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September

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Over/Under Trends

09.29.2014     12:56 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about the early ATS streakers to open the NFL season; teams that were red hot or ice cold against the spread coming out of the gate.  This week, I’ll focus on teams that have shown a strong totals bias through the first four weeks of the campaign.  Who’s trending Over?  Who’s trending Under?  And, most importantly, why are these teams trending the way they are?  Are the markets close to catching up?  Read on to find out!

One of the more incongruous September NFL trends is that of the Jacksonville Jaguars going 4-0 to the Over.  The Jags are one of only two teams (Oakland is the other) averaging fewer than 15 points per game this year.  And that’s not likely to change dramatically.  Jacksonville’s level of skill position talent is quite possibly the weakest in the NFL.  Toby Gerhart is averaging 2.6 yards per carry; Denard Robinson 3.3.  In four games, their longest run from scrimmage is 13 yards (not including a single Blake Bortles 20 yard scramble).

The Jaguars receiving corps doesn’t keep opposing defensive coordinators up at night.  Allen Hurns, Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Boyd Gaming offers sports betting app

09.26.2014     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly
Looks like Las Vegas' Boyd Gaming has joined the world of mobile sports betting. You can sign up at The Orleans, Gold Coast, Suncoast, Sam's Town, Fremont and California sportsbooks.


"This new app, designed with speed and unparalleled ease of use in mind, combines the experience of our proven international mobile gaming partners and a large amount of customer testing feedback to provide the newest mobile betting experience in the market today - one that is quick, easy to use and convenient," said Bob Scucci, Boyd Gaming's director of race and sports books.





Tags: Las Vegas




College Football Handicapping: Wynn exposed on a number of a Week 5 games

09.23.2014     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We give props to any sportsbook willing to post college football openers before CRIS. But with that comes risk, and based on the current market numbers, Las Vegas' Wynn was WAY off on a few of Week 5's numbers. Let's take a look...

Wynn Opener: Kentucky -10.5 vs. Vanderbilt
CRIS Opener: Kentucky -15 vs. Vanderbilt
Current Market: Kentucky -17 vs. Vanderbilt

Wynn Opener: Boston College -2.5 vs. Colorado State
CRIS Opener: Boston College -5 vs. Colorado State
Current Market: Boston College -6.5/-7 vs. Colorado State

Wynn Opener: Buffalo -15.5 vs. Miami (OH)
CRIS Opener: Buffalo -6.5 vs. Miami (OH)
Current Market: Buffalo -4.5 vs. Miami (OH)

Wynn Opener: Bowling Green -14 at UMass
CRIS Opener: Bowling Green -10.5 at UMass
Current Market: Bowling Green -7 at UMass

Wynn Opener: Texas A&M -15.5 vs. Arkansas (Arlington)
CRIS Opener: Texas A&M -10 vs. Arkansas
Current Market: Texas A&M -9.5 vs. Arkansas

Wynn Opener: UL-Monroe -5.5 vs. Troy
CRIS Opener: UL-Monroe -10.5 vs. Troy
Current Market: UL-Monroe -11 vs. Troy

Wynn Opener: Nevada -1 at San Jose Read more


Tags: College Football




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 3 Betting Recap

09.22.2014     07:51 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re three weeks into the new NFL season and I’ve already got some pointspread and totals streakers to write about.  Three teams are 3-0 ATS, four more have yet to cover a pointspread. Four teams are 3-0 to the Over; five more are 3-0 to the Under. Who are these teams and why are they trending early? Most importantly, can we expect them to continue to trend in the same direction moving forward? Read on to find out.

I’ll focus here on the pointspread streakers, saving the totals streakers for a thorough look next week. That being said, I will list the early season totals streakers here, so you don’t have to go through the trouble of looking them up. 3-0 to the Over: Browns, Jaguars, Colts and Eagles. 3-0 to the Under: Bengals, Cardinals, Bills, Vikings and Titans.

The NFL is a parity filled league, and pointspreads can adjust rather dramatically based on a single early season performance. A big Week 1 or Week 2 victory, therefore, makes it more difficult to cover the spread the following week. Only three teams have managed to avoid an ATS defeat through the first three weeks of the season. All three of those squads were less than Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles

09.19.2014     08:53 AM     Paul Stone     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Paul Stone

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Clemson at Florida State
Saturday, 5:15 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Florida State -19.5 O/U 66
CRIS Current: Florida State -14.5 O/U 60
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Florida State -16
Paul Stone's Recommendation: Clemson

Defending champion Florida State, at first glance, would appear to have only a handful of bumps on its path to a likely appearance in this year's four-team college football playoff.

One of those potential detours occurs Saturday when the Seminoles, who have had a pair of lukewarm performances in their first two games, host ACC rival Clemson at Doak Campbell Stadium.

Florida State was a 19.5-point favorite at mid-week before the school suspended Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Jameis Winston for the first half of Saturday's contest due to a vulgar outburst at a campus building in which he was apparently imitating a popular internet meme.

It was the latest Read more


Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers Florida State Seminoles ACC Paul Stone




NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Public all over favorite Colts and the OVER

09.15.2014     01:16 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Indianapolis Colts courtesy of Bookmaker. No real movement on the side with the Colts holding strong at -3. The total opened 52.5 and was bet up as high as 54.5 before a wave of UNDER money drove the line back to 53 offshore and 53.5 in Las Vegas.

SIDE
72.2% - Indianapolis -3

TOTAL
81.9% - Over 53

MONEYLINE
53.0% - Philadelphia +135



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Indianapolis Colts




Mayweather no longer a big draw at betting window

09.15.2014     12:47 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Despite a lifetime undefeated mark of 47-0, Las Vegas bettors aren't really into betting Floyd Mayweather these days.


"We took a couple big bets on Floyd, but not as many as in the past," said John Avello, executive director of the Wynn Race and Sports Book. Rood said the MGM took a couple of six-figure bets on Mayweather, but not nearly as many as in previous fights.

"Floyd's not the most popular guy," Bogdanovich added. "His fights aren't really exciting. People are tired of it."








Tags: Floyd Mayweather Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 2 Betting Recap

09.15.2014     07:18 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
My September NFL betting mantra is relatively simple.  It can be stated in one sentence: “Bet on good teams, and bet against bad teams.”   This strategy tends to be at its best  very early in the season, before the betting markets catch up to how good or how bad teams actually are compared to last year. 

That strategy did not fare well this past weekend for two reasons – many of the good teams played poorly and a good handful of the bad teams stepped up.  Of the seven top teams in my power ratings, only two managed to cover the pointspread on Sunday (Cincinnati and New England).  Seattle, New Orleans and San Francisco all lost SU as favorites.  Denver won, by not my enough of a margin to cover the number.  And Green Bay pushed against the closing number but lost for anyone who bet the Packers throughout the course of the week.

On the other end of the spectrum, many of the bottom teams in my power ratings stepped up and played a good game.  The worst two teams in the league – Jacksonville and Oakland, according to my numbers – are both 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS.  Other weak teams like the Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling News: Vegas sportsbooks make out like bandits in Week 1

09.10.2014     07:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Big opening week in the NFL for Las Vegas sportsbooks as multiple "ugly" underdogs cashed tickets.


“This was the best opening day we’ve ever had here,” said Golden Nugget sports book director Tony Miller. “Just about every game we needed came through for us beginning with our biggest, the Falcons, and then the rest just followed suit like the Browns, Dolphins and then the Panthers. It wasn’t a good day for those that bet parlays on the afternoon.”

“There was so much public money on Denver and even when I raised it higher than the market number, I was still getting action on them with limit straight bets and parlays,’ said Miller. “They couldn’t get enough of Denver.”








Tags: NFL Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Under- and over-reacting to early season football results

09.08.2014     07:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I probably heard the same expression 20 times last week: ‘Don’t overreact to Week 1 results.’   It’s one of those handicapping mantras that we hear every year right around this time – the very beginning of football season. 

In basketball or baseball there’s no week off between the first two games and the early season betting markets don’t react intensely off a single poor performance.  But for football – both NFL and college – the prevailing conventional wisdom is that Week 1 results are a thing to take with a grain of salt.

The concept certainly makes sense.  Coaches – especially college football coaches – will tell you that they expect their biggest improvement between Week 1 and Week 2.  Without the benefit of preseason games or even scrimmages against opposing squads, teams often ‘work out the kinks’ and ‘get up to game speed’ in their initial contest.  The team you expected to see this year (at least for bettors who do some homework and have opinions coming into the campaign) might not be the team you saw in Week 1, but there’s Read more


Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 30, 2014 08:48 AM.