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CFL Week 5 Betting News and Notes

07.30.2014     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my Week 5 CFL News and Notes as we examine each team from a betting perspective.

Toronto Argonauts (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Toronto just can’t be expected to be competitive and move the football offensively until they get some of their injury-decimated receiving corps back. Saskatchewan drilled Toronto 37-9 on Saturday night as quarterback Ricky Ray and the Argos’ struggling offense once again sputtered with stalled drives, turnovers, and penalties throughout the game. They got off to a horrible start an interception and fumble on their first two drives which led directly to Saskatchewan touchdowns. The revamped defense struggled and is being asked to carry a team that when healthy is very capable offensively. There is a possibility that not a single one of Toronto’s top four wideouts will return vs. Montreal. Head coach Scott Milanovich held an impromptu meeting with the team’s veteran players prior to the blowout loss against Saskatchewan and it didn’t help. Toronto is saying the right things this week but a third straight road game in as many weeks against a rested and ready Montreal squad won’t be Read more


Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling: The impact quarterbacks have on Season Over/Under Win totals Part I

07.28.2014     06:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve been writing about NFL Season Win Totals for the last few weeks, using what I call “advanced metric schedule analysis.”  This week, the time has come to write about another stage of the 2014 pre-preseason team analysis that affects every win total on the board – quarterbacks.

Why quarterbacks?  Because more than ever, in the modern ‘pass happy’ era of NFL Football, the quarterback is the most important position on any team.  Of course a great quarterback can’t be great without a decent receiving corps or a decent offensive line, so those must be included in the equation when discussing quarterbacks. 

Here’s what I wrote last year in this space:

“The pecking order for NFL quarterbacks is well established.  Most of the best quarterbacks play for the best teams.  Peyton Manning in Denver, Eli Manning in New York, Tom Brady in New England, Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay, Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, Drew Brees in New Orleans and Joe Flacco in Baltimore all wear Super Bowl rings.  All seven guys play for teams that are perennial playoff teams, and all seven of Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




CFL Week 4 Betting News and Notes

07.23.2014     07:33 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is my CFL Week 4 News & Notes as I take a look at each team in the CFL providing observations, analysis and a glimpse into what is to come for all 9 CFL teams following Week 4.

Toronto Argonauts (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)

The frustrations were clearly evident with the Argos after their painful 18-17 loss to the expansion Ottawa Redblacks in what was Ottawa’s first home game since rejoining the CFL this season. Toronto finally got a strong performance from their rebuilt defense but oddly enough it was QB Ricky Ray and the offense (the supposed strongest part of the team) that simply couldn’t get anything going as they sputtered with stalled drives, turnovers and penalties throughout the game. It was a game that was there for the taking for Toronto but they just couldn’t make any key plays to turn it into a win. Now they sit at 1-3 after wasting a great performance from the defense and now must face the well-rested and likely angry Saskatchewan Roughriders who are coming off their bye and it’s worth noting Saskatchewan lost their game before the bye to this very Argos team in Toronto 48-15 Read more


Tags: CFL Ian Cameron




MLB Handicapping: Schedule becomes Baltimore's biggest obstacle

07.17.2014     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Baltimore Orioles own a four-game lead in the American League East and are a -120 favorite to win the division (5Dimes) but due to their second half strength of schedule, bettors may want to take a look at the odds for the other four teams (a bet on the field is only -120). The O's open the second half with a 10-game West Coast road trip against Oakland (No. 1 in MLB in run differential), LA Angels (No. 2 run diff), and Seattle (No. 4 run diff). They then return home to play six more against the Angels and Mariners. Then there is a make-up game vs. Washington (No. 3 run diff) and three-game sets at Toronto and vs. St. Louis. As pointed out my ESPN's Buster Olney, Baltimore's first 26 out of the All-Star break are against teams with records of .500 or better. And we'll also point out their 36/32 road game/home game split as well as the seven-game road trip against the Blue Jays and Yankees to close the season – which could determine the East winner and/or a wild card berth.



Tags: MLB




NFL Gambling: Using Strength of Schedule to Handicap Season Over/Under Wins Part I

07.14.2014     01:59 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When looking at the entirety of the NFL futures market, Super Bowl odds and odds to win divisions or conferences only give bettors one choice – betting ON a particular team.  Then that team has to beat out all of their competition to win the division/conference/Super Bowl for you to cash, offering the potential for big payday longshot returns, but cashing a low percentage of the wagers that are made.

NFL Season Win totals, on the other hand, offer bettors the opportunity to bet AGAINST teams in relatively low juice situations.  And with win totals, even when betting Overs, the team you are betting on doesn’t have to win anything big. 

For example, the Kansa City Chiefs didn’t win their division last year; unable to get past mighty Denver.  They didn’t win the AFC or the Super Bowl.  But they cashed every Over ticket that was bet on their season wins by the time their bye week rolled around.  KC’s 11-5 campaign offered a positive return-on-investment for a squad lined at 7 or 7.5 wins prior to the season.

In my opinion, NFL win totals rank among the most profitable set of wagers currently Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

07.11.2014     08:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington (Zimmermann) -140 at Philadelphia (Burnett) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Washington


Since the beginning of June, Jordan Zimmermann has been as good as any pitcher in baseball.  In seven starts, he has a 1.26 ERA with a 46-7 strikeout to walk ratio in 50 innings of work.  Zimmermann won 19 games last year and ranked among the best pitchers in baseball with a 4.4 WAR and 2.94 ERA in 2012. This hot streak is no fluke.

Zimmermann’s quote sums it up well: “I just started throwing strikes and locating better. The slider finally came back. I didn't have it for a month and a half. I was able to get that back. That's a big pitch."

His streak started with a dominating performance against the same Phillies lineup he’ll face today, throwing eight innings of shutout ball.  He certainly shut down Philadelphia on a consistent basis last year, allowing only four earned runs while notching three wins in four starts against Read more


Tags: MLB Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians

07.09.2014     08:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Yankees (McCarthy) -110 at Cleveland (Tomlin) O/U 8
Recommendation: Over


No question Brandon McCarthy has pitched better than his raw numbers but I'm not convinced a "fresh" start in New York is going to spark significant change. For starters, the move to the American League, particularly the East, is a significant step up in class. And with McCarthy being such a heavy groundball pitcher (55.3%) he needs a strong infield defense for support. He pitched behind a mediocre one in Arizona and it gets even worse in New York with the Yankees ranking near the bottom of a number infield defense metrics. Lastly, tonight's matchup vs. Cleveland is far from ideal with one of McCarthy's biggest issues this season being that of the left-handed bat. Even though he's been unlucky in a lot of respects, lefties are still hitting .323 vs. McCarthy. Josh Tomlin has been up and down this season and despite shutting out Seattle two starts ago his ERA is above 5.00 over his last six outings. Read more


Tags: MLB New York Yankees Cleveland Indians Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Switching conferences

06.26.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good breakdown on ESPN.com of the history of college football teams switching to new BCS conferences – West Virginia (Big East to Big XII) and Texas A&M (Big XII to SEC) two recent examples. In most situations the step up in class resulted in poorer results the first year – Utah, TCU, and Missouri good examples. This year, Rutgers and Maryland join the Big Ten.



Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten




College Football Gambling: Rutgers puts offense in hands of Friedgen

06.24.2014     02:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rutgers’ Kyle Flood enters the all-important third season as head coach as the team moves from the AAC to the Big Ten. The Scarlet Knights went 9-4 in Flood's first season but dropped to 6-7 in the AAC a year ago. In hopes of bolstering the offense – and developing turnover prone quarterback Gary Nova – Flood hired former Maryland head coach Ralph Friedgen to serve as offensive coordinator. Rutgers will be playing in the Big Ten's East Division which means games against Michigan, Michigan State, and Ohio State. They also drew Nebraska and Wisconsin for their two contests vs. the West.


"The thing that's most exciting to me about watching him offensively is to see the multiplicity of where he puts the pieces," Flood said.

"To be a really high quality pro-style offense it doesn't mean you line up with two backs in the backfield in the I the whole game. It should be a multiplicity of personnel groups. It should be a multiplicity of formations, shifts, motions.

"By the end of spring I began to see Read more



Tags: College Football Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten




Billy Walters: The sports bettor everyone loves to hate

06.17.2014     02:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on the constant barrage of accusations thrown Billy Walters' way – everything from insider trading to having SEC referees in his back pocket. Interesting that the article quietly mentions that 2013 marked the first time in 39 years Walters failed to turn a profit betting on sports.


Sean Patrick Griffin, author of "Gaming the Game'' - an acclaimed book about the 2007 betting scandal involving NBA referee Tim Donaghy - said a few Las Vegas gamblers are "adamant'' that one or two football referees in the Southeastern Conference help Walters with his college football picks. Brian Tuohy, author of "Larceny Games: Sports Gambling, Game Fixing and the FBI," said via email, "Walters, from my sources, actually has waaay too close of connections to several big time college coaches for all of his bets to be legit. He's getting inside information from these guys without a doubt.''






Tags: Billy Walters



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 31, 2014 12:36 PM.