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College Football Gambling: Memphis Tigers a hot commodity among bettors

09.17.2014     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The betting markets showing a real fondness for the Memphis Tigers who play host to Middle Tennessee State on Saturday. Memphis is off to a 2-0 start with a 69-0 win over Austin Peay and a near upset of UCLA (42-35) in Los Angeles. In last year's meeting vs. the Blue Raiders, Memphis was +66 in total yards and +120 on the ground but lost on a late field goal 17-15. Note than MTSU was an 8-point favorite in that contest. A year later we see Memphis open -7.5, initially bet down to -7, and then steamed up to -12.5. It's a meteoric rise considering in November of last season, Memphis was laying -13.5 vs. UT-Martin. 



Tags: College Foootball Memphis Tigers AAC Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders C-USA




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Missouri Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide

02.22.2014     08:51 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Missouri +1 at Alabama O/U 136
Recommendation: Missouri


Missouri comes in to Tuscaloosa on a three-game win streak while the host Crimson Tide has lost six of seven. Alabama is basically down to six players after forward Nick Jacobs took an indefinite leave of absence. Bama dropped its first game without Jacobs to Texas A&M, 63-48, on Wednesday night and played six players 25 minutes or more and two others for a combined four minutes. Only two of the six players are taller than 6-7 and both are freshmen. Bama may have the least amount of talent in the conference with only guard Trevor Releford playing at a high level. The Tide somehow has been installed as a favorite over a 19-7 Missouri team. The Tigers’ win streak has come at home with close wins over Arkansas, Tennessee, and Vandy, but they have some decent road wins this year. Missouri won at Arkansas and Auburn as well as at NC State in non-league play. The Tigers are definitely on the bubble for an NCAA tourney berth, and shouldn’t overlook the struggling Tide in this one. Mizzou had no trouble in the first matchup between these teams, crushing Alabama 68-47 at home a month ago. Read more


Tags: College Basketball Missouri Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Brent Crow




College Football Handicapping: Week 13 Injury Report

11.21.2013     04:26 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah quarterback Travis Wilson is out for the rest of the season and his career could be in jeopardy after he sustained a concussion two weeks ago in a 20-19 home loss to Arizona St. Wilson finished 2013 with a 16-16 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Utes’ sophomore Adam Schulz started in last week’s 44-21 loss at Oregon, completing 13-of-30 passes for 181 yards with one TD and one interception. In four games this year, Schulz has connected on just 35-of-75 throws (46.7%) for 428 yards with a 2-2 TD-INT ratio.

Florida QB Tyler Murphy is ‘questionable’ vs. Georgia Southern due to a shoulder injury. Making his first career start and taking his first snap at the collegiate level last week, Sklyer Mornhinweg completed 10-of-13 passes for 107 yards in a 19-14 loss at South Carolina. UF didn’t put too much on his plate with most of his throws consisting of screen passes and short patterns. However, the redshirt freshman should be credited for being accurate and only making one mistake, an interception on the final drive with just over one minute remaining. The Gators are favored by 28 against the Eagles.

Missouri QB James Franklin is Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Week 11 Injury Report

11.07.2013     07:59 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stanford won’t have DE Ben Gardner for the rest of the season, but at least it is getting another 2012 All-Pac-12 selection back in the lineup. DE Henry Anderson is ‘probable’ vs. Oregon after missing several games with a leg injury.

Troy uses a two-QB system with Deon Anthony used in running situations. Anthony has rushed for 392 yards and three TDs while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Anthony, who also has three TD passes without an interception, is ‘doubtful’ Thursday at UL-Lafayette after spraining his ankle in a 49-37 loss to ULM last week. Corey Robinson (18-8 touchdown-to-interception ratio) will get all the snaps for the Trojans.

Wisconsin WR Jared Abbrederis has been upgraded to ‘probable’ vs. BYU after sustaining a chest injury on a touchdown catch in Saturday’s 28-9 win at Iowa. The Badgers will also get back two-time All Big Ten linebacker Chris Borland, who has missed the last two games with a hamstring injury.

Iowa QB Jake Rudock left the Wisconsin loss in the second half with a knee injury, but he’s good to go and will start at Purdue. Rudock has a 12-9 TD-INT ratio.

The Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Handicapping: Week 10 Injury Report

10.30.2013     11:18 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For Thursday’s AAC matchup vs. South Florida, Houston RB Ryan Jackson is ‘questionable’ after possibly sustaining a concussion in last week’s 49-14 win at Rutgers. Jackson has rushed 95 times for a team-high 477 yards and four touchdowns while averaging 5.0 yards per carry.

USC is hoping to get star WR Marquise Lee (knee) back for Friday’s game at Oregon State. Lee missed last week’s win over Utah and is ‘questionable’ against the Beavers. The Trojans will be without starting TE Randall Telfer and the laundry list of defensive injuries continues to grow. DE Morgan Breslin, who had a team-high 13 sacks in 2012, remains ‘out’ with a hip injury. Starting LB Lamar Dawson was recently lost to a season-ending injury along with reserve safety Gerald Bowman. Starting cornerback Anthony Brown (arm) is also ‘out’ at OSU.

Mike Riley’s team has plenty of its own injury concerns. On the last play of Oregon State’s 20-12 home loss to Stanford last week, WR Kevin Cummings was lost for the season with a broken wrist. Cummings had 23 receptions for 254 yards and two TDs during his senior Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Betting: SEC News and Notes - Week 7

10.17.2013     12:37 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week saw some shake up in the SEC East standings with Georgia falling to Missouri and Florida losing at LSU for their first conference losses. Georgia had been in the driver’s seat to win the East, but they, Florida, and South Carolina are now all behind the new leader and only remaining unbeaten, Missouri. The Tigers may not remain unbeaten, however, as they lost quarterback James Franklin to a separated shoulder for at least 3-4 weeks and will host Florida this week with a freshman under center. Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Kentucky remain winless to make up the rest of the East standings.

In the West, Alabama took care of Kentucky, 48-7, to keep its place at the top of the standings and remain the only unbeaten team. LSU, Auburn, and Texas A&M all have one loss and are behind the Tide while Ole Miss, Mississippi State and Arkansas bring up the rear.

Here are my power rankings for the entire conference.

1. Alabama - The Tide looked pretty bad in the first half against Kentucky yet still were never in doubt of winning. They finally quit fumbling and dropping passes in the second half and wound up with an unimpressive 48-7 Read more


Tags: College Footbal SEC Brent Crow




College Football Handicapping: Community Power Ratings Week 8

10.15.2013     01:14 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Going forward, let’s just call these “community” Power Ratings. Feel free to post comments below or alert me on twitter (@jefffogle) if you think we have a misread on a team. The numbers already reflect a composite of market influences, stats, and college football discussions anyway. We’ll just call them “community” rankings for this sport.

Some of you who have known me awhile will recognize this from past years in sports betting forums. Though, back then I was trying to get a “power of the collective” thing going in the NFL. It generally ended up being my read of the markets with three of four nice posters stepping into say “thank you” afterward. Not really the COMMUNITY effort I was hoping for. But, a lot of people are shy, and just want to see some numbers anyway. I’m going to stick with “Estimated Market” ratings right now for the Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Handicapping: Week 6 Injury Report

10.02.2013     12:31 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas quarterback David Ash has been ruled ‘out’ of Thursday’s game at Iowa State due to lingering concussion symptoms. Ash sustained his first concussion in a 40-21 loss at BYU in Week 2. After sitting out a loss to Ole Miss, he returned to start in a 31-21 win over Kansas State. However, Ash suffered a second head injury against the Wildcats and didn’t return in the second half. This means Case McCoy will get the starting nod for the second time this season. Ash has seven touchdown passes compared to two interceptions this season, while McCoy has one TD pass and hasn’t been intercepted. Also, Texas’s best wide receiver, Mike Davis, is ‘questionable’ against the Cylcones. Davis sprained his ankle in the loss to Ole Miss and didn’t play against Kansas St. In the first three games, Davis had 20 receptions for 223 yards and four TDs.

Arkansas quarterback Brandon Allen returned to the lineup in last week’s 45-33 loss to Texas A&M. Allen threw for 282 yards and three TDs against the Aggies, but he was picked off twice. The Razorbacks took the cash as 13.5-point home underdogs. Allen missed a 28-24 loss at Read more


Tags: College Football Brian Edwards




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 4

09.23.2013     07:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is usually Boise State who sits back and capitalizes on other teams' mistakes not the other way around. Friday's game against Fresno was one of the more sloppy games I've ever seen out of the Broncos yet they somehow covered the number (+3.5) and had a chance to win the game outright. Down 17-10 early in the second quarter, Boise scored a touchdown but failed on a mysterious two-point conversion (note that the final score was 41-40). Miss one two-point conversion and you're likely to go for two again at some point. Midway through the fourth quarter the Broncos cut the lead to 34-32 and had yet another failed two-point conversion. On their next drive they finally cracked the code and put eight on the board but it put them up only six. Fresno would score a touchdown with three minutes left to give them the 41-40 lead for good. All told, Boise was 1-for-3 on two-point conversions, 1-for-4 on fourth down conversions, and committed two turnovers. Happy to kick PATs, Fresno had no turnovers, was 2-for-2 on fourth downs, and moved to 3-0 on the season.

It is hard for serious bettors to be active in laying huge points because there are typically more factors involved than Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Handicapping: Estimated Power Ratings as of 8/26/13

08.26.2013     02:08 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We’ve seen some early week line movements for the debut of college football in 2013 this Thursday. I’ve tweaked our estimated Power Ratings from a few weeks ago as a result.

The numbers you see below assume 3 points for home field advantage. I create a couplet for each game based on the market spread adjusted for home field (or, left alone in the case of neutral site games), then try to place that couplet on “the big board” scale. So…if a team is a 12-point favorite on a neutral field, I make sure those teams are 12 points apart…then try to figure out where they would logically sit in the big picture based on last year’s final numbers…offseason changes…early numbers in the “game of the year” stuff in Vegas for upcoming matchups…etc. If a team is a 12-point favorite at home, then I make sure those teams are 9 points apart.
 
(If you're wondering why I use a universal 3 points for home field Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence



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