Shelby Miller and Alex Wood all hav top-of-the-rotation stuff, but it’s hard to picture this anemic lineup continuing to deliver steady run support.

The Miami Marlins hung around in the wild card race into the dog days of August last year before Giancarlo Stanton’s Read more



Tags: MLB Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling: Miami Heat really good at having horrifically bad quarters

04.10.2015     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Two weeks removed from producing one of the biggest meltdowns of the season, the Miami Heat are back to kicking bettors in the groin. With a 51-32 halftime lead over the Chicago Bulls, the Heat appears well on their way to a critical win. But that's when things got messy. Chicago somehow outscored Miami 33-8 in the third quarter and at one point lead by as many as 12 in the fourth quarter. Miami is now 1.5 games out of the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference.


“We’re all frustrated when you’re in those situations. and you can’t stop an avalanche like that, but the only answer is in that locker room, and we haven’t figured out a way to hold the fort in those situations,” Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said.






Tags: NBA Miami Heat Chicago Bulls




MLB Handicapping: Renovations could impact fly balls at Wrigley Field

04.07.2015     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on the potential impact Wrigley Field's renovations will have on fly balls.


"In my experience, weather and wind play a bigger part in how the game goes at that ballpark than any other ballpark in baseball," said Len Kasper, the Cubs' television play-by-play announcer.

"I would imagine that with the board in left, that may create a bit of a dead space. If you get ahold of one directly at that board, and the wind is blowing out of the northeast, you may get an extra 10 feet on it and that could be the difference from a flyout to a home run," he said. "But until we see it and experience it and probably go through several seasons, I don't think we'll be able to really dig into the effect of any structural changes."

"Pitchers aren't going to like it, but it will be interesting to see," first baseman Anthony Rizzo said. "It's something I've thought of. Especially with the new bleachers and the way they'll be elevated. It will be interesting to see how it plays

Read more



Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: American League Preview

04.06.2015     08:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The college basketball season is in the rear view mirror now.  The NBA Playoffs don’t start until next weekend.   That can only mean one thing – baseball is here!  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll be breaking down the American League, team by team in overview fashion.  I’ll do the same thing next week for the National League.  The goal?  Identify potential market inefficiencies right from the get-go; looking for overvalued and undervalued commodities.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order, by division.

The Baltimore Orioles were, by far, the single most profitable team to support in MLB last year, yet the betting markets aren’t particularly enamored with Buck Showalter’s squad heading into 2015.  The Orioles had the 2nd biggest gap between their FIP (fielding independent pitching) and their ERA last year, a strong indicator for future regression.   And the best home run hitting team in baseball lost big bats Nelson Cruz and Nick Markakis in the offseason.  That being said, the Orioles have been consistently undervalued in recent seasons and they Read more



Tags: MLB Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors gear up for Final Four

03.30.2015     08:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The dust has settled from the madness that is March, with only four teams still standing in the NCAA Tournament.  And frankly, since the insanity of that opening Thursday morning when top seeds were falling like flies (Baylor, Iowa State, SMU), this tournament has not seen a bevy of upsets. 

In fact, the Vegas favorite advanced in 48 of the last 54 Big Dance games (48-6 SU, not ATS) since midday on the opening day of the tourney.  For only the second time this century, three #1 seeds reached the Final Four.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report I’m going to try to answer the question that everybody is asking: can anybody beat Kentucky; winners of 38 consecutive ballgames since the start of the season.

Since Kentucky is the most hyped team in recent memory, I’ll start with the Wildcats first.  Yes, this team won the title in 2012, going 4-2 ATS in the process during the Big Dance.  Yes, they reached the championship game last year; an undervalued commodity in March as they covered all four pointspreads on the way to the Final Four.  

But this year’s Kentucky team has simply gotten too much Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NHL Handicapper Free Play: Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens

03.30.2015     08:12 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tampa Bay +105 at Montreal O/U 5
Recommendation: Tampa Bay


The Tampa Bay Lightning travel to Montreal tonight and they currently trail the Canadians by three points in the Eastern Conference standings.  This is a very important game in ultimately deciding who will earn home ice in the Eastern Conference playoffs.  The Lightning have dominated the Canadiens this season by winning all four meetings by a combined score of 16-5 including a 4-2 win on their home ice two weeks ago. In a tight checking, low scoring game like we’re likely to see this evening, I am fully confident in backing the more psychical team as a slight underdog. Tampa Bay matches up very well offensively against Montreal’s stingy defense.  And after getting blanked 4-0 at Detroit on Saturday, the Lightning are in prime bounce-back mode. "We always respond after games like (Saturday's 4-0 loss to the Red Wings)," veteran wing Ryan Callahan said. "We have the character in here to do that. We know who's coming up next, and that's a pretty big one, too. So it's going to be easy to get up for that one." Should be a great game and one that Read more



Tags: NHL Tampa Bay Lightning Montreal Canadiens Sammy P




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Xavier Musketeers vs. Arizona Wildcats

03.26.2015     07:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Xavier vs. Arizona -10.5 O/U 135.5
Recommendation: Arizona


My power ratings show Arizona right there with Duke as the second best team in the country.  The Wildcats are playing in a friendly, familiar venue in LA; certain to enjoy significant crowd support compared to Xavier in this game, to go along with their short travel time.  Their coach, Sean Miller, is arguably the best coach in college basketball never to reach the Final Four.  This team is a juggernaut, plain and simple, and the PAC 12’s 7-1 ATS mark over the opening weekend of the Big Dance speaks volumes about how undervalued this conference is on the national stage.

Xavier is no juggernaut.  The Big East really wasn’t very good this year – it was Villanova and then everybody else.  The Musketeers are tough and well coached, but they finished sixth in this mediocre conference with a 9-9 record in Big East play.  They are here only because of the ‘luck of the draw’; facing an Ole Miss team off extensive travel on short rest in the first round, followed by upstart #14 seed Georgia State in the Round of 32.

The Read more



Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Arizona Wildcats Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: San Diego Padres

03.25.2015     02:43 PM     Printer Friendly
copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

It's time to win in San Diego -- or at least score some more runs. The Padres brought in some big-name bats as well as ace James Shields which makes them instant contenders in the NL West.

San Diego Padres
2014 W-L:
77-85
2014 O/U: 61-95
2014 Profits: -9
2015 O/U Wins: 84.5
2015 NL West Odds: +375
Projected Starting Rotation: James Shields, Andrew Cashner, Ian Kennedy, Tyson Ross, Odrisamer Despaigne
Key Departures: Seth Smith
Key Additions: James Shields, Will Myers, Justin Upton, Matt Kemp, Derek Norris, Will Middlebrooks

Handicapper's Take: "After years of trying to do it with pitching and defense, the Padres committed to offense in a big way by completely overhauling their roster during the offseason. They also spent a ton of money to do so. Derek Norris, Will Middlebrooks, Wil Myers, Matt Kemp, and Justin Upton by default means a lot more runs -- even at Petco Park. And that should in turn mean more wins for a franchise Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres Ian Cameron




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: New York Yankees

03.23.2015     08:34 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

New York's roster says it wants to win now but that's a tall order given the team's aging personnel. The pitching staff kept this team afloat in 2014 and will be asked to do so again.

New York Yankees
2014 W-L:
84-78
2014 O/U: 68-90-4
2014 Profits: -2.4
2015 O/U Wins: 81.5
2015 AL East Odds: +450
Projected Starting Rotation: Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Capuano
Key Departures: Ichiro Suzuki, Martin Prado, David Robertson, Derek Jeter
Key Additions: Nathan Eovaldi, Andrew Miller

Handicapper's Take: "Is it 2008? It feels that way when you glance through the Yankees' aging roster. Nearly their entire lineup is comprised of players north of 30 years old -- some of which aren't even close to being above average major league hitters. Last season, New York was one of the strongest 'under' teams in baseball as it struggled to score runs on a consistent basis. With much of last year's Read more



Tags: MLB New York Yankees Sammy P



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 06, 2015 09:36 PM.