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March

26

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NCAA Tournament Handicapper Free Betting Pick: UCLA Bruins vs. Kentucky Wildcats

03.23.2017     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA -1 vs. Kentucky O/U 165.5
Recommendation: Under

When Kentucky and UCLA met in non-conference play back in December, the game was an instant classic; a 97-92 Bruins victory in a high octane shootout. Both teams played fast – a frenetic tempo from a pair of teams that were struggling mightily on defense at the time. And both teams shot the ball well, combining for 47% shooting from the floor, including 18 made three-pointers. No surprise, then, that the rematch is the single highest totaled game in the NCAA Tournament so far.
But there’s little reason to expect the high stakes rematch to be played in similar fashion. That was then. This is now.

John Calipari spent the back half of the season coaching up the Kentucky defense. It’s worked! The lengthy, athletic Wildcats are wreaking havoc on the defensive end of the court in recent weeks. Only one of their last nine opponents has scored more than 70 points against them, with Kentucky holding foes under 40% from the floor during that span. No surprise, then, that the Wildcats are 8-1 to the Under in those last nine ballgames, including a snail’s Read more



Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Kentucky Wildcats Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Princeton Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

03.16.2017     05:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Princeton vs. Notre Dame -6.5 O/U 135
Recommendation: Notre Dame


Pointspreads tend to be very accurate by this time of the year.  Both the oddsmakers and the broader betting markets have a full seasons worth of data to punch into their computers.  The end result is that the numbers -- both sides and total -- are consistently right where they are supposed to be.

So when bettors are looking for an edge at this time of the year, they’re going to have to dig for information that is not factored into the numbers.  Given the full season results and stats for Princeton and Notre Dame, this pointspread is as accurate as it gets.  But when it comes to key tidbits of info?  Well, that’s where we can find an edge.

Princeton was forced to leave New Jersey on Monday due to the East Coast blizzard; more than 24 hours ahead of schedule.  That wouldn’t necessarily be a big deal, except for the fact that the Tigers played in the first ever Ivy League Championship Game on Sunday, creating a mad scramble for a team from a conference that has never had a conference tourney Read more



Tags: College Basketball Princeton Tigers Notre Dame Fighting Irish Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Using Power Ratings to reseed the matchups

03.13.2017     11:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here's a different way to look at the NCAA Tournament. We took the 68 teams that made the Big Dance and listed tournament style matchups (1 vs. 16, 2 vs. 15, etc.) based on Ken Pomeroy's power ratings. Looks just a tad different that what the selection committee chucked out there, no?

1. Gonzaga vs. 16. UC Davis/Mount St. Mary's
1. Villanova vs. 16. Texas Southern/South Dakota State
1. North Carolina vs. 16. New Orleans/North Dakota
1. Kentucky vs. 16. NC Central/Jacksonville State

2. West Virginia vs. 15. Northern Kentucky
2. Louisville vs. 15. Kent State
2. Virginia vs. 15. Troy
2. Wichita State vs. 15. Iona

3. Florida vs. 14. Winthrop
3. Kansas vs. 14. Florida Gulf Coast
3. SMU vs. 14. New Mexico State
3. Duke vs. 14. Bucknell

4. Baylor vs. 13. East Tennessee State
4. St. Mary's vs. 13. Vermont
4. Purdue vs. 13. USC
4. Oregon vs. 13. UNC Wilmington

5. Iowa State vs. 12. Princeton
5. UCLA vs. 12. Providence
5. Florida State vs. 12. Nevada
5. Arizona vs. 12. Seton Hall

6. Michigan vs. 11. VCU
6. Cincinnati vs. 11. Middle Read more



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Gambling: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part I

03.08.2017     01:03 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA National Champion among my elite level teams. Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Three years ago, Kevin Ollie’s Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

Here is a list of the last 19 NCAA champions and the teams they beat in the title game: Kentucky over Utah in ’98, UConn over Duke in ’99, Michigan St over Florida in 2000, Duke over Arizona in ’01, Maryland over Indiana in ’02, Syracuse over Kansas in Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Gambling: How to bet Match Madness

03.06.2017     11:58 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
College Basketball conference tournaments heat up this week with the power conferences getting underway. It’s the the perfect time to look at some of the key handicapping factors that can assist in bettors profiting during the postseason.

While everyone is obviously motivated during the postseason, there are situations where teams may be looking towards bigger and better things. Earning one of the four no. 1 seeds is something most teams seek but it isn’t always worth the emotional and physical drain of winning three games in three days. Then there are those teams who aren’t in the hunt for a top seed but also comfortably in the Big Dance. Their performance in the conference tournament has the ability to impact their seed but this profile is very vulnerable to upsets against lesser teams desperate for wins.

Depth and injuries is another key factor when handicapping March. Teams that make a run in the conference tournaments can play as many as four games in four days. There are going to be a handful of first round upsets in these conference tournaments and the first thing I’m looking at with the winner is how many minutes the starters Read more



Tags: College Basketball Ian Cameron




College Basketball Handicapping: Power conference tournament odds

03.06.2017     09:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Power conference tournaments get underway this week. Let’s take a quick look at each league’s future odds.

ACC - This year's tourney takes place at Brooklyn's Barclays Center. All 13 teams are in the first with the top four seeds (North Carolina, Florida State, Notre Dame, and Louisville) receiving byes to the quarterfinals. Top seed UNC is the betting favorite at +145 followed by Louisville (+270) and fifth seed Duke (+280).

PAC-12 - The league returns to Las Vegas but will play in the new T-Mobile Arena. Oregon is the top seed and the betting favorite at +125 followed by third seed UCLA (+140) and second seed Arizona (+210). The last three title games have featured a 1 vs. 2 matchup.

Big Ten - Oddly, the conference tournament will be held at the Verizon Center in Washington, D.C. Top seed Purdue is the favorite at +145 followed by Wisconsin at +190. Perhaps a good league to take a shot with an underdog as half the league finished 12-6, 11-7 or 10-8.

Big XII - Per usual, the tournament will be held at the Sprint Center in Kansas City and Kansas is the top seed and favorite at even money. Third seed Baylor appears to have Read more



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Handicapping: Bettors gear up for mid-major conference tournaments

02.28.2017     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Conference tournaments are officially underway which means plenty of betting opportunities including those in the futures market. Let's take a look at a few conferences and their odds to earn a berth in the Big Dance.

Bucknell plays in the "non-boarded" Patriot League and is nearly a -200 favorite to cut down the nets. Note that Bison rank 80th according to Ken Pom; a spot below Monmouth and four spots ahead of Belmont -- two very well regarded mid-majors. Don't sleep on second seed Lehigh (+280) who swept Bucknell by 11 and 8 points during the regular season.

Winthrop (-120) is a short favorite over UNC Asheville (+125) to win the Big South. The two teams split during the regular season with both games decided by three points. Note that after the first round, all games will be played at Winthrop.

Belmont (-170) is yet again the favorite to win the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament which is played in the Bruins' hometown of Nashville. Belmont finished first in the OVC in both offensive and defensive efficiency and lost only one regular season game. Of their 15 league wins, only four were decided by single digits.

The Read more



Tags: College Basketball




NHL Handicapping: Targeting teams to make money on the second half of the season

02.27.2017     11:40 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
As the NHL season approaches Wednesday’s trade deadline, it is time to take a look at some teams that I have targeted as “bet on” and “bet against” moving forward.

The Boston Bruins stand out as a potential “bet on” squad. Boston has enjoyed a rejuvenation of energy and team chemistry after dismissing head coach Claude Julien and handing it over to interim Bruce Cassidy. The Bruins are 6-1 since the coaching change and have scored 3+ goals in all but one of those games. Cassidy put an emphasis on wanting his team attack more offensively which explains why they over on a 4-2-1 O/U run under his watch. But while the offense has enjoyed an uptick in production, defense and goaltending that will determine just how far they go. The Bruins have an aging, slow of foot Zdeno Chara anchoring the blue line and a bunch of newcomers and youngsters on the back end. Adam McQuaid and Torrey Krug are solid defenders but this unit is still a work in progress.

The Nashville Predators have underachieved at times this season but have played their best stretch of hockey of the season with three straight wins. Their offense has been on fire of Read more



Tags: NHL Boston Bruins Nashville Predators New Jersey Devils Carolina Hurricanes Ian Cameron




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers

02.16.2017     10:44 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Indiana +3 O/U 215
Recommendation: Indiana


I haven’t bet against Washington since the calendar turned to 2017.  But this is the spot to fade the Wizards, and the markets seem to be convinced that the Pacers are going to go into the All-Star Break in the midst of a six-game skid.  That gives us ample value to back Indiana as a home dog this evening.

In theory, this is a great spot for Washington.  The Pacers have lost five straight, including a defensive no-show in Cleveland last night; the fifth straight game that Indiana has allowed at least 110 points.  Meanwhile, the Wizards are rested and ready – they’ve only played once since last Friday, a blowout win over OKC that was garbage time by the middle of the third quarter.

But as we clearly saw last night with the Houston-Miami game, an extended rest BEFORE the All-Star Break is not necessarily a good thing – teams lose their focus.  The Rockets were in the exact same spot at the Wizards – coming off a rare, extended rest, having played only one game since last week, a blowout win.  Washington has been as Read more



Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: North Dakota Hawks at Idaho State Bengals

02.16.2017     09:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
North Dakota -4.5 at Idaho State O/U 153.5
Recommendation: Over


While doing research on today's college basketball card, I came across an article on Idaho State and its struggles against North Dakota which was referred to as a "nightmare matchup." The results certainly bear that out as UND has won the last four matchups by scores of 89-64, 84-76, 76-60, and 84-49. Now, the spot for Hawks tonight is not a good one. They've won six of seven, just wrapped up a three-game homestand, and have a showdown at first place Weber State on Saturday. Bad matchup but less than ideal spot has me more interested in the total. Idaho State sports one of the worst defenses in the Big Sky as it allows 57.2 eFG% and 1.14 points per possession. And when asked to face the three top offenses in the league, each team essentially scored at will. Eastern Washington hung 92 points on 74 possessions. Weber State scored 85 and 96 on two 73-possession games. And as previously mentioned, North Dakota needed only 71 possession to net 89 points. It's mid-February, you are 3-9 in league play, and guaranteed a berth to the conference tournament...a defensive renaissance Read more



Tags: College Basketball North Dakota Hawks Idaho State Bengals Big Sky Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 26, 2017 09:46 PM.