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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: A look ahead to the NBA Conference Semifinals

05.05.2014     08:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The first round of the NBA Playoffs is in the books; a near perfect storm for underdog bettors.  Dogs emerged victorious in three series: Portland over Houston, Washington over Chicago and Brooklyn over Toronto.  The underdog – Dallas in every game – went 6-1 ATS in the Spurs – Mavs series.  Other series losers like Atlanta, Memphis and Golden State proved to be feistier than expected.  Put it all together and we saw dogs go 32-15-3 ATS for the full 50 games played in the first round.

Should we expect Round 2 to follow the same path?  All four series certainly look competitive on paper, although top seeds Miami and San Antonio are both significant favorites to knock off Brooklyn and Portland respectively.  The series prices for Washington – Indiana and LA Clippers – Oklahoma City are certainly indicative of tight battles to come.  In this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report I’ll examine all four of these second round series, looking for potential matchup edges that could offer ATS value as the series progress.

Indiana was lucky to survive their first round test against Atlanta.  The Hawks Read more


Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Underdogs have owned the NBA Playoffs

04.28.2014     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seven of the eight first round NBA Playoff series have proven to be competitive – only the Miami Heat have a commanding 3-0 series lead in their series over the Charlotte Bobcats.   After an opening weekend that saw underdogs go 6-2 ATS, 5-3 SU, the prevailing trend of upsets continued throughout the last week.

The current numbers are quite striking.  Pointspread favorites are a woeful 7-21-2 ATS through the first 30 playoff games.  In fact the favored team is just 14-16 SU – underdog moneyline bettors have been feasting over the first nine days of playoff action.  Therefore, it’s no surprise that the lower seeded team has the series lead in the Spurs-Mavs, Wizards-Bulls and Blazers-Rockets series, with potentially live underdogs still in play for Grizzles-Thunder, Warriors-Clippers, Nets-Raptors, and Pacers-Hawks.

What gives?  Why have the dogs covered at a 75% clip through the first 30 Playoff games?   Let’s start with the simple premise that the top seeds are more vulnerable than the markets expected while the lower seeds have proven to be no pushovers.

The #1 seeds (Pacers and Spurs) Read more


Tags: NBA Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling Trends: Chicago Bulls have strong track record off poor defensive performance

04.22.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Chicago -5.5 O/U 181.5

Fairly strong trend in play for tonight's Washington-Chicago Game 2. Under Tom Thibodeau, the Bulls are 39-20 SU and 36-22-1 ATS off a loss in which they allowed 100+ points. In those 59 games, Chicago allowed an average of 92.1 points per game. This season, under those same parameters, they are 8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS including a current run of 5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS.


“Our defense wasn’t very good,” coach Tom Thibodeau said. “You have to adjust to how the game is being called. We can’t allow it to take away from our aggressiveness. We have to play hard without fouling. We have to be disciplined.






Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Chicago Bulls




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Recapping NBA Playoff Game 1's

04.21.2014     08:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There were eight opening round NBA Playoff Series that started this past weekend.  The lower seeded road teams – all underdogs in Game 1 – went 6-2 ATS, including five outright upset winners.  There were four games that flew Over the total, three that stayed Under and one (Miami-Charlotte) that finished right in between the opening and closing total.

This is just the start of a two month NBA Playoff marathon, and those Game 1’s may not be indicative of how these opening round series are likely to play out.  Here are some key note and quotes for each series following those Game 1’s.

Miami looked sluggish and lethargic for extended stretches of their opener against Charlotte, but took over the game with an 18-4 run in the fourth quarter when LeBron James was sitting on the bench.  Head coach Erik Spoelstra:  “We were flat to start. I think our guys were just anxious."  LeBron: “That group that was in once I took that break at the 10-minute mark in the fourth quarter, they just bumped the lead. Obviously, to have three Hall of Famers in the game when I'm out of the game, CB, D-Wade and Ray Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Charlotte Bobcats San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Toronto not concerned with first round matchup

04.16.2014     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Toronto Raptors claim not to care who they play in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. They are currently tied with Chicago for the no. 3 seed. A win tonight over the Knicks means Toronto will face either Washington or Charlotte. If they lose and the Bulls win (at Charlotte), the Raptors would face Brooklyn in the first round. Head coach Dwane Casey has been resting his starters at times down the stretch of the regular season.


“I’m more worried about us moreso than who we play. It’s about us. About our health, rest, whatever we decide to do in that situation. If we play Brooklyn, we play Brooklyn, if we play Washington, we play Washington, there’s no easy teams left in the playoffs right now, all the teams are very capable,” Casey said.

“Brooklyn is probably more playoff-ready, but we can’t control that and we’re not going into this game trying to control that. I’m more worried about our guys’ health — rest if we rest them — and our rhythm. And Read more



Tags: NBA Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Chicago Bulls




NBA Handicapping: Playoff race comes down to final week

04.07.2014     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With no games scheduled for Monday, bettors get a chance to evaluate the NBA playoff picture with a week to go in the regular season. The main storylines include Indiana's continued implosion, Phoenix taking control of the eighth seed in the Western Conference, the battle between Chicago and Toronto (currently tied) for the no. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference, and Atlanta somehow with a two game lead for the eighth seed. Current first round matchups below.

Eastern Conference
Heat (1) vs. Hawks (8)
Pacers (2) vs. Bobcats (7)
Raptors (3) vs. Wizards (6)
Bulls (4) vs. Nets (5)

Western Conference
Spurs (1) vs. Suns (8)
Thunder (2) vs. Mavericks (7)
Clippers (3) vs. Warriors (6)
Rockets (4) vs. Trail Blazers (5)




Tags: NBA




NBA Handicapping: Chicago Bulls concerned with winning not first round matchup

04.04.2014     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is pretty obvious there are a number of NBA teams trying to lose for a better draft slot but every year around this time talks surface about "tanking" in order to secure a better postseason matchup. For whatever reason someone came up with the idea that the Chicago Bulls would be better served facing the Nets (2-1) as oppose to the Wizards (0-2). Joakim Noah ain’t buying it


"We're just trying to play good basketball," Noah said. "There's no way in hell we're going to try and lose games to match up against anybody. I think whatever happens, happens, so we're just going to keep playing our game, keep winning as much as we can, and then (we) can't wait for the playoffs."

"I think losing games to try to play somebody, I think that's soft," Noah said. "That's soft. We're not soft."






Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Late season NBA betting opportunities

03.24.2014     09:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While the betting markets focus on post-season college basketball tournaments and the upcoming baseball season, the long and winding NBA campaign still offers plenty of wagering opportunities down the homestretch. 

There are still three and a half weeks left in the regular season.  Most squads have between 12 and 14 games remaining.  And very quietly, underneath the radar, we’ve seen a handful of late season morphers; teams playing well above or well below their full season power rating numbers.  Those are the teams I’m looking to focus on in this week’s Vegas Wiseguy Report, particularly in the Eastern Conference.

The Philadelphia 76ers have lost 24 games in a row as I write this very early on Monday morning.  This is no surprise – the Sixers have been openly tanking since last summer, playing for ping-pong balls, not victories.  And for the better part of the first four months of the campaign, the sportsbooks couldn’t hang a line high enough to get bettors to support this completely anonymous, sorry squad. 

Philly hasn’t gotten any better in recent weeks.  Read more


Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Indiana Pacers Brooklyn Nets Cleveland Cavaliers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Hawks at Portland Trail Blazers

03.05.2014     09:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta at Portland -8.5 O/U 217
Recommendation: Over


Whatever limited defensive intensity Atlanta had when they were healthy in the low post has completely dissipated since Al Horford, Pero Antic and Gustavo Ayon got hurt.  It certainly hasn’t improved without Paul Millsap in the lineup either, although Millsap could return to the lineup this evening following an extended injury absence. 

In recent games, the Hawks just allowed the hapless Celtics to hang 115 on them one night after offensively challenged Chicago scored 107 on this D.  For what it’s worth, the Celtics rank #26 in the NBA in scoring, putting up only 95 points per game, while the Bulls rank dead last with a 93 ppg average.  In their last outing, against uptempo Phoenix, the Hawks allowed 129 in a game that flew more than 30 points Over the total.

The betting markets have been lagging behind. Atlanta is now the #2 team in the NBA for Overs this year – only the Read more


Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Portland Trail Blazers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Golden State Warriors at Chicago Bulls

02.26.2014     09:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Golden State -3 at Chicago O/U 186.5
Recommendation: Golden State


My clients and I cashed a winner with the Warriors as they opened up this East Coast swing with a come-from behind victory at Detroit on Monday.  And the ‘buy’ sign on the Warriors is only getting brighter as they get healthier. 

Starting center Andrew Bogut returned to the lineup on Monday, and starting power forward David Lee has been upgraded to ‘probable’ for tonight.  Both Jermaine O’Neal and Draymond Green played well in the absence of Marc Jackson’s two usual low post starters.  That leaves the Warriors with a deep, veteran frontcourt that is relatively fresh and playing at a high level right now.

When the Warriors beat the Bulls by 15 at home earlier this month, Chicago had no answers for Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Jordan Crawford and Harrison Barnes.  Golden State’s top four perimeter sharpshooters combined to hit 11-18 from Read more


Tags: NBA Golden Strate Warriors Chicago Bulls Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2014 02:13 PM.