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MLB Betting Notes: Different year, similar re...
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-23-2013 with Handica...
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MLB Gambling Free Pick: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
05.22.2013 11:18 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
NY Yankees
(Kuroda) -120 at
Baltimore
(Hammel) O/U 9
Recommendation: Under
The Yankees have been the single most profitable road team to support in all of baseball through the first seven weeks of the season; up more than seven units of profit through their first 21 road tilts. They haven’t lost a road series since April, and are in prime bounceback position following last night’s extra inning loss at Baltimore.
Yankees starter Hiroki Kuroda was been an undervalued commodity for most of the season. Kuroda has been nothing short of brilliant for more than a month – seven consecutive quality starts, while allowing a grand total of eight runs during that entire span. The Yanks are 6-1 in those seven starts, including Kuroda’s complete game five hit shutout victory over the same Orioles lineup that he’ll face today. It’s surely worth noting that he shut down Baltimore in all three meetings against them last year (including
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Baltimore Orioles
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-22-2013 with Handicappers Ian Cameron and Teddy Covers
05.22.2013 10:23 AM
Printer Friendly
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Ian Cameron and Teddy Covers. Ian and Teddy broke down the entire MLB card while Teddy also talked Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals.
Today's segments
Full Show
Ian Cameron - National League
Teddy Covers - American League and NBA
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four
05.20.2013 08:26 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now. With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs. This year’s results stand out in that regard. In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs. San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds.
In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin. And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.
When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres
05.16.2013 09:49 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Washington
(Strasburg) -140 at
San Diego
(Volquez) O/U 7
Recommendation: Under
The Nationals lineup has gone ice cold. They’ve plated just ten runs in their last five games, and nearly half of those runs came in three innings against Josh Beckett, who went on the DL following that outing. The Nats have 46 strikeouts during that span, while hitting .133 with runners in scoring position. Padres starter Edison Volquez threw seven innings of three hit, one run ball in his lone start against Washington last year. And Volquez has been dominant in each of his last two home starts here at Petco: 13.2 innings of work, nine hits and one run against two pretty good hitting lineups – Milwaukee and Arizona. It’s surely worth noting that the Nats have been held to three runs or less in six of their last seven games in the most pitcher-friendly ballpark in the majors.
Stephen Strasburg hasn’t won since opening day, and he’s
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Washington Nationals
San Diego Padres
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MLB Gambling Free Pick: New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals
05.15.2013 10:47 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
NY Mets
(Marcum) at
St. Louis
(Miller) -210 O/U 8
Recommendation: Over
"It's definitely the best game I've thrown in my life.” That was Cardinals rookie Shelby Miller’s quote following his truly dominant 13 strikeout, one hit complete game shutout over the Rockies in his last outing. But Miller matched his career high in pitches thrown in that contest; and it’s only the second time all season he’s averaged less than 16 pitches per inning. Coming off the "best game of his life", I’m expecting significant ‘regression to the mean’ from Miller this evening.
Mets starter Shaun Marcum is an even stronger bet against candidate this evening. Since starting the season on the DL, Marcum has failed to make it out of the fifth inning in any of his starts, with an 8.59 ERA and a whopping .400 batting average against. Mets manager Terry Collins: “I think Shaun tried to hurry through the rehab and get up
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New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
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MLB Gambling Free Play: San Francisco Giants at Toronto Blue Jays
05.14.2013 11:29 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
San Francisco
(Zito) +123 at
Toronto
(Dickey) O/U 9
Recommendation: San Francisco
It’s not hard to make a case for betting against the Blue Jays as chalk these days. High priced offseason acquisition RA Dickey hasn’t won a game in nearly a month, allowing 17 runs in 25 innings of work over his last four outings, all Toronto defeats. Dickey was favored in three of those four losses, just as he is today. For a guy who was 43-55 with an ERA well over 4.00 prior to last season’s remarkable Cy Young campaign, the 2012 season is looking more and more like an aberration, not a sign of continued success to come.
Toronto has no discernible home field edge right now, 7-12 at the Rogers Centre compared to their 8-12 road mark. From a run differential standpoint, the Blue Jays -47 ranks as the third worst in all of baseball, ahead of only the two true bottom feeders: Miami and Houston. In other words, there is absolutely nothing
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Toronto Blue Jays
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-14-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P, Erin Rynning, and Teddy Covers
05.14.2013 10:09 AM
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Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P, Teddy Covers, and Erin Rynning. Sam talked NHL Stanley Cup Conference Semifinals while Teddy and Erin went through every game on the MLB card.
Today's segments
Full Show
Sammy P - NHL Playoffs
Teddy Covers - National League
Erin Rynning - American League (Free Play)
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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MLB
NBA
Sammy P
Teddy Covers
Erin Rynning
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Teddy Covers' Vegas Wiseguy Report: Attacking Cantor's Opening NFL Lines
05.13.2013 11:06 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
I’ve got to give Cantor Gaming a boatload of credit this week. While the vast majority of other sportsbooks around the globe collectively twiddled their thumbs following the NFL Draft, Cantor was the first major book to market with both season win totals and with pointspreads for every regular season game through Week 16. And Cantor released all of those numbers in their unique style – confident, aggressive, high limit bookmaking, exactly what the industry needs more of these days.
Of course, my job isn’t to praise Cantor. Like any bettor here in Las Vegas, my job is to beat Cantor! Over the course of the hot, summer months (the first 100 degree day of the year in Vegas comes this week, with many more to follow), I’ll spend a handful of articles discussing those 2013 NFL season win totals as the markets begin to mature. But this week, I’m going to write about Cantor’s ‘every game, every week’ pointspreads for an NFL season that won’t even kick off until September! There certainly aren’t many opportunities in the sportsbetting world to get down significant wagers on regular season games that won’t be played
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants
05.10.2013 11:13 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Atlanta
(Hudson) +109 at
San Francisco
(Cain) O/U 7
Recommendation: Atlanta
The Braves are hitting significantly better than the Giants right now. Tim Hudson is in better current form than Matt Cain. Atlanta’s bullpen is every bit as good as that of the Giants, and they’re the fresher of the two pens following yesterday’s short outing from Ryan Vogelsong and the Giants extra inning affair the night before. Put it all together and we’ve got a ‘wrong team favored’ scenario in play tonight!
Atlanta has been scoring runs in bunches; 38 of them in their last six games, with previously slumping guys like Brian McCann (finally healthy), Dan Uggla and BJ Upton showing signs of life (five hits, four RBI and three runs scored last night), while Andeltron Simmons has delivered eleven hits in the last five games as an emerging table setter. Meanwhile, the Giants season long struggle to plate runs hasn’t
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Atlanta Braves
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Sports Betting Podcast 5-9-2013 with Handicappers Sammy P and Teddy Covers
05.09.2013 09:29 AM
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Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Sammy P and Teddy Covers. Sammy P broke down the entire NHL Playoffs card while Teddy talked MLB.
Today's segments
Full Show
Sammy P - NHL Playoffs
Teddy Covers - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
NHL
MLB
Sammy P
Teddy Covers
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