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NFL Gambling: Baltimore Ravens fire offensive coordinator Trestman

10.11.2016     08:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Baltimore Ravens fired offensive coordinator Marc Trestman following Sunday's 16-10 home loss to Washington. The Ravens topped 20 points in only eight of Trestman's 21 games. They currently rank 22nd in total yards per game (338.2) and 28th in yards per play (4.8). Quarterbacks coach Marty Mornhinweg was promoted. Baltimore is currently a +3 road underdog at the New York Giants for Week 6.

"After very careful consideration, I have decided to make a change to our offensive coaching staff and have replaced Marc Trestman with Marty Mornhinweg as offensive coordinator for the rest of the season," coach John Harbaugh said in a statement.

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New York Giants

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan Wolverines at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

10.07.2016     11:28 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Michigan at Rutgers
Saturday, 4 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Michigan -25.5 O/U 56
CRIS Current: Michigan -30 O/U 53
Recommendation: First half over

With the exception of last week's 14-7 win over Wisconsin, Michigan has played the role of bully this season with wins by 39, 17, 37, and 60. There were 149 points score in the first half of those four games (37.3 avg) with a vast majority courtesy of the Wolverines. Head coach Jim Harbaugh came into the season with a reputation of playing it vanilla with a big lead. This year, he's been far more aggressive. We've even seen multiple instance in which backup quarterback John O'Korn entered the game late during a blowout and proceeded to take shots down field.

This week's opponent, Rutgers, offers another opportunity to “name the score.” The Scarlet Knights managed just seven points against Iowa and were shutout last week in Columbus, 58-0. Chris Ash has his work cut out for him and it's tough to envision his squad having much success in this contest. And while much of the focus is on the offense's struggles, the Scarlet Knights' defense Read more

Tags: College Football Michigan Wolverines Rutgers Scarlet Knights Big Ten Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Ranking all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 1

09.06.2016     08:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The NFL Preseason is in the rear view mirror, with Week 1 kicking off on Thursday as Carolina travels to Denver as -3 road favorites.  Here’s how I have all 32 teams ranked heading into the regular season.

1. Carolina Panthers  - Cam Newton and Carolina’s offense are poised to rank among the most potent attacks in the NFL.  Watch out for the Funchess/Benjamin WR duo!

2. Seattle Seahawks - Russell Wilson gave an MVP caliber performance in 2015, but his ability to repeat that effort could be stunted by the Seahawks offensive line woes.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers come out of camp with a full complement of healthy weapons for Aaron Rodgers, good news after Rodgers numbers took a big hit without Jordy Nelson last year.

4. Arizona Cardinals - Arizona returns just about every key player on both sides of the ball from a team that ranked among the NFL’s elite in 2015.

5. New England Patriots - If Tom Brady was at quarterback, this team would be ranked #1.  But with Jimmy Garappolo behind center, the Pats take a modest tumble in my rankings.

6. Kansas City Chiefs - Andy Reid’s Read more

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Denver Broncos Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Handicapping Part II

08.22.2016     09:04 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week, in Part I of my Wiseguy Report on NFL Preseason Betting strategies, I listed a handful of key mantras for winning in August. Don’t confuse a team’s regular season capabilities with their preseason goals.  Bet on teams in August that have a battle for their starting QB spot.  Know your coaches and their track records in various roles (and in various weeks).  And bet information, not opinions. 

All of those stand as solid mainstream advice; the stuff the markets are paying attention to.  This week, in Part II — preseason advanced handicapping methods —  I’m going to write about the things that the markets don’t pay enough attention to...but they probably should!

Let me start with a bold statement: "3" is not the most important key number when it comes to betting in the NFL reason.  Neither is "7".  No, the most important pointspread number in August is the number "1."  Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC North

07.05.2016     07:30 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
I’ve already previewed four NFL Divisions throughout the hot summer months – we’re at the halfway point; with four more divisional previews still to come.  Let’s continue the process this week with an early breakdown of the AFC North. As always, teams are listed in alphabetical order within the division.

The Baltimore Ravens had been a model of consistency throughout the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco eras...until last year.  Baltimore suffered through an injury riddled disaster of a campaign, finishing with a 5-11 SU, 5-9-2 ATS mark, while going 7-9 O/U.  By the end of the season a franchise record 20 different players were on injured reserve.  It’s worth noting that the Ravens switched their field surface this past offseason, at least in part due to all of those injuries last year, replacing the field turf with natural grass for 2016.

The betting markets are expecting a significant Ravens bounceback this year, lining Baltimore as an 8.5 win team for 2016 (there are a handful of books that have Baltimore lined at 8 wins with juice to the over).  A quick look at their mainstream stats from last Read more

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cleveland Browns Cincinnati Bengals Teddy Covers

NFL Gambling Preview: Balitmore Ravens at Denver Broncos

09.11.2015     07:07 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Baltimore at Denver
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Denver -4 O/U 52
CRIS Current: Denver -4.5 O/U 48.5
Recommendation: Under

Few teams in the NFL have changed their expected gameplan as much as the Denver Broncos here in 2015.  Last year, Denver spent the majority of the season in a quick strike, pass heavy offense.  Denver ranked among the top five teams in the NFL, averaging 6.0 yards per play.  Peyton Manning threw for more than 4,700 yards, completing 39 touchdown passes and more than 66% of his throws.  Meanwhile, the Broncos defense was riddled with key injuries, forcing them into ‘Offensive Shootout’ mode on a fairly regular basis.

But Manning’s arm strength clearly declined down the stretch last year and new head coach Gary Kubiak and his staff have made it very clear – they’re going to be a run first offense this year with CJ Anderson and Ronnie Hillman getting the lion’s share of carries.  Manning is not expected to stretch the field with his arm.  We’re going to see a concerted effort to keep Read more

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Denver Broncos Teddy Covers

NFL Preseason Gambling: Ravens dealing with offensive line injuries

08.28.2015     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Despite a slew of injuries across its offensive line, the playing time for Baltimore's starters won't be impacted according to head coach John Harbaugh. The Ravens (-4) play host to Washington on Saturday night.

“I think if something happens in the game, it possibly could [have an affect], but the way we’re going into the game, to start the game, we’re comfortable with the guys we have playing on the starting offensive line,” Harbaugh said Wednesday. “They’ll do a great job.”

“Lord willing, we’ll have enough to play,” offensive coordinator Marc Trestman said Tuesday, only half-joking. “And I say that with great sincerity and hope that we’ll get enough guys that we can play. But we have enough, and we’re excited for them.”

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Washington Redskins

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Recap

08.24.2015     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
In the NFL Preseason, when coaches almost never play for a late game tie to force overtime, there’s an enormous difference between laying -1 and -2.5.  Games decided by final margins or 1 or 2 points are relatively rare once September rolls around.  In August, they are commonplace.   Three games were decided by a single point this past weekend, in Week 2 of the preseason, with the Bills beating the Browns 11-10, the Chiefs beating the Seahawks 14-13 and the Panthers beating the Dolphins 31-30.

Both Kansas City-Seattle and Carolina-Miami produced a win, loss or push based on betting skills, not handicapping skills, with lines on both games moving up throughout the course of the week.   In addition, the Patriots pulled off the comeback of the weekend to beat New Orleans 26-24, a two point margin.  Meanwhile, there was only one game finishing with a final margin of three points; the Chargers 22-19 win at Arizona. 

It was a similar story in Week 1, with more games finishing with 1 or 2 point final margins than games that were decided by exactly three points.   With two more weeks of these meaningless Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Breaking down the NFL's new offensive coordinators Part 2

07.27.2015     08:04 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week in my Wiseguy Report, I wrote about a half dozen offensive coordinator changes in the NFL this past offseason.  This week, I’ll finish my analysis of the other half dozen offensive coordinator changes from around the league, with specific focus on how big of a change and how steep of a learning curve these offenses face.  Coordinators are listed in alphabetical order based on their new teams.

Kyle Shanahan, Atlanta Falcons - Shanahan’s dad was certainly a major factor in Kyle’s first few NFL coordinator jobs; none of which have been particularly successful.  Shanahan worked under Mike Shanahan protégé Gary Kubiak as OC in Houston in 2008-2009, and then worked under his dad for four years with the Redskins.  During that span, his team’s reached the playoffs only once – the ill-fated RG3 injury game against Seattle.  Last year’s debacle in Cleveland didn’t exactly bolster his Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: 2015 Coaching Changes

06.29.2015     09:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick look at college football's head coaching changes for the upcoming 2015 season.

Out: Jeff Quinn
In: Lance Leipold
Quick Take: Leipold won six D3 titles in eight years at UW-Whitewater.

Central Michigan
Out: Dan Enos
In: John Bonamego
Quick Take: Bonamego is a CMU grad and spent the last 15 years serving as a special teams coordinator in the NFL.

Colorado State
Out: Jim McElwain
In: Mike Bobo
Quick Take: Bobo served as Georgia's OC since 2007.

Out: Will Muschamp
In: Jim McElwain
Quick Take: McElwain helped rebuild Colorado State where he went 22-16 during a three-year stint.

Out: Tony Levine
In: Tom Herman
Quick Take: Herman served as Ohio State's OC for three seasons.

Out: Charlie Weis
In: David Beaty
Quick Take: Beaty marks the third head coach in six years for the Jayhawks. He most recently served as Texas A&M's wide receiver coach and previously coached at Read more

Tags: College Football


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