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NFL Handicapping: New England says it won't rest starters vs. Miami

12.29.2016     09:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The New England Patriots aren't expected to rest any key players for Sunday's Week 17 game at Miami. The Pats need to win to ensure the AFC's top seed and home field advantage. At 10-5, the Dolphins are in though the outcome of Sunday's game could impact their seedings. New England opened -6 but has since been bet up to -10.


“I don’t really understand that question,” Belichick said. “We have — I don’t know how many starters we have, but we have a lot more than — we can only inactivate seven players, so this isn’t like a preseason game where you have 75 guys on your roster. This is a regular season game, so I don’t really understand that whole line of questioning. I’m not saying I’m a great mathematician or anything, but the numbers just don’t add up for that type of conversation.”






Tags: NFL New England Patriots Miami Dolphins




NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

10.29.2016     08:05 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Buffalo
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -5.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: New England -5.5 O/U 47
Recommendation: New England

The Patriots are a very different team now than they were when Buffalo came to Foxboro and shut them out last month. That game was all about Jacoby Brissett looking like a third string quarterback and the Pats feeling fat and happy after winning their first three games while Tom Brady was suspended. THIS game is all about New England taking firm control of a division that they’ve owned for the last decade and a half.

New England has dominated all three games since Brady’s return. The combination of a pair of elite pass catching tight ends (Gronk and Bennett) and a big, bruising back (LaGarrett Blount) has proven extremely tough to stop with Brady behind center. Belichick’s second look at this Rob Ryan defense is a recipe for success. And the likes of Tyrod Taylor and a banged up Shady McCoy simply aren’t capable of trading touchdowns with the Patriots for four quarters.

The Bills recent four game winning streak Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Buffalo Bills Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

10.01.2016     10:51 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -6.5 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 43
Recommendation: Buffalo

The Patriots have survived the Tom Brady suspension pretty darn well, going 3-0 SU and ATS without their four time Super Bowl winning QB. But with Brady on the way back next week, facing a divisional rival with a real chip on their shoulder, I’m expecting the Patriots to be tested on Sunday in a clear flat spot for the home favorite.

New England doesn’t have a healthy quarterback right now. Jimmy Garappolo has been upgraded to probable, but he’s dealing with consistent pain from his shoulder injury. Jacoby Brissett has a bad thumb, and if the rookie third stringer gets playing time here, it’s probably good news for Buffalo backers.

And the Pats are an overvalued commodity this week. Think about their season. They started with an upset win over Arizona, devalued now because Arizona hasn’t looked anything like the elite squad they were last year in early season play. The Pats nearly blew a big lead against Miami, Read more



Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Gambling: Belichick reiterates Week 3 just another preseason game

08.24.2016     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick shot down the idea that Week 3's "dress rehearsal" resembles anything close to the regular season. Historically, the Patriots are 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS over the last eight seasons in Week 3. Two of those wins and covers came the last two years against the Carolina Panthers -- the same opponent New England plays Friday. The Panthers are currently -3.5 home favorites.

2015: SU and ATS win vs. Carolina
2014: SU and ATS win vs. Carolina
2013: SU and ATS loss vs. Detroit
2012: SU and ATS loss vs. Tampa Bay
2011: SU and ATS loss vs. Detroit
2010: SU and ATS loss vs. St. Louis
2009: SU win, ATS loss vs. Washington
2008: SU and ATS loss vs. Philadelphia


"I don't. I don't know what that means," Belichick said. "In terms of playing time it might be a little different, but in terms of game-planning and strategy, what we see in the regular season compared to what we see the in third preseason game I don't even think you're in the

Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Carolina Panthers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC East

07.18.2016     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Our NFL Team Previews for the upcoming campaign continues.  This week, I’ll be focusing on the AFC East, and next week I’ll conclude the series with a look at four squads from the NFC East.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order within their division.

We'll start with the Buffalo Bills who are lined at 8 wins for the upcoming season.  Buffalo owns the longest playoff drought in the NFL; now at 16 seasons and counting.  The Bills have at least returned to relevance over the past two seasons, winning nine games in 2014, followed by an 8-8 campaign last year.

Rex Ryan is set to begin his second year on the job.  Rex’s brother, defensive coordinator Rob Ryan, coached one of the worst defenses in NFL history in New Orleans last year.  Now Ryan takes over a defense that plummeted from a no. 4 yardage ranking in 2014 to 19th in 2015 as sacks dropped from 54 to 21.  Top two draft choices Shaq Lawson (Clemson), Reggie Ragland (Alabama) are expected to contribute in the sacks department immediately.

Offensive coordinator Greg Roman crafted a Super Bowl caliber offense Read more



Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors must be willing to change opinions on the fly

05.16.2016     11:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Successful sportsbettors are not politicians.   Politicians take heat every time they change their opinion – flip-floppers!  A politician who is pro-choice on abortion, for example, will take enormous criticism from both sides, and will probably lose his or her next election if he or she switches to a pro-life stance.

Sports bettors, like politicians, are inevitably going to have some wrong opinions – about teams, about players, about coaches.  Bill Belichick was not a great coach with the Cleveland Browns, and was not highly regarded after suffering a losing campaign in his first year.  Greg Popovich certainly wasn’t a high profile, top notch hire when the Spurs decided he should be their head coach.  The Carolina Panthers weren’t taken seriously by most NFL analysts last year until they reached the Super Bowl.  Steph Curry wasn’t a superstar...until he was. 
Throughout the world of sports and sportsbetting, everybody – E-V-E-R-Y-B-O-D-Y! – is going to have some wrong opinions.  But the differences in how bettors deal with those wrong opinions is fairly dramatic; often the Read more



Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Teddy Covers




July

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