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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

08.11.2013     07:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Perez) at Houston (Keuchel)
Recommendation: Texas -1.5 (-120) R/L


There were times this year where the Houston Astros played some halfway decent baseball but as a whole, they've been overwhelmed by the American League. Since July, the 'Stros are 7-26. And with the departure of Bud Norris, there simply aren't very main quality arms left in the rotation. Dallas Keuchel has grinded out a few quality starts but he's a very fringe MLB arm. He's allowed 17 home runs in just over 100 innings and over his last three appearances (9.2 IP) he's allowed 11 earned runs. Meanwhile Martin Perez has a lot of potential. I watched him closely his last two starts and came away very impressed. Here's a hard throwing left-hander with downward movement on his pitches who is starting to show the ability to miss bats. Perez is coming off a season-high 111 pitches, but he's barely north of 100 innings between his time in the minors and in majors. He should be good to go against the Astros and a worthy Read more


Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Houston Astros Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Free Play: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

07.19.2013     10:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday, July 19th
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros (Saunders vs Norris)
Recommendation: Take Seattle -118


The Mariners went into the All Star break clicking on all cylinders, outscoring the LA Angels 18-6 in a three game sweep. That came on the heels of series victories on the road at Cincinnati and at Texas, two teams that are a combined 24 games over .500. With a surprisingly potent lineup that has produced at least four runs 13 times in their last 14 ballgames, Eric Wedge’s squad is poised to be a real second half moneymaker starting tonight!

It’s not hard to make a case for supporting Joe Saunders these days. Saunders is 3-1 with a 1.26 ERA in his last five road starts after starting the season 0-4 with an 11.25 ERA in his first five road outings. Overall, Saunders has allowed a single earned run or less five times in his last six trips to the hill while pitching into the seventh inning in all five of those successful games. Facing an Astros team that has notched only ten wins all year against opposing southpaws, expect another solid showing from Saunders and the quality bullpen behind Read more


Tags: MLB Free Play Teddy Covers Seattle Mariners Houston Astros




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros

05.21.2013     10:34 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Davis) -125 at Houston (Norris) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Kansas City's Wade Davis has probably been a bit unlucky this season (.393 BABIP) but you have to be careful when calling for a pitcher's luck to turn, especially when dealing with a fringe arm like Davis. Keep in mind Davis' struggles are nothing new. In 2010 and 2011, as a starter, Davis was a below average AL starter with xFIPs of 4.61 and 4.82 respectively. I've always been a believer of Bud Norris but I do have some concerns after he left his last start with back spasms. His strikeouts this season are way down (33 in 50 IP) after posting a K per inning in 2012. Some of that has to do with pitching in the American League but with only 4 Ks in his last two starts, he doesn't appear to be in great form. Neither offense is much to get excited about but I see the potential for a lot of balls to be put in play tonight and as a result, we'll take a look at the over.




Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Houston Astros Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros

07.25.2012     10:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Bailey) at Houston (Norris)
Recommendation: Cincinanti -1.5 R/L +110


To say that the Astros are slumping is something of an understatement.  They’re not slumping, they’ve completely collapsed; a woeful 2-21 in their last 23 ballgames.  16 of those losses have come by two runs or more, a run line bettor’s paradise to fade this sorry squad. 

Houston is jettisoning veterans prior to the trading deadline, dumping Wandy Rodriguez, Bret Myers and Carlos Lee over the past few weeks.  GM Jeff Luhnow made it very clear that their focus is on restocking the farm system, not winning games over the back half of the season.  "We're accumulating quite a lot of talent in our system, and that's everywhere from rookie ball to Triple-A." 

The Astros are 0-8 in starter Bud Norris’ last eight trips to the hill, and he’s only notched two quality starts during that entire span.  Norris has issued eleven Read more


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Houston Astros Teddy Covers




MLB Betting News: Despite past success, Norris an iffy play vs. Cardinals

06.06.2012     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Wainwright) -135 at Houston (Norris) O/U 8

Bud Norris has made our "watch list" after seeing reports of a hip flexor injury. Over his last two starts, Norris allowed 12 earned runs and 15 hits in 6.1 innings. Note that Norris has a proven track record against the Cards (7-2, 2.17 ERA, 1.15 WHIP). The price however may be too rich on Adam Wainwright who despite pitching better of late is a tough sell as a road favorite.




Tags: MLB Houston Astros St. Louis Cardinals




MLB Handicapping: Starting pitcher velocity updates

05.21.2012     12:48 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
FanGraphs provided an update on the currently velocity situations for various starting pitchers. A handful of high-profile arms that were down in April are throwing harder of late (CC Sabathia, Justin Masterson, Roy Halladay, among others). Tim Lincecum meanwhile remains far removed from his velocity of previous editions. It's the main reasons he’s tossed only one quality start this season (vs. San Diego).

Worst starting pitcher profits
Tim Linecum -6.2 units
Cliff Lee -6.8 units
Ervin Santana -6.9 units
Chris Volstad -8.0 units
Dan Haren -12.3 units



Best starting pitcher profits
Bud Norris +7.7 units
Gio Gonzalez +6.0 units
James Shields +5.9 units
Wei-Yin Chen +5.7 units
Johnny Cueto +5.8 units



Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies

08.23.2011     12:51 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Norris) at Colorado (White) -165 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Over


The Rockies have been an over machine at home of late. They’ve already cashed six over tickets in the first seven games of their current home stand thanks to a hot hitting lineup and a pitching staff that has really fallen apart in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Houston has come alive offensively over the past week, despite a lineup that features four rookie starters. After last night’s true slugfest – 34 batters reached base via hit or walk, with 11 extra base hits and 14 runs to show for it – there’s no reason to expect anything different tonight.

Houston’s Bud Norris has declined markedly since the All-Star break. His ERA, WHIP and batting average against are all up; his strikeouts are way down. Norris has never pitched in the Mile High air before and he’s taking a big step up in class after facing the likes of the light hitting Dodgers (twice), Cubs, Pirates (twice) and Padres on the Read more


Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Alex White Houston Astors Bud Norris Teddy Covers




MLB Betting Notes: Arroyo continues to get pounded with lackluster fastball

08.01.2011     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
Cincinnati (Arroyo) -118 at Houston (Norris) O/U 8.5

There always seems to be something bothering Bronson Arroyo these days though the veteran right-hander says all if fine...physically. Manager Dusty Baker was suspicious following Arroyo's last start (6 IP, 4 ERs) and pleaded for a truthful answer regarding the dramatic decline in velocity and effectiveness. Since tossing an 8-inning, 1-run gem against Toronto back on June 19, Arroyo's numbers are: 36.2 IP, 48 hits, 13 HRs, 7.36 ERA. Below is a chart of his game-by-game average fastball velocity since 2007.


"I talked to the trainers and they said that he's fine," Baker said. "Sometimes you're just not pitching Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Bronso Arroyo Houston Astros Bud Norris




MLB Handicapper Free Play: New York Mets at Houston Astros

05.13.2011     11:03 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York (Gee) at Houston (Norris) -108 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Houston


Tonight in Houston, the Mets will send swing starter Dillon Gee to the hill in the series opener against the Astros. Gee features limited upside and stuff, relying more on control to survive.  Last season with the Mets and he fanned just 17 batters in 33 frames.  He’s shuttered between the bullpen and starting this season and will now get a full-time look with Chris Young on the DL.  The Astros weaker hitting team can plate runs against a pitcher like Gee who doesn’t have the repertoire to overwhelm. Meanwhile, Bud Norris will toe the rubber for the Astros.  Norris is a pitcher that knows how to miss bats and possesses strong upside.  His strikeout rate actually ranks on par with some of the premier pitchers in baseball.  This season the 26-year-old has fanned 52 batters in 42 innings or work, after striking out a batter per inning last year.  Norris can bring the heat with a Read more


Tags: MLB Houston Astros Bud Norris New York Mets Dillon Gee Erin Rynning




MLB Handicapping: Verducci Effect pitchers for 2011

01.12.2011     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly
The Verducci Effect has long been a gauge bettors use in predicting the results of young pitchers. Last season, 10 pitchers were "flagged" and the results were mixed. Cesar Carrillo, Bud Norris, Homer Bailey and Rick Porcello all suffered injuries or regressed. Joba Chamberlain and Wade Davis had up and down seasons. But Mat Latos, Felix Hernandez and Max Scherzer all had what most would consider to be strong seasons. Note that Latos makes a second straight appearance. Below is this year's list. Last year's can be found here.

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Tags: MLB



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