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December

26

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NFL Gambling Preview: Detroit Lions at New England Patriots

11.20.2014     02:14 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New England -6 O/U 48
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: New England -9
Teddy Covers’ Recommendation: Under

On the one hand, the Patriots are as hot as any team in the NFL right now, reeling off six straight wins since that Monday Night Football debacle at Kansas City, while going 5-1 ATS in the process.  That includes impressive blowouts over the likes of Denver, Indy and Cincinnati the three teams that would win the other three AFC Divisions if the season ended today.  The Pats currently are a full game better than any team in the conference, with tiebreaker wins against all of them. As of now, the road to the Super Bowl goes through Foxboro.

But on the other hand, the betting markets are telling us clearly Read more


Tags: NFL Detroit Lions New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Patriots gear up for Eagles' fast-paced attack

08.12.2014     02:22 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Philadelphia -3 O/U 46.5

New England's Bill Belichick talks about his team's preparation for Philadelphia's up-tempo attack. The two teams will practice against one another prior to Friday's game. Last week's Eagles-Bears total opened 38.5, closed 41.5, and hit 62 points. The Patriots-Eagles total opened 45.5 and is currently as high as 47.


“Certainly we have plenty of [up-tempo teams] on our schedule, it appears anyway,” Belichick said. “This is a good opportunity to work on it. We do it some ourselves, so when we work against ourselves, we see that.”

“They produce more big plays than anybody else, so I think certainly his scheme has something to do with it. But, of course they have great players,” he said. “It was the whole combination of Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Philadelphia Eagles




NFL Gambling Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots

10.31.2013     12:06 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh at New England
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -7 O/U 43
CRIS Current: New England -6 O/U 43
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New England -8
Brent Crow's Recommendation: Pittsburgh

In years past this would have likely been the marquee game of the week with the success these two franchises have had. In fact, of the last ten AFC championship games, nine have featured Pittsburgh, New England or both.

This year, they are both trying to rebuild and do not resemble the high powered teams the NFL is used to seeing. New England has somehow managed to win six of its eight games with Tom Brady having his worst season ever thanks mostly to a lack of experienced weapons. The Steelers meanwhile have struggled to a 2-5 mark and have had trouble on both sides of the ball, with their trademark defense being the biggest culprit, especially against the run.

Steelers’ coach Mike Tomlin Read more


Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers New England Patriots Brent Crow




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 8

10.30.2013     07:38 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Welcome to a sportsbooks worst nightmare
This was not the week to be a bookmaker. The public, which tends to bet favorites and overs, had a grand time in Week 8. Favorites went 8-5 ATS and totals were also 8-5 O/U. Thankfully, sportsbooks got the desired result on Monday night when the Rams and under both cashed but it still didn’t prevent an overall tough week for the books. Four of the biggest public teams in the NFL – all favorites – overcame sluggish starts to grab pointspread covers: New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers and Denver Broncos – and three of the four games involving those teams sailed over the total. This is just more proof that it is no longer safe nor practical to simply fade the public. The public doesn’t always lose and it is something that bettors must understand as they attempt to beat the NFL.

The risk of overreacting
It’s easy to overreact to results in the NFL. It happens all the time and even I find myself guilty of doing so. I’ve singled out the Monday night game that likely shocked many bettors when the Seattle Seahawks not only failed Read more


Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks St. Louis Rams New England Patriots Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

10.23.2013     12:14 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -7 (+101) O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: New England -6.5 O/U 44.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New England -7
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Miami

The New England Patriots are a very different team now compared to where they were a month ago.  The biggest difference between the Pats now and when they started the season 4-0 is a barrage of injuries on the defensive side of the football.  After four weeks of play, the Patriots D looked like an elite level unit; ranked among the league leaders in nearly every significant statistical category.  But they’ve been torched by the Jets and Saints for 57 points and more than 750 yards in their last two ballgames.

Perennial pro bowl defensive tackle Vince Wilfork tore his Achilles; out for the year.  His counterpart at defensive tackle, veteran Tommy Kelly hasn’t been able to suit Read more


Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins New England Patriots Teddy Covers




Proposed Las Vegas stadium an ideal fit for NFL games/team

01.17.2013     06:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So Las Vegas wants to build some sort of "Mega Events Center" similar to that of Cowboys Stadium. If built, said facility would obviously have the capabilities to host football games. What's funny is that those backing the plan aren't asking the NFL to do something logical like pull the plug on Jacksonville or go the expansion route. Instead, they're starting small, like playing host to a preseason game, or the pro bowl. If that works and Bill Belichick and Tom Brady aren’t involved in some elaborate point shaving scandal, then maybe the NFL would warm up to the idea of placing  a franchise in Sin City. The odds on that happening? Not good, according to some.



Tags: Las Vegas NFL




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC Championship News and Quotes

01.14.2013     07:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re down to the Final Four in the NFL Playoffs, with two compelling championship game matchups set for next Sunday. I’ve spent all year writing about these teams using my own words. This week, I thought it would make an interesting read to focus on the numerous quotes offered by various players and coaches. Who’s saying what heading into the biggest games of the season? In Part II, we take a look at the AFC Championship with New England a 9-point favorite vs. Baltimore. Click here for the NFC.

New England Patriots – All the Patriots quotes come straight out of ‘Coach Speak 101’ – New England is not a great team for publicizing what’s going on internally, and they certainly won’t say anything to give their opponent any sort of motivational edge.  That being said, there was legitimate concern on the roster following the season ending injury for their top red zone threat, tight end Rob Gronkowski.

Tom Brady following his NFL Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Looking at the contenders in the AFC

12.03.2012     09:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I spent the last few Sunday’s concentrating on some pretty bad football teams. It’s December now; time to shift my focus towards the other end of the spectrum. This week, I focused on four AFC Playoff contenders. Which teams have the potential to do some damage when January rolls around and which are frauds? Read on to find out!

Indianapolis - Indy is certainly not a Super Bowl contender. But given that they were seven point underdogs at 4-7 Detroit, the betting markets aren’t even calling the Colts a playoff caliber team. Even with starting cornerback Vontae Davis back in the lineup following a four game injury absence, the pass defense spent all afternoon getting torched. Where's the pass rush? Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were non-factors here.

The offensive line got dominated by Detroit’s front four for most of the afternoon. Andrew Luck was beaten up, taking one big hit after the next. Coming into the game with four fumbles and 10 INTs in five previous road games, Luck's emphasis was on ball security here. That emphasis didn’t work. He hit seven different receivers in the first half, but also threw a pair Read more


Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans Teddy Covers




NFL Betting News and Notes Week 7

10.23.2012     12:44 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If the Washington Redskins learned anything after Sunday’s loss to the New York Giants, it would be not to allow Eli Manning the chance to have the football with his team trailing by one score in the final minutes. Robert Griffin III had a miraculous scramble play on a fourth down to keep a late fourth quarter drive alive en route to a terrific touchdown throw to Santana Moss which gave the Redskins a brief lead. It didn’t last long as Manning hit Victor Cruz for a 73-yard touchdown pass to give the Giants the win in a back and forth 27-23 affair. Despite the straight up win for New York, Washington got the ATS win and continue to cash tickets for their backers against their NFC East rivals. Washington is now 4-0 ATS against the G-Men dating back to January 2011.

I don’t think the term “right side winner” can be any more accurate than it was with the Houston Texans on Sunday. It was a dominant 43-13 win and easy 6.5-point home chalk cover for the Texans in which they outgained the Baltimore Ravens 420-176, had a huge 27-12 edge in first downs, and a +2 TO margin. Quarterback Joe Flacco and the Baltimore no-huddle offense continues to Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron




NFL Betting News and Notes Week 6

10.16.2012     12:38 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I think we know the Oakland Raiders aren’t great but they did play a solid football game and certainly good enough to beat Atlanta. The Raiders outgained the Falcons 474-286 which included 149-45 yard rushing 325-241 yard passing edges. Oakland also nearly doubled Atlanta in time of possession. What was the difference? Oakland failed to capitalize on Atlanta’s turnovers. Atlanta capitalized on Oakland’s turnovers including a huge 79-yard INT touchdown return for by Asante Samuel to give Atlanta a 20-13 – it came when Oakland was driving in Atlanta territory and looking to take the lead. The Falcons stand alone as the only undefeated team in the NFL at 6-0 but it’s becoming clear they have become an overvalued commodity in the betting markets. Atlanta won the game 23-20 but never sniffed a pointspread cover as 9.5-point home favorites. It’s a clear indicator there are no bargains to support the “dirty birds” these days.

Another example of statistical dominance not equaling a straight up win was with the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys played arguably their best game of the season and it still feel short against the Ravens. Dallas Read more


Tags: NFL Ian Cameron



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