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NFL Betting News: Oddsmaker says 49ers will take more money

01.10.2014     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco -1 at Carolina O/U 41

LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay says he expects San Francisco money at some point with a chance for the line to go to -3. We saw similar move late last week as the 49ers opened -2.5 and closed as high as -3.5 at Green Bay.


“I thought this thing would have a chance to go to 3 like we saw on the Packers game, and I still think we might see that,” Kornegay told The Linemakers on Sporting News. “Those who took Carolina plus 1 or 1.5 might have jumped the gun a little bit because they’ll probably get a better number closer to kickoff.”






Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Carolina Panthers




NFL Handicapping: San Francisco-Green Bay slated for sub-zero temps

01.03.2014     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Green Bay Packers could play host to five of the top 10 coldest games in NFL history with temperatures expected to be well below zero for Sunday’s 3:30 pm local start against the San Francisco 49ers.

Here are the results of the games on the top 10 list we could find data for…

2007 – NY Giants at Green Bay: 23-20 OT OVER 40
1995 – Indianapolis at Kansas City: 10-7 UNDER 40
1993 – LA Raiders at Green Bay: 0-20 UNDER 32
1993 – LA Raiders at Buffalo: 23-29 OVER 32
1990 – Detroit at Green Bay: 24-17 OVER35



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Green Bay Packers




NFL Handicapping: Green Bay's up-tempo offense ready to roll with Rodgers and Cobb healthy

01.02.2014     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco -3 at Green Bay O/U 46

Aaron Rodgers' return has garnered a lot of pub but with receiver Randall Cobb back as well, the Packers feel the offense is ready for bigger and better things. Cobb, who hadn't played since Week 6, caught two touchdown passes in Green Bay's win over Chicago. Rodgers noted that Cobb is a big key to the team's up-tempo attack. Against the Bears, the Packers ran 76 plays.


“Well, myself and Randall are back, that helps,’’ Rodgers said. “We had a couple good connections on Sunday. It’s doing the stuff we want to do. We want to be an up-tempo team, we want to get a lot of plays run, we want to try to wear the defense down a little bit.”

“Randall does so much for our offense. We can give him the ball, we can get it to him Read more



Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers San Francisco 49ers




NFL Handicapping: An early look at Wild Card Round line moves

12.30.2013     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Next weekend's NFL Wild Card matchups are set which means that betting markets are in motion. Let's take a look at each game and where they early money have moved both offshore and in Las Vegas. For more Wild Card line move analysis be sure to tune into today’s Sportsmemo Podcast segment with handicapper Teddy Covers. It will be posted by 10 am PT.

Kansas City at Indianapolis
CRIS Opener: Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 46
LVH Opener: Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 46
CRIS Current: Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 46.5
LVH Current: Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 46.5

Comments: Not a lot of movement outside of a half point jump in the total. Some other offshore books have taken Colts money with the juice now -120.

New Orleans at Philadelphia
CRIS Opener: Philadelphia -2.5 O/U 54.5
LVH Opener: Philadelphia -2.5 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -2.5 (-115) O/U 54.5
LVH Current: Philadelphia -2.5 O/U 54.5

Comments: Same deal as KC-Indy with minimal movement if any.

San Diego at Cincinnati
CRIS Opener: Read more


Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Philadelphia Eagles San Francisco 49ers San Diego Chargers Cincinnati Bengals Green Bay Packers New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts




NFL Gambing News: Rodgers cleared to play, Green Bay favored at Chicago

12.27.2013     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay -3 at Chicago O/U 53

Green Bay announced yesterday that quarterback Aaron Rodgers will start Sunday's NFC North de facto championship game at Chicago. Rodgers hasn't played since breaking his collarbone Week 9 against the Bears. The Packers were 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in his absence. Below you can take a look at GB's pointspreads with and without Rodgers under center. The Packers were -10 at home vs. the Bears back in Week 9 and are currently -3 for Sunday.


"Every football player that plays in this game Sunday will have risk. I think we all understand that," McCarthy said. "So we've done our due diligence, we've gone through all the evaluations, and we feel it is time. Aaron is ready to play."



Pointspreads with Rodgers
Week 1: +5 at San Francisco
Week 2: -9 Read more


Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Playoff bound, but Super Bowl XLVIII bound?

12.23.2013     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last year, heading into Week 17, Atlanta was the team to beat in the NFC, having already clinched homefield advantage with their 13-2 (at the time) record.  Washington was the hottest team in the conference and Green Bay was considered very live for the title, with Aaron Rodgers just one year removed from his Super Bowl ring.  In the AFC, the playoff were expected to be an eventual battle between the Patriots and Broncos, with the other four teams (Baltimore, Cincinnati, Houston and Indy) largely considered to be fodder for the elites; non-factors.

What happened? A San Francisco-Baltimore Super Bowl, won by the Ravens; their third straight postseason win as an underdog.  Let’s not forget that Baltimore entered the playoffs in the midst of a late season 1-4 SU and ATS skid; a team that NOBODY expected to make noise in January and February.

In 2011, in the NFC, Green Bay was the unbeatable juggernaut with a 15-1 record as the defending champs, and the Saints weren’t far behind, just one year removed from a Drew Brees Super Bowl ring.  Meanwhile, the Giants were on the outside of the playoff picture, needing to beat Dallas just to get Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Super Bowl XLVIII Las Vegas




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 15

12.12.2013     11:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

What you see below are per-game averages on offense and defense for points scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. That's a stat I've been keeping myself by hand from itemized scoring drives in boxscores ever since the USA Today started publishing them many years ago. In the first parenthesis are strength of schedule rankings from Jeff Sagarin at USA Today and Football Outsiders (in that order, and, largely converging now). In the second parenthesis is turnover differential. Games are presented in market rotation order. I tried to line up the numbers as best as possible by abbreviating some of the team cities…

Thursday

San Diego: 14.6 on offense, 16.1 on defense (19-31) (-3 turnovers)

Denver : 23.3 on offense, 15.0 on defense (20-29) (-2 turnovers)

Football Outsiders has mentioned somewhere that San Diego supposedly has one of the five worst defenses in the history of their stat methodology. I mean…it’s pretty Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling: Rodgers practices, still not cleared to play vs. Cowboys

12.12.2013     11:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay at Dallas

Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers reportedly took snaps with the first team during Wednesday's practice but head coach Mike McCarthy said that in no way meant Rodgers was medically cleared to play Sunday's game at Dallas.


"Aaron still is not medically cleared, and I think it's important to stay in tune with that because the topic of 'Is he playing in the game?' vs. 'Is he medically cleared?' those are two totally different issues," Packers coach Mike McCarthy said. "So, Aaron's obviously very important to our organization. He's the face of our franchise.

"Until he's medically cleared, just like any other player going through a significant injury, that's really where the focus will be."






Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys




NFL Betting Recap: Numbers and Notes From Thanksgiving Football

11.29.2013     08:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Hope everyone had a great holiday. Let’s run the numbers from the three NFL games plus Texas Tech/Texas…

Detroit (-6.5) 40, Green Bay 10

G. Bay: 126 yards, 3.0 per-play, 3 turnovers, 20% third downs

Detroit: 561 yards, 7.1 per-play, 4 turnovers, 75% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: Green Bay 24, Detroit 241

Passing Stats: Green Bay 10-20-1-102, Detroit 22-35-2-320

Drive Points: Green Bay 0, Detroit 24

Stat Score: Green Bay 7, Detroit 36

Sloppiness: Green Bay 25, Detroit 33

(Apparently it’s impossible to play well on a Thursday morning when you had to go overtime against a divisional rival the prior Sunday afternoon. Green Bay’s stats here are so bad that it boggles the mind. Their only TD came on a fumble return by the defense---Detroit is still a sloppiness machine even in blowout victories! You don’t see numbers like this in the NFL Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 13

11.28.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had time to put together a larger preview report than normal. What you see below are per-game Drive Point averages on offense and defense for all 32 teams…arranged in schedule rotation order. If you’re new to the website, Drive Points are only those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. Special teams and defensive scoring isn’t counted, nor are “cheap” points scored off field position. The goal is to get as clean a read as possible on “pure” offense and defense in terms of driving the field for points, and preventing the opposition from doing so.

Strength of schedule rankings from Sagarin at USA Today and Football Outsiders are in the first parenthesis (in that order) to provide some extra context for you, followed by turnover differential in the second parenthesis…

Thanksgiving Games

Green Bay: 16.3 on offense, 14.7 on defense (30-24) (-5 turnovers)

Detroit: 17.5 on offense, 15.6 on defense (26-17) (-7 Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 21, 2014 02:59 AM.