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NFL Gambling: A look back at last year's 20* winner on Carolina Under 8.5 Wins

07.27.2015     08:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below is Teddy Covers' write-up for last year's NFL Season O/U Wins Report 20* winner. Since 2001, Teddy has produced a documented record of 71-31 70% including 11-1 92% with his 20* Big Tickets. This year's report is currently available for purchase and will be released on Wednesday. Teddy includes in-depth written analysis on all of plays.


20* Big Ticket: Carolina UNDER 8.5 Wins
Just about everything broke right for the Carolina Panthers last year on their way to a 12-4 season.  Following a 1-3 start, the Panthers reeled off 11 wins in their final 12 regular season games in large part thanks to a 5-0 mark in games decided by four points or less. 

Make no mistake about it – the Panthers were every bit as lucky as they were good during that extended winning run.  Head coach Ron Rivera was on the hot seat, but he saved his job thanks to a ‘Riverboat Ron’ mentality down the stretch of tight games, a strategy that offers no hope of long term success.

And the Panthers feasted largely on the weak, with

Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Breaking down the NFL's new offensive coordinators Part 2

07.27.2015     08:04 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in my Wiseguy Report, I wrote about a half dozen offensive coordinator changes in the NFL this past offseason.  This week, I’ll finish my analysis of the other half dozen offensive coordinator changes from around the league, with specific focus on how big of a change and how steep of a learning curve these offenses face.  Coordinators are listed in alphabetical order based on their new teams.

Kyle Shanahan, Atlanta Falcons - Shanahan’s dad was certainly a major factor in Kyle’s first few NFL coordinator jobs; none of which have been particularly successful.  Shanahan worked under Mike Shanahan protégé Gary Kubiak as OC in Houston in 2008-2009, and then worked under his dad for four years with the Redskins.  During that span, his team’s reached the playoffs only once – the ill-fated RG3 injury game against Seattle.  Last year’s debacle in Cleveland didn’t exactly bolster his Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Analyzing SEC Bye Weeks

07.24.2015     09:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In the ultra-competitive SEC, a well or poorly placed bye week can have a big impact on a team's season. Your opponents' bye week can also play a factor back in 2010 we pointed out that Alabama really got the shaft with nearly its entire slate having a bye week before playing the Crimson Tide.

Lets take a look at the entire conference and analyze the potential impact of each squad's bye week.

SEC EAST
Florida
Bye Week: October 24
Prior Game: at LSU
Upcoming Game: at Georgia
Analysis: Per usual, the Gators get a week off before the World's Largest Cocktail Party. It also breaks up a tough stretch of five straight league games, including three on the road. The bad news is Georgia also comes in off a bye.

Kentucky
Bye Week: October 10
Prior Game: vs. Eastern Kentucky
Upcoming Game: (Thu) vs. Auburn
Analysis: Cats with one of the earliest bye weeks in Read more



Tags: College Football SEC




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Mini-Camp Betting News

06.22.2015     01:34 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
All 32 NFL teams have concluded their OTA’s (organized team activities) and mini-camps over the past few weeks.  There’s nothing else on the horizon for the NFL before the start of training camps in mid-July.  Therefore, it’s time for bettors and fans alike to fixate on the news trickling out of those mini-camps over the last few weeks.  Here are half a dozen such reports, with teams listed in alphabetical order and information coming from local sources.

Arizona Cardinals - Arizona was an elite team with Carson Palmer behind center last year.  When Palmer got hurt, they were still a pretty good team until Drew Stanton got hurt as well.  Once Arizona was down to a third stringer at quarterback, the back end of the season was ugly as they closed out with a 2-5 stretch, culminating in a blowout to Carolina in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs.

Both Palmer and Stanton fully participated in mini-camp, with Palmer entering the new season as the clear starter, even at 35 years old and coming off his second ACL surgery.  Palmer wowed observers at mini-camp, looking extremely sharp in 11-on-11 Read more



Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Atlanta Falcons Buffalo Bills Houston Texans San Diego Chargers Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners

06.18.2015     10:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco (Vogelsong) at Seattle (Montgomery) -140 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Seattle


The Giants lineup is ice cold once again.  They were shut out last night, the fifth time in their last six games that San Francisco has been held to two runs or less.  We saw similar offensive struggles for the Giants when lineup sparkplug Hunter Pence was on the DL in April.  His second trip to the DL has been equally disastrous for this slumping lineup.  And with Aoki slumping at the top of the batting order as well, we can expect continued struggles for the Giants offensively.

That’s bad news against an unfamiliar lefty, as Mike Montgomery takes the hill for Seattle today.  Each of Montgomery’s first three big league starts has been strong, allowing only four runs in 19 innings of work.  The former first round pick was dealt to Seattle this past offseason; a guy who ranked among the Top 20 prospects in baseball earlier in his minor league career.  Behind him, Seattle’s bullpen is rested and ready following another gem from King Felix last night.

And it’s not hard to make a case for Read more



Tags: MLB San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The Curious Case of the Philadelphia Eagles

06.15.2015     09:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s not hard to predict which NFL teams are going to be the betting favorites coming into the campaign.  Look no further than the NFL Season Win Totals markets.  Just about all of the top teams – teams lined at nine wins or higher – have one commonality.  In a quarterback’s league, they all have top tier quarterbacks.

Baltimore has Joe Flacco.  Dallas has Tony Romo.  Denver has Peyton Manning.  Green Bay has Aaron Rodgers.  Indianapolis has Andrew Luck.  New England has Tom Brady.  New Orleans has Drew Brees.  Seattle has Russell Wilson.  That’s eight of the ten teams that are lined at 9 wins or higher this year; all squad with elite level quarterbacks.  Miami, with the promising Ryan Tannehill firmly entrenched as the starting QB, is lined at nine wins in many locations as well (8.5 with juice to the over in others).

And then there’s Philadelphia, lined at 9.5 wins in most locations.  The Eagles have Sam Bradford and Mark Sanchez battling for the starting job.  With Bradford – their big offseason pickup and the former #1 overall draft choice from 2010 Read more



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors show early opinions on Jets and 49ers

06.08.2015     08:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL futures market is heating up as the calendar turns to June.  Two teams in particular have seen significant action.  Money has poured in against the San Francisco 49ers, the #1 bet against team of the offseason, without a shred of debate.  And money has been flowing in support of the New York Jets. I did debate using the Minnesota Vikings as my top wiseguy bet-on team in early trading, but the markets have moved towards the Jets with a vehemence that Minnesota just can’t match.   In this week's Wiseguy Report, I’ll dive into the 49ers and Jets to see why the sharps have such strong opinions about their upcoming campaigns.

There’s no mystery surrounding all the anti-49ers money that’s been pouring in since the very first win totals were posted at CG Gaming back in February.  The markets hated the loss of hard driving, overachieving head coach Jim Harbaugh and they certainly don’t care for his replacement Jim Tomsula; a largely anonymous Niners assistant with no previous NFL head coaching experience (he did coach the Rhein Fire on NFL Europe for one season back in 2006). 

Most big, early Read more



Tags: NFL New York Jets San Francisco 49ers Minnesota Vikings Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Two minutes to go, down two touchdowns with the ball, catching +13.5..who's watching?

05.27.2015     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
Not surprising but a recent study showed that TV ratings on sporting events and pointspreads have a noticeable relationship.


"In the sample of games with point spreads of at least 21 points," Salaga explained, "if we had seven-point moves closer to the spread, that equaled about a 1.235 ratings point increase, which is about 30 percent of the overall game rating on average. So you're talking about a pretty big shift in television ratings just based on basically a one-score change in reference to the spread. You're talking big changes. There's really strong evidence, even in these games that weren't close and weren't expected to be close, we're seeing that people are watching or not watching based on what happens in relationship to the point spread. If you're interested in gambling, it's pretty exciting."











MLB Handicapper Free Play: Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox

05.22.2015     11:29 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Hughes) +110 at Chicago (Samardzija) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Minnesota


My clients and I cashed an underdog winner earlier this week with the Minnesota Twins and I’m more than willing to come right back and endorse them tonight. There is something to be said about momentum in baseball and the Minnesota Twins have it right now after winning 14 of their last 19 games. As for tonight’s two starters, I don’t see a whole lot of difference between Phil Hughes and Jeff Samardzija. Both have had ups and downs and battled inconsistency however Hughes is at least feeling some positive momentum having gone 7 innings while yielding only 2 runs on 5 hits against Tampa Bay his last time out. Hughes allowed just 3 runs in 6 innings in his prior start against the White Sox and his overall numbers when facing the current White Sox roster are solid as he’s allowed a collective .250 batting average. Hughes once again shows a sparkling 35-5 K-to-BB ratio. His biggest knock is the 10 home runs allowed in 51 IP but he should be aided by what expects to be cooler temps and a slight wind in front left field. On the flip side, the Chicago Read more



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox Ian Cameron




NBA Gambling Alert: Cleveland's Irving to suit up vs. Atlanta

05.20.2015     07:39 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland's Kyrie Irving (knee) is expected to start tonight's Eastern Conference Finals Game 1 matchup vs. Atlanta. The Hawks were as high as -1.5 favorites but money on the Cavs has the line down to a pick 'em at a few offshore sportsbooks.


"I would say just my spirits and mental confidence, just being able to actually feel both my feet underneath me, especially when I'm shooting, it feels amazing," Irving said. "You know, just a confidence of getting extra work in and just preparing with my teammates. I think that's the biggest thing I get out of it. I don't want to be on the sideline at all, especially preparing for a big stage like this. I want to be as close to 100 percent before Wednesday as I can be, so just doing the necessary things in order to do that."






Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks



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With an unprecedented track record dating back well over a decade, Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Wins Report remains a must-have for every kind of football bettor. Over a 14-year span, Teddy's clients have been rewarded with an outstanding 71-31 70% winning mark including an incredible 11-1, 92% with TC's top rated 20* Big Tickets. As always, Teddy's recommendations will include detailed written analysis. The first release is just around the corner in late July followed by any additional selections after Week 3 of the preseason. Purchase now and lock in all the plays for the incredibly low price of $199.


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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 04, 2015 02:43 AM.