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College Basketball Handicapping: UCF's looking to play younger players

02.12.2014     11:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Central Florida at Memphis -13.5 O/U 145.5

Losers of eight straight (1-7 ATS), UCF head coach Donnie Jones hinted of a youth movement – at least for the rest of the regular season. In last Sunday's 75-55 loss at UConn, UCF's starters played 31, 20, 18, 18 and 14 minutes.


“You focus on positive,” Jones said after his team’s most recent 75-55 loss to Connecticut. “That’s all you can focus on right now with some of these young guys. We were committed to starting those older guys and getting those young guys a chance. So, you look at the bench and I think we scored 34 points off the bench and that was with our young guys.”






Tags: College Basketball UCF Knights Memphis Tigers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: College Basketball Pointspread Underachievers

02.10.2014     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week I wrote about the four best pointspread teams in the country in college hoops this year – Cleveland State, Villanova, Wichita State and Utah. Between the four, they combined to go 7-1 ATS over the past week, continuing to cover spreads even after doing so consistently for the past three months. In other words, the markets still haven’t caught up with these teams.

This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be money losers as February rolls into March? And what statistical profile do these teams have in common that will help us identify them as early as possible next year? Let’s take a look!

I did a version of this column last year at this same time (second week of February). At that time, the single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball was Indiana-Purdue Indianapolis, abbreviated IUPUI. This year, IUPUI isn’t the single worst pointspread team in college hoops only because they’re tied with South Alabama and LaSalle at the bottom of the ATS Read more


Tags: College Basketball IUPUI Jaugars South Alabama Jaguars UCF Knights Notre Dame Fighting Irish Boston College Eagles Pittsburgh Panthers Purdue Boilermakers Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Early thoughts on Rose, Fiesta, Sugar, BCS and more

12.11.2013     07:38 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rose Bowl / Rose Bowl / Pasadena, CA
255 Michigan State
256 Stanford -2 (Power Rating)

Game Opened: Stanford -3 Total Not posted
Current Line: Stanford -4 or -4.5 Total Not yet posted

Early Thoughts
1. Obviously a battle of mirror images as similar style offenses and arguably the nation’s toughest defenses meet. Both teams are extremely happy to be in this game which should equate to 60 minutes of full effort from each side.   
  
2. Can’t help but feel the edge in this game goes to Stanford because they’ve produced equally stellar defensive results against far superior offensive competition. Indiana, Nebraska and Ohio State are the best offenses MSU faced this season and they allowed 28, 28, and 24 points to those teams for an average of 26.7 per game. The Spartans overall defensive numbers are somewhat skewed by the seven lousy offenses they played.             

3. The passing game and offensive line will be vital to each team’s success and probably determine the Read more


Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Week 4 Injury Report

09.19.2013     11:44 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas QB David Ash remains a question mark (concussion) this week vs. Kansas State. In a 44-23 home loss to Ole Miss, back-up Case McCoy completed 24-of-36 passes for 196 yards and one TD without an interception.  Also, the Longhorns’ best WR Mike Davis is questionable due to a sprained ankle. Davis has hauled in 20 catches for 222 yards and four TDs in just three games. 

Mississippi State senior quarterback Tyler Russell is doubtful for Saturday’s home game vs. Troy. Russell threw for 2,897 yards with a 24-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio last season, but he might have a difficult time getting his starting job back. In his absence, Dak Prescott has played well. Prescott provides more of a running dimension, rushing for 134 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s heartbreaking loss at Auburn. He completed 15-of-28 passes for 213 yards on The Plains. 

Minnesota quarterback Philip Nelson is questionable vs. San Jose due to a strained hamstring. Nelson is an excellent scrambler so a hamstring issue could diminish his effectiveness more than it would most other quarterbacks. He has rushed for 221 yards and three TDs in leading Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: First half and second half totals

09.11.2013     02:57 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The growing popularity of first half and halftime betting indicated to me that it was something I needed to begin charting. Last season was the first one in which I kept complete records and now three weeks into 2013 it seems like a good time to use this week’s article on examining some early team results.  

Extreme Teams: (Teams that have had the same result in all four halves thus far)

Central Florida – The Knights have used their defense and lack of opponents’ offense through two games to record unders in each of their four halves of play. On paper it seems as if they should have been able to at least record one over since their totals haven’t been set that high and their skill position players and offensive line have held dominant advantages. However, their defense has simple been lights out allowing just 4.2 and 3.5 yards per play in their first two games. They’ve also been in a sizeable lead position at halftime which has led them to play methodical, clock draining second half football. This week presents their first real test as they travel to Penn State which possesses a Read more


Tags: College Football Rob Veno USC Trojans Florida Atlantic Owls Central Florida Knights




College Football Handicapping: Ball State QB Wenning expected to start vs. Central Florida

12.21.2012     08:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ball State vs. Central Florida -7.5 O/U 61.5

Ball State quarterback Keith Wenning appears ready to go for tonight's Beef O'Brady Bowl matchup against Central Florida. Wenning missed the team's regular season finale with an ankle injury. 


"I anticipate he'll start," Ball State coach Pete Lembo said Thursday. "That doesn't mean that (backup) Kelly Page won't play, but if we kicked off at this minute, Keith would start the game."

"Today it felt good, the best it's felt since the injury," Wenning said Wednesday. "Every day it gets better, and hopefully it keeps progressing. It is what it is, but it feels good. ... With adrenaline, I don't think it's going to be a problem."






Tags: College Football Ball State Cardinals MAC Central Florida Knights C-USA




Beef O'Brady's Bowl Betting Preview: Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Florida Knights

12.18.2012     07:43 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

copy_bowl_preview_2011.jpg

Beef O'Brady's Bowl - St. Petersburg, Fla.
Friday, December 21, 4:30 pm PT - ESPN
Ball State vs. Central Florida
CRIS Opener:
Central Florida -7.5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Central Florida -7 (-115) O/U 62
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Central Florida -8

There’s an interesting but not uncommon dilemma for Ball State heading into this contest. Some players have openly addressed the very disjointed schedule they’ve been on since their regular season finale against Miami (OH). Final exams, the long layoff between games, sporadic practices, coaches intermittent appearances on campus due to recruiting trips, and talk of hitting the beach are all distractions from Ball State’s normal in-season routine. However, when you get down to the root of the team mindsets for this game it seems pretty clear. This invite is a great post season prize for Ball State and a Read more


Tags: College Football Ball State Cardinals MAC Central Florida Knights C-USA Rob Veno




College Football Gambling: Ball State tries to overcome tricky bowl prep schedule

12.18.2012     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ball State vs. Central Florida -7 O/U 61.5

Ball State's preparation for the Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl has been a bit discombobulated. There were finals, a limited amount of practices, and what will end up being nearly a full month in between games. There is also little to no bowl experience with the players and staff. Central Florida meanwhile played in the C-USA Championship on December 1 and is less than two hours from St. Petersburg.


“It’s tough because now you really have to grind for your finals and practices are on days you have class, so it’s like hard,” cornerback Eric Patterson said a week ago. “You know you could study after practice so that’s the big thing.”

“It’s different,” tight end Dylan Curry said. “I’ve never Read more



Tags: College Football Ball State Cardinals Central Florida Knights




C-USA Championship Betting Preview: UCF Knights at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

11.28.2012     02:18 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Central Florida at Tulsa
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Tulsa -1 O/U 56
CRIS Current: Tulsa -2 O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Tulsa -1.5

In what will be their swan song as part of Conference-USA, the UCF Knights will look to exit with the league crown as they travel to Tulsa to battle the Golden Hurricane in Saturday’s conference title game.

UCF wasn’t sure earlier this season if they’d even get the chance to participate in a bowl game. They were banned from bowl participation in August due to recruiting violations but the school elected to appeal the ruling and their fate won’t be decided until next season. The Knights finished 9-3 and 7-1 in C-USA play with their lone conference loss coming against Tulsa on this field a few weeks back, 23-21. Tulsa squeaked out the pointspread cover as a 1-point home and the game stayed under the total of 54. Tulsa finished with Read more


Tags: College Football Central Florida Knights Tulsa Golden Hurricane C-USA Ian Cameron




College Football Betting Trends: Defense has been the key to C-USA Championship

11.26.2012     12:54 PM     Printer Friendly
Central Florida at Tulsa pk

Over the last five years there has been a consistent trend when it comes to the C-USA Championship: The better defense wins and covers. That’s right, the team with the better total defense in conference play has emerged victorious both straight up and against the spread five straight times (three as an underdog). Those five winners all came from the East Division whereas this year’s matchup – according to our trend – favors the West’s Tulsa. In conference play, Tulsa allowed 336.1 ypg good for second while UCF ranked 5th (388.9 ypg). The two squads met two weeks ago on this same field with Tulsa winning 23-21 as a 1-point favorite. The Golden Hurricane outgained the Knights 461-235 including 209-66 on the ground.

C-USA Championship Betting Trend 2007-present
Year
East (Def Rank)
West (Def Rank)
Score
2012
UCF (5th)
Tulsa (2nd)
???
2011
Southern Miss (1st)
Houston (6th)
Southern Miss (+12) 49, Houston 28
2010
UCF (1st)
SMU (2nd)
UCF (-7.5) 17, SMU 7
2009
East Carolina (2nd)
Houston (10th)
East Carolina (+1) 38, Houston 32
2008
East Carolina (1st)
Tulsa (5th)
East Carolina (+12.5) 27, Tulsa 24
2007
UCF (2nd)
Tulsa (7th)
UCF (-7.5) 44, Tulsa 25




Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane UCF Knights C-USA



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 27, 2014 09:12 PM.