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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC East Reg Flags

09.02.2014     07:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Bettors react strongly to the NFL Preseason.  First string offenses that look good in August tend to attract betting market support.  The markets are much less reactive to defensive success or failure compared to offensive production.  And bettors tend to largely ignore coaching gameplans; unable to differentiate between coaches who were aggressively trying to set a tone for winning or whether their primary focus was on roster evaluation and personnel decisions.

The two primary areas where preseason results affect the betting markets are adjusting Week 1 numbers and moving the juice on season over/under win totals.  Some of these line moves are absolutely warranted; others are based on erroneous reactions to essentially meaningless football games.

I’m not willing to write off a team’s regular season chances based solely on preseason struggles.  But ignoring those struggles completely is the moral equivalent of sticking your head in the sand. A repeated inability to execute the game plan in August often carries over into September.

One NFL Division had more than their fair share of struggles in August, on at least one Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: Fresno State Bulldogs at USC Trojans

08.28.2014     02:32 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Fresno State at USC
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
USC -22 O/U 58
CRIS Current: USC -21.5 O/U 57.5
Ian’s Recommendation: USC

Rematch of last year’s Las Vegas Bowl in which USC demolished a better Fresno State squad, 45-20. Fresno State’s success was contingent upon its offense behind quarterback Derek Carr. He has since moved on to the NFL and head coach Tim DeRuyter has narrowed his replacement down to either junior Brian Burrell or Duke transfer Brandon Connette. Regardless of who starts both are expected to play on Saturday. This uncertainty doesn’t bode well for Fresno State against a stellar USC defense that welcomes back one of the best defensive lines in the country with Leonard Williams, J.R. Tavai, and Antwaun Woods. And behind them, even with the loss of Jabari Ruffin to a season ending torn ACL injury, they are still very strong Read more


Tags: College Football Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West USC Trojans PAC-12 Ian Cameron




Nevada sportsbooks seek to get rid of federal tax

08.27.2014     08:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ever wonder where exactly your tax dollars are going? Nevada's sportsbooks raised their hands on that one got a pretty interesting response. The IRS had no freakin' clue. Rep. Dina Titus is wanting to get rid of the tax and keep the money within the state.


“The IRS didn’t even know it existed,” Titus said. “The money just went into some black hole in the general fund. […] It can be reinvested into Nevada’s economy. Gaming is our lifeblood, and this is a drop in the bucket to Washington.”





Tags: Las Vegas




Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Paul Stone face off in Friday Football Showdown

08.27.2014     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly
Sportsmemo Handicappers Erin Rynning and Paul Stone have been pitted up against one another in the first round of the Golden Nugget's Friday Football Showdown on October 10. You can listen to their segment on Las Vegas ESPN Radio (1100 AM) from 2-3 PM PT. Stone took home last year's title with a 5-2 ATS mark in the finals.



Tags: College Football NFL Paul Stone Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: UNLV Rebels at Arizona Wildcats

08.27.2014     07:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UNLV at Arizona
Friday, 7:30 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Arizona -24 O/U 60.5
CRIS Current: Arizona -23.5 O/U 60
Teddy's Recommendation: Arizona

Arizona came to Las Vegas and thoroughly whipped the Rebels last year; a 58-13 blowout that was every bit as lopsided on the field as the final score would suggest. The Wildcats held an enormous team speed advantage to go along with their size edge, creating one big play TD after the next.

UNLV head coach Bobby Hauck following the game in which UNLV trailed by 39 at halftime: “Congratulations to Arizona for coming in and beating the hell out of us. We’ve got to flush this game and move on to the next one because there are no positives.”  The loss actually sparked the UNLV season, a season that they turned around immediately following that defeat with four wins in their next four games, culminating in the Rebels first bowl bid since 2000.

The Read more


Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels Mountain West Arizona Wildcats PAC-12 Teddy Covers




NHL is reportedly headed to Las Vegas

08.27.2014     06:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NHL in Las Vegas? The NHL in Las Vegas! Reports are saying a team in Sin City is a "done deal" as the league looks to expands in the not-so-distant future. The Las Vegas Coolers, Blackjacks, and Dice were some of the team names Twitter came up with last night. We’ll go ahead and tell you right now that the nickname won’t have anything to do with gambling -- even though all three of those are pretty cool. Bank on something that relates to the desert, Area 51, the heat, or cowboys.


Sources close to the situation have indicated Las Vegas is a done deal, the only thing to be determined being which owner will be entitled to proclaim that he brought the first major league sports franchise to Sin City.





Tags: NHL Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Football Against The Spread Outliers

08.25.2014     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
College football season kicks off on Thursday Night. By Labor Day, we’ll have seen 78 teams play other FBS opponents and another 46 teams play against FCS foes, available for betting at many top books on the Extra Games board. How important are those Week 1 results when we project forward? What about Week 2 and Week 3? Read on to find out!

Twenty-four college football teams were pointspread outliers last year. Twelve squads hit 70% or better ATS. Twelve more squads hit 30% or worse for the full season. This falls within recent historical patterns – in every recent season, 20-25% of the teams are strong bet-on or bet against squads. If we broaden the base to 67% ATS wins or losses for the full season, it’s not unusual to see one third or more of the teams in college football fall into bet-on or bet-against categories.

In 2013, Auburn, Missouri, Florida State, Duke, Navy, North Texas, Houston, Florida Atlantic and Wisconsin all finished the season hitting 75% ATS or better, with Bowling Green, Colorado State, Georgia State right behind. And that list doesn’t even include significant moneymakers (9-4 ATS) like Baylor, UCLA, Minnesota, Tulane, Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Seattle starters to play into third quarter vs. Chicago

08.22.2014     12:13 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago at Seattle -7 O/U 45

The Seattle Seahawks look to be all business for tonight's preseason game vs. Chicago. Pete Carroll said the starters will play into the third quarter. Tarvaris Jackson will follow Russell Wilson and if time permits, Terrell Pryor will take some snaps. Seattle is 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS in the third game of the preseason under Carroll. The Seahawks opened -6.5 but were quickly bet to -7 with a few Las Vegas sportsbooks currently dealing -7.5.



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Chicago Bears




Don't miss Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning at Friday's SuperContest seminar

08.20.2014     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For those of you in the Las Vegas area, be sure to check out Sportsmemo Handicapper and professional bettor Erin Rynning a Friday's Westgate SuperContest Seminar. ER will be on the AFC panel from 7:05-7:55 pm PT.



Tags: NFL Erin Rynning




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Recapping NFL Preseason Week 2

08.18.2014     09:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about how after a significant five year run of Overs in the preseason, Week 1 of the 2014 preseason brought a 13-4 mark to the Under.  So what happened in Week 2? With 15 games in the books as I write this on Monday morning, Overs have gone 9-6, cashing at a 60% clip throughout the course of the weekend.  That Week 1 run of Unders certainly didn’t last very long.

What’s behind the high scoring affairs from Week 2?  Penalties, penalties and more penalties; with flags up more than 50% from last year through the first two weeks of August.  And the biggest increases in penalties have come via the rule changes tied to pass defense.  Defensive holding, illegal contact and pass interference calls galore have become the new norm. 

The rule changes have most assuredly affected the totals markets for Week 1 of the regular season.  Historically, Week 1 is the lowest scoring week of the first three months of the season (when weather really starts to Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2014 09:41 AM.