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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Texas Rangers

06.04.2014     10:42 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

-Baltimore- (Norris) -115 at -Texas- (Martinez) O/U 9
Recommendation: Baltimore


After a half decade of dominance, the Texas Rangers have clearly fallen back to the pack here in 2014.  Their roster has been decimated with injuries, leaving their starting rotation thin and their lineup largely non-productive.  Last night’s blowout loss brought the Rangers back down to .500; the sixth time in seven games that they’ve been held to three runs or less.

The Rangers don’t enjoy much of a homefield edge these days, just 4-10 in their last 14 here in Arlington.  They’ve allowed eight runs or more three times in their last four ballgames – their starters other than Yu Darvish haven’t been very effective and this bullpen is getting torched fairly consistently.

Rangers’ rookie Nick Martinez was forced into a starter’s role due to all the injuries after opening up the season in the bullpen.  He’s coming off a career high 108 Read more







MLB Handicapper Free Play: Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays

05.07.2014     10:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore (Norris) +110 at Tampa Bay (Ramos) O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Baltimore


The first place Baltimore Orioles have scored 77 runs in their last 13 road games, showing the offensive potency that this lineup was expected to have coming into the campaign.  That’s how Baltimore has won eight of those thirteen ballgames, cashing each and every one of those winning bets at an underdog price.

And there’s no reason to think that Tampa spot starter Cesar Ramos is going to be able to shut down the Orioles lineup today either.  Ramos has been bouncing between the bullpen and the rotation.  He issued six walks in just 4.2 innings against Boston last Thursday, then came out of the bullpen against the Yankees on Saturday; a classic ‘likely to struggle finding a rhythm’ type start tonight.  The Rays bullpen behind Ramos has been overworked and ineffective of late – the Rays starters have completed six full innings only twice in their Read more


Tags: MLB Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

08.11.2013     07:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Perez) at Houston (Keuchel)
Recommendation: Texas -1.5 (-120) R/L


There were times this year where the Houston Astros played some halfway decent baseball but as a whole, they've been overwhelmed by the American League. Since July, the 'Stros are 7-26. And with the departure of Bud Norris, there simply aren't very main quality arms left in the rotation. Dallas Keuchel has grinded out a few quality starts but he's a very fringe MLB arm. He's allowed 17 home runs in just over 100 innings and over his last three appearances (9.2 IP) he's allowed 11 earned runs. Meanwhile Martin Perez has a lot of potential. I watched him closely his last two starts and came away very impressed. Here's a hard throwing left-hander with downward movement on his pitches who is starting to show the ability to miss bats. Perez is coming off a season-high 111 pitches, but he's barely north of 100 innings between his time in the minors and in majors. He should be good to go against the Astros and a worthy Read more


Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Houston Astros Andrew Lange




MLB Gambling Free Play: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

07.19.2013     10:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday, July 19th
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros (Saunders vs Norris)
Recommendation: Take Seattle -118


The Mariners went into the All Star break clicking on all cylinders, outscoring the LA Angels 18-6 in a three game sweep. That came on the heels of series victories on the road at Cincinnati and at Texas, two teams that are a combined 24 games over .500. With a surprisingly potent lineup that has produced at least four runs 13 times in their last 14 ballgames, Eric Wedge’s squad is poised to be a real second half moneymaker starting tonight!

It’s not hard to make a case for supporting Joe Saunders these days. Saunders is 3-1 with a 1.26 ERA in his last five road starts after starting the season 0-4 with an 11.25 ERA in his first five road outings. Overall, Saunders has allowed a single earned run or less five times in his last six trips to the hill while pitching into the seventh inning in all five of those successful games. Facing an Astros team that has notched only ten wins all year against opposing southpaws, expect another solid showing from Saunders and the quality bullpen behind Read more


Tags: MLB Free Play Teddy Covers Seattle Mariners Houston Astros




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros

05.21.2013     10:34 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City (Davis) -125 at Houston (Norris) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over


Kansas City's Wade Davis has probably been a bit unlucky this season (.393 BABIP) but you have to be careful when calling for a pitcher's luck to turn, especially when dealing with a fringe arm like Davis. Keep in mind Davis' struggles are nothing new. In 2010 and 2011, as a starter, Davis was a below average AL starter with xFIPs of 4.61 and 4.82 respectively. I've always been a believer of Bud Norris but I do have some concerns after he left his last start with back spasms. His strikeouts this season are way down (33 in 50 IP) after posting a K per inning in 2012. Some of that has to do with pitching in the American League but with only 4 Ks in his last two starts, he doesn't appear to be in great form. Neither offense is much to get excited about but I see the potential for a lot of balls to be put in play tonight and as a result, we'll take a look at the over.




Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Houston Astros Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros

07.25.2012     10:05 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Bailey) at Houston (Norris)
Recommendation: Cincinanti -1.5 R/L +110


To say that the Astros are slumping is something of an understatement.  They’re not slumping, they’ve completely collapsed; a woeful 2-21 in their last 23 ballgames.  16 of those losses have come by two runs or more, a run line bettor’s paradise to fade this sorry squad. 

Houston is jettisoning veterans prior to the trading deadline, dumping Wandy Rodriguez, Bret Myers and Carlos Lee over the past few weeks.  GM Jeff Luhnow made it very clear that their focus is on restocking the farm system, not winning games over the back half of the season.  "We're accumulating quite a lot of talent in our system, and that's everywhere from rookie ball to Triple-A." 

The Astros are 0-8 in starter Bud Norris’ last eight trips to the hill, and he’s only notched two quality starts during that entire span.  Norris has issued eleven Read more


Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Houston Astros Teddy Covers




MLB Betting News: Despite past success, Norris an iffy play vs. Cardinals

06.06.2012     12:38 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Wainwright) -135 at Houston (Norris) O/U 8

Bud Norris has made our "watch list" after seeing reports of a hip flexor injury. Over his last two starts, Norris allowed 12 earned runs and 15 hits in 6.1 innings. Note that Norris has a proven track record against the Cards (7-2, 2.17 ERA, 1.15 WHIP). The price however may be too rich on Adam Wainwright who despite pitching better of late is a tough sell as a road favorite.




Tags: MLB Houston Astros St. Louis Cardinals




MLB Handicapping: Starting pitcher velocity updates

05.21.2012     12:48 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
FanGraphs provided an update on the currently velocity situations for various starting pitchers. A handful of high-profile arms that were down in April are throwing harder of late (CC Sabathia, Justin Masterson, Roy Halladay, among others). Tim Lincecum meanwhile remains far removed from his velocity of previous editions. It's the main reasons he’s tossed only one quality start this season (vs. San Diego).

Worst starting pitcher profits
Tim Linecum -6.2 units
Cliff Lee -6.8 units
Ervin Santana -6.9 units
Chris Volstad -8.0 units
Dan Haren -12.3 units



Best starting pitcher profits
Bud Norris +7.7 units
Gio Gonzalez +6.0 units
James Shields +5.9 units
Wei-Yin Chen +5.7 units
Johnny Cueto +5.8 units



Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies

08.23.2011     12:51 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Norris) at Colorado (White) -165 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Over


The Rockies have been an over machine at home of late. They’ve already cashed six over tickets in the first seven games of their current home stand thanks to a hot hitting lineup and a pitching staff that has really fallen apart in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Houston has come alive offensively over the past week, despite a lineup that features four rookie starters. After last night’s true slugfest – 34 batters reached base via hit or walk, with 11 extra base hits and 14 runs to show for it – there’s no reason to expect anything different tonight.

Houston’s Bud Norris has declined markedly since the All-Star break. His ERA, WHIP and batting average against are all up; his strikeouts are way down. Norris has never pitched in the Mile High air before and he’s taking a big step up in class after facing the likes of the light hitting Dodgers (twice), Cubs, Pirates (twice) and Padres on the Read more


Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Alex White Houston Astors Bud Norris Teddy Covers




MLB Betting Notes: Arroyo continues to get pounded with lackluster fastball

08.01.2011     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
Cincinnati (Arroyo) -118 at Houston (Norris) O/U 8.5

There always seems to be something bothering Bronson Arroyo these days though the veteran right-hander says all if fine...physically. Manager Dusty Baker was suspicious following Arroyo's last start (6 IP, 4 ERs) and pleaded for a truthful answer regarding the dramatic decline in velocity and effectiveness. Since tossing an 8-inning, 1-run gem against Toronto back on June 19, Arroyo's numbers are: 36.2 IP, 48 hits, 13 HRs, 7.36 ERA. Below is a chart of his game-by-game average fastball velocity since 2007.


"I talked to the trainers and they said that he's fine," Baker said. "Sometimes you're just not pitching Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Bronso Arroyo Houston Astros Bud Norris



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