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December

4

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NFL Gambling Preview: Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks

12.04.2016     08:04 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Carolina at Seattle
Sunday, 5:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -6.5 O/U 45
CRIS Current: Seattle -7.5 O/U 44
Recommendation: Under

Great quarterbacks can only play like great quarterbacks when they have some semblance of an offensive line to protect them.  When these two teams met twice last year, both offensive lines were in good shape.  Russell Wilson and Cam Newton had a running game that balanced their downfield passing attack.  Seattle scored 23 and 24 points in those two games, but they lost them both in SU fashion, cashing a pair of Over tickets in the process. 

That was then.  This is now.  The Seahawks offensive line is in complete disarray right now.  Three rookies started on that OL last week.  They’ll be starting their fifth different combo of offensive linemen this week.  Offensive coordinator Darrel Bevell, talking about the struggles of his OL:“We are just trying to find the best five guys. If it changes every week, then it changes every week.” 

Russell Wilson got sacked six times last week, but it Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling News: Tampa Bay surges, Cincinnati continues to regress

11.21.2016     11:43 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After beating Atlanta outright as a road underdog in Week 1, Tampa Bay spent the better part of the next two months playing unpredictable football. They were outclassed by Arizona, Denver, and in the second meeting against the Falcons and headed into Week 10 as a home underdog to bottom feeder Chicago. Lose that game and drop to 3-6 with tough upcoming games at Kansas City and home vs. Seattle. Instead, the Bucs cruised past the Bears and then stole one last week with a 19-17 win over the Chiefs. I don’t think it is a coincidence that this mini two-game winning streak coincides with the return of running back Doug Martin. Martin is an excellent multipurpose back that can block and catch the ball out of the backfield. Tampa is now 3-0 SU and ATS with Martin on the field and his presence has provided Jameis Winston with more options both vertically and underneath. Winston had some early season struggles, particularly with bad decision making, but over his last three games he flashes a 7-1 TD-to-INT ratio. Tampa Bay’s time of possession numbers have skyrocketed with the Bucs possessing the ball for 37 minutes against Chicago and 35 minutes against Kansas City. Again, this Read more



Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers Cincinnati Bengals Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling News: Can the Minnesota Vikings continue to cover pointspreads?

10.10.2016     11:29 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
From 2010-13, the Minnesota Vikings were a middling organization with only one playoff appearance (2012) and three very unmemorable seasons under former head coach Leslie Frazier. Following Frazier’s departure, the team went out and hired highly respected Cincinnati defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer. The organization also selected quarterback Teddy Bridgewater in the first round of the 2014 draft. Bridgewater assumed the starting spot in Minnesota’s fourth game after Matt Cassel was placed on injured reserve with a broken foot. The Vikings took their lumps and finished the season an unassuming 7-9 but it was clear that Zimmer was a difference maker. In the NFL, straight up wins and losses are largely correlated to a team’s pointspread success. The fact the Minnesota won only seven games but posted a 10-6 against the spread record was for bettors, a positive sign.

The lumps of 2014 paid off in spade as Minnesota skyrocketed to an 11-5 record including the NFC North division crown the following year. What’s even more amazing is the rate in which this team covered numbers. The Vikings went 4-1 ATS in the preseason and 14-3 ATS in the regular season Read more



Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Ian Cameron




NFL Gambling: Seahawks and Packers top Week 2 SuperContest consensus plays

09.18.2016     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus picks for Week 2 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. SEATTLE -4.5 at Los Angeles
2. GREEN BAY -2.5 at Minnesota
3. JACKSONVILLE +3 at San Diego
4. KANSAS CITY +3 at Houston
5. CINCINNATI +3.5 at Pittsburgh

Least Picked Sunday side: Los Angeles +4.5




Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Handicapping the NFL post-Week 1

09.12.2016     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 1 of the NFL season routinely tells lies.  The goal of any winning handicapper has to be figuring out which teams were lying in their Week 1 performances.

Look no further than last year for some excellent examples.  On opening day of the 2015 NFL season, the Tennessee Titans blew out Tampa Bay 42-14.  Marcus Mariota looked like a superstar, throwing four TD passes in his NFL debut and finishing the game with a perfect passer rating. 

If you bet the Titans the following week, you watched them lose outright by two touchdowns to the NFL’s worst team, Cleveland.   Mariota threw only five TD passes over the next four weeks before getting hurt.  Tennessee finished the season tied for the worst pointspread record in the NFL, cashing only three winning bets in their final 15 games.  The Titans lied to us in Week 1.

Remember when the Dolphins beat the Redskins, and covered as four point road favorites in Washington, thanks to a Jarvis Landry punt return touchdown in the fourth quarter.    Miami lost their next three games so badly that head coach Joe Philbin didn’t survive their bye Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Miami Dolphins at Seattle Seahawks

09.11.2016     07:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Seattle
Sunday, 1 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -7 O/U 44
CRIS Current: Seattle -10.5 O/U 43.5
Recommendation: Miami

The Seahawks have been an elite team for the last five years of the Pete Carroll era.  But Carroll’s teams tend to pick up momentum as the season goes along, not right from the get-go on opening day.  The Seahawks have lost in straight up fashion on opening day three times in the last five years; twice as favorites.  Only once – their Thursday Night opener against Green Bay following their Super Bowl title – have they won on opening day by more than a touchdown.  The Seahawks are not a team to lay double digits with coming out of the gate in 2016.

The betting markets continue to look at Seattle as a team without weaknesses.  But one weakness has been very apparent if you’ve been paying attention to the Seahawks throughout the preseason – their offensive line.  Offensive line coach Tom Cable has been trying to cobble together a unit that won’t have a single starter playing the same position as Read more



Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Ranking all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 1

09.06.2016     08:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL Preseason is in the rear view mirror, with Week 1 kicking off on Thursday as Carolina travels to Denver as -3 road favorites.  Here’s how I have all 32 teams ranked heading into the regular season.

1. Carolina Panthers  - Cam Newton and Carolina’s offense are poised to rank among the most potent attacks in the NFL.  Watch out for the Funchess/Benjamin WR duo!

2. Seattle Seahawks - Russell Wilson gave an MVP caliber performance in 2015, but his ability to repeat that effort could be stunted by the Seahawks offensive line woes.

3. Green Bay Packers - The Packers come out of camp with a full complement of healthy weapons for Aaron Rodgers, good news after Rodgers numbers took a big hit without Jordy Nelson last year.

4. Arizona Cardinals - Arizona returns just about every key player on both sides of the ball from a team that ranked among the NFL’s elite in 2015.

5. New England Patriots - If Tom Brady was at quarterback, this team would be ranked #1.  But with Jimmy Garappolo behind center, the Pats take a modest tumble in my rankings.

6. Kansas City Chiefs - Andy Reid’s Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Denver Broncos Teddy Covers




NFL Betting Preview Podcast 6-22-2016: Seattle Seahawks

06.22.2016     10:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Covering sports from a Vegas perspective for over 20 years, the Sportsmemo Podcast kicks off its 2016-17 preseason football coverage. Join us throughout the summer as the Sportsmemo Handicappers provide listeners with in-depth analysis on NFL and College Football.

Today's segment featured veteran handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy took a look at the Seattle Seahawks who finished last season 10-6 and lost to Carolina in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs.

CLICK HERE TO LISTEN TO TEDDY'S ANALYSIS

Date: 6/22
Handicapper: Teddy Covers
Team: Seattle Seahawks
2015-16 Record: 10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS, 7-9 O/U
Season O/U Wins: 10.5ov-140
Odds to Win NFC: +485
Odds to Win NFC West: -115
Odds to Win Super Bowl 51: +875
Week 1 Line: Seattle -8 vs. Miami

To listen to past football previews be sure to visit the Sportsmemo Podcast archive.




Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the AFC South

06.20.2016     01:50 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll continue my summer series, breaking down one NFL division each week.  This week, it’s time to take an in-depth look at the four teams from the AFC South, with some very early leans regarding their expected improvement or decline in 2016.  As always, within the division, I’ll list the teams in alphabetical order (NOT in predicted order of finish).

The Houston Texans went 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS and 9-7 to the Over last year.  They won the AFC South for one reason and one reason only – Andrew Luck got hurt, allowing the Texans to dominate the rest of their division rivals with a 5-1 mark.  They only beat two teams with a winning record – Cinci on a bad Andy Dalton day, and the Jets, when New York was slumping midseason in the midst of a 1-4 stretch.  The Texans defense was clearly their strong point, finishing with the #3 stop unit in the NFL based on mainstream stats.  It is worth noting how healthy that defense was, losing only eleven games from their starters all season!

Houston’s 2016 schedule is a good notch or two tougher than it was last Read more



Tags: NFL Houston Texas Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: An early look at the NFC West

06.13.2016     10:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I began my series of NFL Previews by taking an in-depth look at the AFC West.  This week, the focus shifts to the NFC West.  As always, I’ll present the teams in alphabetical order within their division.

The Arizona Cardinals went 13-3 SU, 9-7 ATS and 9-7 to the Over last year.  They finished +9 in turnovers; good for fourth best in the NFL.  Their mainstream stats were outstanding, finishing with the #1 offense and the #5 defense based on yardage figures.  This year, Bruce Arians squad is lined as a 9.5 win team with heavy juice to the Over.  Using the standard formula of 50 cents extra juice equating to a half a win in the marketplace, Arizona is effectively lined as a 10 win team for the upcoming 2016 campaign.

Arizona upgraded their roster in several key areas in the offseason.  Their defensive line should get a major boost with the addition of #1 pick DT Robert Nkemdiche from Ole Miss.  They acquired DE Chandler Jones Read more



Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Los Angeles Rams San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers



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"Seattle Seahawks'"

December

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 04, 2016 12:24 PM.