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NBA Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Bucks at Indiana Pacers

03.12.2015     12:40 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee at Indiana -7 O/U 187.5
Recommendation: Indiana


My power ratings have the Pacers clearly ranked as the third best team in the East right now, even before Paul George returns to the floor over the next few weeks.  No, Indiana isn’t better than the Cavs or Hawks but with the Raptors and Wizards both slumping while the Bulls battle serious injury woes, Indiana has quietly been putting together a HUGE run, both SU and ATS.

The Pacers are 12-2 SU, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 ballgames; a stretch that includes SU and ATS wins over the likes of the Cleveland (twice), Golden State, New Orleans, Chicago and Charlotte, among others.  Both losses during that span have come against elites – OKC and San Antonio – and that Spurs loss came on a last second buzzer beater in a game that the Pacers led by double digits in the fourth quarter.  Plain and simple – the Pacers are a bet-on squad right now.  Point guard George Hill: “We’re just playing basketball the right way now.”

The positive quotes just keep coming out of this locker room.   Coach Vogel: “I would say Read more


Tags: NBA Milwaukee Bucks Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Chicago Bulls' defensive struggles return

01.30.2015     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Not a week removed from experiencing a short termed defensive renaissance, the Chicago Bulls' struggles have returned. Last night, they allowed 47% shooting and 18 offensive rebounds in a 123-118 OT loss to the Lakers. Tough spot tonight as Chicago travels to Phoenix in a back-to-back spot. The Suns have won 15 of 21 and rank 7th in the NBA in offensive efficiency. 


"We're not guarding anybody right now," Bulls swingman Jimmy Butler said. "That's what you think when you think Chicago -- is how great we are on defense. We haven't been that team, maybe three, four, five, six times this year tops. We can score the ball, so sometimes we outscore teams, but we haven't been playing any defense lately."





Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Phoenix Suns




NBA Gambling Update: Bulls in tough spot following hump up effort vs. Spurs

01.23.2015     06:58 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

So Chicago's "team meeting" obviously helped as the Bulls smoked San Antonio last night, 104-81. But the question is can they do it again, in a back-to-back spot, on the road, against arguably the best offense in the NBA?


“Tonight we came out with the right attitude, we set the tone defensively, we were getting to the loose balls, we were rebounding the ball well,” Gasol said. “Just active from the weakside, communicating better. All those things make such a big difference.”







NBA Handicapping: Chicago Bulls hold team meeting to address crappy defense

01.22.2015     08:38 AM     Read more


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks




NBA Handicapping: Chicago Bulls hold team meeting to address crappy defense

01.22.2015     08:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's been a very uncharacteristic run for the Chicago Bulls who have lost six of eight and haven't played much of any defense. Playing the Bulls or the under off a bad defensive performance used to be a high percentage play. Heading into tonight's game vs. San Antonio, they've allowed 100+ in five straight games. On Tuesday, head coach Tom Thibodeau canceled practice and held a team meeting. According to Derrick Rose, the Bulls' schtick is getting pretty old.


"It was a good meeting," Bulls center Pau Gasol said Wednesday. "Positive, important, where people just spoke up, shared their thoughts. If we want to get out of this slump, we've got to do it together. We can't really do it individually. We have to do it together as a team, as a group. And that's how you get through stuff, especially adversity."

"We got to give a better effort," Derrick Rose said that night. "It seems like we're not even competing, and it's f---ing irritating."





Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls San Antonio Spurs




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference Betting News and Notes

01.19.2015     07:45 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There’s only one meaningful game remaining in the 2014 football season.  Meanwhile, the NBA has reached the halfway point of the 2014-15 campaign without much fanfare.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll be focusing on NBA Notes and Quotes from three pointspread outliers from the Eastern Conference.  How can we make money off these teams as they morph from contenders to pretenders or vice versa?  Read on to find out!

The Atlanta Hawks have been the single most under-reported story of the current NBA season, by a fairly wide margin.  Make no mistake about it – right now, the Hawks are the best team in the Eastern Conference and it’s not even close!  And, as a smaller market team without marquee superstars, Atlanta continues to retain their pointspread value; still very much a bet-on team two full months after their hot streak started!

Hawks head coach Mike Budenholzer was a longtime Greg Popovich assistant in San Antonio, and his team is drawing comparisons to the Spurs on a nightly basis.  Budenholzer’s squad relies, like the defending champs, on ball movement and depth.  The Hawks lead Read more


Tags: NBA Atanta Hawks Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: A look ahead to the NBA Conference Semifinals

05.05.2014     08:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The first round of the NBA Playoffs is in the books; a near perfect storm for underdog bettors.  Dogs emerged victorious in three series: Portland over Houston, Washington over Chicago and Brooklyn over Toronto.  The underdog – Dallas in every game – went 6-1 ATS in the Spurs – Mavs series.  Other series losers like Atlanta, Memphis and Golden State proved to be feistier than expected.  Put it all together and we saw dogs go 32-15-3 ATS for the full 50 games played in the first round.

Should we expect Round 2 to follow the same path?  All four series certainly look competitive on paper, although top seeds Miami and San Antonio are both significant favorites to knock off Brooklyn and Portland respectively.  The series prices for Washington – Indiana and LA Clippers – Oklahoma City are certainly indicative of tight battles to come.  In this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report I’ll examine all four of these second round series, looking for potential matchup edges that could offer ATS value as the series progress.

Indiana was lucky to survive their first round test against Atlanta.  The Hawks Read more


Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Underdogs have owned the NBA Playoffs

04.28.2014     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seven of the eight first round NBA Playoff series have proven to be competitive – only the Miami Heat have a commanding 3-0 series lead in their series over the Charlotte Bobcats.   After an opening weekend that saw underdogs go 6-2 ATS, 5-3 SU, the prevailing trend of upsets continued throughout the last week.

The current numbers are quite striking.  Pointspread favorites are a woeful 7-21-2 ATS through the first 30 playoff games.  In fact the favored team is just 14-16 SU – underdog moneyline bettors have been feasting over the first nine days of playoff action.  Therefore, it’s no surprise that the lower seeded team has the series lead in the Spurs-Mavs, Wizards-Bulls and Blazers-Rockets series, with potentially live underdogs still in play for Grizzles-Thunder, Warriors-Clippers, Nets-Raptors, and Pacers-Hawks.

What gives?  Why have the dogs covered at a 75% clip through the first 30 Playoff games?   Let’s start with the simple premise that the top seeds are more vulnerable than the markets expected while the lower seeds have proven to be no pushovers.

The #1 seeds (Pacers and Spurs) Read more


Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling Trends: Chicago Bulls have strong track record off poor defensive performance

04.22.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Chicago -5.5 O/U 181.5

Fairly strong trend in play for tonight's Washington-Chicago Game 2. Under Tom Thibodeau, the Bulls are 39-20 SU and 36-22-1 ATS off a loss in which they allowed 100+ points. In those 59 games, Chicago allowed an average of 92.1 points per game. This season, under those same parameters, they are 8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS including a current run of 5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS.


“Our defense wasn’t very good,” coach Tom Thibodeau said. “You have to adjust to how the game is being called. We can’t allow it to take away from our aggressiveness. We have to play hard without fouling. We have to be disciplined.






Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Recapping NBA Playoff Game 1's

04.21.2014     08:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There were eight opening round NBA Playoff Series that started this past weekend.  The lower seeded road teams – all underdogs in Game 1 – went 6-2 ATS, including five outright upset winners.  There were four games that flew Over the total, three that stayed Under and one (Miami-Charlotte) that finished right in between the opening and closing total.

This is just the start of a two month NBA Playoff marathon, and those Game 1’s may not be indicative of how these opening round series are likely to play out.  Here are some key note and quotes for each series following those Game 1’s.

Miami looked sluggish and lethargic for extended stretches of their opener against Charlotte, but took over the game with an 18-4 run in the fourth quarter when LeBron James was sitting on the bench.  Head coach Erik Spoelstra:  “We were flat to start. I think our guys were just anxious."  LeBron: “That group that was in once I took that break at the 10-minute mark in the fourth quarter, they just bumped the lead. Obviously, to have three Hall of Famers in the game when I'm out of the game, CB, D-Wade and Ray Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Charlotte Bobcats San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Toronto not concerned with first round matchup

04.16.2014     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Toronto Raptors claim not to care who they play in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. They are currently tied with Chicago for the no. 3 seed. A win tonight over the Knicks means Toronto will face either Washington or Charlotte. If they lose and the Bulls win (at Charlotte), the Raptors would face Brooklyn in the first round. Head coach Dwane Casey has been resting his starters at times down the stretch of the regular season.


“I’m more worried about us moreso than who we play. It’s about us. About our health, rest, whatever we decide to do in that situation. If we play Brooklyn, we play Brooklyn, if we play Washington, we play Washington, there’s no easy teams left in the playoffs right now, all the teams are very capable,” Casey said.

“Brooklyn is probably more playoff-ready, but we can’t control that and we’re not going into this game trying to control that. I’m more worried about our guys’ health — rest if we rest them — and our rhythm. And Read more



Tags: NBA Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Chicago Bulls



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