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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

06.22.2018     10:18 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Chicago (Quintana) at Cincinnati (Castillo) +130 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Cincinnati

Don’t look yet, but the Cincinnati Reds are playing their best baseball of the season right now. Cinci has won four straight including yesterday’s series opener against the Cubs, while taking seven of their last nine overall. It’s a fairly significant uptick for a team that had been playing miserable baseball for extended stretches this season; a squad that was 22-43 prior to their current hot streak. And when a team goes 22-43 over a span of more than two months, the betting markets have done what betting markets do – dropping Cincinnati like a rock. This current Reds uptick has come with Cinci at their most ‘value laden’ price points of the entire season, including yesterday’s +165 cash.

Similar to the team behind him, Cinci starter Luis Castillo got off to a very rough start this year. Castillo finished April with a 7.85 ERA after a string of five consecutive ugly road outings. Since that time, basically every stat that gets tracked has improved for the Reds second year starter. He struck out ten Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds Teddy Covers

CFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Saskatchewan Roughriders at Ottawa Redblacks

06.21.2018     08:58 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Saskatchewan at Ottawa
Recommendation: Saskatchewan first half

The Saskatchewan Roughriders rode a strong defensive performance to a Week 1 victory as home dogs against the defending Grey Cup champions last week and will look to keep their momentum rolling into Ottawa as they take to the road for Week 2. Ottawa is the only team that didn’t play in Week 1 providing a unique handicap here with Saskatchewan having a game under their belt already while Ottawa will be opening up their regular season here. Saskatchewan QB Zach Collaros and the Riders offense is far from a finished product and they were lackluster for most of last week’s game. The team scored 27 points but one of the TD’s came on a Ricky Ray Pick Six and a couple other scoring drives were heavily aided by Toronto penalties on defense so the Saskatchewan offense is still a work in progress despite the scoring output in Week 1. The Saskatchewan defense was outstanding last week as they held the Argos to fewer than 300 total yards which is a great accomplishment for any CFL defense. Saskatchewan will play WR turned CB Duron Carter exclusively in their Read more

Tags: CFL Saskatchewan Roughriders Ottawa Redblacks Ian Cameron

College Football Handicapping: LSU Tigers draws tough conference slate

06.20.2018     08:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
In doing some of our preseason college football schedule analysis we stumbled upon something in the SEC worth noting. Whoever made LSU's conference schedule must have it out for the Tigers. For starters, LSU draws Georgia and Florida from the East Division. Based on regular season over/under wins, those are the top two teams in the East with the Bulldogs lined at 10.5 wins and the Gators 8. Next, and most important, is how many SEC teams play LSU off of bye week. In Week 8, LSU will be playing its fourth straight SEC game while Mississippi State enters off of a bye. In Week 11, after playing rival Alabama, the Tigers travel to Arkansas who comes in off of a bye week. Only twice does LSU play a conference foe that played a league game the week prior: Florida at Mississippi State and then vs. LSU; Georgia vs. Vanderbilt and then at LSU. Overall, there are three teams (Alabama, Arkansas, and Mississippi State) that face LSU rested and Read more

Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC

CFL Betting Free Pick: Edmonton Eskimos at Winnipeg Blue Bombers

06.14.2018     07:35 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Edmonton -7.5 at Winnipeg O/U 49.5
Recommendation: Over

We have seen some deflation in the total here in this 2018 CFL season opener between the Edmonton Eskimos and Winnipeg Blue Bombers taking place on Thursday night. Note this game will be airing live on ESPN2 in the United States as are all Week 1 games in the CFL. This is a rematch of the West Division Semifinal from last year’s playoffs which Edmonton won and covered on this field by a score of 39-32. Edmonton should have a terrific offense yet again this season with veteran QB Mike Reilly at the controls and coming off a very strong 2017 season. RB C.J. Gable transformed this offense after the Eskimos acquired him midway through last season in a trade with Hamilton. After Gable’s addition to the team in early October last season, Edmonton scored 28+ points in every remaining game and went 6-1 SU and ATS in the process. They became a very well balanced offense that was difficult to stop and even with Brandon Zylstra leaving for the NFL, the Eskimos still possess plenty of talented receivers for Reilly to throw the ball to with this Edmonton passing Read more

Tags: CFL Edmonton Eskimos Winnipeg Blue Bombers Ian Cameron

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers

06.12.2018     10:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Texas (Colon) at Los Anegels (Ferguson) -175 O/U 8
Recommendation: Over

My clients and I have been cashing winners betting the Dodgers Over the total in recent days, and there’s little reason to expect a dramatically different result from LA’s hot lineup against Bartolo Colon tonight.

To say that the Dodgers bats are on fire right now would not be an overstatement. LA has scored 11, 12, 10, 5, 9, 8, 7, 3 and 7 runs in their last nine ballgames, cashing eight Overs in the process. Just about every power bat that Dave Roberts has at his disposal is crushing the ball. LA has hit three home runs or more seven times in nine June games while leading the majors (by far) with 26 dingers already this month.

That’s bad news for Bartolo Colon, who needed 97 pitches to labor through five innings of work in his last outing. Colon is extremely vulnerable to the home run ball, allowing 16 bombs in just 71.1 innings of work so far this season. Current Dodgers have hit .288 against him with five home runs in a decent sample size of 104 at bats. Behind Colon, the Rangers bullpen has already taken 11 losses this Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Los Angeles Dodgers Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners

06.01.2018     11:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Tampa Bay (Romo) +122 at Seattle (Leake) O/U 8
Recommendation: Tampa Bay

The betting markets are having a hard time pricing the Tampa Bay Rays correctly these days, now that manager Kevin Cash has gone to Sergio Romo as his ‘opener’. Romo will be making his fifth start for Tampa – the first four coming in a nine day span in May -- but his longest stint was 1.1 innings.

The Rays braintrust have decided that opening with a reliever who can get righties out is the way to go right now, but the betting markets have no clear path to follow in games where the ‘starter’ doesn’t enter the game until the second inning. That offers value for bettors who can accurately assess Tampa’s chances for winning – teams that think outside the box in MLB often offer overlays for savvy gamblers.

Romo is taking his new role very seriously: "It's an opportunity to help my team out in a different situation, in a different inning, but with the same concept. The concept in our job is to get outs, regardless of the inning. It's fun that it's the beginning and I'm all for it. If they think I help Read more

Tags: MLB Tampa Bay Rays Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Coaches offer opinions on legalized sports betting

05.31.2018     07:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A few SEC football coaches weigh in on the potential climate of legalized sports betting. To no surprise, they are generally aware of its popularity; so much so that they receive emails regarding the betting outcome of their games.

“I think they pay attention to it. Right?,” Mullen said. “I’ve seen enough e-mails after game to know they pay attention to it.”

“They are usually pissed anyway,” Muschamp joked about the Gamecocks’ fan base.

Tags: College Football SEC

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies

05.25.2018     10:53 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cincinnati (Romano) at Colorado (Gray) -200 O/U 11.5
Recommendation: Over

The highest total on the MLB betting board on Friday is at Coors Field in Colorado. The early sharp money has shown for the Over as well, although savvy bettors can find a plus price return on Over 11.5, the current prevailing number. On a warm, clear, dry night in the foothills of the Rocky Mountains, we can expect both of these offenses to produce runs in bunches.

Colorado’s Jon Gray threw three consecutive dominant starts in late April/early May. But all three of those outings came against struggling lineups. Against two decent hitting teams in his last two starts – San Francisco and Milwaukee – Gray struggled from the opening pitch, allowing 19 hits and 11 earned runs in just nine innings of work. It’s surely worth noting that Gray’s velocity was down fairly significantly in those last two outings.

Cincinnati has seen Jon Gray before and had success against him before, with current Reds hitting .306 against him. Cinci comes into this game in solid offensive form, scoring 16 runs in their just concluded series Read more

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapping: Milwaukee Brewers should be good "over" bet moving forward

05.11.2018     09:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been one of the strongest "under" teams in MLB with a 13-23-2 O/U mark. A key component to that figure has been a lack of offense. The Brewers rank 26th in team SLG (.381) and 27th in wRC+ (85). This article makes the argument that the offense as a whole as underachieved and is projected to improve moving forward. On the flip side, the pitching staff has overachieved, with the league's second highest ERA-FIP differential (-0.70). Moving forward, bettors should be looking for opportunities to play the Brewers over the total. 

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

05.09.2018     10:02 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Boston (Porcello) +125 at New York (Tanaka) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Boston

It’s not often that you will get the Boston Red Sox at this kind of price tag with Rick Porcello on the mound and I feel this is a spot and matchup worthy of taking advantage of this rare opportunity. Porcello has had a fine start to the 2018 season registering a rock solid 2.14 ERA in 6 starts and Boston is 5-1 in those six Porcello starts. He is on a six consecutive quality start streak entering tonight’s game against the Bronx Bombers and current Yankees hitters are collectively batting a paltry .204 average. One of the keys to his success has also been keeping the ball in the yard as Porcello has conceded only 2 home runs in 46.1 innings of work this season. That coincides with his massive jump in groundball rate percentage going from 39.2% last year to 47.6% so far this season along with a drop in his home run to fly ball rate which has gone from 14.7% last season to 4.8% this season. That type of profile in theory should go a long way toward having some success against this Yankees lineup which has feasted on the home run ball for the Read more

Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox New York Yankees Ian Cameron


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