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February

11

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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates

08.08.2015     07:40 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Los Angeles (Latos) at Pittsburgh (Liriano) -125 O/U 7
Recommendation: Under


Ever since returning from an alleged knee injury, we've witnessed a completely different Mat Latos as he sports a 2.79 ERA and .196 BAA over eight starts. It's all ted to a rather large spike in velocity (cortisone shot?) which remains at a higher level than prior to his trip to the DL. Latos is typically pretty tough on the right-handed bat which is a decent fit against this Pirates lineup so I expect him to throw well this afternoon. Francisco Liriano has been one of the most consistently effective pitchers in baseball having allowed three or fewer earned runs in all but three outings this season. Even more impressive is the nine starts he allowed either zero or one run. Liriano has been tough on everyone but particularly the left-handed bat with a .184 BAA against this season. That's bad news for a Dodgers lineup that features lefties Adrian Gonzalez, Andre Ethier and Joc Pederson. And LA's top OPS man, Justin Turner (.950) remains on the DL until next week. Wind or temps not expected to play a part in what sets up for a good old fashion pitchers’ duel. We'll look Read more



Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Pittsburgh Pirates OTTO Sports




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: National League Preview

04.13.2015     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, I wrote a team-by-team overview of the 15 American League squads.  This week, I’ll shift my focus to the National League, breaking down each team from a Las Vegas perspective.  Teams are listed in alphabetical order, by division.

A week ago, the Atlanta Braves were viewed as likely bottom feeders following a massive offseason rebuild that resulted in only six players from opening day last year returning on opening day in 2015; lined in the same range as teams like Arizona, Colorado and Minnesota.  One week later and the market view of Atlanta has changed at least somewhat thanks to a 5-1 record with the best run differential in the NL.  Julio Teheran, Shelby Miller and Alex Wood all hav top-of-the-rotation stuff, but it’s hard to picture this anemic lineup continuing to deliver steady run support.

The Miami Marlins hung around in the wild card race into the dog days of August last year before Giancarlo Stanton’s Read more



Tags: MLB Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Miami Marlins

03.10.2015     08:45 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

The Washington Nationals are heavy favorites to with the NL East but the Miami Marlins are looking to win now and have the talent to contend for a Wild Card berth.

Miami Marlins
2014 W-L:
77-85
2014 O/U: 83-68-11
2014 Profits: -2.0
2015 O/U Wins: 81.5
2015 NL East Odds: +600
Projected Starting Rotation: Mat Latos, Henderson Alvarez, Jarred Cosart, Dan Haren, Tom Koehler
Key Departures: Casey McGehee, Nathan Eovaldi
Key Additions: Mat Latos, Martin Prado, Dee Gordon, Jarred Cosart

Handicapper’s Take: “Differing opinions on this squad amongst those who cover MLB as Miami appear to be in “all in” mode this season. The huge contract that locked up the game’s top power hitter Giancarlo Stanton along with the offseason moves which brought in 2B Dee Gordon, 1B Mike Morse, 3B Martin Prado, and RH starter Mat Latos, have raised the expectations for this club. There is now a legitimate blend of speed, power and Read more



Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Rob Veno




MLB Handicapper Free Play: Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals

08.27.2013     10:57 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Latos) -120 at St. Louis (Kelly) O/U 8
Recommendation: Over


My clients and I cashed a winner with the Reds – Cardinals Over last night; an 8-6 Slugfest.  And there’s no reason to expect a dramatically different result today.  Here’s an excerpt from yesterday’s write-up with the numbers adjusted to reflect current realities:

“We’ve got excellent weather conditions for a Slugfest – hazy, hot and humid with the wind blowing out.  We’ve got a series history that has seen the winning team score eight runs or more in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams, every one of them cashing an Over ticket.  We’ve got a pair of bullpens that have both struggled against the opposing lineup this year.  And we’ve got two capable offenses.  The Cards have scored six or more runs in six of their last nine.  Cinci has cashed only two Unders in their last nine games while Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapping: Breaking From the Gate...After the Break...

07.22.2013     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It can be tempting to overreact to stuff that happens when Major League Baseball resumes after the All-Star Break. Fans and analysts are playing extra close attention since they spent a few days thinking about the pennant races and how various teams may care…or not care about the rest of the season. But, the tone is often set for what follows by that first weekend. We won’t overreact today…but we’ll take a quick look at how all 30 offenses performed this past weekend using our “four-max” approach.

If you’re new to the blog, that’s a methodology that:

*Only counts scoring in the first five innings

*Stops counting once a team has reached FOUR runs

We do that to reward consistent scoring rather than the occasional explosion that can come if the opposing starting pitcher just doesn’t have anything that day…nor the lousy long relievers that replaced him. This started as an effort to gain context for Read more



Tags: MLB Stat Intelligence




MLB Gambling Notes: Cincinnati Reds Still Struggling vs. Quality Teams

06.27.2013     07:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The Cincinnati Reds just got swept in a quick two-game series in Oakland, losing by a combined score of 12-3. That continues a trend we’ve been discussing on and off this season. The Reds have played very poorly (for a contender) against teams at .500 or better, while absolutely annihilating teams who are below .500.

Let’s run the numbers for the Reds and the other NL Central contenders for some context…

Records vs. .500 or Better

Pittsburgh 18-14

St. Louis 18-15

Cincinnati 15-26

Pittsburgh and St. Louis at least belong in the SuperLeague, even if they’re not dominating within the “best vs. best” matchups. The Reds are showing very poorly in comparison.

Records vs. Under .500

Cincinnati 30-8

St. Louis 30-15

Pittsburgh 30-16

This is why the Reds are in the divisional (and Wildcard) race. They’re doing a great job of taking Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Stat Intelligence




MLB Gambling Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins

05.16.2013     10:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Latos) -155 at Miami (Fernandez) O/U 7
Recommendation: Under


Sometimes you have to roll with plays that look simplistic and this game shapes up as one of those. Starting pitching figures to dominate here as the Mat Latos takes on young gem Jose Fernandez. Despite the fact that Latos’ history against Miami shows an 0-3 record, he had tremendous success earlier this season when he threw seven strong innings and allowed only one earned run and posting a 10:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. That game was in the hitter friendly Great American Ballpark so look for Latos to be just as effective tonight inside spacious Marlins Park. Miami’s offense continued its abysmal season last night getting shutout by the Reds 4-0 and they now own an MLB-worst 110 runs scored, .224 batting average, .322 slugging percentage, .224 OBP, and .608 OPS. While Fernandez certainly faces the superior lineup, he’s been brilliant over his last couple starts. He’s pitched a combined 13 Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Red hot Mat Latos returns to San Diego

07.05.2012     05:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati (Latos) -135 at San Diego (Volquez) O/U 6.5

Is Mat Latos finally getting it? It appears so after back-to-back 1-run complete games in which Latos allowed just six hits and struck out 20. Tonight he returns to his old stomping ground as a medium-sized road favorite.


"I think the main thing is is we're exactly on the same page as far as what we want to do," Hanigan said. "We're really getting into a good tempo. I think we trust each other. I think we know what our plan is. There's no guessing, there's no indecision.

"And he's attacking. He's getting into good counts. When he's not in good counts, he doesn't let it get away from him -- not a lot 2-0s, 3-1s. He's always in the count. He's got a 94 mph fastball. It makes his offs-peed stuff that much tougher."

"His slider

Read more



Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds San Diego Padres




MLB Betting Notes: Latos felt Indians knew what was coming

06.25.2012     11:54 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cincinnati's Mat Latos hinted that the Cleveland Indians where stealing signs during last week's game. The Indians pounded Latos for three homers and seven runs in four innings. Two of the long balls came with a runner on second base. Note that Cleveland's lineup was nearly all lefty and lefties have given Latos a ton of problems this season (.319 BAA, .903 OPS).


"I was a little up in the zone. I thought I made some good pitches that they spit on with a runner on second base," said Latos (via MLB.com), after giving up seven runs on eight hits in just four innings on Monday. "I suppose it was kind of ironic. We changed up the signs, for the last hitter unfortunately. The outcomes changed when we changed up the signs today."









Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds




MLB Betting Free Play: Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds

06.13.2012     08:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland (Lowe) at Cincinnati (Latos) -140 O/U 9
Recommendation: Over


It is very hard to trust Cincinnati's Mat Latos at home against an American League lineup. Latos' transition from the weak-hitting, pitcher-friendly National League West has not been a smooth one. His fly ball ways (126-86 ratio) and tendency to challenge hitters up in the zone have resulted in a 4.85 ERA including 11 home runs allowed in 43.2 innings at Great American Ball Park. He's also had a tough time with lefties – something Cleveland has a lot of – with a .962 OPS. Derek Lowe has returned to earth with two of his last three starts being of disastrous variety. His groundball ways are a good thing to have in this ball park but with only 24 strikeouts in 72.2 innings, a lot of balls will be put in play tonight and any mistakes will be magnified due to the short porch in right field. Note that in four career starts at the GAP, Lowe's ERA is 5.09. Total certainly reflective of the mediocrity on Read more



Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Cincinnati Reds Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Feb 11, 2016 01:11 PM.