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August

31

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College Football Handicapping: Nowhere to go but up for Wake Forest offense

08.03.2016     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
One of our favorite things to blog about during the summer is bad college football offenses. Yesterday, we discussed the Kansas Jayhawks who remain married to the "air raid" offense despite not having nearly enough talent to pull it off. Wake Forest is projected to be far more vanilla in its approach after averaging less than 300 ypg of total offense against the ACC. Despite winning only three games, there were plenty of examples that Wake could be competitive. In four games against Indiana, Florida State, Louisville, and Duke, the Demon Deacons lost each by one score and were outgained by a combined 57 yards. Most of that however had to do with Wake's defense. Take away games against high-powered North Carolina and Clemson and Wake's seasonal defensive numbers (5.16 ypp allowed) were solid. But the Read more



Tags: College Football Wake Forest Demon Deacons ACC




College Football Handicapping: Kansas could be a great over bet this season

08.02.2016     11:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
By default, Kansas is probably going to be better than last year. It may not result in more wins or even pointspread covers, but being outgained by 2.26 yards per play is hard to duplicate. The Jayhawks were equally awful in 2014 and were outgained by "only" 1.67 ypp. It's clear that head coach David Beaty's "air raid" offense isn't the right fit for winning games or even being competitive considering the roster's current lack of talent but any increase in offensive productivity and the right opponent (and number) and perhaps there will be some value on playing this squad over the total. Kansas finished 6-6 O/U last season but three of the team's six unders were with totals of 71, 74, and 76 high numbers even for a competent offense. When priced with totals below 60, KU went 5-2 O/U. And in those seven games, Kansas topped two touchdowns only twice. Keep an eye out for situations where the Jayhawks face more moderate offenses (and thus moderate totals Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII




College Football Gambling: Kansas expectations once again ultra-low

07.21.2016     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For the second straight year, the Kansas Jayhawks are lined at 1.5 season over/under wins. Last season was a total disaster as KU failed to win a game while covering only three of 12. We'll go ahead and give the Jayhawks a Week 1 win over FCS Rhode Island who last season went 1-10 and finished 224th in Sagarin's Power Ratings. Beyond that, KU's best shot at another victory looks to be home tilts against Ohio and Iowa State. Below are the records since 2009 of teams off a winless season. In each instance, they won at least one game but no more than two the following year.

2009
Eastern Michigan (0-12)
2010's Record: 2-10

Western Kentucky (0-12)
2010's Record: 2-10

2012
Southern Miss (0-12)
2013's Record: 1-11

2013
Miami (OH) (0-12)
2014's Record: 2-10

Georgia State (0-12)
2014's Record: 1-11

2015
Central Florida (0-12)
2016's Record: ???

Kansas (0-12)
2016's Record: ???




Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII




College Basketball Betting: Kansas priced as -125 chalk to win Big XII Tournament

03.07.2016     08:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Big XII Tournament tips off on Wednesday at the Sprint Center in Kansas City. It's a traditional 10-team format with top seeds Kansas and West Virginia playing the winners of Wednesday's two play-in games. Four of the last six finals have featured a 1 vs. 2 matchup. Iowa State won last year's event, 70-66 over top seed Kansas. Below are the futures odds to win the tournament courtesy of The Greek.

Kansas -125
Oklahoma +250
West Virginia +280
Iowa State +600
Texas +650
Baylor +1000
Texas Tech +5000
Kansas State +9000
Oklahoma State +25000
TCU +80000




Tags: College Basketball Kansas Jayhawks




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part I

02.29.2016     09:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA national champion among my elite level teams.   Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Two years ago, Kevin Ollie’s Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

I write this article every year before the regular season is over, before the conference tournaments, before the tourney seedings are announced and before a single March Madness game has been played.  Obviously, there is room for a lot to change between now and the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




Alamo Bowl Betting Preview: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oregon Ducks

01.01.2016     08:29 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Alamo Bowl - San Antonio, TX
TCU vs. Oregon
Saturday, January 2, 3:45 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Oregon pk O/U 75
CRIS Current: Oregon -7 O/U 73.5
Recommendation: Oregon

Oregon just lost offensive coordinator Scott Frost, who took the Central Florida coaching job.  But the transition to new coordinator Matt Lubick should be relatively smooth.  Frost was expected to get a head coaching gig; Lubick was the heir apparent, and he, too, has already attracted attention as a rising young assistant.  Some pre-bowl assistant coaching changes are very meaningful, but this isn’t one of those situations.

It’s a very different story when we start to talk about the key losses that TCU has suffered.  Gary Patterson’s Horned Frogs ranked among the best teams in the country with Trevone Boykin at quarterback and Josh Doctson at wide receiver.  But Doctson’s arm is in a sling; he’s not going to suit up for the Alamo Bowl.  Doctson is absolutely worth something to the pointspread, a playmaker with 14 TD’s and a 17.0 yard per catch average Read more



Tags: College Football TCU Horned Frogs Big XII Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Kansas catching +44 at home vs. Baylor

10.07.2015     08:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
You'd be hard pressed to ever find a game involving two power conference teams in which the road side was laying over six touchdowns. That's the case this weekend with Baylor headed to Kansas. It's no secret the Jayhawks are bad but with a freshman third-string quarterback slated to start, this has the makings of a bloodbath. Just to give you an idea of how inflated this pointspread is, Kansas was catching +34.5 in last year's meeting in Lawrence and the exact same price in Waco two years ago. This week, the Bears went from -38 on the opener to its current number of -44. Based on the side and total, the score is projected to be around 61-17.


“A lot of it has to do with him knowing where to throw the ball quick and making quick decisions, which will help him out,” KU offensive coordinator Rob Likens said. “We’re going to school him up on that this week.”

“He’s excited about getting his first start,” Beaty said about Willis, who is not available for interviews because of KU’s

Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Baylor Bears Big XII




College Football Handicapping: Kansas wants to run 100 plays per game

09.11.2015     09:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Live by the sword, die by the sword. A week removed from running 91 plays and losing to an FCS school at home, Kansas wants to speed up the offense even more. To the Jayhawks' credit, the offense did look improved as it gained 6.33 yards per play - they averaged 4.62 in 2014. However, South Dakota State needed only 72 plays to rack up 463 yards and 41 points. Memphis is obviously going to provide more resistance defensively and bettors aren't left with much to work with after the total was hammered up from 54.5 to 62.


“After watching the game, I felt like we could have got over 100 (or) got 100,” Likens said. “We’ve just got to get the ball snapped a little bit quicker. So we talked about that (Monday) and are going to try to do better this week.”

“We try to base our offense off Oregon, how fast they go,” KU quarterback Montell Cozart said. “We’ll try to get up to their speed

Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII Memphis Tigers AAC




College Football Gambling: Kansas' long season starts with a bang

09.08.2015     08:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If there are any positives for the Kansas Jayhawks it's that first-year head coach David Beaty is a realist and knows pointspreads. Following Week 1's 41-38 loss to South Dakota, Beaty noted that his team is likely to be underdogs in every game this season. We agree as a trip to Iowa State and a home tilt against Texas Tech likely serve as the only semi-competitively line affairs. Despite falling behind 31-7, some of the final box score actually favored the Jayhawks. Even with a 91-yard kickoff return, KU outgained SDSU 576-463 and ran the ball for 285 yards (5.6 ypc). The defense however was atrocious as SDSU averaged 6.43 ypp. This week's opponent, Memphis, opened as -11.5 road chalk, but have already been bet up to -13.5/-14.


“Until we earn it, we’re gonna be underdogs in every game we have,” said Beaty, whose Jayhawks are double-digit dogs for their Week 2 contest against Memphis. “That’s just the way it is. And we need to be playing like we’re the underdogs.”

“Those kids

Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII Memphis Tigers AAC




College Football Betting Update: Kansas married to up-tempo attack

08.27.2015     06:52 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Update on Kansas' rebuilding project. Yesterday the Jayhawks named Montell Cozart the team's starting quarterback. Cozart completed only 50% of his passes with a 5-to-7 TD-to-INT ratio last season. And it sounds as if head coach David Beaty is fully committed to running his up-tempo offense from the get-go. Beaty says they won't try to shorten the game despite being at a significant disadvantage both talent and depth wise.


“We won’t shorten the game,” Beaty says. “That’s not how we play the game. We’re going to continue to stay who we are because that’s how we practice every day.”







College Football Betting: Kansas Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII



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August

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