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NCAA Tournament Free Betting Pick: Loyola Ramblers vs. Tennessee Volunteers

03.17.2018     07:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Loyola-Chicago vs. Tennessee -5 O/U 130
Recommendation: Tennessee

Betting markets focus on statistical profiles. The Ramblers have an impressive statistical profile. They rank in the Top 20 nationally in effective field goal percentage from both two point range and three point range. And Loyola ranks in the Top 25 nationally in defensive efficiency; putting up impressive numbers on both ends of the court. Throw in a 29-5 SU record following their opening round win against Miami and you can understand why this pointspread is as short as it is.

What happens when the betting markets don’t have much of a sample size for mid-majors as they step up in class? Simple – any win they notched against a quality foe gets factored into the equation like it was a HUGE deal. Loyola played one true ‘step-up-in-class’ game all year prior to the win over Miami. The Ramblers won that game SU, at Florida, a win that looks great on their resume and ‘Proves’ they can hang with quality foes.

Of course, bettors are loathe to go back and do some research to figure out HOW Loyola won those two games. The Read more

Tags: College Basketball Loyola Ramblers Tennessee Volunteers Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: UNC Asheville at USC Trojans

03.13.2018     08:30 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
UNC Asheville +16.5 at USC O/U 152
Recommendation: UNC Asheville

Sometimes, power ratings, pointspreads, and matchups don't mean a thing in these secondary tournaments. Two of the biggest factors come down to travel and motivation. Both factors are pulling against one another in tonight's UNC-Asheville-USC matchup. The Bulldogs, who won the Big South regular season, will make the cross country trek to Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Trojans were arguably the most deserving team to not get into the NCAA Tournament and are justifiably upset.

“The feeling is the same,’ Enfield said of frustration held over from Sunday’s bracket reveal. “It doesn’t go away in a day. Because we should be in the NCAA Tournament. We deserve to be, and we’re one of the best at-large teams out there.”

Enfield went as far as to say he may sit players who are not 100 percent healthy and/or could risk injury and thus damage their stock as a pro prospect. And by all accounts, if it was up to Enfield and his players, they would have passed on the NIT bid. USC is talented enough to beat Asheville Read more

Tags: College Basketball UNC Asheville Bulldogs USC Trojans OTTO Sports

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers

03.09.2018     01:29 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlanta at Indiana -8.5 O/U 212
Recommendation: Indiana

It’s circle the wagons time in Indianapolis tonight as the hungry Pacers take on the bottom-feeder Hawks. Indiana is coming off a humiliating home loss to Utah on Wednesday Night; a 20 point defeat in which Nate McMillan’s squad hit only 3-23 from three point range while allowing the Jazz to hit better than 51% from the floor. The Pacers lost at Atlanta just last week in a flat, lethargic effort. And the quotes coming out of this locker room have bet-on written all over them.

Pacers center Myles Turner, their lone offensive bright spot in the loss to Utah: “It's a game we got to take personally. We're at home. We just got beat by 20 at our crib, that can't happen. We got to take that frustration into this game."

Pacers forward Trevor Booker noted what happened last week: “If you look at Atlanta, they are at the bottom, but you have to overlook that because they've been actually playing well lately. They've been moving the ball well and they beat us last time we played them. So we're going to be coming out and trying to avenge that Read more

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Toronto Raptors at Detroit Pistons

03.07.2018     01:39 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Toronto -5 at Detroit O/U 212.5
Recommendation: Toronto

The call the Pistons the biggest disappointment in the East since the Blake Griffin trade would not be an overstatement.  And yes, that includes the ‘pointspread freefaller’ Cleveland Cavaliers; a team that just annihilated the Pistons by 20 in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score might indicate – a complete blowout after halftime.

The results do not lie.  Detroit is now 2-9 SU in their last 11 ballgames, including three SU and ATS losses – all by double digit margins -- right here at Little Caesars Arena.  They’ve dropped 4.5 games out of the playoff picture in the East.  They’re also in the midst of a brutal scheduling run, playing their eighth game in 14 days with a pair of back-2-backs in the mix.  This is a tired team, lacking in confidence and lacking much of a home court edge these Read more

Tags: NBA Toronto Raptors Detroit Pistons Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

03.07.2018     06:44 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Colorado +7 vs. Arizona State O/U 147
Recommendation: Colorado

Pretty interesting to see 11-7 Stanford laying -9 vs. 2-16 California and then 8-10 Arizona State laying -7 vs. 8-10 Colorado. The Sun Devils' statistical profile (+0.02 points per possession) within the PAC-12 is a tad stronger than 8-10. And certainly stronger than that of Colorado (-0.05 ppp). But in watching both squads and looking at this matchup through the lense of a "one game" scenario, I have a difficult time seeing seven points worth of difference. The Buffaloes won the first meeting in Boulder, 90-81 in overtime. In the second meeting, ASU returned the favor with an 80-66 win in Tempe. It should be noted that Colorado led that game with 10 minutes to go but simply wore down; likely a result from playing the dreaded second game of a Thursday-Saturday PAC-12 road trip. Overall, Arizona State's power rating is still boosted by one of the best non-conference showings in the country thanks to wins over Xavier and Kansas. But over the course of an 18-game conference slate, the Sun Devils were far from dominant. Of their eight victories, three came against bottom Read more

Tags: College Basketball Colorado Buffaloes Arizona State Sun Devils Brent Crow

NHL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

03.06.2018     10:57 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Colorado +115 at Chicago O/U 6
Recommendation: Colorado

The Chicago Blackhawks are not the better of these two teams nor are they in a quality scheduling spot for this matchup against the Colorado Avalanche and that has me backing the road underdog in this matchup. Colorado is in a battle for one of the two Wildcard playoff spots in the Western Conference and are in need of victories at this stage of the season. The Avalanche have won three of their last four games and the only loss came to the defending Western Conference champs Nashville 4-3 in OT on Sunday afternoon. Nathan MacKinnon is in the midst of a career season with the Colorado Avalanche. MacKinnon has put up six goals and six assists during his five game point streak to boost his NHL best individual scoring average to 1.35 points per game. He’s already set career highs in goals and points and this Colorado team pretty much goes as their star Nathan MacKinnon does who forms a dynamic top line alongside Mikko Rantanen and captain Gabriel Landeskog. Colorado has also received some solid secondary scoring contributions from Matt Nieto who has goals in three Read more

Tags: NHL Colorado Avalanche Chicago Blackhawks Ian Cameron

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves at Utah Jazz

03.02.2018     10:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Minnesota at Utah -7 O/U 208
Recommendation: Utah

Utah went into the All-Star break on a season high ten game winning streak. They’ve come out of the break with some real clunkers, blown off the floor in a 19-point home loss to the Blazers, unable to extend their margin against the hapless Mavericks and struggling throughout an 11-point home loss to the Rockets.

Big man Derrick Favors, following the latest loss: “I definitely think there’s some rust from the all-star break. But it’s easy to fix. We have to improve on communication, on both ends of the floor. We have to improve on little things. But all of our issues, they are easy to fix.”

I concur wholeheartedly. Utah’s defense ranks #2 in the NBA since the All Star Break, allowing just 96.5 PP/100. But their offense has struggled mightily, just 90.7 PP/100; dead last in the NBA during that span. A big problem has been their inability to handle the basketball, dead last in the NBA in turnover percentage since the Break.

First, I don’t expect this to be a long term problem for the Jazz. Head coach Quin Synder, Read more

Tags: NBA Minnesota Timberwolves Utah Jazz Teddy Covers

College Basketball Handicapping: Rule changes announced for NIT

03.02.2018     09:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The NCAA announced four rule changes for the upcoming NIT.

​• The three-point line will be extended by approximately 1 foot 8 inches to the same distance used by FIBA for international competition (22 feet 1.75 inches).
​• The free throw lane will be widened from 12 feet to 16 feet, consistent with the width used by the NBA.
​• The games will be divided into four 10-minute quarters as opposed to two 20-minute halves. Teams will shoot two free throws beginning with the fifth foul of each quarter.
• The shot clock will reset to 20 seconds after an offensive rebound instead of the full 30 seconds.

“The style of play in men’s college basketball is healthy and appealing, but the leadership governing the game is interested in keeping the playing rules contemporary and trending favorably,” said Dan Gavitt, NCAA senior vice president of basketball. “Experimenting with two significant court dimension rules, a shot-clock reset rule and a game-format rule all have some level of

Read more

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Texas A&M +1600 to win SEC Tournament

02.28.2018     11:12 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas A&M +1600 to win SEC Tournament

A lot hasn't gone Texas A&M's way this season. Virtually all of the Aggies' core group has missed multiple games at multiple times due to injury or suspension. Included in that is senior point guard Duane Wilson who is out for the remainder of the year. A&M is 1-6 when Wilson doesn't suit up. But even without Wilson, this team has plenty of talent. During non-conference play, the Aggies went 11-1 with wins over West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Penn State, and USC. Their lone loss was by three points to Arizona in Phoenix. The aforementioned injuries and suspensions led to an 0-5 start to SEC play. They finally got going with wins in six of their next eight including back-to-back over Auburn and Kentucky. But since then they've gone 1-3; the lone victory at Vanderbilt by eight after leading by 24. At its best, Texas A&M is as good as any team in the SEC. At its worst, they’re hosting a first round game in the NIT. The SEC is a mess of a conference. Auburn has been exposed of late, losing three of four. Florida and Arkansas are wildly inconsistent. As is Kentucky. Tennessee is the most complete and Read more

Tags: College Basketball Texas A&M Aggies Andrew Lange

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards

02.23.2018     12:24 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Charlotte at Washington -3.5 O/U 212.5
Recommendation: Washington

There’s a lot to like about the Washington Wizards right now. The markets devalued the Wizards immediately after star point guard John Wall got hurt. Since Wall’s injury, Tomas Satoransky and Tim Frazier have gotten the job done at the point in his absence; a duo that combined for 19 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists without a single turnover in the Wizards outright upset victory at Cleveland last night.

Wins and covers have been the norm, not the exception for Scott Brooks squad of late. They’ve gone 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS since Wall’s injury. And both losses deserve an asterisk – they lost in OT against the top notch Celtics and on the second night of back-2-backs at surging Philly. Last night’s win at Cleveland was just one outright upset during this span. They also beat Toronto and OKC as home dogs during this recent span of excellence.

The advanced metric numbers show that Washington’s current surge is no accident. Both their offensive and defensive stats have improved since Wall’s injury; most notably Read more

Tags: NBA Charlotte Hornets Washington Wizards Teddy Covers


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