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College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP Miners

09.13.2014     06:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New Mexico State at UTEP
Saturday, 5 pm PT
CRIS Opener:
UTEP -10.5 O/U 62.5
CRIS Current: UTEP -10 O/U 56
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: UTEP -10
Drew Martin’s Recommendation: UTEP

In the 92nd edition of the Battle of I-10, UTEP will play host to New Mexico State on Saturday night in the Sun Bowl. The undefeated New Mexico State Aggies will make the journey from Las Cruces to El Paso in an attempt to win for the first time in this rivalry since 2008. As we dig into this out-of-conference matchup, we uncover some reasons to be skeptical of the undefeated underdog.

New Mexico State opened its season playing host to Cal Poly. The Aggies got the win, but it took until the middle of the fourth quarter to put Poly away with the final score being 28-10. The Aggies then went on the road in Week 2 in a conference matchup against Georgia State and came out of the Georgia Dome with a Read more

Tags: College Football New Mexico State Aggies UTEP Miners C-USA Drew Martin

NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Initial thoughts on the South Region

03.17.2014     07:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
The NCAA Tournament field is set and like most bettors, Sunday night is spent skimming through the first round matchups and forming initial thoughts and opinions. Keep in mind that a lot can change leading up to the start of the tournament – most notably where oddsmakers set the lines and where the betting markets drives said lines. For Monday's blog, I'll share my initial thoughts and opinions with our readers on all four regions.

No surprise to see Florida earn the no. 1 seed and get to play just down the road in Orlando... Always funny to see the difference power ratings bettors use vs. the criteria of the selection committee with Colorado, a no. 8 seed and ranked 55th (Sagarin) and 64th (Ken Pom) vs. Pitt, a no. 9 seed (20th (Sagarin) and 18th (Ken Pom)... Obviously going to look at turnovers with games involving VCU. The Rams' first round foe, Stephen F. Austin, not only has a respectable turnover rate (16.8) but the Lumberjacks actually forced turnovers at a higher rate (24.1) in conference play than VCU (23.1) – albeit against the rather weak competition of the Southland... Pointless to look at Tulsa’s entire body of Read more

Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange

College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 1-31-2014

01.31.2014     02:34 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Minnesota will be without its leading scorer again for Saturday's home game vs. Northwestern. Andre Hollins is recovering from an ankle injury sustained in the opening minute of a home win over Wisconsin on Jan. 22. Hollins averages 15.1 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.0 steals per game. He was unable to play earlier this week in an 82-78 loss at Nebraska.

Cincinnati senior center Justin Jackson returned to the lineup in Thursday's 69-66 win at Louisville. Jackson injured his ankle early in the first half of Sunday's win at Temple and didn't return. But he looked just fine against the Cardinals, producing 11 points, nine rebounds, three assists, two steals and two blocked shots in 37 minutes of playing time. The Bearcats won outright as nine-point underdogs and hooked up money-line supporters with a +350 return (paid $350 on $100 wagers). If you didn't know already, now you do. Cincy is a legit national-title contender because it rebounds and defends as well as team in the country. And Mick Cronin has a senior leader in Sean Kilpatrick that dropped 29 points on U of L and always wants the rock at crunch time.

Rick Pitino's squad had been without Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards

College Football Handicapping: Week 8 Injury Report

10.16.2013     08:24 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Before the loss to Texas last week, Oklahoma found out it would be missing senior LB Corey Nelson for the rest of the season due to a pectoral injury. The news got worse earlier this week when starting defensive tackle Jordan Phillips was lost for the rest of the year. Phillips will underdog surgery soon to relieve chronic back pain. Without Nelson and Phillips, the OU defense gave up 36 points and 255 rushing yards to the Longhorns. The Sooners had previously been allowing only 113.2 ypg and 13.0 ppg, so obviously Nelson and Phillips are already being missed.

Ole Miss will be without freshman sensation Robert Nkemdiche for the next three games due to a pulled hamstring suffered in last week’s gut-wrenching loss to Texas A&M. The Rebels might also be sans their other starting defensive end, C.J. Johnson, for Saturday’s home tussle vs. LSU. Johnson was downgraded to ‘doubtful’ after missing Tuesday’s practice with a sprained ankle. The offense is hurting, too, as one of its top weapons is ‘doubtful.’ That would be leading rusher and special-teams dynamo Jeff Scott (thigh), who is averaging 8.2 yards per carry and had a punt Read more

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards

College Football Betting: Mountain West Conference preview

07.18.2013     08:05 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Mountain West Conference Preview

Quarterback Driven League: The starting quarterback play in this conference is as deep and as talented as it has ever been. Returnees Derek Carr (Fresno State), David Fales (San Jose State), Cody Fajardo (Nevada), Chuckie Keeton (Utah State), Brett Smith (Wyoming), Nick Sherry (U.N.L.V.) Joe Southwick (Boise State) and Conner Smith all figure to either equal or increase their team’s offensive production of last season.

New Head Coaches: Nevada, San Jose State and Utah State will all have new head coaches this season. Utah State promoted from within as last season’s OC Matt Wells takes over and their transition should be seamless. The schemes remain in pace on each side of the ball and play during the spring practice session drew solid reviews from HC Wells. While the base systems will remain the same, the coordinators are new. OC Kevin McGiven was the OC at Montana State LY while DC Todd Orlando held the same position at Florida international LY.

At Nevada, Brian Polian takes over for Wolfpack legendary HC Chris Ault. Read more

Tags: CFB MWC Rob Veno

NCAA Basketball Betting Recap: Syracuse disintegrates, Kansas and New Mexico cut down nets

03.17.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

If you ever wondered by handicappers should pay attention to fatigue, the last 15 minutes of tonight’s Syracuse/Louisville game should have made it crystal clear. Syracuse hit a wall…a bit more than midway through their fourth game in four days. A 16-point lead evaporated in a finger snap. Another finger snap, and Louisville was up by that much!

Syracuse 45-29 in the first 25 minutes

Louisville 49-16 in the last 15 minutes

The treys stopped falling for Syracuse (the laws of math only let you tempt fate for so long), the legs stopped moving in their zone defense…which allowed Louisville to either pass for easy buckets or rebound misses for easy buckets. One team hit a wall just as the other finally found the right gear. Amazing to behold.

Louisville 78, Syracuse 61

2-Point Percentage: Syracuse 41%, Louisville 45%

3-Point Shooting: Syracuse 9/22, Louisville 6/19

Free Throws: Syracuse 12/26, Read more

Tags: College Basketball Syracuse Orange Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence

Mountain West Tournament Betting Preview

03.12.2013     01:44 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Mountain West Tournament Preview
The Mountain West Conference Tournament features nine teams, with five of them in position to earn an NCAA berth. As a result, this year’s tournament should be a wide open affair. The contenders include top seed New Mexico, No. 2 Colorado State, No. 3 (and host) UNLV, No. 4 San Diego State and No. 5 Boise State. The Aztecs have had the most success in the tournament in recent years with four straight championship game appearances and two titles including last year.
First Round Pick: Air Force
Air Force had a surprising 8-8 finish in the conference, just two games behind UNLV’s 10-6 mark. They also played UNLV very tough, beating the Rebels by 15 on their home court and falling in overtime here back in January. UNLV was 7-1 SU on its home court in conference play, but covered just twice and won by more than 10 just twice, against bottom feeders Nevada and Wyoming. They lost their last home game to Fresno State and also struggled to beat Boise State in their next to last game, winning by just four. Air Force did have some poor efforts away from home this year, but Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow

College Basketball Betting: Road teams have had success in San Diego State-New Mexico series

02.27.2013     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
San Diego State at New Mexico -5.5 O/U 131

The road side has been the play of late in the San Diego State-New Mexico series winning five off the last seven games outright. The trend goes back even further with road teams on a 14-3 ATS run. The betting markets aren’t buying it however with the Lobos bet up from -5 to -5.5/-6 for tonight's meeting. Through 57 Mountain West games this season, home teams have won 40 times (70.2%) straight up. It's the second highest rate behind the Missouri Valley at 71.2% (57-23). Also throw in the fact that in the first meeting, SDSU embarrassed UNM 55-34.

Tags: College Basketball San Diego State Aztecs New Mexico Lobos

NCAAB Betting Notes: Travel, lack of fan support concerns for New Mexico and Cincinnati

12.27.2012     02:11 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New Mexico at Cincinnati -6 O/U 137

Couple of handicapping factors to keep in mind for tonight's New Mexico-Cincinnati game. Because of yesterday's snowstorm that ripped through the Midwest, the Lobos flew from Albuquerque to Denver to Chicago to Louisville and then a 100-mile bus ride to Cincinnati. Cincinnati meanwhile may not have much home support if any. Despite a 12-0 record and top 10 ranking, the Bearcats have averaged only 6,800 fans and the football team is playing later this afternoon in the Belk Bowl in Charlotte, NC.

“Everyone would like to be 13-0, but last I checked there’s only five or six in the country that get to Christmas where they haven’t lost a game,” Alford said. “For us to be at 12-1, I think we’re way ahead of schedule. Had I looked at this schedule early in the year, I

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Cincinnati Bearcats New Mexico Lobos

College Football Gambling Update: Non-bye week teams prepare for final stretch

11.05.2012     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly

Updating our “non-bye week teams” for the 2012 season. We tracked the results of this profile (final three games both SU and ATS) dating back to 2008 and came up with 37-62 SU and 44-52 ATS betting against.  

California - Lost at home last week to Washington as 4-point chalk. With Oregon coming to town and a trip to Corvallis, the season – and Jeff Tedford’s tenure? – appear all but over.

UNLV - Three winnable games left against Hawaii, Colorado State and Wyoming. The Rebels have covered five straight.

New Mexico - The depth-shy Lobos are already running on fumes. After blowing a big lead against Fresno State two weeks ago, UNM was a no-show in Saturday's 35-7 loss at UNLV. Three games remaining starting this week at home against Wyoming.

Western Michigan - Last week's win at Central Michigan snapped an 0-3 SU/ATS slide. Two games remaining against bottom feeders Buffalo and Eastern Michigan. Read more

Tags: College Football


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