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January

19

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NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots

01.19.2018     09:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Jacksonville at New England
Sunday, Noon PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -8 O/U 46.5
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 46
Recommendation: New England

There’s plenty of buzz on the Jacksonville Jaguars here in Las Vegas. I’ve been hearing all week about how well the Jaguars match up with the Patriots and how the warm weather in Foxboro (gametime temperatures in the 40’s) is a major boost for Jacksonville’s chances. Throw in a mysterious Tom Brady hand/wrist injury that kept him out of practice on Thursday and all of a sudden, we’re seeing New England priced in the -7 range at home.

First and foremost; make no mistake about it: Tom Brady is going to play on Sunday. According to the Boston Globe’s Jim McBride, the Hall of Fame QB “didn’t seem hampered in any way” in the part of Wednesday’s practice that reporters were allowed to watch. And Brady consistently misses at least one day of regular practice during the regular season to rest his aging body. The Brady media buzz is just that – media buzz, Read more



Tags: NFL Jacksonville Jaguars New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Alert: Brady's hand injury pushes pointspread as low as -7

01.19.2018     08:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tom Brady hurt? Tom Brady hurt! While it's very unlikely he won't play (he's listed as "probable") Brady's hand injury has sparked some movement in the betting markets with CRIS currently showing New England -7 (-115). Other offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks remain at -7.5.


“We’re going to get ready for Jacksonville, do the best that we can, make the best decisions for the team that we can. That’s what we’re going to do,” Belichick said.

Asked how Brady’s status complicates the game plan, Belichick said, “I don’t know.” Asked a follow-up along similar lines, Belichick said, “I don’t know. We’ll see.”






Tags: NFL New England Patriots Jacksonville Jaguars




NFL Playoff Gambling: Bettors show support for Jaguars and Eagles

01.18.2018     09:01 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After seeing early money come in on both favorites for Sunday's NFL Conference Championship matchups, it's the underdogs that are now seeing support. New England opened -8 vs. Jacksonville and was bet up to as high as -9.5. The Patriots are now -8.5 offshore and -9 at a majority of the Las Vegas sportsbooks. Minnesota opened -3 at Philadelphia. The Vikings saw early action that drove the line up to -3.5. All of the -3.5s have currently been taken out with Minnesota now -3 both offshore and in Vegas. According to Sports Options, 63% of the "betting public" is on the Patriots with 58% have supported the Eagles.




Tags: NFL Jacksonville Jaguars New England Patriots Minnesota Vikings Philadelphia Eagles Las Vegas




NFL Playoff Gambling: Betting public on New England despite double-digit pointspread

01.11.2018     11:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Under Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots have been consistent profit producers. Including the postseason, the Patriots are 185-128-9 (59.1%) against the spread. But as the pointspread climbs, the results aren't nearly as strong. As a favorite of -7 or more, 66-61-4 (52.0%). And as double-digit favorites, like they are against the Tennessee on Saturday, 27-30-1 (47.4%). But that hasn't stopped the betting public from offering their support. According to Bookmaker.eu, 70% of bets taken have been on the Patriots.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Tennessee Titans




NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Jets at New England Patriots

12.30.2017     06:51 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Jets at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -16 o/U 46
CRIS Current: New England -14.5 O/U 43.5
Recommendation: New England

Incredibly, the New England Patriots are STILL an undervalued commodity at this stage of the campaign and at this stage of the franchise trajectory. Sure, the Pats won their fifth Super Bowl title in the Brady/Belichick era last February. Sure, the Pats are on pace to snare another #1 seed in the AFC with a victory here — this is most assuredly NOT a meaningless game for the home favorite. If they lose, they probably head to Pittsburgh for the AFC Championship Game, and I’m SURE that’s motivation enough. And yet the markets have been consistently behind New England’s capabilities all season, just like they’ve been in every recent season.

The Patriots went 13-3 ATS last year and covered the spread in all three of their playoff wins as well. This year, following their 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS start, guess what — the Pats have been the best pointspread team in football. They’re 8-1 Read more



Tags: NFL New York Jets New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Kansas City Chiefs a rare home underdog to Los Angeles Chargers

12.12.2017     09:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The last time the Kansas Chiefs closed as a home underdog was 2014 when they were catching +3 to the New England Patriots who went on to win the Super Bowl. KC won that game 41-14. As of this morning, the Chiefs are +1.5 to the Los Angeles Chargers. Both teams have undergone massive power rating adjustments over the last month.

Kansas City's Pointspreads at home
Week 15: +1.5 vs. San Diego
Week 14: -4.5 vs. Oakland
Week 12: -8.5 vs. Buffalo
Week 8: -7 vs. Denver
Week 6: -3.5 vs. Pittsburgh
Week 4: -6.5 vs. Washington
Week 2: -4 vs. Philadelphia

Los Angeles' Pointspreads on the road
Week 15: -1.5 at Kansas City
Week 12: -1 at Dallas
Week 10: +5 at Jacksonville
Week 8: +6.5 at New England
Week 6: +3 at Oakland
Week 5: +3 at NY Giants
Week 1: +3 at Denver

Also note, Kansas City closed -3.5 at LA in Week 3 and won 24-10.




Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Los Angeles Chargers




NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

12.01.2017     01:00 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Buffalo
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -9 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -9 O/U 48
Recommendation: New England

For the second consecutive season, the New England Patriots are, incredibly, an UNDER-valued commodity in the betting markets. Last year, despite their ‘public’ nature and their Super Bowl winning caliber roster, the wiseguys faded New England (and lost fading New England) week after week. The Pats finished the season with a truly remarkable 15-3-1 ATS record, including an 8-1 ATS mark on the highway.

It’s been more of the same here in 2017. The Patriots statistical profile hasn’t been pretty from Day 1, when New England got slapped around on their home field against Kansas City. Their full, season long numbers show a mediocre ballclub that allows 6.1 yards per play on defense (tied with Tampa for dead last in the NFL), unable to stop the run (4.9 yards per carry allowed, also tied for last in the NFL) and mediocre against the pass.

Those numbers are flat out lying, and that’s Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Buffalo Bills Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus all in on Eagles and Patriots

11.18.2017     09:03 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 11 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 at Dallas
2. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 vs. Oakland
3. DETROIT -2.5 at Chicago
4. MINNESOTA vs. LA Rams
5. NEW ORLEANS -7.5 vs. Washington

Least picked Sunday side: ARIZONA pk at Houston




Tags: NFL SuperContest




NFL Gambling: Kansas City vs. New England, Offshore vs. Las Vegas

09.07.2017     12:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So there's a NFL regular season game going on tonight with Kansas City taking on New England in Foxboro. Somewhat divided opinions with offshore sportsbooks leaning towards the Chiefs and Las Vegas sportsbooks all but saying we don't want any more action on the Patriots. According to Sports Options, 51% of the betting public is on the favorite and 51% is on the over; two relatively low marks considering the matchup.

Offshore Market
Pinnacle: New England -8-02
Matchbook: New England -8ev
Greek: New England -8-05

Las Vegas Market
Golden Nugget: New England -9.5
Jerry's: New England -9.5
Wynn, Stations, Coasts: New England -9
Westgate: New England -8.5




Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs New England Patriots Las Vegas




NFL Gambling: New England Patriots favored in every game according to CG Technology

05.11.2017     10:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
From one extreme to another, yesterday we discussed how the Cleveland Browns were underdogs in every game but one (pick 'em vs. NY Jets) according to CG Technology's early NFL lines. Here we have the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots laying points in EVERY regular season game (note that Week 17's game are not lined). Last season, the Patriots were underdogs in Week 1 to Arizona but were without the services of Tom Brady. Two weeks later, they closed a pick 'em vs. Houston (again, no Tom Brady). Overall, if you include the playoffs, New England was on average a -7 favorite. This year right at -6.5.

Week 1 - New England -7 vs. Kansas City
Week 2 - New England -4.5 at New
Week 3 - New England -9 vs. Houston
Week 4 - New England -9 vs. Carolina
Week 5 - New England -3 at Tampa Bay
Week 6 - New England -9.5 at NY Jets
Week 7 - New England -6.5 vs. Atlanta
Week 8 - New England -12 vs. LA Chargers
Week 9 - BYE
Week 10 - New England -3 at Denver
Week 11 - New England -1.5 vs. Oakland (Mexico City)
Week 12 - New England -9 vs. Miami
Week 13 - New England -7 at Buffalo
Week 14 - New England -4 at Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Las Vegas



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January

19


 
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