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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Playoff Contenders

12.15.2014     08:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 15 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.

In my Wiseguy Report over the next two weeks, I’m going to poke holes in every other team that is still alive in the playoff chase.  Can any of the fringe contenders knock off the favorites when January rolls around?  Read on to find out.  This week I’ll focus on the second tier contenders in the NFC, and next week, I’ll shift my focus to the AFC.

The Dallas Cowboys have looked good on national TV repeatedly this year.  They are a perfect 7-0 SU on the road, including impressive wins at Seattle and Philly.  But the Cowboys have at least one fundamental flaw – their defense isn’t much better than it was last year when the Cowboys ranked at or near the bottom of nearly every statistical category. 

In 2013, the Cowboys stop unit was ridiculed nationally, allowing 6.1 yards per play (ranked #30 out of 32 Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Patriots and Seahawks top SuperContest picks for Week 14

12.07.2014     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 14 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. New England -3.5 at San Diego
2t. Seattle +1 at Philadelphia
2t. Miami -2.5 vs. Baltimore
4. St. Louis -2.5 at Washington
5. Indianapolis -3.5 at Cleveland

Least picked Sunday side: Tennessee pk vs. NY Giants



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks




NFL Gambling: Seahawks, Cowboys, and Patriots top SuperContest plays for Week 12

11.23.2014     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 12 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. Seattle -6.5 vs. Arizona
2. Dallas -3.5 at NY Giants
3. New England -7 vs. Detroit
4. NY Jets +4.5 vs. Buffalo
5. Baltimore +3.5 at New Orleans

Least picked Sunday side: Buffalo -4.5 vs. NY Jets



Tags: NFL




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings Movers and Shakers

11.17.2014     08:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following the Week 11 results, for the first time since 2012, I have a team other than the Denver Broncos or the Seattle Seahawks ranked #1 in my NFL Power Ratings.  Seattle has been steadily declining in my power ratings for most of the season.  The Seahawks lack of defensive line depth was problematic in early season losses to Dallas and San Diego, both of whom wore them down in the second half and were able to run the football successfully throughout.  The loss of stud lineman Brandon Mebane only made those depth concerns greater prior to their game at Kansas City this past weekend; a game where the Chiefs ran all over the Seahawks defense. 

Seattle also lacks consistent downfield playmakers at the wide receiver position since trading away Percy Harvin.  In their loss to the Chiefs, Seattle lost star center Max Unger to injury as well, truly an impact injury.  If the playoffs started today, the Seahawks would be on the outside looking in.  Clearly, this is not the best team in the NFL as we approach Thanksgiving and the December stretch run.

Denver has been ranked #1 or #2 in my power ratings in every single week since 2012, Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News and Notes

10.20.2014     11:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta Falcons
Since blowing out Tampa Bay on national TV in Week 3, the Atlanta Falcons have looked nothing short of awful.  A team that made it to the NFC Championship Game two years ago is now entrenched in a four game skid; picking up right where they left off last year when they went 4-12 and ranked among the most disappointing teams in football.

All four losses during this SU and ATS skid have come by double digit margins.  The Falcons certainly aren’t going to win many defensive struggles – their stop unit has allowed 24+ six times in seven ballgames this year, a mediocre defense on a good day.  But many pundits thought the Falcons would be good enough to trade points with most of their foes.  That simply hasn’t been the case, in large part, due to cluster injuries on the offensive line, with backup center Peter Konz the latest to go down.

Matt Ryan was sacked five times and hit nine times in Atlanta’s loss to Baltimore on Sunday, while throwing for a season low in yards. "When you go out there and get beat soundly, I think everybody knows we've got to play better across the board. Read more


Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Seattle Seahawks Chicago Bears Washington Redskins Teddy Covers




NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Public can't get enough Seahawks and OVER

10.06.2014     02:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Redskins courtesy of Bookmaker. Washington has seen a steady amount of market support with the line down from +8.5 to as low as +7ev.

SIDE
75.6% - SEATTLE -7

TOTAL
73.7% - OVER 45

MONEYLINE
65.3% - SEATTLE -325



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Washington Redskins




NFL Betting News: History says Seahawks will dominate Redskins

10.06.2014     01:56 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There are a slew of stats and results that point towards the Seattle Seahawks rolling all over the Washington Redskins tonight. One of those includes eight straight MNF wins by a combined score of 208-65. Don't tell that to the betting markets who bet the Seahawks down from -8.5 to -7.



Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Washington Redskins




NFL Gambling Preview: Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos

10.01.2014     02:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at Denver
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -8.5 O/U 49.5
CRIS Current: Denver -7 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -7.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

The defending AFC champion Broncos have yet to cover a pointspread in three tries this season; one of only three teams that are winless ATS (the Jets at 0-3-1 ATS and the Jaguars at 0-4 ATS are the other two).  But all three of the Broncos ATS defeats deserve at least a little bit of an asterisk attached to them.

In Week 1, Denver was in complete control throughout against the Colts, but Indy made a late rally thanks to a recovered onside kick to lose by only seven points as 7.5 point underdogs.  The following week, the Broncos were again comfortably in control against the Chiefs but a serious of penalties and ‘third and long’ conversions allowed KC to hang around.  The Broncos offense only had two drives Read more


Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Denver Broncos Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks

09.18.2014     01:13 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver at Seattle
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -4.5 O/U 48.5
CRIS Current: Seattle -4.5 O/U 48.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Seattle -6
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Over

We all remember what happened when these two teams met in the Super Bowl; a game that was arguably decided on the very first play from scrimmage – a bad snap safety for the Broncos.  And we all know how strong the Seahawks home field has been in recent years.  Seattle’s 20 point win over Green Bay in their opener was just the tip of the iceberg.   They’ve beaten plenty of other elite teams on this field over the last few years, including wins by 26 and 29 points over San Francisco, by 27 over New Orleans, and by 58 over Arizona as part of their truly impressive 13-4 ATS run in the regular season on this field since the start of the 2012 campaign.

The question here is ‘What’s Read more


Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Week 2 Betting Recap

09.15.2014     07:18 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
My September NFL betting mantra is relatively simple.  It can be stated in one sentence: “Bet on good teams, and bet against bad teams.”   This strategy tends to be at its best  very early in the season, before the betting markets catch up to how good or how bad teams actually are compared to last year. 

That strategy did not fare well this past weekend for two reasons – many of the good teams played poorly and a good handful of the bad teams stepped up.  Of the seven top teams in my power ratings, only two managed to cover the pointspread on Sunday (Cincinnati and New England).  Seattle, New Orleans and San Francisco all lost SU as favorites.  Denver won, by not my enough of a margin to cover the number.  And Green Bay pushed against the closing number but lost for anyone who bet the Packers throughout the course of the week.

On the other end of the spectrum, many of the bottom teams in my power ratings stepped up and played a good game.  The worst two teams in the league – Jacksonville and Oakland, according to my numbers – are both 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS.  Other weak teams like the Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 21, 2014 11:02 PM.