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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: College Basketball Pointspread Underachievers

02.10.2014     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week I wrote about the four best pointspread teams in the country in college hoops this year – Cleveland State, Villanova, Wichita State and Utah. Between the four, they combined to go 7-1 ATS over the past week, continuing to cover spreads even after doing so consistently for the past three months. In other words, the markets still haven’t caught up with these teams.

This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be money losers as February rolls into March? And what statistical profile do these teams have in common that will help us identify them as early as possible next year? Let’s take a look!

I did a version of this column last year at this same time (second week of February). At that time, the single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball was Indiana-Purdue Indianapolis, abbreviated IUPUI. This year, IUPUI isn’t the single worst pointspread team in college hoops only because they’re tied with South Alabama and LaSalle at the bottom of the ATS Read more


Tags: College Basketball IUPUI Jaugars South Alabama Jaguars UCF Knights Notre Dame Fighting Irish Boston College Eagles Pittsburgh Panthers Purdue Boilermakers Teddy Covers




College Football Handicapping: Week 15 Injury Report

12.06.2013     11:31 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Missouri starting strong safety Duron Singleton is ‘questionable’ for Saturday’s SEC Championship Game against Auburn. Singleton missed last Saturday’s win over Texas A&M with a hip injury.

UL-Lafayette will most likely be without its outstanding quarterback Saturday at South Alabama. Junior Terrance Broadway is ‘doubtful’ against the Jaguars due to a wrist injury. Broadway has a 19-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio, in addition to eight rushing TDs. Redshirt freshman Brooks Haack will most likely get his first career start under center for the Ragin’ Cajuns. He had only appeared at garbage time until playing in the second half of last week’s 31-28 home loss to ULM. Haack has completed 16-of-21 throws for 175 yards and one TD without an interception. Also, UL-Lafayette starting safety Darius Barksdale is ‘questionable’ with a hand injury.

SMU quarterback Garrett Gilbert (21-7 TD-INT) has been downgraded to ‘doubtful’ for Saturday’s game vs. UCF due to a sore knee. Without Gilbert last week, the Mustangs lost 34-0 at Houston. It was the first time a team coached by June Jones had Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.16.2013     06:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I'm well aware that Nebraska doesn't have the defensive players it had a few years back AND that the offense is playing at a faster clip hence more plays/opportunities for the opposition. However over the last two years we've seen the Cornhuskers fail repeatedly when asked to face competent offenses and what’s baffling to me is the lack of any sort of adjustment.

2012 Week 2 - UCLA racked up 653 yards on nearly 6.95 ypp.

2012 Week 6 - Ohio State popped for 63 on the Huskers at over 8 ypp.

2012 Big Ten Championship - Wisconsin hung 70 and nearly 11 ypp!

2012 Bowl Game - Georgia fell just shy of 600 yards at 8.3 ypp.

2013 Week 1 - Wyoming rolled into Lincoln and put up 602 yards (8.1 ypp) and nearly won outright as 31-point dogs.

These days playing defense against top-notch offenses isn't easy. But there are tons of teams with far less talent that are finding ways to get the occasional three-and-out.

One of my biggest bets of Week 3 was on Washington -4 second half vs. Illinois. The Huskies absolutely dominated the first half box score, kicked a FG right before half, and received the ball to start the second. It Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Betting totals with the four FCS newcomers

09.28.2012     02:15 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With either three or four games under their belts and conference play either beginning or right around the corner, this seems like a good time to examine the four first-year FCS teams from a totals perspective.  

Massachusetts – The Minutemen have been simply abysmal on each side of the ball. Their 263.3 total yards offense per game has resulted in an average of 8.8 points scored while the 492.8 yards they’ve allowed has produced 43.0 points per game for their opponents. The one noticeable thing about UMass statistically is that they don’t do anything well. The closing totals on their four games have ranged from 47-55 with two going over and two staying under. Except for a trip to Vanderbilt the last week of October, all Massachusetts games will be against MAC opponents. This team is scoring one point for every 30 yards gained and against two of the nation’s worst defenses (Indiana and Miami-Ohio) those ratios were 1/44.0 and 1/29.4 respectively. The inept offense seems to be a larger factor in their current total of 54 this week versus offensive power Ohio. If the oddsmakers keep UMass totals in this vicinity then my Read more


Tags: College Football UMass Minutemen Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners South Alabama Jaguars Texas State Bobcats Rob Veno




College Basketball Free Pick: Georgia Southern at South Alabama

12.19.2011     08:07 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Georgia Southern at South Alabama -7 O/U 134
Recommendation: Over


South Alabama's offense has improved this season but the stats don't really show it. The reason is the Jaguars have really run the gauntlet in terms of tough opposing defenses. So far they've faced LSU, Mississippi State, Florida State, LSU, Southern Miss and UAB. In two other games, USA played three awful offenses in Alabama State, Alcorn State and Texas A&M Corpus Christ. As a result, their body work doesn't suggest that we should be looking to play over a moderate total of 134. But tonight is really the first time all season they'll play an opponent that can score at a decent clip and that struggles to defend. Georgia Southern is another team whose numbers are skewed because of the opposition. In three games against slow paced South Florida, SMU and EKU, the game scores and possessions were very low. But against teams that don't mind getting up and down the floor (Valpo, Wake Read more


Tags: College Basketball South Alabama Jaguars Georgia Southern Eagles Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Injuries leave Southern Miss short on depth

12.07.2011     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Southern Miss -6.5 at South Alabama O/U 135.5

Southern Miss (5-2) has managed to survive so far but the lack of depth is something to keep an eye on moving forward.


“We’re kind of limited,” Eustachy said. “I say it every year, we’ve got a fine line between winning and losing. If we foul, we’ve got issues. If we get hurt, we’ve got issues.

“I think our team is the most together team I’ve ever had as far as liking each other. They’re taking care of each other off the court. We could beat a really good team on any given night or we could lose a pretty average team on any given night.”





Tags: College Basketball Southern Miss Golden Eagles South Alabama Jaguars




College Basketball Betting: Two totals recommendations

11.17.2010     03:00 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rob Veno passes along some analysis on a couple of college basketball totals for this evening. The market has obviously been volatile of late but these provide some betting opportunities for those willing to shop around.

Murray State at Ole Miss OVER – Racers experienced returning group suffered through miserable 37.8% shooting night in their opener but look for a bounce back here against Mississippi. SEC contingent continues to prefer up tempo style under HC Kennedy and spark plug PG Chris Warren returned to the lineup with 26 points last Friday night. Backcourts and lack of interior ability to deter penetrators allow this one to get over the total.   

South Alabama at Southern Miss OVER – Golden Eagles HC Larry Eustachy is telling anyone who will listen that his squad will increase their scoring this season and their games will be a bit higher scoring. Their 60-53 opening night victory over South Florida makes that tough to believe but Read more


Tags: College Basketball Murray State Racers Ole Miss Rebels South Alabama Jaguars Southern Miss Golden Eagles Rob Veno




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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Apr 16, 2014 02:53 PM.