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NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Louisville gets lackadaisical, Kansas chokes
03.30.2013 07:42 AM
Printer Friendly
Submittedby
Stat Intelligence
In the first final of the night…the consensus “best team in the tournament” Louisville Cardinals started like a house afire. They had covered the 11-point spread by the second TV time out…on the way to leads of 24-8 and 26-10. But, to Oregon’s credit, the underdog fought back to as close as six in the second half.
And, as many of you are aware if you watched the game...officiating sure didn’t go Oregon’s way. Many borderline (or bad) calls went against them in a way that thwarted a bigger comeback. Louisville could very easily have let this game get away from them. The Cards were outscored 59-51 over about the last three-fourths of the clock time.
Everyone changed channels to watch Kansas finish things off against Michigan with a double digit lead. THEY BLEW THE WHOLE THING! Kansas was up 70-59 with 4:40 left. They went into a self-imposed deep freeze on offense even though they were shooting 60% from inside the arc against a very
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Tags:
College Basketball
Louisville Cardinals
Kansas Jayhawks
Michihgan Wolverines
Oregon Ducks
Stat Intelligence
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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Tight rims and odd backdrop at Cowboys Stadium
03.29.2013 07:32 AM
Printer Friendly
Michigan
vs.
Kansas
-1.5 O/U 136
Some
quotes
from Michigan on playing in Cowboys Stadium. One player noted that the rims were tight and another said the backdrop was funky.
"There's so much space behind the basket, and we're not really used to that," said freshman sharpshooter Nik Stauskas, who has never played in a dome. "But that was the whole point of today -- just get some shots up, and get a feel for the arena. We got adjusted to it. I think we'll be all right.
"We refer to them as, 'if you don't hit 'em with a swish, it's not going to go in,'" he said.
"It might be a tough day for us shooting, but we have great shooters who have overcome a lot all year," he said. "We just need to play good defense against these guys, rebound well and get out in
Read more
Tags:
College Basketball
Michigan Wolverines
Kansas Jayhawks
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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Kansas Jayhawks a short favorite over Michigan Wolverines
03.27.2013 12:51 PM
Rob Veno
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno
Michigan
vs.
Kansas
-2 O/U 136
Each of these teams enters the Sweet Sixteen after getting through their first two games utilizing very different strengths. For Michigan, it has been all about the offense in a pair of 15-point routs. They are one of only three teams in the remaining field that shot better than 50% from the field in both of their games (Arizona and Louisville the other two). The Wolverines have been very balanced with three double-digit scorers in their opener against South Dakota State and four against VCU – all of those point totals falling between 13 and 21. The real surprise for UM has been the huge contribution on the inside by 6-10 freshman Mitch McGarry. His constant hustle and bull mentality around the rim helped him net 34 points on 16-of-20, 80% shooting along with 23 rebounds. Defensively, Michigan’s three point percentage of 20% looks gaudy but that may not be as real as it looks. Credit the Wolverines for taken long range
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Rob Veno
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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Stat Profiles for the Sweet Sixteen
03.27.2013 07:55 AM
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Stat Intelligence
Here are the numbers we’ve been following through the Dance in tip-off order by locale. Note that I’ve updated the pace rankings from Kenpom’s website…those are the numbers as of Tuesday evening. All the other numbers you see are CONFERENCE ONLY per game averages because I wanted to take out the crazy extremes of non-conference schedules, particularly since those games were played so long ago anyway. The “conference advantage” numbers from Jeff Sagarin’s computer ratings were also tabulated Tuesday night.
Some reference points.
The typical college defense allowed about 47.5% on two-pointers this year. Numbers less than that represent better than average inside defense. The typical offense made 6.0 treys per game. Interestingly, NONE of the 16 teams left averaged between 6.0 and 6.9 in their league games. We have quite a few trey-heavy teams at 7.0 makes or more. I’m surprised by how many teams were in the low 5’s or less. Always
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Stat Intelligence
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NCAA Tournament Betting Odds: No. 3 seed Florida Gators top choice in South Region
03.18.2013 12:29 PM
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Below are Pinnacle's Odds to Win the South Region. No. 3 seed Florida is the top pick at +187 followed by No. 1 Kansas (+325) and No. 2 Georgetown (+443). You can also wager "no" on Will Florida (-225) or Kansas (-350) Win the South Region?
ODDS TO WIN SOUTH REGION
Florida +187
Kansas +325
Georgetown +443
Michigan +750
VCU +1410
Minnesota +2012
North Carolina +2012
San Diego State +2515
Oklahoma +3521
UCLA +4025
Villanova +5030
Akron +8551
South Dakota State +8551
Florida Gulf Coast +10060
Western Kentucky +11013
Northwestern State +11013
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Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers takes a look at 28 NCAA Tournament matchups
03.18.2013 10:19 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
With the madness that is March now in full swing, it’s time to take a look through the brackets. Today, I’ll offer a quick take on the 28 matchups already set for Thursday and Friday. Games are listed in rotation order.
Missouri
spent the entire season losing close games on the road, falling in OT at UCLA and Kentucky, while dropping games by three points or less at Tennessee, Arkansas, Texas A&M, LSU and to Ole Miss in the SEC Tournament. Larry Eustachy got the most he could out of
Colorado State’s
talent level this year, but the Rams, too, lost nearly every step-up game on the highway.
As a No. 3 seed,
Marquette
is only a 3.5-point favorite over No. 14 seed
Davidson
. The betting markets clearly respect the Wildcats five upperclassmen starters that started 30 of their 33 previous games together this season.
Butler
has won at least the first two games of every single postseason tournament they’ve played since 2010, including runs in the Horizon League and A-10 conference tourney’s, two runs to the championship
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Teddy Covers
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Big XII Tournament Betting Preview
03.12.2013 07:26 AM
Otto Sports
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Big XII Tournament Preview
The Big XII Tournament will get under way Wednesday evening at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, MO. Arrivals and departures over the past couple of seasons have transformed the conference entirely. Once a solid top two or three power conference I’d say they’ve dropped a few spots with their current roster. Texas and West Virginia’s struggles this season have certainly been a big reason for the drop but losing solid contributors like Texas A&M, Missouri and Colorado while adding TCU really hurts (at least for basketball). Still there is some quality here with Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Iowa State and Oklahoma all ranked in the top 50 in KenPom’s rankings and all five having a legit claim at a berth in the NCAA Tournament. One more team, Baylor, could potentially sneak in to the Big Dance with a deep run to the finals. I don’t see any of the bottom four – Texas, WVU, Texas Tech or TCU – making a championship run so at max I see the Big XII as a five- or six-bid league. Kansas has been a historically dominant force in this tournament having won five of the last seven
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Marty Otto
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Teddy Covers' Who Has What It Takes to Win the NCAA Tournament in 2013 Part I
03.04.2013 07:37 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion. I write this article every year, and every year except for one, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA National Champion among my elite level teams. Last year was no exception. I pegged Kansas as my title team, and they made it all the way to the national championship game against Kentucky before falling short.
Past predictions do not necessarily indicate future success, but I’ll stand by my track record in this article. Remember, as always, this gets written before the regular season is over, before the conference tournaments, before the seedings are announced and before a single tournament game has been played.
I’ve nailed the winner of the NCAA tournament three times in the last six years, correctly predicting Florida in ’07, Kansas in ’08 and North Carolina in ’09. I did NOT predict Duke in 2010, and didn’t even have UConn in the discussion in 2011.
Here is a list of the last 15 NCAA champions and the teams they beat in the title game: Kentucky over Utah in ’98, UConn over Duke in ’99,
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Teddy Covers
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Big XII will review missed calls in Iowa State-Kansas fiasco
02.26.2013 07:52 AM
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Good news. Actually, it isn't good news but rather a painful reminder for those who wagered on Iowa State. The Big XII is going to
review
some of the absolutely horrific calls/no calls in last night's ISU-KU debacle. Sure could use one of those sportsbook marketing promotions where they step in and refund bets à la
Seattle-Green Bay
.
"We will handle the situation and approach the teams appropriately," said Shaw. "We review every play and take the appropriate action."
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Iowa State Cyclones
Kansas Jayhawks
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College Basketball Betting: Kansas Jayhawks thinking revenge, backflip
02.20.2013 02:22 PM
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Kansas
at
Oklahoma State
pk O/U 136.5
Unfortunately, our database doesn't cover
revenge games
in which a player from the winning team did a celebratory backflip.
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Kansas Jayhawks
Oklahoma State Cowboys
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