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Super Bowl 50 Prop Bet Pick: Carolina Panthers Player Rushing Attempts

02.04.2016     07:34 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina Over 4.5 players to get a Rush Attempt  (+140 Superbook)
Jonathan Stewart will be the starting running back.  Cam Newton had at least three rushing attempts in every game, averaging just shy of eight per contest.  Fullback Mike Tolbert had at least one rush in 17 of the Panthers 18 games; at least two rushes in 16 of those games.  Those three are virtual ‘locks’ to get a carry.

But at least four other Panthers have a decent shot to get a carry on Sunday, making the Over 4.5 a worthy wager at this attractive plus price.  I wrote up my rational for Ted Ginn above.  Corey Brown is another speedster, with six rushing attempts during the regular season, five of which gained seven yards or more.  Backup RB Cameron Artis Payne had 36 carries in four games down the stretch, and he’s certainly could to see the field here after missing the NFC Championship Game.  And third down back Fozzy Whittaker, banged up down the stretch, is ‘live’ to get a carry (or two, or three) as well.  Whittaker had 16 carries in their final four regular season games and two more in the NFC title Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Carolina Panthers Super Bowl 50 Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early primer on betting Super Bowl 50

01.25.2016     08:53 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Super Bowl 50 matchup is set.   In the end, second best didn’t cut it.  The team with the very best defense in the NFL this season – Denver – won a pair of tight home playoff games against banged up foes to return to the big game for the second time in three seasons.  The Broncos are set to face the team with the very best quarterback in the NFL this season – Carolina, with Cam Newton behind center; a Panthers team that finished with the best record in the league. 

The best quarterback vs. the best defense!  We saw this two years ago, when Peyton Manning set records with his play, but Manning tailed off down the stretch and the Seattle Seahawks elite defense controlled the flow right from the get-go in the biggest Super Bowl Blowout of the 21st century.

The irony here, of course, is that two years ago, Denver was here due to Peyton Manning, and they lost the Super Bowl to the league’s best defensive team.  Only two years later, Denver is here because THEY have the best defense in the NFL, facing off against an emerging yet elite dual threat quarterback.  That defense didn’t perform Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers Super Bowl 50




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship Preview

01.18.2016     09:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
March Madness has a lock on the Final Four terminology, but we’re down to the final four teams standing in the NFL Playoffs following a wild weekend of football.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a look at how the Final Four teams still standing this NFL season survived, and what their realistic chances of Super Bowl success are moving forward into the Conference Championship Games this coming weekend.

Denver was outgained by more than two full yards per PLAY against the Steelers.  It was not vintage Peyton Manning, to put it mildly: 37 pass attempts for 215 yards, with only two passes all afternoon gaining more than 15 yards.  If you were watching the game, you already know how many missed connections that Manning had with his receivers – no shortage of inaccurate passes and dropped balls.  With the exception of one explosive 34-yard run by CJ Anderson, Denver’s running game wasn’t much better.  Anderson and Ronnie Hillman’s other 30 carries combined for just 76 yards.

But the Broncos avoided mistakes, playing turnover free football; the first time as a starter all season in which Manning Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Denver Broncos Arizona Cardinas Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Narrowing down the Super Bowl 50 contenders

12.28.2015     08:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This is my last Wiseguy Report of the year.  That leaves me with two choices – a look back column or a look forward one. I’m a big fan of post-mortems following every NFL betting week; looking to learn from both winners and losers.  But when it comes to looking back over a whole season or a full year?  It’s harder (for me at least) to learn lessons in the aggregate; much easier when I condense those lessons down to individual games. 

After all, that’s what a season is – dozens of individual betting decisions; made one at a time.  So, while I’ve enjoyed one of the best NFL seasons of my handicapping career, there’s no point in looking back.

Sure, we can identify the worst beat of the year, that’s always fun.  I’d nominate anyone who had Lions and Under when they led Green Bay wire-to-wire on Thursday Night Football….until Aaron Rodgers Hail Mary touchdown pass with no time left on the clock that turned Lions and Under into Packers and Over.  Apologies to anyone who had St Louis plus the points at Green Bay in Week 5, a close second on my list.  But the better way Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambing Preview: Carolina Panthers at Tennessee Titans

11.14.2015     11:02 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Tennessee
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Carolina -6.5 O/U 42.5
CRIS Current: Carolina -4 O/U 44
Recommendation: Tennessee

There are bad spots. There are really bad spots. And then there are truly horrific spots – unbettable spots – like the one the Panthers are in this Sunday.

I’ve been a Carolina supporter on multiple occasions in recent weeks, cashing several winning bets for myself and my clients in support of Ron Rivera’s squad. I know that the Panthers have been an undervalued commodity for most of the season. I know how good their defense is. I know that Cam Newton is better than his overall stats would indicate. This is not a bet based on disrespect for Carolina; not a chance.

But take a hard look at this spot for the Panthers. They came out of their bye and played a chippy, physical playoff revenge matchup at Seattle, rallying from two scores down in the fourth quarter to win; a maximum intensity game. The Panthers followed that up with an appearance on Sunday Night Football against the Eagles, another intense battle against an NFC Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




Westgate Superbook nears completion

11.09.2015     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas' Westgate Superbook is still working on various renovations and upgrades including 220 feet worth of big screen TVs.


“It’s the biggest screen of this type you’ll see inside, anywhere,” Kornegay says, looking across the Superbook at a digital image of a rushing attempt by Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton. “This is part of the plan to not only have the biggest sports book in Las Vegas but the best.”

“This was the owner’s idea, right from the start,” Kornegay said. “During his first walk-through, he realized the book hadn’t been touched in a really long time.”






Tags: Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Breaking down the NFL's five unbeatens

10.26.2015     07:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re nearing the halfway point of the NFL season and five teams still remain undefeated; an unusually high number of perfect teams at this stage of the campaign.  There’s not much debate with the betting community about how to rank the five remaining unbeatens.  The New England Patriots are power rated at least a field goal higher than any other team in the league right now.  Behind the Pats come the Green Bay Packers, followed closely by the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Denver Broncos rank #4 on this list; with Peyton Manning’s ongoing struggles carrying more weight than the Broncos elite level defensive stats in the current betting markets.  Last on the list is the Carolina Panthers, still searching for market respect even after their win and cover against the Eagles on Sunday Night Football.

My goal of this week’s Wiseguy Report is to break down these five teams in terms of my probability of them producing a profit over the final ten weeks of the regular season.  Is it possible to make money with ANY of these teams moving forward, or have the betting markets eclipsed any semblance of future value?  Read on to find Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers

09.16.2015     09:12 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston at Carolina
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Carolina -3.5 O/U 41
CRIS Current: Carolina -3 O/U 40
Recommendation: Under

The Texans were ambushed in the first half of their home opener by Kansas City last Sunday as the Chiefs scored on five consecutive possessions resulting in 27 points. In that mix were a pair of Houston turnovers (1 interception, 1 fumble) which set the Chiefs up in point blank range at the Texans’ 13- and 7-yard lines. Those turnovers cost Houston 14 points and in all, three of KC’s five scoring drives were 22 yards or less.

Houston’s second half performance was much cleaner on both sides of the ball as the offense did not commit a turnover and the defense pitched a shutout forcing four punts on Kansas City’s five possessions. The rally fell short but the Texans did get the once blowout to the point where Kansas City had to recover an onside kick to secure the 27-20 victory. Not really that bad for a game when you consider Houston’s average starting position was their own 19 while the Chiefs’ was their own 40. Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texans Carolina Panthers Rob Veno




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings 1-32

09.07.2015     08:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL regular season starts on Thursday.  Here’s how I have the 32 teams ranked heading into the campaign, with a quick blurb each squad.

1. New England Patriots - With Tom Brady set to open the season as the starting quarterback, the defending champs are the team to beat, worthy of my #1 ranking heading into the regular season.

2. Seattle Seahawks - Seattle enjoyed the best yards-per-rush differential between offense and defense last year, but they’ve got significant offensive line question marks as they head to St Louis for Week 1.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers passing game was second to none in the NFL last year, but the loss of Jordy Nelson leaves Aaron Rodgers without his top target for the entire season.

4. Indianapolis Colts - Most elite contenders face a tougher than average schedule because they’ve got to face other contending teams.  Indy, however, plays only four games against playoff teams from last year.

5. Denver Broncos - Peyton Manning is the oldest starting quarterback in the NFL by a wide margin, and he’s coming off a season where his arm strength noticeably declined down the Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: A look back at last year's 20* winner on Carolina Under 8.5 Wins

07.27.2015     08:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below is Teddy Covers' write-up for last year's NFL Season O/U Wins Report 20* winner. Since 2001, Teddy has produced a documented record of 71-31 70% including 11-1 92% with his 20* Big Tickets. This year's report is currently available for purchase and will be released on Wednesday. Teddy includes in-depth written analysis on all of plays.


20* Big Ticket: Carolina UNDER 8.5 Wins
Just about everything broke right for the Carolina Panthers last year on their way to a 12-4 season.  Following a 1-3 start, the Panthers reeled off 11 wins in their final 12 regular season games in large part thanks to a 5-0 mark in games decided by four points or less. 

Make no mistake about it – the Panthers were every bit as lucky as they were good during that extended winning run.  Head coach Ron Rivera was on the hot seat, but he saved his job thanks to a ‘Riverboat Ron’ mentality down the stretch of tight games, a strategy that offers no hope of long term success.

And the Panthers feasted largely on the weak, with

Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Feb 06, 2016 07:47 PM.