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November

26

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings Movers and Shakers

11.17.2014     08:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following the Week 11 results, for the first time since 2012, I have a team other than the Denver Broncos or the Seattle Seahawks ranked #1 in my NFL Power Ratings.  Seattle has been steadily declining in my power ratings for most of the season.  The Seahawks lack of defensive line depth was problematic in early season losses to Dallas and San Diego, both of whom wore them down in the second half and were able to run the football successfully throughout.  The loss of stud lineman Brandon Mebane only made those depth concerns greater prior to their game at Kansas City this past weekend; a game where the Chiefs ran all over the Seahawks defense. 

Seattle also lacks consistent downfield playmakers at the wide receiver position since trading away Percy Harvin.  In their loss to the Chiefs, Seattle lost star center Max Unger to injury as well, truly an impact injury.  If the playoffs started today, the Seahawks would be on the outside looking in.  Clearly, this is not the best team in the NFL as we approach Thanksgiving and the December stretch run.

Denver has been ranked #1 or #2 in my power ratings in every single week since 2012, Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Patriots, Chiefs, and Packers to SuperContest picks for Week 11

11.16.2014     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. New England +3 at Indianapolis
2. Kansas City -1.5 vs. Seattle
3. Green Bay -6 vs. Philadelphia
4. Cleveland -3 vs. Houston
5. Detroit +2.5 at Arizona

Least picked Sunday side: Washington -7.5 vs. Tampa Bay



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

11.13.2014     02:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Green Bay
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Green Bay -5.5 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -6 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Green Bay -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Philadelphia

Green Bay is coming off a near perfect game, absolutely annihilating the Chicago Bears from start to finish.  Aaron Rodgers was at his best, tying the all time NFL record with six touchdown passes before halftime.  "We just kind of got things going our way. The line did a good job of giving me time to extend plays. If you extend plays, you look down the field and there's Jordy Nelson. He made some nice catches." That win improved the Packers record following a bye week under Mike McCarthy to 9-0 ATS. 

The last time the Packers played a near perfect game (destroying Carolina), they followed it up with a clunker the following week in New Orleans.  Following another near Read more


Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Philadelphia and Sanchez look good, pointspread vs. Green Bay shifts

11.11.2014     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another example of how week-to-week performances in the NFL impact pointspreads. In yesterday's Opening Line Report podcast with Teddy Covers we discussed the look-ahead lines for the Philadelphia-Green Bay matchup. The Westgate had Green Bay -6 while a few offshore sportsbooks were showing -6/-6.5. The Packers were obviously off an impressive showing as they destroyed the Bears 55-14. The thought was if the Eagles "looked good" on MNF vs. the Panthers, the line would likely come -6. If they struggled, perhaps as high as -7. Instead, Philly rolled and Mark Sanchez looked like the second coming of Peyton Manning. So instead of -6 the prevailing number is currently -4.5. Not a huge difference but significant enough to warrant mention and another example of the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately mentality of sports betting.



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC News and Notes

11.10.2014     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Cleveland Browns went into Thursday Night’s matchup at Cincinnati with a winning record, but without much respect from the betting markets.  Cleveland had spent the last month feasting on the weak, facing off against the likes of the Titans, Jaguars, Raiders and Bucs in their previous five games; arguably the four worst teams in the NFL.  The Browns didn’t blow out any of those squads; locked in tight, competitive games each time except their only loss during that span – a blowout defeat at Jacksonville.

Without pro bowl center Alex Mack in the lineup over their previous three games, the Browns offense became completely one-dimensional; a team that couldn’t run the football one iota.  Against Tampa’s shoddy rush D, it was 26 carries for 50 yards.  The week before, it was 25 rushes for 39 yards.  The week before that, it was 30 rushes for 69 yards.  That’s less than two yards per carry against weaklings.

So what did the Browns do in their step-up game on Thursday Night at Cincinnati?  Simple – they dominated on both sides of the football, start to finish, rushing for 170 yards and Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling: Lions and Packers top bets for SuperContest Week 10

11.09.2014     06:04 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 10 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Detroit -2.5 vs. Miami
2. Green Bay -7 vs. Chicago
3. New Orleans -5 vs. San Francisco
4. Kansas City -2 at Buffalo
5. NY Jets +5 vs. Pittsburgh

Least picked Sunday side: Jacksonville +6.5 vs. Dallas



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Alert: Minnesota's Bridgewater OUT, Ponder to start vs. Green Bay

10.02.2014     02:44 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to NFL.com's Ian Rapoport, Minnesota's Teddy Bridgewater will not play tonight vs. Green Bay. The Vikings will start Christian Ponder. Green Bay was originally bet down to -7.5 after an opener of -10. Now seeing market buy-back with the current number at -8/-8.5. The total is getting pounded under as we speak with 46.5 the prevailing number.



Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers




Thursday Night Football Betting Consensus: Public all over Green Bay Packers and the OVER

10.02.2014     01:46 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (sides and totals) for tonight's college and pro football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Seen a couple of big move out of the three college contests with Florida International (Ron Turner!) taking money as well as the Arizona-Oregon total getting smoked from 74.5 to as high as 83.5. In the NFL, the Packers were bet down from -10 to -7.5 against the Vikings. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
83.0% - GREEN BAY -7.5 vs. Minnesota
56.3% - HOUSTON -2.5 vs. Central Florida
52.8% - OREGON -23.5 vs. Arizona
51.4% - FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL +6.5 vs. Florida Atlantic

TOTAL
71.2% - OVER 47 Minnesota-Green Bay
60.3% - OVER 50 Central Florida-Houston
51.2% - UNDER 83 Arizona-Oregon
50.9% - UNDER 47 Florida Atlantic-Florida International



Tags: College Football NFL Green Bay Packers




NFL Handicapping: Green Bay Packers still looking to push the pace

09.25.2014     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay -1.5 at Chicago O/U 50

Off last week's dismal performance in which the offense produced seven points and ran only 51 plays, Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers is pleading with the offense to play faster. The Packers' goal is to run 75 plays per game but they currently rank 28th with 58.7.


"We're not playing fast enough on offense, we're not converting enough third downs. Fifty-one plays (is) not enough to get defense tired," Rodgers said, per ESPN.com's Rob Demovsky.

"Five letters. R-E-L-A-X. Relax," Rodgers said. "We're going to be fine."





Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 3 Betting Recap

09.22.2014     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re three weeks into the new NFL season and I’ve already got some pointspread and totals streakers to write about.  Three teams are 3-0 ATS, four more have yet to cover a pointspread. Four teams are 3-0 to the Over; five more are 3-0 to the Under. Who are these teams and why are they trending early? Most importantly, can we expect them to continue to trend in the same direction moving forward? Read on to find out.

I’ll focus here on the pointspread streakers, saving the totals streakers for a thorough look next week. That being said, I will list the early season totals streakers here, so you don’t have to go through the trouble of looking them up. 3-0 to the Over: Browns, Jaguars, Colts and Eagles. 3-0 to the Under: Bengals, Cardinals, Bills, Vikings and Titans.

The NFL is a parity filled league, and pointspreads can adjust rather dramatically based on a single early season performance. A big Week 1 or Week 2 victory, therefore, makes it more difficult to cover the spread the following week. Only three teams have managed to avoid an ATS defeat through the first three weeks of the season. All three of those squads were less than Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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November

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 26, 2014 08:09 PM.