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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Week 1 lines and the upcoming draft
04.22.2013 08:15 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
It’s time to give Jay Kornegay and his staff at the LVH Superbook credit once again for being the first to market here in Las Vegas with Week 1 NFL numbers. Don’t tell me Kornegay wasn’t ready! The NFL announced the 2013 schedule last Thursday evening, and the LVH had their sides and totals posted by noon on Friday. For an older, non-strip property that lacks a marque signature attraction, Kornegay’s aggressive bookmaking tactics have, quite frankly, allowed the LVH to remain relevant in a difficult era for many similar aging off-strip casinos.
When those Week 1 pointspreads were posted, bettors didn’t flock to the betting windows to lock up their money until September with a wager. In fact, the betting marketplace gave a collective yawn, with only a handful of big bets written over the weekend on sides or totals. Why the lack of initial movement? Two reasons!
First, Jay put up good numbers. There were no obvious “mistake” lines causing a flurry of betting activity. And secondly – probably most importantly – we haven’t seen competing books put up alternate
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NBA Handicapping: Updated injury/rest report for final day of regular season
04.17.2013 08:15 AM
Printer Friendly
It's the last day of the NBA regular season which means a number of teams will look to sit their key players. Below is Sports Options' updated injury/rest list (as of 8:05 am PT) for tonight's games.
Indiana Pacers
Paul George - Rest - Doubtful
George Hill - Rise - Out
Miami Heat
Dwyane Wade - Knee - Questionable
Chris Bosh - Knee - Questionable
LeBron James - Knee - Doubtful
Udonis Haslem - Ankle - Questionable
Shane Battier - Knee - Questionable
Boston Celtics
Paul Pierce - Flu - Probable
Washington Wizards
Emeka Okafor - Ankle - Questionable
Oklahoma City Thunder
Kevin Durant - Rest - Out
Derek Fisher - Foot - Doubtful
Kevin Martin - Back - Doubtful
Nick Collison - Rest - Out
Atlanta Hawks
Josh Smith - Knee - Doubtful
Al Horford - Shoulder- Doubtful
New York Knicks
JR Smith - Rest - Doubtful
Carmelo Anthony - Shoulder - Out
Tyson Chandler - Neck - Doubtful
Kenyon Martin - Ankle - Out
Jason Kidd -
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NBA Betting News: Key players sit as regular season wraps up
04.15.2013 02:14 PM
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With only a few games left in the NBA regular season the status of key players becomes vital for bettors. Below is Sports Options updated injury list (as of 3:05 pm PT) for tonight's games.
Chicago Bulls
Joakim Noah - Foot - Doubtful
Miami Heat
LeBron James - Hamstring - Doubtful
Chris Both - Knee - Doubtful
Dwyane Wade - Knee - Out
Udonis Haslem - Ankle - Out
Shane Battier - Knee - Out
New York Knicks
JR Smith - Rest - Out
Raymond Felton - Rest - Out
Carmelo Anthony - Rest - Out
Brookyln Nets
Brook Lopez - Undisclosed - OUT
Deron Williams - Undisclosed - OUT
Joe Johnson - Undiclosed - OUT
Gerald Wallace - Heel - Questionable
Minnesota Timberwolves
Nikloa Pekovic - Calf - Questionable
Sacramento Kings
DeMarcus Cousin - Suspension - Probable
Denver Nuggets
Kenneth Faried - Ankle - Out
Milwaukee Bucks
Brandon Jennings - Achilles - Doubtful
Houston
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Teddy Covers' Who Has What It Takes to Win the NCAA Tournament in 2013 Part II
03.11.2013 07:12 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
In
Part I
of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 15 NCAA champions. From that profile, I was able to make a ‘short list’ of potential champs in 2013, consisting of the following 15 teams: Florida, Arizona, Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Syracuse, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Miami-FL and Duke.
However, since last week, one of those 15 teams has been bounced from consideration. Syracuse’s late season meltdown – four losses in their last five ballgames – has left them above the seven loss cut-off line.
I’d still call the Orange a ‘live’ longshot – let’s not forget that fellow Big East member UConn in 2011 also lost four of their last five regular season games before reeling off 11 consecutive wins in the Big East and Big Dance tournaments to win the title. Then again, that 2011 UConn team is clearly the ‘exception to the
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Teddy Covers
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's worst against the spread
02.11.2013 07:40 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Last week, I took a look at the
best pointspread teams
in all of college basketball, with the goal of assessing which teams were most likely to continue their ATS success down the stretch. This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be overvalued as February rolls into March? Let’s find out!
The single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball this year has been IUPUI (Indiana-Purdue, Indianapolis); the type of team that only wiseguys bet on or against on a regular basis. At 5-17 ATS, no team in all of college basketball has suffered more pointspread defeats than the Jaguars this year. The Jaguars play in the Summit League, on the added board in college hoops – exclusive territory for sharps.
IUPUI has virtually no homecourt edge, covering just a single pointspread at home all year. They’ve been besieged with injuries and attrition;
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Basketball's best against the spread
02.04.2013 11:06 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
The Super Bowl is in the rear view mirror after Sunday’s wild Baltimore victory, which can only mean one thing – college hoops is on center stage for the next eight weeks. I’ve been writing game previews for ESPN.com/Insider for the last month, but I’ve yet to write a true ‘college basketball overview’ column for any publication so far this season. That streak ends here.
I’m going take a look at the very best pointspread ‘regular board’ teams in the country in this week’s column. The list of ATS juggernauts is likely to surprise many people due to its diversity. Elite level teams aren’t necessarily pointspread winners, and bottom feeders can cash ticket after ticket if the betting markets set numbers that allow them to hang within the number as big underdogs. Look no further than the single best ATS team in the nation so far this season.
I’ll wager that less than a dozen people in the country knew that Fordham is the #1 ATS team in all of DI basketball this year; 14-5 against the number. The Rams are 6-16 SU, just 2-5 in Atlantic-10 play.
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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: Looking at the contenders in the AFC
12.03.2012 09:49 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
I spent the last few Sunday’s concentrating on some pretty bad football teams. It’s December now; time to shift my focus towards the other end of the spectrum. This week, I focused on four AFC Playoff contenders. Which teams have the potential to do some damage when January rolls around and which are frauds? Read on to find out!
Indianapolis
- Indy is certainly not a Super Bowl contender. But given that they were seven point underdogs at 4-7 Detroit, the betting markets aren’t even calling the Colts a playoff caliber team. Even with starting cornerback Vontae Davis back in the lineup following a four game injury absence, the pass defense spent all afternoon getting torched. Where's the pass rush? Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis were non-factors here.
The offensive line got dominated by Detroit’s front four for most of the afternoon. Andrew Luck was beaten up, taking one big hit after the next. Coming into the game with four fumbles and 10 INTs in five previous road games, Luck's emphasis was on ball security here. That emphasis didn’t work. He hit seven different receivers in the first half, but also threw a pair
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New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens
Houston Texans
Teddy Covers
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NFL Gambling Preview: Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
11.30.2012 02:43 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Houston
at
Tennessee
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Tennessee
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Houston -4.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current:
Houston -6.5 O/U 47
Houston is in their single worst spot of the entire season. The Texans played an OT barnburner in Detroit last week, escaping with a hard fought three point win. The previous week, the Texans pulled a ‘refuse-to-lose’ at home against the Jags, rallying from two TD’s behind in the fourth quarter for another OT win. The week before that, the Texans were in a tough, physical game at Chicago in nasty, cold conditions that also was a one score game throughout. That’s three consecutive ‘max effort’ games in a row.
Up next for Houston? An AFC showdown at New England on Monday Night Football, with a chance to put themselves firmly in position for homefield edge throughout the playoffs. In between those previous games and the Monday
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Houston Texans
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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: A look at second-year NFL quarterbacks and their teams
09.17.2012 06:10 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Last week, I focused on the five rookie starting quarterbacks behind center on opening day. This Sunday, continuing the theme, I spent the afternoon watching the five quarterbacks drafted in the first 35 picks last year, all of whom are now starters. I tried to evaluate each QB within the context of his team – they can't be successful without the complimentary pieces of the equation surrounding them, both on offense and on defense. Here are my thoughts:
Cincinnati Bengals
– Andy Dalton was the only rookie QB to lead his team to the playoffs last year, and he’s definitely right there with Cam Newton as the best of the 2011 draft class right now. He’s got great footwork in the pocket; nimble on his feet while sidestepping pressure. And when we consider how much pressure he was under – the Bengals injury riddled line was really struggling unable to consistently run or pass block – Dalton’s performance was even that much more impressive.
This team is loaded with WR talent; not just AJ Green, although Green is really developing into a Top 10 NFL receiver. Armon Binns made plays all over the field today;
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NFL Betting News: Titans struggle under offensive coordinator Palmer
09.12.2012 07:29 AM
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Tennessee
at
San Diego
-6 O/U 43
Pro Football Talk
said that there are rumors circulating that various Tennessee Titans aren't in tune with offensive coordinator Chris Palmer. Palmer took over last season which also marked the start of running back Chris Johnson's sharp decline. In 17 games under Palmer, Johnson has averaged 61.5 ypg on the ground. Prior to Palmer's arrival, Johnson averaged nearly 100 ypg. As the article points out, of course someone needs to shoulder the blame for the thrashing the Titans took in Week 1 against New England. But you can't deny how poor Tennessee's run game and been under Palmer's watch.
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Tennessee Titans
San Diego Chargers
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