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December

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NFL Gambling News: Tampa Bay surges, Cincinnati continues to regress

11.21.2016     11:43 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After beating Atlanta outright as a road underdog in Week 1, Tampa Bay spent the better part of the next two months playing unpredictable football. They were outclassed by Arizona, Denver, and in the second meeting against the Falcons and headed into Week 10 as a home underdog to bottom feeder Chicago. Lose that game and drop to 3-6 with tough upcoming games at Kansas City and home vs. Seattle. Instead, the Bucs cruised past the Bears and then stole one last week with a 19-17 win over the Chiefs. I don’t think it is a coincidence that this mini two-game winning streak coincides with the return of running back Doug Martin. Martin is an excellent multipurpose back that can block and catch the ball out of the backfield. Tampa is now 3-0 SU and ATS with Martin on the field and his presence has provided Jameis Winston with more options both vertically and underneath. Winston had some early season struggles, particularly with bad decision making, but over his last three games he flashes a 7-1 TD-to-INT ratio. Tampa Bay’s time of possession numbers have skyrocketed with the Bucs possessing the ball for 37 minutes against Chicago and 35 minutes against Kansas City. Again, this Read more



Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers Cincinnati Bengals Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling: Green Bay's decline could continue

11.14.2016     11:41 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Green Bay Packers have been a model of consistency for the better part of the last decade with their last losing season coming in 2008. But that streak is now in jeopardy with plenty of warning signs that indicate a turnaround won't occur. After Sunday's horrendous 47-25 loss at Tennessee, the Packers now sit at 4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS on the season. And their schedule moving forward projects to be very challenging.

Green Bay's overall record suggests things haven't been all doom-and-gloom. But it's the current form that bettors should be concerned about. The Packers trailed by margins of 31-13 against Indianapolis and 21-0 against Tennessee in back-to-back weeks. Over their last five games their only win came against hapless Chicago.

Starting this week, Green Bay travels to Washington followed by another road trip to Philadelphia. Then it's back-to-back home games against Houston and Seattle and three straight division games -- two of which on the road -- to close out the year.

Despite the loss of Eddie Lacy in Week 6, Green Bay continues to move the football with nearly 100 ypg on the ground and 5.35 ypc over their last four games. The passing game Read more



Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling Free Pick: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers

10.16.2016     09:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Green Bay
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener: Green
Bay -7 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Green Bay -5.5 O/U 47
Recommendation: Green Bay

Just a few weeks ago, Dallas was a +3 underdog at Washington. Now, they’re +5.5 at Lambeau Field against the Packers. My numbers show nearly a touchdown’s worth of difference between the Redskins and Packers. Clearly, the markets are pretty high on Dallas right now.

The Cowboys have certainly exceeded early season expectations with rookie Dak Prescott behind center. Then again, Dallas hasn’t exactly faced a murderer’s row of foes. Their first three wins came against the aforementioned Redskins, the Bears and the 49ers. Then, last week, they were home dogs against the Bengals, but Cinci showed up completely flat, while Dallas brought their A-game.

So we’re talking about a team that beat two bottom feeders, one mediocre foe and one team that just didn’t show. Now they’re supposed to be able to go to Green Bay and hang for 60 minutes? I’m not buying it!

There’s been some talk Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus goes 3-2 ATS in Week 5

10.10.2016     11:45 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

SuperContest consensus plays went 3-2 against the spread last week thanks to the off market 7.5 they offered on New York-Green Bay -- the game was 6.5/7 throughout the week. The Packers won 23-16. On the season, consensus plays are now 7-18 ATS.

1. CINCINNATI -1 at Dallas - LOSS
2. PHILADELPHIA -3 at Detroit - LOSS
3. MINNESOTA -6.5 vs. Houston - WIN
4. PITTSBURGH -7 vs. NY Jets - WIN
5. NY GIANTS +7.5 at Green Bay - WIN

Year-to-date results
Week 1: 3-2
Week 2: 0-5
Week 3: 0-5
Week 4: 1-4
Week 5: 3-2





NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus goes heavy on the chalk for Week 5

10.08.2016     08:36 PM     View Read more



Tags: NFL SuperContest




NFL Gambling: Seahawks and Packers top Week 2 SuperContest consensus plays

09.18.2016     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus picks for Week 2 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. SEATTLE -4.5 at Los Angeles
2. GREEN BAY -2.5 at Minnesota
3. JACKSONVILLE +3 at San Diego
4. KANSAS CITY +3 at Houston
5. CINCINNATI +3.5 at Pittsburgh

Least Picked Sunday side: Los Angeles +4.5




Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers




NFL Gambling Alert: Minnesota expected to start Bradford vs. Green Bay

09.16.2016     10:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite beating the Tennessee Titans in Week 1 with Shaun Hill under center, the Minnesota Vikings are expected to go with Sam Bradford for Sunday night's game against rival Green Bay. Bradford, of course, has only been with the team for two weeks and has had to absorb the playbook quickly. The Packers are currently -2.5 road chalk.


“Everyone’s aware of the nuances that we have in this offense,” tight end Kyle Rudolph said. “Not only knowing what a guy has on what play but trusting that that guy is going to win and be in the spot for you — that’s stuff that you develop over the course of years, and we’re trying to do it over a couple weeks.”






Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Handicapping the NFL post-Week 1

09.12.2016     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 1 of the NFL season routinely tells lies.  The goal of any winning handicapper has to be figuring out which teams were lying in their Week 1 performances.

Look no further than last year for some excellent examples.  On opening day of the 2015 NFL season, the Tennessee Titans blew out Tampa Bay 42-14.  Marcus Mariota looked like a superstar, throwing four TD passes in his NFL debut and finishing the game with a perfect passer rating. 

If you bet the Titans the following week, you watched them lose outright by two touchdowns to the NFL’s worst team, Cleveland.   Mariota threw only five TD passes over the next four weeks before getting hurt.  Tennessee finished the season tied for the worst pointspread record in the NFL, cashing only three winning bets in their final 15 games.  The Titans lied to us in Week 1.

Remember when the Dolphins beat the Redskins, and covered as four point road favorites in Washington, thanks to a Jarvis Landry punt return touchdown in the fourth quarter.    Miami lost their next three games so badly that head coach Joe Philbin didn’t survive their bye Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Ranking all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 1

09.06.2016     08:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL Preseason is in the rear view mirror, with Week 1 kicking off on Thursday as Carolina travels to Denver as -3 road favorites.  Here’s how I have all 32 teams ranked heading into the regular season.

1. Carolina Panthers  - Cam Newton and Carolina’s offense are poised to rank among the most potent attacks in the NFL.  Watch out for the Funchess/Benjamin WR duo!

2. Seattle Seahawks - Russell Wilson gave an MVP caliber performance in 2015, but his ability to repeat that effort could be stunted by the Seahawks offensive line woes.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers come out of camp with a full complement of healthy weapons for Aaron Rodgers, good news after Rodgers numbers took a big hit without Jordy Nelson last year.

4. Arizona Cardinals - Arizona returns just about every key player on both sides of the ball from a team that ranked among the NFL’s elite in 2015.

5. New England Patriots - If Tom Brady was at quarterback, this team would be ranked #1.  But with Jimmy Garappolo behind center, the Pats take a modest tumble in my rankings.

6. Kansas City Chiefs - Andy Reid’s Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Denver Broncos Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Handicapping Part I

08.15.2016     02:03 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 1 of the 2016 NFL Preseason is in the books, with underdog bettors showing a modest profit through the weekend’s action.  Non-bettors always seem shocked when I talk about betting (and beating) the preseason.  How can you bet on exhibition games?  I don’t even know the guys on the field in the second half.  Boy, you really must be a degenerate gambler if you’re betting on NFL Preseason.

That couldn’t be further from the truth.  A sharp bettor’s mantra is fairly simple and nearly universal: Bet when you have an edge.  Pass when you don’t.  That holds for regular season NFL and it holds for preseason NFL as well.  And there are no shortage of edges to find when it comes to betting August football. 

In this two part column, I’ll illustrate the strategies that wiseguys use to attack preseason football.  In Part 1 (below), I’ll outline the basic market forces that create preseason pointspreads and show Preseason Handicapping 101 methods to beat those pointspreads.  In Part 2 next week, I’ll take a Deep Dive into some Advanced Betting Strategies for Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 7-26-2016: Green Bay Packers

07.26.2016     10:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Erin Rynning. Erin continued his coverage of the NFC North by breaking down the Green Bay Packers.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO ER'S ANALYSIS

Date: 7/26
Handicapper: Erin Rynning
Team: Green Bay Packers
2015-16 Record: 10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS, 5-11 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 10.5ov-175
Odds to Win NFC: +505
Odds to Win NFC North: -138
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +920
Week 1 Line: Green Bay -4 at Jacksonville

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Erin Rynning



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"Green Bay Packers'"

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 04, 2016 04:18 AM.