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NFL Preseason Betting: Seattle's Carroll says starters need the work

08.28.2015     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll said there will be no fear when it comes to playing time for his starters in Saturday's preseason tilt at San Diego.


"We will play some more plays this week and look forward to these guys coming out after halftime and playing and getting ready to play this season that's just around the corner," Carroll said.

"No," he said. "We manage our guys the way we do and we're fortunately in pretty good shape right now. These guys need to play. They need the play time. They've got to get ready. You can't hide from it, it's coming, it's right around the corner. They need to be fit and mentally right to play four quarters of football two weeks from now, so we've got to take this next step."






Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks San Diego Chargers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Recap

08.24.2015     08:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In the NFL Preseason, when coaches almost never play for a late game tie to force overtime, there’s an enormous difference between laying -1 and -2.5.  Games decided by final margins or 1 or 2 points are relatively rare once September rolls around.  In August, they are commonplace.   Three games were decided by a single point this past weekend, in Week 2 of the preseason, with the Bills beating the Browns 11-10, the Chiefs beating the Seahawks 14-13 and the Panthers beating the Dolphins 31-30.

Both Kansas City-Seattle and Carolina-Miami produced a win, loss or push based on betting skills, not handicapping skills, with lines on both games moving up throughout the course of the week.   In addition, the Patriots pulled off the comeback of the weekend to beat New Orleans 26-24, a two point margin.  Meanwhile, there was only one game finishing with a final margin of three points; the Chargers 22-19 win at Arizona. 

It was a similar story in Week 1, with more games finishing with 1 or 2 point final margins than games that were decided by exactly three points.   With two more weeks of these meaningless Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Kansas City starters could play entire first half vs. Seattle

08.21.2015     08:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here's the likely reason behind Week 2's biggest line move as Kansas City expects to play its starters "close to a half" against Seattle. The Chiefs opened a pick 'em but have since been bet up to a -3 home favorite.




Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Seattle Seahawks




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Recap

08.17.2015     08:03 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 1 of the NFL Preseason is behind us.  The NFL season win totals futures markets are already reacting to what we’ve seen, showing some modest movement off the successes and failures of the first and second string units.  We can expect that initial line movement to continue unabated if we see more of the same from those units in Week 2.  In this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’ll take a quick tour around the NFL, specifically focusing on any misleading stats or under-the radar performances from the 16 games that we just saw.

Let’s start with a brief overview of the results.  It was a strong Week 1 for the betting favorites.  There were three games that closed right around pick ‘em with no chalk to speak of: KC at Arizona, Washington at Cleveland and Miami at Chicago.  Of the 13 games that closed with a legitimate favorite of at least -1 or higher here in Las Vegas, the favorites dominated to the tune of 10-3 ATS (counting Jacksonville -1.5 as a win in their two point victory over Pittsburgh).  All three underdogs that covered won the game in SU fashion (Carolina beat Buffalo, Green Bay won at New England and Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks

08.14.2015     10:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Denver +5 at Seattle O/U 36.5
Recommendation: Denver


The betting markets are infatuated with Pete Carroll’s preseason track record in Seattle; installing the Seahawks as five point favorites against the Broncos.  And it’s easy to understand why the markets love Carroll in August, particularly playing at home.  They won their two home preseason games last year by 41-14 and 34-6 margins, won 40-10 and 22-6 in home preseason games in 2013, and won 27-17 and 21-3 in home preseason games in 2012.

But that’s all in the rear view mirror now – the conditions that existed in Seattle in recent years just don’t exist this year.  That makes the Seahawks a poor favorite for their 2015 preseason debut on Friday.   What has changed?  A LOT!

Fresh off back-2-back Super Bowl appearances, the Seahawks have nothing to prove in August.  Seattle has been one of the deepest teams in the league in recent seasons, giving them great depth in the second half of these preseason games.   That’s not the case anymore, with the Seahawks up against the salary cap – this is NOT a Read more



Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Betting: Seattle Seahawks sit key players due to injury

08.14.2015     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Looks as if the Seattle Seahawks will sit a handful of key players -- including a majority of their secondary -- due to injury for tonight's preseason opener vs. Denver. Pete Carroll said those starters that will play will only see a few snaps including quarterback Russell Wilson. The Seahawks are currently -5 home favorites over the Broncos.




Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Denver Broncos




NFL Preseason Handicapping:Broncos' veterans to see limited action vs. Seahawks

08.14.2015     06:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Denver Broncos are planning to sit a number of their veterans, including Peyton Manning, for tonight's preseason opener at Seattle. The Seahawks are currently -5 home chalk. 


"Obviously, we have some guys with some nicks that have missed some time that we have to make some decisions on. We have a few guys that we'll talked about that have a lot of birthdays, so we'll talk about them too," Kubiak said.






Tags: NFL Denver Broncos Seattle Seahawks




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to bet NFL Season O/U Wins Part II

08.10.2015     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week in this space, I looked back at last year’s final NFL standings and discussed the impact of strength of schedule models on those results.  I differentiated between mainstream widely available numbers for the 2014 strength of schedule (simply adding up wins and losses for every opponent) and my own formula, relying on power rating numbers from the week that the game was played. 

The goal was simple -- getting more accurate numbers to properly assess last year’s results in strength of schedule context as a starting point for 2015.

We’re done with last year now. This week, I’ll focus on the 2015 NFL strength of schedule as they relate to season win totals.  Once again, my goal is to differentiate between the mainstream numbers and the meaningful ones.

Google ‘2015 NFL Strength of Schedule’ and you’ll find countless charts exactly like this one.
1. Pittsburgh Steelers (.579)
2. Cincinnati Bengals (.563)
3. Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Mini-Camp Betting News

06.22.2015     01:34 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
All 32 NFL teams have concluded their OTA’s (organized team activities) and mini-camps over the past few weeks.  There’s nothing else on the horizon for the NFL before the start of training camps in mid-July.  Therefore, it’s time for bettors and fans alike to fixate on the news trickling out of those mini-camps over the last few weeks.  Here are half a dozen such reports, with teams listed in alphabetical order and information coming from local sources.

Arizona Cardinals - Arizona was an elite team with Carson Palmer behind center last year.  When Palmer got hurt, they were still a pretty good team until Drew Stanton got hurt as well.  Once Arizona was down to a third stringer at quarterback, the back end of the season was ugly as they closed out with a 2-5 stretch, culminating in a blowout to Carolina in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs.

Both Palmer and Stanton fully participated in mini-camp, with Palmer entering the new season as the clear starter, even at 35 years old and coming off his second ACL surgery.  Palmer wowed observers at mini-camp, looking extremely sharp in 11-on-11 Read more



Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Atlanta Falcons Buffalo Bills Houston Texans San Diego Chargers Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: 2015-16 Regular Season Over/Under Win totals

02.19.2015     08:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
2015-16 NFL Regular Season Over/Under Win totals courtesy of CG Technology.


New England: 11
Seattle: 11

Green Bay: 10.5

Denver: 10

Dallas: 9.5
Indianapolis: 9.5

Baltimore: 9
New Orleans: 9
Philadelphia: 9

Atlanta: 8.5
Buffalo: 8.5
Carolina: 8.5
Cincinnati: 8.5
Detroit: 8.5
Houston: 8.5
Kansas City: 8.5
Pittsburgh: 8.5
San Diego: 8.5
San Francisco: 8.5

Arizona: 8
Miami: 8
N.Y. Giants: 8

St. Louis: 7.5

Chicago: 7

Minnesota: 6.5
N.Y. Jets: 6.5

Cleveland: 6
Washington: 6

Jacksonville: 5.5

Tampa Bay: 5
Tennessee: 5

Oakland: 4.5






Tags: NFL



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August

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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 29, 2015 01:54 PM.