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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Finals Preview - Cleveland vs. Golden State

06.01.2015     07:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
There were a handful of relatively minor upsets in the first two rounds of the playoffs, but the favorites in each conference took care of business.  The Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers have dominated the postseason, losing only five playoff games between them on their way to the NBA Finals. 

Both teams faced their only tough tests in the second round – Cleveland had to rally back from a 2-1 series deficit to beat Chicago, while Golden State turned things around after they too, trailed Memphis 2-1 in their second round series.  Since facing those 2-1 series deficits, the Warriors are 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS, while the Cavs have gone 7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS, with two of those three pointspread defeats coming by exactly a half a point (Games 4 and 5 against the Bulls).

The Warriors opened in the -250 range over the Cavs for the Finals, significant favorites to win their first title since 1975.  We have seen a smidgeon of Cleveland money, with the Warriors down to about -220 here in Las Vegas from the opener, slightly higher offshore.  But make no mistake about it – the Warriors are the clear wiseguy choice in this Read more

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors Teddy Covers

NBA Gambling: Three of four road teams win Game 1

05.05.2015     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Three of the four conference semifinals just got interesting with road teams snagging Game 1 victories. That caused oddsmakers to make some pretty hefty series price adjustments.

Chicago vs. Cleveland
Opening Series Price: Cleveland -215/Chicago +180
Current Series Price: Cleveland -115/Chicago -105

Washington vs. Atlanta
Opening Series Price: Atlanta -240/Washington +200
Current Series Price: Atlanta -120/Washington +100

Los Angeles vs. Houston
Opening Series Price: Houston -145/Los Angeles +125
Current Series Price: Los Angeles -175/Houston +155

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Chicago Bulls Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets

NBA Betting Recap: Chicago Bulls cover crazy in-game pointspread of -50

05.01.2015     07:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
There isn't a bettor alive that wasn't thinking "middle" during last night's Chicago-Milwaukee game. You could have live bet the Bulls -20 AND the Bucks +50. Too bad Chicago covered every single number, even the crazy -49.5+374 Pinnacle hung during the last time out. A little different that the Clipper-Spurs contest which never saw an in-game line of double-digits.


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs update

04.27.2015     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
We’re midway through the opening round of the NBA Playoffs and the Eastern Conference still looks noticeably weaker than the West, just as it was during the regular season.  The Cavs weren’t really tested in their sweep over Boston, facing a Celtics team that probably would have struggled to won 30 games against a Western Conference slate.  Atlanta is 0-3 ATS in its first three games against the Nets, looking nothing like the team that dominated the East for extended stretches before the All-Star break.  The Bulls blew a chance to close out their series with the Bucks with a sweep, unable to seal the deal in the closing minutes of Game 4. And while Washington has looked every bit as good as any of the other Eastern Conference contenders, there’s still a lingering stink from the Wizards second half struggles and Randy Wittman’s consistent failures at getting his teams to overachieve.

So which of those four teams (assuming the Hawks don’t blow the series against the Nets) is truly elite, capable of winning at least two more series to make it to the Finals?  Cleveland is the prohibitive favorite to come out of the East, Read more

Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Las Vegas

NBA Gambling: Miami Heat really good at having horrifically bad quarters

04.10.2015     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Two weeks removed from producing one of the biggest meltdowns of the season, the Miami Heat are back to kicking bettors in the groin. With a 51-32 halftime lead over the Chicago Bulls, the Heat appears well on their way to a critical win. But that's when things got messy. Chicago somehow outscored Miami 33-8 in the third quarter and at one point lead by as many as 12 in the fourth quarter. Miami is now 1.5 games out of the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference.

“We’re all frustrated when you’re in those situations. and you can’t stop an avalanche like that, but the only answer is in that locker room, and we haven’t figured out a way to hold the fort in those situations,” Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said.

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Chicago Bulls

NBA Handicapping: Bulls and Heat jockey for playoff position

04.09.2015     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Important game in the Eastern Conference as Chicago heads to Miami. The Bulls are currently tied with Toronto for the third seed while the Heat, losers of seven of their last 10, sit a game out of the eight spot.

“We know where we stand,” said guard Dwyane Wade, who had 19 points. “We’ve got some tough games (left) and we have an opportunity to give ourselves a great chance by the way we play – especially here at home.”

Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Miami Heat

NBA Betting News: Chicago's Derrick Rose set to return

04.08.2015     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Chicago's Derrick Rose is expected to make his return tonight after missing the last six weeks with another knee injury. The Bulls currently hold the third spot in the Eastern Conference; a game ahead of Toronto. They're 8-point road favorites against Orlando tonight.

"Just him being on the floor is a plus for our team," Thibodeau said. "I'm not expecting him to play 35 minutes. I'm not expecting him to score 30 points. Just go out there, run the team, play to your strengths, cover up your weaknesses, make your teammates better. That's all I want him to do."

Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Orlando Magic

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Pistons at Chicago Bulls

04.03.2015     09:21 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Detroit at Chicago -9 O/U 197
Recommendation: Chicago

I expect a bounce back effort from the Chicago Bulls following a 95-91 defeat to the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. There is a game at Cleveland on deck which is a mild concern but I think you will get the requisite focus and intensity from the home favorite tonight especially after getting worked over by the Pistons 107-91 two weeks ago. It’s a game Tom Thibodeau remembers: "You can't let your guard down in this league," coach Tom Thibodeau said after Chicago blew a 19-point lead and was outscored 54-19 in the final 19 minutes of a 107-91 defeat to the Pistons on March 21. The Pistons deserve credit as they have shown a lot of fight despite being all but eliminated from the playoff race as they currently sit five games out of the eighth and final spot. But Wednesday’s 102-78 loss to Charlotte may have been the “tap out” on the season as this squad looks to be a prime “bet against” target. Detroit is also banged up with backup point guard Spencer Dinwiddie, who performed well in the absence of injured Brandon Jennings, listed as doubtful for Read more

Tags: NBA Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Ian Cameron

NBA Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers

03.12.2015     12:40 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Milwaukee at Indiana -7 O/U 187.5
Recommendation: Indiana

My power ratings have the Pacers clearly ranked as the third best team in the East right now, even before Paul George returns to the floor over the next few weeks.  No, Indiana isn’t better than the Cavs or Hawks but with the Raptors and Wizards both slumping while the Bulls battle serious injury woes, Indiana has quietly been putting together a HUGE run, both SU and ATS.

The Pacers are 12-2 SU, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 ballgames; a stretch that includes SU and ATS wins over the likes of the Cleveland (twice), Golden State, New Orleans, Chicago and Charlotte, among others.  Both losses during that span have come against elites – OKC and San Antonio – and that Spurs loss came on a last second buzzer beater in a game that the Pacers led by double digits in the fourth quarter.  Plain and simple – the Pacers are a bet-on squad right now.  Point guard George Hill: “We’re just playing basketball the right way now.”

The positive quotes just keep coming out of this locker room.   Coach Vogel: “I would say Read more

Tags: NBA Milwaukee Bucks Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapping: Chicago Bulls' defensive struggles return

01.30.2015     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not a week removed from experiencing a short termed defensive renaissance, the Chicago Bulls' struggles have returned. Last night, they allowed 47% shooting and 18 offensive rebounds in a 123-118 OT loss to the Lakers. Tough spot tonight as Chicago travels to Phoenix in a back-to-back spot. The Suns have won 15 of 21 and rank 7th in the NBA in offensive efficiency. 

"We're not guarding anybody right now," Bulls swingman Jimmy Butler said. "That's what you think when you think Chicago -- is how great we are on defense. We haven't been that team, maybe three, four, five, six times this year tops. We can score the ball, so sometimes we outscore teams, but we haven't been playing any defense lately."

Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Phoenix Suns


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