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MLB Betting News: Detroit's Justin Verlander hoping for better results vs. Cleveland
05.22.2013 07:39 AM
Printer Friendly
Detroit
(Verlander) -143 at
Cleveland
(Jimenez) O/U 8
Detroit's Justin Verlander looks to
bounce back
after his worst start of the season (2.2 IP, 8 ERs vs. Texas). It sounds as if Verlander's main issue has been lack of command. Note that his velocity was way up in his last start as he managed to hit 99 on the gun. The betting markets however remain skeptical with Detroit opening -165/-160 and bet down to as low as -140.
“To me,” said Jones, “in his last two outings it’s just been a matter of locating his fastball. His breaking stuff has been good, his change-up has been good. He just went through a couple different periods where he lost his fastball location.”
“It went alright,” Verlander said of the bullpen work, “I can’t say it was great but it’s never really great until you
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Cleveland Indians
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers
05.22.2013 06:31 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) -110 at
Milwaukee
(Peralta) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over
Hyun-Jin Ryu has been solid thus far; like a lot of Far East products he features an arsenal of different pitches at different speeds. He's had a fairly favorable schedule with four games in LA and two in San Francisco and New York. In games at Atlanta, Baltimore, and Arizona, Ryu was a bit more hittable, allowing nine earned runs in 17 innings. Coming from the left side, I view today as perhaps his toughest assignment with the Brewers loaded with right-handed bats in a hitter friendly park.
Wily Peralta hasn't been the most fortunate starter in baseball but his 29-to-17 K-to-BB ratio in 50 innings certainly hasn't helped his cause. I like Peralta's groundball rate (54.5%) but his inability to consistently miss bats and avoid the long ball (6 HRs allowed) makes him a fringe NL arm in my book. Also note that his start in LA (6 IP, 3 ERs) was with Doug Eddings behind the plate.
And while
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Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
Andrew Lange
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Stanley Cup Playoffs Gambling Free Pick: Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks
05.21.2013 10:42 AM
ICC
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC
Los Angeles at San Jose -135 O/U 4.5
Recommendation: San Jose
San Jose has received new life in the Western Conference Semifinals after their enormous Game 3 OT win at home on Saturday night. I expect that momentum to carry over to tonight's Game 4 as the Sharks look to even up this series against the Kings. I'm not quite sold on LA being the better team in this series just yet. LA leads the series 2-1 but have been outshot in two of the first three games by a significant margin and are being outshot 106-78 overall in the series by the San Jose Sharks. San Jose's biggest issues in the first two games were finding ways to score against Jonathan Quick who has been the difference maker to this point but San Jose got two goals past him in Game 3. He was venting a ton of anger and frustration at the referees following a questionable call in OT which led to San Jose's game winning goal and I have a feeling San Jose will have more success against Quick moving forward in this series after we saw him visibly rattled. San Jose's power play came to life going 2-for-5 with the man advantage in Game 3 after not scoring in seven opportunities in the first two
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San Jose Sharks
Los Angeles Kings
Ian Cameron
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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros
05.21.2013 10:34 AM
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Kansas City
(Davis) -125 at
Houston
(Norris) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over
Kansas City's Wade Davis has probably been a bit unlucky this season (.393 BABIP) but you have to be careful when calling for a pitcher's luck to turn, especially when dealing with a fringe arm like Davis. Keep in mind Davis' struggles are nothing new. In 2010 and 2011, as a starter, Davis was a below average AL starter with xFIPs of 4.61 and 4.82 respectively. I've always been a believer of Bud Norris but I do have some concerns after he left his last start with back spasms. His strikeouts this season are way down (33 in 50 IP) after posting a K per inning in 2012. Some of that has to do with pitching in the American League but with only 4 Ks in his last two starts, he doesn't appear to be in great form. Neither offense is much to get excited about but I see the potential for a lot of balls to be put in play tonight and as a result, we'll take a look at the over.
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Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
Andrew Lange
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-21-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
05.21.2013 10:31 AM
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Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob and Erin went through every game on the MLB card. Erin also discussed tonight's Memphis-San Antonio Game 2.
Today's segments
Full Show
Rob Veno - National League
Erin Rynning - American League and NBA
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
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ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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NBA
Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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MLB Betting Recap: Monday Notes from a 5-Inning Perspective
05.21.2013 08:29 AM
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Stat Intelligence
Quickies from the Monday card, going in schedule order…
*Both Philadelphia and Miami stayed Under 2 runs again in a 1-1 five-inning tie, cementing their stranglehold as worst early offenses in baseball. Miami hasn’t scored 2 or more in the first five innings against a regular rotation pitcher since they showed everyone why Roy Halladay had to go on the Disabled List more than a dozen games ago. Looking like a Double-A caliber offense.
*Marcum of the Mets has seen opponents score 8-3-6-2-3 in the first five innings of his starts. Mets are 2-10-5 their last 17 games in the first five. Meaning, only twice did the team lead after five innings in the last two-and-a-half weeks. Neither was with Harvey by the way.
*Kershaw allowed an early run for the Dodgers in Milwaukee tonight. That’s notable because his last five starts now look like this: 0-0-0-0-1. First run after four straight 5-inning shutouts. He’s allowed a grand total of eight early runs
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Stat Intelligence
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MLB Gambling News: A Unique Look at Offenses
05.20.2013 10:02 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
As you probably know, I’ve been playing around with 5-inning options in Major League Baseball this year. Part of the fun of that is doing record-keeping that you know nobody else is doing. Helps you see things from different perspectives.
I’ve been logging all the results by hand because there aren’t any websites I know of that go in-depth with this stuff. That’s GREAT, because it’s easier to gain and maintain an edge over the market when information isn’t widely available. Don’t think I’ll be giving away anything to vital in this post…though creative readers may find a way to use the data.
Here’s the percentage of time that each offense has reached at least two runs in the first five innings this year, through the games of Sunday afternoon…
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Detroit 76%
Baltimore 73%
LA Angels 68%
Boston 68%
Tampa Bay 67%
Cleveland
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
05.20.2013 09:44 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Arizona
(Corbin) -110 at
Colorado
(Garland) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Arizona
Arizona's Patrick Corbin has been flawless this season with a 1.52 ERA and solid 41-to-17 K-to-BB ratio. He’s a young lefty arm who has seen an uptick in velocity and plays on a quality team that is not overpriced in the betting markets. It would be foolish to think Corbin isn't going to regress some (see 3.91 xFIP) but despite his success the betting markets continue to bet against this kid and as a result his value has remained. He should be north of -125 in this particular matchup yet you can get him for as cheap as -110. Colorado's Jon Garland has thrown three straight games in which he's lasted only five innings and allowed three earned runs. With 26 strikeouts in 46 innings Garland simply isn't able to fool many batters at this point in his career. There are some metrics that suggest the starting pitching matchup is close but the eye test tells me to support the premium lefty arm at a discounted price.
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Arizona Diamonbacks
Colorado Rockies
Andrew Lange
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MLB Gambling Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins
05.16.2013 10:03 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Cincinnati
(Latos) -155 at
Miami
(Fernandez) O/U 7
Recommendation: Under
Sometimes you have to roll with plays that look simplistic and this game shapes up as one of those. Starting pitching figures to dominate here as the Mat Latos takes on young gem Jose Fernandez. Despite the fact that Latos’ history against Miami shows an 0-3 record, he had tremendous success earlier this season when he threw seven strong innings and allowed only one earned run and posting a 10:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. That game was in the hitter friendly Great American Ballpark so look for Latos to be just as effective tonight inside spacious Marlins Park. Miami’s offense continued its abysmal season last night getting shutout by the Reds 4-0 and they now own an MLB-worst 110 runs scored, .224 batting average, .322 slugging percentage, .224 OBP, and .608 OPS. While Fernandez certainly faces the superior lineup, he’s been brilliant over his last couple starts. He’s pitched a combined 13
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Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
Rob Veno
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-16-2013 with Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno
05.16.2013 09:59 AM
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Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno. Ian broke down the entire NHL Playoffs card while Rob talked MLB.
Today's segments
Full Show
Ian Cameron - NHL Playoffs
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Ian Cameron
Rob Veno
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