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College Basketball Betting Free Play: South Alabama Jaguars at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

12.05.2015     08:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
South Alabama at Middle Tennessee State -10.5 O/U 142.5
Recommendation: Under

Middle Tennessee State has always been a defense-first, slow paced team under long time head coach Kermit Davis. And they've struggled offensively this season (0.99 ppp) because they're without their best point guard, Jacob Ivory, who has been sidelined with a concussion. South Alabama likes to get up and down the floor but its numbers are certainly skewed having played two power conference teams (NC State and LSU) and Belmont -- all three have the ability to score big points, especially against an average mid-major team like USA. And that's exactly what they did as the trio averaged 88 ppg. But I put more stock in USA's game at Denver which had only 65 possessions and 125 points. MTSU isn't as deliberate as the Pioneers, but there's a similar amount of defensive acumen. Also note that South Alabama kicked gunner Taishaun Johnson off the team recently. Johnson was a double-digit scorer and the team's top player in terms of possessions used. Last season, Johnson attempted the most free throws on the team and hit 78%. MTSU was able to control the pace in last year's meeting Read more

Tags: College Basketball South Alabama Jaguars Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Andrew Lange

Camellia Bowl Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars vs. Bowling Green Falcons

12.19.2014     01:12 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Camellia Bowl - Montgomery, Ala.
South Alabama vs. Bowling Green
Saturday, 6:15 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Bowling Green -1  O/U 55
CRIS Current: South Alabama -2.5  O/U 53.5
Drew Martin’s Recommendation:  South Alabama

The Bowling Green Falcons and the South Alabama Jaguars square off Saturday night in the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl in Montgomery Alabama. It’s the Falcons third straight bowl game as winners of the MAC’s East Division. South Alabama will be making its first bowl appearance in school history. The Jags are the “youngest” FBS team to ever reach a bowl game (surpassing the previous mark held by Florida Atlantic). The Camellia Bowl has some interesting dynamics at play including strength of schedule, travel, and coaching changes.

The Falcons run over 80 plays per game with most of it coming via the pass. They lost arguably the best Read more

Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars Sun Belt Bowling Green Falcons MAC Drew Martin

College Football Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars at Idaho Vandals

09.26.2014     02:41 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
South Alabama at Idaho
Saturday, 2 pm PT - ESPN 3
CRIS Opener:
South Alabama -7
CRIS Current: South Alabama -4
Rob Veno's Power Rating: South Alabama -9
Drew Martin's Recommendation: South Alabama

Unique conference matchup with South Alabama traveling to tiny Moscow, Idaho to take on the Vandals.  Idaho has shown signs of being more competitive this season but have yet to record a straight up win. After beating Kent in the opener, USA dropped back-to-back games to Mississippi State and what looks to be the best team in the Sun Belt, Georgia Southern. Oddsmakers opened South Alabama as a touchdown favorite, but throughout the week the betting markets have pushed this number down to -4.  Taking a quick glance at this matchup you can understand the money favoring the Vandals. They have the better quarterback and host a team traveling across two time zones. However, there are major Read more

Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars Idaho Vandals Sun Belt Drew Martin

College Football Gambling Consensus: Bettors flock toward Auburn and South Alabama for Saturday

09.06.2014     06:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top five consensus bets (sides and totals) for Saturday's college football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

92.5% - AUBURN -33 vs. San Jose State
92.1% - SOUTH ALABAMA -3 at Kent State
90.7% - KENTUCKY -13 vs. Ohio
88.3% - UTAH -13.5 vs. Fresno State
88.2% - MARYLAND -13 at South Florida

96.2% - OVER 66 San Jose State at Auburn
95.2% - OVER 66 Texas Tech at UTEP
94.3% - UNDER 52.5 Idaho at UL-Monroe
93.4% - OVER 56.5 Michigan at Notre Dame
92.9% - OVER 66 New Mexico State at Georgia State

Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC South Alabama Jaguars Sun Belt

College Football Betting Preview: South Alabama Jaguars at Kent State Golden Flashes

09.04.2014     02:10 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
South Alabama at Kent State
Saturday, 11 am PT - ESPN3
CRIS Opener:
Kent State pk O/U 52.5
CRIS Current: South Alabama -3 O/U 50.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: South Alabama -1.5
Drew Martin's Recommendation: South Alabama

South Alabama opens its season on the road against Kent State in Dix Stadium. This will be the second game of the season for the Golden Flashes after being on the wrong side of the 17-14 home contest vs. Ohio. Kent’s offense managed only 294 yards (31 yards rushing) of offense and could not take advantage of four Bobcat turnovers. This shouldn’t come as a surprise after KSU lost its two best offensive linemen and third round draft pick running back Dri Archer. Additionally, the Golden Flashes were without their most touted offensive weapon, 250 pound running back Trayion Durham. He is currently listed as questionable; I don’t believe they would hold him Read more

Tags: College Football South Alabama Jaguars Sun Belt Kent State Golden Flashes MAC Drew Martin

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: College Basketball Pointspread Underachievers

02.10.2014     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Last week I wrote about the four best pointspread teams in the country in college hoops this year – Cleveland State, Villanova, Wichita State and Utah. Between the four, they combined to go 7-1 ATS over the past week, continuing to cover spreads even after doing so consistently for the past three months. In other words, the markets still haven’t caught up with these teams.

This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be money losers as February rolls into March? And what statistical profile do these teams have in common that will help us identify them as early as possible next year? Let’s take a look!

I did a version of this column last year at this same time (second week of February). At that time, the single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball was Indiana-Purdue Indianapolis, abbreviated IUPUI. This year, IUPUI isn’t the single worst pointspread team in college hoops only because they’re tied with South Alabama and LaSalle at the bottom of the ATS Read more

Tags: College Basketball IUPUI Jaugars South Alabama Jaguars UCF Knights Notre Dame Fighting Irish Boston College Eagles Pittsburgh Panthers Purdue Boilermakers Teddy Covers

College Football Handicapping: Week 15 Injury Report

12.06.2013     11:31 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Missouri starting strong safety Duron Singleton is ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s SEC Championship Game against Auburn. Singleton missed last Saturday’s win over Texas A&M with a hip injury.

UL-Lafayette will most likely be without its outstanding quarterback Saturday at South Alabama. Junior Terrance Broadway is ‘doubtful’ against the Jaguars due to a wrist injury. Broadway has a 19-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio, in addition to eight rushing TDs. Redshirt freshman Brooks Haack will most likely get his first career start under center for the Ragin’ Cajuns. He had only appeared at garbage time until playing in the second half of last week’s 31-28 home loss to ULM. Haack has completed 16-of-21 throws for 175 yards and one TD without an interception. Also, UL-Lafayette starting safety Darius Barksdale is ‘questionable’ with a hand injury.

SMU quarterback Garrett Gilbert (21-7 TD-INT) has been downgraded to ‘doubtful’ for Saturday’s game vs. UCF due to a sore knee. Without Gilbert last week, the Mustangs lost 34-0 at Houston. It was the first time a team coached by June Jones had Read more

Tags: College Football Brian Edwards

College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.16.2013     06:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
I'm well aware that Nebraska doesn't have the defensive players it had a few years back AND that the offense is playing at a faster clip hence more plays/opportunities for the opposition. However over the last two years we've seen the Cornhuskers fail repeatedly when asked to face competent offenses and what’s baffling to me is the lack of any sort of adjustment.

2012 Week 2 - UCLA racked up 653 yards on nearly 6.95 ypp.

2012 Week 6 - Ohio State popped for 63 on the Huskers at over 8 ypp.

2012 Big Ten Championship - Wisconsin hung 70 and nearly 11 ypp!

2012 Bowl Game - Georgia fell just shy of 600 yards at 8.3 ypp.

2013 Week 1 - Wyoming rolled into Lincoln and put up 602 yards (8.1 ypp) and nearly won outright as 31-point dogs.

These days playing defense against top-notch offenses isn't easy. But there are tons of teams with far less talent that are finding ways to get the occasional three-and-out.

One of my biggest bets of Week 3 was on Washington -4 second half vs. Illinois. The Huskies absolutely dominated the first half box score, kicked a FG right before half, and received the ball to start the second. It Read more

Tags: College Football Andrew Lange

College Football Handicapping: Betting totals with the four FCS newcomers

09.28.2012     02:15 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
With either three or four games under their belts and conference play either beginning or right around the corner, this seems like a good time to examine the four first-year FCS teams from a totals perspective.  

Massachusetts – The Minutemen have been simply abysmal on each side of the ball. Their 263.3 total yards offense per game has resulted in an average of 8.8 points scored while the 492.8 yards they’ve allowed has produced 43.0 points per game for their opponents. The one noticeable thing about UMass statistically is that they don’t do anything well. The closing totals on their four games have ranged from 47-55 with two going over and two staying under. Except for a trip to Vanderbilt the last week of October, all Massachusetts games will be against MAC opponents. This team is scoring one point for every 30 yards gained and against two of the nation’s worst defenses (Indiana and Miami-Ohio) those ratios were 1/44.0 and 1/29.4 respectively. The inept offense seems to be a larger factor in their current total of 54 this week versus offensive power Ohio. If the oddsmakers keep UMass totals in this vicinity then my Read more

Tags: College Football UMass Minutemen Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners South Alabama Jaguars Texas State Bobcats Rob Veno

College Basketball Free Pick: Georgia Southern at South Alabama

12.19.2011     08:07 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Georgia Southern at South Alabama -7 O/U 134
Recommendation: Over

South Alabama's offense has improved this season but the stats don't really show it. The reason is the Jaguars have really run the gauntlet in terms of tough opposing defenses. So far they've faced LSU, Mississippi State, Florida State, LSU, Southern Miss and UAB. In two other games, USA played three awful offenses in Alabama State, Alcorn State and Texas A&M Corpus Christ. As a result, their body work doesn't suggest that we should be looking to play over a moderate total of 134. But tonight is really the first time all season they'll play an opponent that can score at a decent clip and that struggles to defend. Georgia Southern is another team whose numbers are skewed because of the opposition. In three games against slow paced South Florida, SMU and EKU, the game scores and possessions were very low. But against teams that don't mind getting up and down the floor (Valpo, Wake Read more

Tags: College Basketball South Alabama Jaguars Georgia Southern Eagles Andrew Lange


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