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MLB Handicapping: Wednesday Betting Recap

07.25.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ll start with the Interleague game, then take everything else in rotation order…

*Oh no they DIDN’T! Once again, it looked like the Dodgers were finally going to lose a game. They were down 3-2 in the ninth…and hadn’t scored a run in about 90 minutes. A rally to tie it in the ninth forced extra innings…then the Dodgers scored FIVE in the tenth inning to win 8-3. That pushes them to 6-0 since the ASB, and runs their longterm streak to 23-5 the last 28 games. Note that Puig scored the tying run in the ninth with two outs. He was on first after a walk (hey, he can walk!). He ran aggressively on a single to center…the CF made an error…and Puig came all the way around to score. Then he homered in the tenth to help build on what had become a 5-3 lead. The “first half” score was 2-2, with Nolasco throwing four scoreless before tiring a bit. His pitching line is now 0-3-1-2 as a Dodger, with an average and median of Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




MLB Betting Recap: Los Angeles Dodgers continue to roll

07.24.2013     12:44 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It looked like this was going to be the night the Los Angeles Dodgers finally cooled off. They were trailing 8-3 after six inning in Toronto. Nobody would blame them for calling it a night before trying to come back and win the series Wednesday.

Instead, they rallied for a thrilling 10-9 win that was important for several reasons:

*It brought them to 22-5 their last 27 games

*It brought them to 5-0 since the All-Star Break

*Which means nothing but wins a full time through the rotation

*Oh, that’s 5-0 on the ROAD

*It kept them in first place in the NL West

Now…there are still come caveats about this long winning run. The Dodgers have managed to avoid all the good teams in baseball! They were beating up on their NL West brethren…and we’ve talked a few times about how that whole division has basically collapsed in recent weeks outside of the Dodgers. Their recent Interleague draws have been against the Read more


Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Stat Intelligence




MLB Betting Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

07.19.2013     10:02 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There’s nothing to indicate that anything will be different in the third head to head confrontation since June 1st between these two starters. Each game has resulted in a pitcher’s duel with Cincinnati winning very low scoring affairs.

Despite the pair of losses, Pirates starter Francisco Liriano has been tremendous striking out 17 in the six inning stints while posting a 1.00 WHIP, 2.25 ERA and .297 OBPA. He has displayed power and control striking out 17 while allowing only three walks. His signature slider matches up very well against this lineup. The noticeable difference between the starts were the two solo home runs he allowed in the game played here at Great American Ballpark. Liriano has only allowed three HR’s in his 76 2/3 innings this season so expect him to again keep the Reds offense very quiet tonight.

As good as Liriano has been in his matchups vs. Cincinnati, RH Mike Leake has been even more dominant against the Pirates. In his 13 innings, Leake has allowed Pittsburgh just one run and 15 total bases (11 singles, 2 doubles and 2 walks). At home this season Leake has a 1.11 WHIP which is outstanding in this hitter’s Read more


Tags: MLB Free Play Rob Veno Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds




MLB Handicapping: Miami Marlins and New York Mets finding ways to win

07.11.2013     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

On June 6, the Miami Marlins were 16-44, suffering through one of the worst opening 60 game stretches in the history of baseball. The NL East standings since then:

Washington 18-14

Miami 17-13

NY Mets 17-15

Philadelphia 14-17

Atlanta 15-16

Those are through the games of Wednesday July 10, since that division wrapped up early. We joked about Miami and Atlanta turning into each other yesterday or the day before. Miami won today’s series finale easily, meaning they’ve been 2.5 games better than the Braves over a month of action while splitting six games head-to-head.

Imagine how season storylines might have been different if the Marlins and Mets had winning records over their first five weeks of action instead of their last five weeks.

The Mets beat the Giants today. Defending World Champion San Francisco is now 3-16 their last 19 games, and 17-35 over the last two months. Riches to rags. All sorts of bedlam in Read more


Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence Miami Marlins New York Mets




MLB Betting Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

06.17.2013     11:10 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Liriano) +105 at Cincinnati (Leake) O/U 8
Recommendation: Pittsburgh


For as much as the betting markets have respected Cincinnati this year while continuing to disrespect Pittsburgh, the bottom line is that only one half game separates these two teams in the standings right now.  Pittsburgh has been the single most profitable team in all of baseball to support thusfar in 2013, more than nine units better than the Reds; a clear indicator of that vague concept of value has legitimate meaning when it comes to the Pirates.

Pittsburgh starter Francisco Liriano was the heir apparent to Johan Santana as the ace of the Twins rotation when Santana left for New York.  But injuries derailed his progress, and he was a bottom tier hurler for the Twins and White Sox in both 2011 and 2012.  That’s why his sudden re-emergence as an ace since coming off the Read more


Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

06.17.2013     10:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh (Liriano) at Cincinnati (Leake) -115 O/U 8
Recommendation: Under


Important series between these teams who begin the three game set separated by a half game in the NL Central. The Pirates starter Francisco Liriano has been a bettor’s dream this season as the money has flowed toward him in almost all of his starts. Today’s game appears no different as the Bucs have been bet down slightly from the opener and perhaps with good reason. Not only has Liriano had overwhelming stuff led by his top notch slider, but he dominated this Reds lineup just 16 days ago. In that June 1 outing, the Pittsburgh LH went six full, allowed just 4 hits and one run while posting an 11:1 K-BB ratio. He walked away on the wrong end of a 2-0 final in that game because Reds RH Mike Leake was dominant as well throwing six shutout innings. Leake yielded seven hits (all singles) and gained redemption for an earlier loss to Pittsburgh where he was lit up for 10 hits and five runs. The RH has Read more


Tags: MLB Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Minnesota's trio of young pitchers are producing profits

06.06.2012     07:06 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I spoke on yesterday's Sportsmemo Podcast about some of Minnesota's young starting pitchers. Of the current three – Scott Diamond, PJ Walters and Cole De Vries – none are considered “highly touted” nor are they all that “young” being 25, 27 and 27 respectively. But while Diamond and Walters had thrown a few innings at the MLB level prior to this year, it appears that the trio has had somewhat of an advantage this season in facing various teams for the first time. Despite being 13 games under .500 for the year, the Twins are 10-4 +9.2 units when the trio starts. That is obviously better than the 10-21 record the team has when Carl Pavano, Francisco Liriano and Nick Blackburn toss. The problem though is how is the trio going to handle facing teams for a second and third time? Like a lot of Minnesota pitchers, Diamond, Walters and De Vries don't miss a lot of bats and have displayed average velocity. Combined, they've posted 53 strikeouts in 85 innings. That worries me when innings and fatigue start to become factors later in the season – assuming that they make it that far.



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapping: Minnesota's Liriano hoping for second straight solid outing

06.05.2012     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Minnesota (Liriano) at Kansas City (Chen) -125 O/U 9

Of pitchers who have thrown 40 or more innings this season, Francisco Liriano has the second highest walk rate (6.3 per 9 IP) in the league behind the disaster of all disasters, Ubaldo Jimenez. But after being demoted to bullpen and given yet another chance to start, Liriano showed above average command last time out against Oakland with only two walks. It turned out to be his best outing of the season – albeit at pitcher friendly Target Field against the weakest offense in the American League. Nevertheless, it was a step in the right direction and one that occurred in large part by Liriano keeping the ball down in the strike zone. He's by no means completely trustworthy (7.20 ERA, 1.88 WHIP) at this point but worth following for tonight’s start in Kansas City.



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins Kansas City Royals




MLB Betting News: If you are a pitcher in Minnesota's minor league system, be ready

05.24.2012     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick! Can you name Minnesota’s starting rotation? We’ll toss you a freebie with Carl Pavano. Beyond that, you had better be a full-time bettor or among the top three Twins fans in the entire world to list the remaining four. How about PJ Walters, Scott Diamond, Anthony Swarzak and making his MLB debut tonight, right-hander Cole DeVries. DeVries is a local kid who pitched at the University of Minnesota. The book on him is that he doesn't throw hard but rather relies on off-speed pitches and command – he should fit right in with the Twins. One report listed him as an "extreme fly-ball pitcher." Doesn't take much to figure out that this kid is going to be up against it. But if you are Minnesota, why not give him a shot at this point? Better to figure out what you have to work with in the future rather than carting out poop-on-stick arms like Jason Marquis and Francisco Liriano.



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins




MLB Betting Notes: Minnesota's starting pitching has been historically bad

05.17.2012     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Minnesota Twins have started eight different pitchers this season: Carl Pavano, Nick Blackburn, Francisco Liriano, Jason Marquis, Liam Hendriks, Anthony Swarzak, Scott Diamond and PJ Walters. Their combined numbers are: 203.2 innings, 146 earned runs, 6.45 ERA, 250 hits, 38 home runs, 66 walks and 118 strikeouts. Walters is a +195 underdog at Detroit today.



Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 17, 2014 02:34 AM.