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NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Duke dispatches Sparty, Florida sends Cinderella packing

03.30.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The first half of Duke/Michigan State went pretty much the way you would expect. Duke had to hit treys to compete. Seth Curry was 6 of 7 all by himself in the first 20 minutes. Michigan State dominated the inside. Duke led thanks to their big edge in treys.

In the second half, Duke played very good inside defense while Michigan State kept forcing up bad shots. That led to a 13 minute dry spell that saw the Spartans only make one field goal from about 17 minutes left to about 4 minutes left. Academic after that. I usually blast Duke’s inside defense. They really did a good job here of blocking shots and denying good looks when it mattered down the stretch.

Duke 71, Michigan State 61

2-Point Percentage: Michigan State 45%, Duke 42%

3-Point Shooting: Michigan State 3/12, Duke 7/18

Free Throws: Michigan State 18/24, Duke 24/26

1’s and 2’s: Michigan State 52, Duke 50

Rebounds: Michigan State 33, Duke Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Florida Gators Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Betting: Duke faces Michigan State in Sweet Sixteen

03.28.2013     07:57 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan State vs. Duke -2 O/U 134

An out of conference rivalry will be renewed Friday night as Duke and head coach Mike Krzyzewski challenge Michigan State and Tom Izzo.  Much will be made about Izzo’s 1-6 record against Coach K but I view that “trend” as mostly meaningless in this particular matchup.  Last weekend’s efforts were much more impressive for Duke than Michigan State.  Despite foul trouble, the Blue Devils took care of business by cruising past Creighton, 66-50.  Creighton was one of the more impressive teams in the tournament – extremely well-coached and prepared – so I give Duke credit for holding the Blue Jays to 50 points. 

Meanwhile, the Spartans roughing up Memphis in their backyard was hard to take seriously.  Memphis once again played scatterbrained basketball and head coach in Josh Pastner was up against it to put it kindly.  Of course, the referees let Read more


Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Duke Blue Devils Erin Rynning




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Betting markets react to Thursday's results

03.22.2013     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at some of the early line moves for Saturday's NCAA Tournament Round of 32. There were a few instances that on the surface look pretty reactionary to what took place on Thursday.

- Michigan State dominated Valparaiso and Memphis nearly coughed it up against St. Mary's. The Spartans opened -4.5 and were bet up to as high as -6 before settling in at -5.5.

- Wichita State crushed Pittsburgh while Gonzaga didn't exactly have an easy go of it against Southern. The Zags opened -7 vs. the Shockers but it was bet down to -6.

- Louisville scored 79 vs. NC A&T and Colorado State hung 84 on Missouri. No surprise to see the UL-CSU total bet up from 133 to 134/134.5.

- Butler looked sluggish at times but played a strong second half in its win over Bucknell. Marquette was lucky to get past No. 14 seed Davidson. Early money has come in on the Bulldogs with the Golden Eagles bet down from -2.5 to -2.



Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Michigan State, Butler More Dominant Than Final Scores

03.22.2013     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Michigan State crushed Valparaiso in Thursday’s first finisher. But, the final victory margin of 11 points doesn’t tell the story. Michigan State led 32-12 in the first half, 49-22 in the second half, and still by 21 with 2:17 left. Butler actually had the larger victory margin in their 12-point win over Bucknell. They had to surge late to get there…but that was only because they were a horrible 2 of 16 on treys until making their last bomb.

Starter vs. starter, superiority was pretty clear for both favorites…

Michigan State 65, Valparaiso 54

2-Point Percentage: Valparaiso 41%, Michigan St. 47%

3-Point Shooting: Valparaiso 7/25, Michigan St. 6/15

Free Throws: Valparaiso 9/14, Michigan St. 7/11

1’s and 2’s: Valparaiso 33, Michigan St. 47

Rebounds: Valparaiso 20, Michigan St. 44

Turnovers: Valparaiso 7, Michigan St. 17

(Valpo 65 in Kenpom, 67 in Sagarin, 61 in Read more


Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Butler Bulldogs Stat Intelligence




Big Ten Tournament Betting Preview

03.13.2013     04:08 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Big Ten Tournament Preview

Michigan State cut down the nets last year in Banker’s Life Fieldhouse as the winner of the Big Ten Tournament. The Spartans were the No. 1 seed which marked the fifth time in the last six years the top team won.  This year’s event moves to the United Center in Chicago and the bullseye will fall on the Indiana Hoosiers who won the regular season crown and earned the No. 1 seed after knocking off Michigan last Sunday.  However, this is as deep a tournament field as I can remember since the inaugural event in 1998.  For much of the regular season you could throw a blanket over Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State and even Wisconsin.  Keep in mind in late December Minnesota and Illinois were respectively ranked 11th and 12th in the country and then play in the No. 8 vs. No. 9 game tomorrow. 

First Round Pick/Darkhorse:  Iowa 
The Hawkeyes are a longshot to get to the Big Dance, but a rapidly improving basketball team, with a 20-11 record.  The Hawkeyes showed improvement down the stretch by winning six of their last eight games outright, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Erin Rynning




College Basketball Betting Recap: Indiana survives, Florida falters late

02.20.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I know the AP poll shows Florida down at #5. But, most of the reasonable metrics out there had some variation of Indiana and Florida at #1 and #2 in the nation entering tonight's play. Both were on the road this evening facing what might have been their toughest conference tests of the season. Indiana passed. Florida looked like they were going to pass with flying colors, but fell apart in such dramatic fashion that you have to wonder if they're really ready to run the table in the Dance when they'll have to play 40-minute games against opponents who know what they're doing.

Let's run the numbers...

Indiana 72, Michigan State 68

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 44%, Michigan State 49%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 8/18, Michigan State 4/15

Free Throws: Indiana 10/15, Michigan State 16/23

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 48, Michigan State 56

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Michigan State 31

Turnovers: Indiana 10, Michigan State Read more


Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hooisers Florida Gators Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: TCU's upset of Kansas highlights crazy night

02.07.2013     06:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Earlier tonight I posted the numbers from TCU’s upset of Kansas. There was a slew of games on this crazy night that could have earned their own post. That would have taken all night to write though. So, I’m going to cherry pick some key numbers from important games involving ranked teams.

#7 Arizona (-8.5) beat Stanford 73-67

Arizona fell behind Stanford 10-0 out of the gate, and it looked like we were going to see a replay of the UCLA game on this floor. But, the Wildcats settled down…got back into the game quickly enough, then pulled away in the final moments to win by six. If you buy into the theory that Arizona is overrated when they’re matched up against quality, that paid off against the market price. I’m still skeptical about how some of their Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Handicapping: Results from Saturday's marquee matchups

01.20.2013     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

With football out of the way, college basketball made sure it had a blockbuster schedule to capture the hearts and eyeballs of America’s sports fans. Yesterday’s string of marquee matchups definitely had a March Madness feel to it…which means it was a good early primer for those hoping to handicap the tournament in a couple of months.

I grabbed the key stats from the biggest games, with an eye toward starting to build profiles of teams and their tournament potential. Gut check games like we had today can be great indicators for March because strengths are neutralized, and weaknesses exposed. How you bully teams disappears when you can’t bully! Developments today will likely foreshadow issues that will come up in other big games…in the conference tournaments…and then once the Dance starts.

I’ll go in order of the poll rankings. But, because poll rankings can be off, I’ll also include the numbers coming into today from the most Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stal Intelligence




College Basketball Gambling: Big Ten trending OVER the total in non-conference play

12.19.2012     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seems like every year during non-conference play there is talk of Big Ten teams playing at a faster tempo. Then of course once conference play starts, games routinely fail to top 120 points. The Big Ten is currently 45-32 O/U but from a possessions-per-game perspective not a whole lot has changed. Indiana and Iowa are running just like last year. Illinois, Minnesota, and Ohio State are also looking to push the pace. Michigan State has made an effort to do get out in transition but the Spartans did the same thing last year during non-conference and ended up averaging 62.5 possessions per game in Big Ten play. The rest of the league continues to grind with Michigan, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Penn State and Nebraska all ranked among the slowest teams in the country. Wisconsin head coach Bo Ryan summed it up by saying that a lot of teams "look faster" during non-conference play in part because they can simply outclass the opposition. But with the exception of Nebraska (who is still slow as hell under Tim Miles) and Illinois, there are no new coaches or significant Read more


Tags: College Basketball Big Ten




Football Outsiders breaks down luckiest and unluckiest college football teams

12.13.2012     12:13 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting article on the luckiest and unluckiest teams in college football this season. Using some of its sabermetric-type numbers, Football Outsiders considers Michigan State, Oklahoma State, Michigan, BYU, and Cincinnati to be the five unluckiest teams. The five most fortunate include Ohio State, LSU, Stanford, Louisville and Notre Dame.



Tags: College Football



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