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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at Cleveland Indians

06.14.2017     08:27 AM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Los Angeles (McCarthy) +140 at Cleveland (Kluber) O/U 8
Recommendation: Los Angeles

The Cleveland Indians host the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight at Progressive Field. Corey Kluber takes the hill for the Tribe; his ninth start of the year and third since being activated from the DL. Last time out, Kluber went six innings and allowed three runs on seven hits with eight strikeouts against the White Sox. It was a very favorable matchup and the second time this season Kluber rolled through Chicago's lineup. In fact, if you eliminate Kluber's two outings against the White Sox, his ERA is an alarming 5.50 over seven starts.

Brandon McCarthy doesn't always get the respect he deserves because he's so injury prone. But when healthy, his stuff grades out as well above average. Note that his average exit velocity against, according to Statcast, is 84.4 mph. That ranks seventh-best out of 146 starters with at least 100 balls put in play. McCarthy has been throwing a cutter at a much higher rate this year which has significantly helped his ability to tame left-handed bats.

Cleveland is one of the most over-priced teams in Read more

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Dodgers Cleveland Indians Drew Martin

MLB Handicapping: League-wide home run rate continues to climb

06.13.2017     08:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Look across the MLB slate for today. What do you notice? For starters, only one game -- in San Francisco -- is lined below 8. Three games are lined 10 or higher and Colorado and Arizona are on the road. Marcus Stroman is hitting opposite field bombs. Justin Smoak is closing in on his career high in dingers...through 62 games. Last night, Nick Markakis, who has previously hit one home run, took Stephen Strasburg deep to the opposite field. Seriously, what the hell is going on? We know what's going on: MLB did something to the baseball and it's resulted in an incredible rise in home run rate. Surprisingly, "overs" have only hit at around 52.5% -- but that number is obviously skewed some as a majority of totals over the last month plus have been bet and thus closed higher. One would think we're approaching a tipping point but the weather is only going to get warmer meaning balls will be flying even further over the next three months.

Baseball is on its 15th consecutive regular-season month with a higher home-run rate on contact than the previous

Read more

Tags: MLB

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs

06.08.2017     10:58 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Colorado (Chatwood) +165 at Chicago (Lester) O/U 9
Recommendation: Colorado

This is not the greatest pitching matchup from a Colorado perspective but the plus price is too good to pass up. The red hot and surging Rockies are an outstanding 38-23 including 21-10 on the road. Tyler Chatwood has had some rough patches this season but he’s also notched three consecutive strong starts on the road allowing just three runs over 20 IP. All told, he owns a 2.68 ERA on the highway. Chatwood is 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA against the Cubs in his career and he pitched a 7-inning shutout against this lineup last season right here at Wrigley Field. I think Chatwood and the strong Colorado bullpen behind him have a chance to neutralize the Cubs' lineup in tonight’s series opener. On the flip side, veteran lefty Jon Lester takes the mound for Chicago and his current form over his last three starts is mediocre at best with a 4.92 ERA. He's surrendered 9 runs in his last 9.1 innings of work and has allowed at least one home run in each of his last two trips to the mound. Colorado has won four straight games entering tonight’s contest Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs Ian Cameron

Gambling Update: Sportsbook forced to take down hilarious commercial

06.05.2017     10:10 AM     Printer Friendly

You knew this was coming...

Sportsbet had attempted to argue that the ad’s multiple references to athletes deriving benefits from performance enhancing drugs (PED) were “clearly comical in nature,” but the Board nonetheless determined that the ad had breached section 2.6 of the advertising Code.

However, the Board dismissed complaints that claimed the ad was condoning or encouraging the use of PEDs. The Board also rejected complaints that said the ad was primarily directed at children, saying kids “would be unlikely to understand the double entendre references to drug use.”

Australian sportsbook catches flack for clever commercial

05.17.2017     08:02 AM     Read more

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners

06.01.2017     10:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Colorado (Freeland) +115 at Seattle (Gallardo) O/U 9
Recommendation: Colorado

The Colorado Rockies have been remarkably adept at avoiding extended losing streaks this season. The Rockies have matched their longest skid of the year, heading into their afternoon affair in Seattle today, dropping each of their last three games.

Following the Rockies lone previous three game skid this year – at home against Washington – they immediately responded with back-to-back wins as part of a 4-2 road trip. I’m expecting similar results this afternoon from a squad that has played .667 ball on the highway this season while cashing an impressive 20 different times already this season at an underdog price.

The Mariners scored exactly one run in five straight losses last week, including three consecutive home losses to the White Sox. They got shut out twice in Boston last weekend. Even though their bats have been more productive this week, Seattle is not a team that I trust to put crooked numbers up on the scoreboard on a regular basis.

The Mariners are 3-7 with Yovani Gallardo on the hill. Of their nine Read more

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies Seattle Mariners Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: A quick look at first-year coordinators

06.01.2017     08:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Yesterday we posted a chart on all of the head coach changes for the upcoming college football season. More often than not, with new coaches comes new coordinators. Below is a list of some of the more prominent names.

California - The Golden Bears appear to be going in the opposite direction of former head coach Sonny Dykes' "all offense, no defense" system. First-year head coach Justin Wilcox has been a DC for much of his career and brought along longtime Air Force HC Tim DeRuyter to serve as DC. Beau Baldwin, who turned Eastern Washington into a FCS powerhouse, was named OC.

UConn - It's been years since the Huskies posted even average offensive numbers. Randy Edsall return to Storrs and looks for former Auburn OC Rhett Lashlee to help turn things around.

Florida Atlantic - Not shy about turmoil, Lane Kiffin went ahead and picked up former Baylor OC Kendal Briles to run the offense. Kiffin has been candid about saying Briles will have "complete control" of the play calling. That is until the Owls fail to score a touchdown Read more

Tags: College Football

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Oakland A's at Cleveland Indians

05.30.2017     10:52 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Oakland (Gray) at Cleveland (Bauer) -160 O/U 9
Recommendation: Under

Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has always been a guy that at times can't get out of his own way. But there's no denying that he's got above average MLB stuff. Bauer has been on the unlucky side of things this season with a .328 BABIP and 65% LOB rate. He's also allowed home runs on over 22% of his fly balls. Despite that, his strikeout rate is north of 10 and his walk rate is right on par with his career average. All of this of course plays out in Bauer's sky high ERA (6.30) and above average xFIP (3.42). It’s tough to label and Cleveland pitcher as “bet on” due to the Indians’ inflated status in the betting markets but Bauer has better days on the horizon. After throwing a ton of innings in college and back-to-back 200+ innings his second and third seasons for the A's, I think Sonny Gray benefited from having an abbreviated 2016 (117 IP). He started the season on the DL but looks to be at full strength with 19 strikeouts and 31 swinging strikes in his last two starts. I really see both starters as being a bit undervalued at this point -- and both Read more

Tags: MLB Oakland A's Cleveland Indians OTTO Sports

MLB Gambling: Los Angeles Angels are about to implode

05.30.2017     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
With Houston already 20 games over .500, it was unrealistic to think the Los Angeles Angels were going to make much of any noise in the AL West despite currently being tied for second place. But with reports saying Mike Trout could be out for 6-8 weeks with a thumb injury AND a brutal scheduling stretch upcoming, the Angels are primed for a hard fall. Up until this point, LA has enjoyed a fairly favorable schedule. They've faced 12 teams and all but Houston and Tampa Bay are currently above .500. That's about to change with 16 games (11 on the road) against the Astros, Yankees, Red Sox and Dodgers over the next month. 

Tags: MLB Los Angeles Angels

MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants

05.26.2017     09:15 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlanta (Garcia) at San Francisco (Cain) -115 O/U 8
Recommendation: San Francisco

To say the betting markets HATE Matt Cain is something of an understatement. How much do they dislike Cain? Well, this is only the second time he’s been favored all year (higher than -110). The first came at home against the lowly Padres with Jhoulys Chacin on the hill. And here, against a Braves team that’s five games under .500 and just lost their best hitter to the DL, Cain still is only in the -115 range, even AFTER a market move in his favor in early betting action on Friday.

In his road starts, the markets have been 100% correct in fading the aging Giants hurler – he’s thrown well only once in five tries, including a particularly ugly outing in St Louis last weekend. But pitching in his comfort zone on a typical cool May evening in San Francisco, Cain offers legitimate bet-on potential, especially in this attractive underdog price range.

The numbers don’t lie. Matt Cain has a 8.28 ERA on the highway this year, but he’s allowed only three runs in his four starts here at AT&T Park; a Read more

Tags: MLB Atlanta Braves San Francisco Giants Teddy Covers

MLB Handicapping: Colorado's pitching staff thriving under new regime

05.23.2017     09:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article on the early success of Colorado's young pitching staff under the watch of manager Bud Black and pitching coach Steve Foster. The Rockies rank third in ground ball rate at 50.1% and eighth in xFIP at 3.96. The one concern moving forward is how the staff is handled the back half of the season once their innings start to pile up. Antonio Senzatela and Kyle Freeland are rookies and Tyler Anderson and German Márquez are in their second season. Jon Gray, who was projected to be the ace of the staff, is slated to return from a broke foot in mid-to-late June. 

Tags: MLB Colorado Rockies


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