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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Bettors gear up for Final Four

03.30.2015     08:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The dust has settled from the madness that is March, with only four teams still standing in the NCAA Tournament.  And frankly, since the insanity of that opening Thursday morning when top seeds were falling like flies (Baylor, Iowa State, SMU), this tournament has not seen a bevy of upsets. 

In fact, the Vegas favorite advanced in 48 of the last 54 Big Dance games (48-6 SU, not ATS) since midday on the opening day of the tourney.  For only the second time this century, three #1 seeds reached the Final Four.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report I’m going to try to answer the question that everybody is asking: can anybody beat Kentucky; winners of 38 consecutive ballgames since the start of the season.

Since Kentucky is the most hyped team in recent memory, I’ll start with the Wildcats first.  Yes, this team won the title in 2012, going 4-2 ATS in the process during the Big Dance.  Yes, they reached the championship game last year; an undervalued commodity in March as they covered all four pointspreads on the way to the Final Four.  

But this year’s Kentucky team has simply gotten too much Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Teddy Covers Las Vegas




MLB Gambling Update: League looking into Cosart situation

03.27.2015     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Update on the Jarred Cosart's alleged gambling exploits. The MLB is reportedly looking into the matter and Cosart is cooperating. He's playing it coy thus far and asking everyone to wait till the situation plays out. Cosart though didn't deny that the original Tweets in question were his own. Important to note that there's no rule to keep MLB players from betting on other sports.


"Obviously, I was caught off guard by the whole situation," Cosart said. "I'm following the MLB protocol and talking with MLB security, and they're taking care of it. I'm putting everything in their hands, and when we know something else, we'll let everybody know."







The one where Jarred Cosart is accused of being a sports Read more



Tags: MLB Miami Marlins




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Xavier Musketeers vs. Arizona Wildcats

03.26.2015     07:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Xavier vs. Arizona -10.5 O/U 135.5
Recommendation: Arizona


My power ratings show Arizona right there with Duke as the second best team in the country.  The Wildcats are playing in a friendly, familiar venue in LA; certain to enjoy significant crowd support compared to Xavier in this game, to go along with their short travel time.  Their coach, Sean Miller, is arguably the best coach in college basketball never to reach the Final Four.  This team is a juggernaut, plain and simple, and the PAC 12’s 7-1 ATS mark over the opening weekend of the Big Dance speaks volumes about how undervalued this conference is on the national stage.

Xavier is no juggernaut.  The Big East really wasn’t very good this year – it was Villanova and then everybody else.  The Musketeers are tough and well coached, but they finished sixth in this mediocre conference with a 9-9 record in Big East play.  They are here only because of the ‘luck of the draw’; facing an Ole Miss team off extensive travel on short rest in the first round, followed by upstart #14 seed Georgia State in the Round of 32.

The Read more



Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Arizona Wildcats Teddy Covers




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Detroit Tigers

03.26.2015     06:18 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

Following the loss of three key pitchers over the last two seasons, the Detroit Tigers find themselves as “just another AL Central team” after years of domination.

Detroit Tigers
2014 W-L:
90-72
2014 O/U: 84-72-6
2014 Profits: -3.8
2015 O/U Wins: 84.5
2015 AL Central Odds: +205
Projected Starting Rotation: David Price, Justin Verlander, Anibal Sanchez, Shane Greene, Alfredo Simon
Key Departures: Max Scherzer, Rick Porcello
Key Additions: Yoenis Cespedes

Handicapper’s Take: “The Tigers won 90 games again last year while winning their fourth consecutive American League Central title.  Yet their supporters lost money for the full season last year; just as they did in 2013 and 2012 – the only profitable season for their backers during this four-year span of division domination came back in 2011.  Why can’t the Tigers show a profit for their backers even when they are winning division Read more



Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Vanderbilt Commodores at Stanford Cardinal

03.24.2015     06:09 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vanderbilt at Stanford -3 O/U 150
Recommendation: Under


There's no doubt that the shot clock adjustment for the secondary college basketball tournaments has had an impact on pace of play and scoring. How significant though depends largely on the matchup. I've seen games where it didn't really matter and others where it was probably worth an extra 15 points and 10 possessions. Both oddsmakers and the betting markets had priced totals anywhere from 6-15 points higher than they would be under normal circumstances. Tonight's Vanderbilt-Stanford game is currently priced at 150; about 12-14 points higher than a regular season matchup. From watching both teams, neither has been forced to adjust much to the rule change as they typically play at a moderate pace. And of the four games they've played, three went well below 150. The lone exception was the crazy 109-point second half between Vandy and South Dakota State. The Jackrabbits were two days removed from a wild shootout win at elevation over Colorado State and clearly had nothing left in the tank. I'll also point out the extra importance on tonight's contest with the winner earning a trip to the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Vanderbilt Commodores Stanford Cardinal Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Milwaukee Brewers

03.23.2015     10:49 AM     Printer Friendly
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Despite last season's second half swoon, the Milwaukee Brewers were rather quiet this offseason. The starting rotation and lineup has the potential to be above NL-average but will they both click at the same time and more importantly produce for an entire season? Oddsmakers say no with the Brew Crew projected to be sub.-500.  

Milwaukee Brewers
2014 W-L:
82-80
2014 O/U: 75-83-4
2014 Profits: -7.2
2015 O/U Wins: 79
2015 NL Central Odds: +875
Projected Starting Rotation: Kyle Lohse,Matt Garza, Wily Peralta, Mike Fiers, Jimmy Nelson
Key Departures: Yovani Gallardo
Key Additions: Adam Lind

Handicapper’s Take: “With the exception of inking 31-year-old Adam Lind, the Milwaukee Brewers didn't do much of anything that suggests improvement. I'm OK with cutting bait with Yovani Gallardo as he appears to have peaked. Kyle Lohse will once again chew up innings though he's a longshot to do so at an above Read more



Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Andrew Lange




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: New York Yankees

03.23.2015     08:34 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

New York's roster says it wants to win now but that's a tall order given the team's aging personnel. The pitching staff kept this team afloat in 2014 and will be asked to do so again.

New York Yankees
2014 W-L:
84-78
2014 O/U: 68-90-4
2014 Profits: -2.4
2015 O/U Wins: 81.5
2015 AL East Odds: +450
Projected Starting Rotation: Masahiro Tanaka, CC Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Capuano
Key Departures: Ichiro Suzuki, Martin Prado, David Robertson, Derek Jeter
Key Additions: Nathan Eovaldi, Andrew Miller

Handicapper's Take: "Is it 2008? It feels that way when you glance through the Yankees' aging roster. Nearly their entire lineup is comprised of players north of 30 years old -- some of which aren't even close to being above average major league hitters. Last season, New York was one of the strongest 'under' teams in baseball as it struggled to score runs on a consistent basis. With much of last year's Read more



Tags: MLB New York Yankees Sammy P




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Sweet Sixteen Betting Preview

03.23.2015     07:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The insanity that is March Madness just provided bettors and fans alike with one of the more memorable opening weekends of NCAA Tournament action.  Now that the dust has settled, it’s time to take a look at the 16 teams still standing in the Big Dance from a pointspread perspective.  Which squads offer some semblance of betting value moving forward and which do not?  Read on to find out.

Two conferences stood out above the rest this past weekend.  The ACC sent a whopping five teams to the Sweet 16 out of six Big Dance entrants while going 11-1 SU.  But bettors didn’t make a dime supporting those ACC teams, who combined to go 5-7 ATS.  Duke was the lone ACC squad to notch a pair of pointspread covers.  Notre Dame was one of two teams (Kentucky being the other) to go 2-0 SU but 0-2 ATS.

The PAC-12, on the other hand, produced both SU and ATS success for bettors this past weekend.  The four PAC-12 entrants combined to go 7-1 SU, sending three teams to the Sweet 16.  Even more impressively, the conference combined to go 7-1 ATS; the lone non-cover coming in Arizona’s 21 point opening round win as 23 point Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: Dayton Flyers vs. Providence Friars

03.20.2015     08:27 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dayton vs. Providence -3 O/U 131
Recommendation: Providence


I’ve been a fan of the Providence Friars all season long. I think Ed Cooley has done a fantastic job with this program and they should enjoy matchup and situational edges tonight against Dayton. This game will take place in Columbus so Dayton gets to play in their home state once again which should lend some crowd support but I’m not sure it will make enough of a difference. The Flyers do not have a deep rotation with just seven players which is bad news when playing your second game in three days. Dayton saw two of its best players, Dyshawn Pierre and Scoochie Smith, play the full 40 minutes against Boise State so a quick Wednesday to Friday turnaround is less than ideal. Providence has every reason to be fired up for this game as it attempts to snap the program’s 4-game NCAA Tournament losing streak. The Friars were an 11th seed last year and had a 7-point lead against North Carolina with a few minutes left only to see the lead slip away in a 79-77 loss. It was a heartbreaking defeat and one that the Friars remember vividly. Tyler Harris: “We feel more comfortable Read more



Tags: College Basketball Dayton Flyers Providence Friars Ian Cameron




Sportsmemo's MLB Betting Preview: Kansas City Royals

03.18.2015     12:13 PM     Printer Friendly
copy_mlb_preview_2015].jpg

A year removed for their improbable American League title, the Kansas City Royals are tasked with avoiding what most are calling for, "regression."

Kansas City Royals
2014 W-L:
89-73
2014 O/U: 73-81-8
2014 Profits: +3.2
2015 O/U Wins: 80.5
2015 AL Central Odds: +450
Projected Starting Rotation: Yordano Ventura, Jason Vargas, Jeremy Guthrie, Danny Duffy, Edinson Volquez
Key Departures: James Shields, Billy Butler
Key Additions: Edinson Volquez, Kris Medlen, Kendrys Morales

Handicapper’s Take: “The defending American League champs certainly overachieved last year, turning an 89-win regular season into a World Series appearance before they came up short of a title with their Game 7 loss at home.  But repeating that feat won’t be easy for a team that couldn’t hit a lick for most of 2014 and looks even weaker offensively in 2015.  The loss of DH Billy Butler won’t help in that regard, Read more



Tags: MLB Kansas City Royals Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 30, 2015 10:24 PM.