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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship matchups are set

01.12.2015     07:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL has never embraced the Final Four moniker, but that’s exactly what we’ve got left in this NFL season.  Four teams.  Three remaining meaningful games (sorry, I’m not counting the pro bowl as meaningful, even if you choose to wager on it).  One champion, yet to be crowned.

And there’s one strong commonality among the four teams still standing after two weekends of NFL Playoff action.   Each of the four teams still standing is there because of their quarterback.  As the league has adjusted their rules year by year, making it more difficult to defend the passing game, the very best QB’s have taken advantage of those rule changes, making them nearly impossible to defend.

Bettors probably remember the Patriots gameplan when they travelled to Indy in Week 11; one of four games this year where the Pats were installed as underdogs by the betting markets.  Bill Belichick installed a radically different gameplan than most Pats fans (and their betting supporters) were used to.  New England played for extended stretches with six offensive linemen in power rushing formations, finishing the game with Read more


Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling: Lions and Panthers top SuperContest picks for Week 16

12.21.2014     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 16 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Detroit -6.5 at Chicago
2. Carolina +1.5 vs. Cleveland
3. Minnesota +6.5 at Miami
4. Denver -3 at Cincinnati
5. Arizona +8 vs. Seattle

Least Picked Sunday Side: Cleveland -1.5 at Carolina

Note that the Cleveland-Carolina line was released prior to Cam Newton being upgraded to probable.



Tags: NFL




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Playoff Contenders

12.15.2014     08:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 15 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.

In my Wiseguy Report over the next two weeks, I’m going to poke holes in every other team that is still alive in the playoff chase.  Can any of the fringe contenders knock off the favorites when January rolls around?  Read on to find out.  This week I’ll focus on the second tier contenders in the NFC, and next week, I’ll shift my focus to the AFC.

The Dallas Cowboys have looked good on national TV repeatedly this year.  They are a perfect 7-0 SU on the road, including impressive wins at Seattle and Philly.  But the Cowboys have at least one fundamental flaw – their defense isn’t much better than it was last year when the Cowboys ranked at or near the bottom of nearly every statistical category. 

In 2013, the Cowboys stop unit was ridiculed nationally, allowing 6.1 yards per play (ranked #30 out of 32 Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Alert: Sportsbooks adjust Carolina a field goal vs. Tampa Bay following Newton's injury

12.10.2014     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
WIth Cam Newton out following yesterday's car accident, the Carolina Panthers will start Derek Anderson vs. Tampa Bay. Prior to Newton's injury, the Panthers were 6-point favorites with a total of 43. Sportsbooks reopened the game -3 O/U 41.5. Anderson started in Week 1's 20-14 win over the Buccaneers in which he connected n 24-of-34 passes for 230 yards, 2 TDs, and no INTs.



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay Buccaneers




NFL Gambling Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

11.13.2014     02:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Green Bay
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener: Green Bay -5.5 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -6 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Green Bay -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Philadelphia

Green Bay is coming off a near perfect game, absolutely annihilating the Chicago Bears from start to finish.  Aaron Rodgers was at his best, tying the all time NFL record with six touchdown passes before halftime.  "We just kind of got things going our way. The line did a good job of giving me time to extend plays. If you extend plays, you look down the field and there's Jordy Nelson. He made some nice catches." That win improved the Packers record following a bye week under Mike McCarthy to 9-0 ATS. 

The last time the Packers played a near perfect game (destroying Carolina), they followed it up with a clunker the following week in New Orleans.  Following another near Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News and Notes

11.03.2014     12:00 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re into November, just past the halfway point of the 2014 NFL season.  The truths that we learned in September aren’t proving to be quite so true now that the season has progressed.  In this week’s wiseguy report, we’ll take a quick tour around the NFC landscape, focusing on some hidden gems of knowledge from around the league.

With their dominating win on Sunday, the Arizona Cardinals are now 14-3 SU, 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 ballgames.  Only one of those three losses came by more than a field goal – their game at Denver, when third string rookie QB Logan Thomas was forced into action after injuries to Carson Palmer and Drew Stanton.

Yet the Cardinals statistical profile continues to confound wiseguy bettors.  Arizona went into their game at Dallas on Sunday with a -0.6 yards per play differential.  To put that number in perspective, the Oakland Raiders entered the weekend with a - 0.5 yards per play differential, the Jacksonville Jaguars had a -0.7 ypp differential.    And the Cards have been on the lucky end of the turnover equation this year, now +10 for the season after winning the Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Carolina run game, Newton's health an issue

09.23.2014     02:09 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Baltimore -3 O/U 40.5

Playing from behind for much of the game, the Carolina Panthers didn't have much of a chance to run the football in Sunday's loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. But offensive coordinator Mike Shula said that will be the team's focus moving forward. It won't be easy however considering quarterback Cam Newton's ribs are likely to keep him from being much of a threat on the ground. Newton has only 26 yards on the ground in two games. Last year his 36.5 ypg helped Carolina rank fourth in the NFL (126.6 ypg). This season, they rank 29th at 72.3 ypg.

 

"First of all, we can't expect to win many games running the ball 10 times, I want to say that," offensive coordinator Mike Shula said. "We are going to have to run the ball and have good balance – better than we had (on Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Baltimore Ravens




NFL Gambling Update: Carolina's Newton upgraded to probable

09.05.2014     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Tampa Bay -2.5 O/U 39

According to reports, Carolina's Cam Newton (rib) is "on pace" to start Week 1's opener at Tampa Bay. They Panthers won't make it official, however, until Sunday. Carolina opened as a 2-point favorite but since Newton's injury because public, we've seen a steady flow of Tampa Bay money. Offshore sportsbooks 5Dimes and Jazz currently have the Bucs -3 (ev).


"How I'm feeling right now, I'm on pace to be ready to go on Sunday.''

Asked what could disrupt that, Newton jokingly said, "Maybe from walking home, somebody wants to [mug] me or something like that. Getting hit by a car. Running away from a tiger. There's a lot of things that could disrupt that pace.''

"It's not just about Game 1, also,'' Rivera said. "Let's be realistic. This is not a sprint, Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay Buccaneers




NFL Handicapping: Newton's injury not as bad as originally thought, probable for Week 1

08.26.2014     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following reports that his season could be over, Cam Newton's fractured ribs appear to be nothing more than a short-term issue. Newton will obviously not play in Saturday's preseason finale at Pittsburgh. But most sources (including Sports Options) have him as probable for Week 1's game at Tampa Bay. When news broke of the injury a few bettors were able to sneak in with wagers on Tampa Bay +1 (Carolina opened -2 back in May). Most sportsbooks have since taken the game off the board.


“I do” expect he’ll play, Rivera said. “But he has to get past the soreness. Then we will see how he starts to progress.”





Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Pittsburgh Steelers Tampa Bay Buccaneers




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Carolina's Newton doubtful, Anderson next up

08.08.2014     06:03 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo -1.5 at Carolina O/U 37

Another banged up starting quarterback with Carolina's Cam Newton (ankle) expected to sit vs. Buffalo. The Panthers' backups include Derek Anderson, Matt Blanchard, and Joe Webb.


"Do I want to play? I do," Newton said Thursday. "I think this is an opportunity for me to play. But I'm sticking to the program and what coach is asking me to do and (trainer) Ryan Vermillion is asking me to do."





Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Buffalo Bills



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