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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals

05.02.2016     12:19 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia (Hellickson) at St. Louis (Wainwright) -170 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over


Not sold on Jeremy Hellickson who did have a good April posting a 1.19 WHIP and a pair of quality starts. The hesitancy toward backing him is that we’ve seen enough of his career to know exactly what he brings to the table and his early 2016 results are a bit better than what can be expected of him. That being said, even less inclined to back Adam Wainwright who has been abysmal thus far and looks to be in the mold of older veteran starter whose best days are behind him and now needs to re-invent himself. His 7.16 ERA through five starts isn’t a skewed number; he has been hit in every outing and has not recorded a game ERA lower than 4.50. Four of his five game WHIP results have been 1.50 or higher and he’s allowed 71 total bases including walks in only 27.2 innings. The St. Louis offense which currently ranks among the best in MLB has certainly come to the aid of Wainwright more often than not this season scoring eight or more runs in three of his five starts. Their MLB leading .845 OPS against RH pitching gives them a strong likelihood of Read more



Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies St. Louis Cardinals Rob Veno




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to Handicap NFL Season Over/Under Wins Part I

05.02.2016     10:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Over the past decade, the NFL betting marketplace has evolved into a year round process. The very first Super Bowl odds for 2017 came out before the Broncos beat the Panthers in the Super Bowl this past February.  CG Technology posted lines for every NFL game through the first 16 weeks of the season prior to the draft.  Week 1 regular season lines are widely available right now.  And the NFL Season Win Total marketplace, while still a long way from maturity, has seen a handful of key shops, like the Westgate Superbook, post virgin numbers in recent days.

My process for handicapping the upcoming NFL season begins immediately after the draft.  This is the time of year to focus on those aforementioned season win totals.  My NFL prep work begins each spring with a thorough look back at last year’s results.

Why look back, you ask?  The answer, of course, is simple – because that’s where I find my very first edges when approaching the upcoming season.  If my base power rating heading into the offseason wasn’t wholly accurate, it results in inaccurate adjustments moving forward.  Part 1 of my process begins Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Prop bets galore for tonight's draft

04.28.2016     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL Draft begins tonight at 5 pm PT on ESPN. That means a number of sportsbooks will be offering prop bets on the outcomes. Below are a few options currently being offered at 5Dimes.

QBs in Round 1
2.5 Over -3000
2.5 Under +1300

RBs & WRs in Round 1
5.5 Over +4.5
5.5 Under -750

Offensive Players in Round 1
13.5 over +115
13.5 under -155

Defensive Players in Round 1
17.5 Over -170
17.5 under +130

Ohio State Players Drafted
13.5 Over -115
13.5 Under -125

SEC Players in Round 1
8.5 Over -190
8.5 Under +150

Mr. Irrelevant (last player drafted)
Offensive Player -110
Defensive Player -110




Tags: NFL




NBA Betting: Playoff series receive influx of intrigue following injuries to Curry and Paul

04.26.2016     09:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
What was originally on pace to be a snoozer first round has all of a sudden gotten really interesting. Golden State's Steph Curry (knee) is out for two weeks which would have made their second round matchup vs. the Los Angeles Clippers far more intriguing. Instead, the Warriors caught a break after Chris Paul broke his hand and will likely miss the rest of the postseason. And with the series tied 2-2, it's conceivable the Warriors could draw Portland. The Clippers are 3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS, and 7-1 O/U without Paul this season. Meanwhile, after sweeping Memphis is one of the easiest series in history, San Antonio has quietly moved to the slight favorite over Golden State to win the NBA Championship.




Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers




NFL Handicapping: Sportsbook adjusts odds following Brady suspension

04.26.2016     08:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsbooks have reacted to the news of Tom Brady's four-game suspension. New England is still priced among the favorites to win Super Bowl LI but Week 1's game at Arizona went from a pick 'em to +4.5 at CG Technology. Following Week 1, the Patriots play three consecutive home games (vs. Miami, vs. Houston, and vs. Buffalo) and are projected to be -3 favorites or higher in all three sans Brady.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The Secret Truth About the NFL

04.25.2016     08:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Everybody is talking about quarterbacks, with the NFL draft upcoming, starting on Thursday.  In recent weeks, both the St Louis Rams and the Philadelphia Eagles paid a steep price to move up to #1 and #2. The expectations are that California's Jared Goff and North Dakota State's Carson Wentz will go with the top two picks, although their draft order is still up in the air. 

If things go well with those two picks, the Rams and Eagles will be set up for the long term with above average quarterbacks.  If things go poorly with those two picks, the Rams and Eagles will be steady, consistent losers until the next time they draft a QB in the first round.  In fact, that’s exactly where the Rams have just been since they picked Sam Bradford #1 overall back in 2010.

The advanced metric pundits are all screaming bad deal for the two teams that traded up, and great deal for the two teams that traded down (Tennessee and Cleveland).  And the history of QB’s going #1 and #2 in the draft hasn’t seen two above average quarterbacks in those spots since 1971. 

Here’s the list:
2015- Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariota Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres

04.22.2016     10:35 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Wainwright) -128 at San Diego (Cashner) O/U 7
Recommendation: Over


Petco has historically been the lowest scoring, least hitter friendly park in all of baseball.  The outfield walls are deep, the power alleys even deeper and the ball does not carry in the dense warm air by the ocean.

And for the better part of the 21st century, the Padres pitching –both starters and bullpen -- has been consistently better than their lineup, keeping their totals deflated.  That’s not the case this year, especially with their bullpen, currently ranked #22 in MLB in ERA, off another dismal showing last night – eight runs allowed in three innings of work.  That’s particularly bad news with St Louis coming to town – the Cardinals have the second highest scoring offense in baseball this year while pounding out 38 runs in their first six road games.

The Padres have now gone over the total in five straight games on this homestand.  And there’s ample reason to think that San Diego will be able to put some crooked numbers on the scoreboard tonight as well against Adam Wainwright.  Read more



Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals San Diego Padres Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Betting markets don't believe in Thunder and Clippers

04.18.2016     10:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When it comes to the chase for the NBA Championship this year, Golden State has taken all the oxygen in the room. What little hype that has been able to escape the Warriors vortex has gravitated towards San Antonio, especially as the Spurs were chasing the NBA all-time record for most home wins in a season. 

Then Kobe went out and scored 60 on the final night of the regular season.  LeBron announced that he was getting off social media and immediately proceeded to go on a ten game tear to close out the regular season, leading the prohibitive favorite to come out of the East, Cleveland Cavaliers.  The national media spotlight just isn’t big enough to cover more stories than the easy ones that have fallen into their laps over the last few months.

And that leaves two teams that I think are legitimate title contenders sitting as relative afterthoughts in the national media spotlight and in the betting markets.  The Oklahoma City Thunder were priced in the 15-1 range to win the NBA Title entering the playoffs.  The Los Angeles Clippers were even higher, priced in the 30:1 range.  Even though the spotlight is shining brightly on the Read more



Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Cippers Oklahoma City Thunder Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling Alert: Golden State's Curry still questionable for Game 2

04.18.2016     08:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Still no word on Stephen Curry's (ankle) official status for tonight's Game 2 matchup vs. Houston. Despite this, the Warriors have taken money (-12.5 to -13.5) but the total was bet down from 221.5 to 218.

Here's Curry's quote from Saturday:


“Right now I don't see a scenario where I'll be out,” said Curry, who turned his right ankle in the second quarter of a Game 1 win over the Rockets (104-78) at Oracle Arena on Saturday. “Obviously, if it's not right and at risk of further injury or whatnot, that's the only thing that I think we have to worry about. Pain tolerance and all that stuff, I kind of know what I can deal with on the court, but you don't want anything more serious to happen favoring an ankle or whatnot. So that's what we'll pay attention to the next few days.”






Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors Houston Rockets




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks

04.16.2016     07:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston +5.5 at Atlanta O/U 204.5
Recommendation: Boston


Something pretty remarkable happened on Wednesday Night, in Game 82 of the regular season.  It got overshadowed by Kobe Bryant’s 60-point outing in his final career game, leading the Lakers to a last minute come-from-behind win over Utah.  It got overshadowed by the Warriors winning #73, finishing with the best regular season record in NBA history.  But make no mistake about it – it was meaningful!

The Boston Celtics defense stunk for a good portion of the last two months.  Since the All Star Break, Boston’s D has gone from allowing 99.6 points per 100 possessions up to 104.7 pp/100.  Over their previous eight games, they ranked #19 in the NBA, allowing more than 106 pp/100.  In the first half of Game #82 against Miami, the Celtics defense got lit up once again.  Miami led 62-38 at halftime, on their way to an easy blowout win over Boston.

But something funny happened on the way to that easy win – the Celtics started playing defense at a level we haven’t seen from them for months.  The Heat hit their first Read more



Tags: NBA Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Teddy Covers



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May

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 06, 2016 11:46 AM.