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College Football Betting Preview: Texas Longhorns at Iowa State Cyclones

10.27.2015     10:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas at Iowa State
Saturday, 4 pm PT - FS1
CRIS Opener:
Texas -8 O/U 57
CRIS Current: Texas -6.5 O/U 53
Recommendation: Under

All four of Texas' Big XII games have gone under the total, and three of the four weren't even close as the market has had a tough time adjusting. The Longhorns have run the ball more than any team in league play (51 times per game) and attempted the fewest passes (18.3 times per game). There's no reason to think they'll change that mentality off of back-to-back wins and facing a team in Iowa State the has difficulty stopping the run.

A lot of change for Iowa State heading into this game as offensive coordinator Mark Mangino was let go and sophomore quarterback Joel Lanning will get the start. Lanning took over for senior Sam Richardson in last week's loss to Baylor. His stats look good (12-of-17, 144 yards, 3 TDs) though the Cyclones were trailing 35-0 midway through the second quarter. The change is clearly a last ditch effort to turn things around for head coach Paul Rhoads who is obviously on the hot seat. Given the short turnaround, I'm not expecting it to have Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Iowa State Cyclones Big XII Andrew Lange

College Football Gambling: Iowa State fires offensive coordinator Mark Mangino

10.27.2015     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Man, another offensive coordinator bites the dust. This time it's Iowa State's loveable Mark Mangino who reportedly wasn't getting along with head coach Paul Rhoads. The Cyclones actually rank a respectable 5th in the Big XII in total offense (464.4 ypg) in league play. Assistant Todd Sturdy will take over and sophomore Joe Lanning will get the nod at quarterback. ISU is currently a +6.5 home underdog to Texas for Saturday.

"Mark and I couldn't get on the same page on a few important items," Rhoads said. "We tried to talk that through again this morning to get us moving in a different direction. In the end, Mark was not interested in that."

Tags: College Football Iowa State Cyclones Texas Longhorns Big XII

College Football Betting Preview: Calofornia Golden Bears at Texas Longhorns

09.18.2015     07:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
California at Texas
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
California -3 O/U 60
CRIS Current: California -7 O/U 58
Recommendation: Texas

We’re getting a real pointspread bargain here thanks to the nuances of the betting marketplace here in September.   The bettable line for this game from the Westgate Superbook here in Las Vegas, exactly one month ago, was Texas -9.5.  Let me repeat that: Texas -9.5.  Personnel wise, virtually nothing has changed in the last month.  But the perception of these two teams has changed in the markets, and that offers us legitimate value.

Cal was a hot team in the betting markets in Week 1, taking money against FCS Grambling.  They closed as 45-point favorites and covered the spread by two touchdowns.  Last week, the money poured in on the Bears immediately after the line was posted.  Cal opened as low as -7 against San Diego State, but they closed -13 and again, covered the spread by two touchdowns.

What have we seen this week?  The exact same betting pattern!  Cal opened as -3 favorites Read more

Tags: College Football California Golden Bears PAC-12 Texas Longhorns Big XII Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling Update: Texas switches play caller after one game

09.09.2015     07:18 AM     Printer Friendly

Knee-jerk or justified? The jury is out as Texas head coach Charlie Strong announced that wide receiver coach Jay Norvell will now call plays following Week 1's 38-3 loss to Notre Dame. Norvell takes over for co-OC Shawn Watson. Yes, the Longhorns' offense performance against the Irish was abysmal but playing on the road against a top-tier defense as you attempt to break in a new offense isn't ideal. We'll see how the Longhorns respond this weekend against Rice. The Owls return four starters on defense after allowing 28.5 ppg last year. Note the Rice's schedule included seven teams that ranked 100th or worse in total offense.

"We have to evaluate every aspect of this program and what's key is getting this program on track," Strong said during a Tuesday evening press conference. "We have to do a better job of coaching.

Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Rice Owls C-USA

College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Virginia Cavaliers

09.08.2015     02:34 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Notre Dame at Virginia
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -10 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -11.5 O/U 47.5
Recommendation: Virginia

There is not much to dislike about Notre Dame’s impressive 38-3 romp over the Texas Longhorns last week. For starters, they outgained the Longhorns by a stunning 527-163 margin. Quarterback Malik Zaire was terrific completing 19-for-22 passes for 313 yards with 3 TDs and no picks and the ground attack led by C.J. Prosise and Josh Adams combined for 147 yards and 5.88 yards per carry. It was dominance on both sides of the line of scrimmage for Notre Dame who allowed just 60 rushing yards at a paltry 2.1 yards per carry clip and yielded barely over 100 yards passing amazing when you consider UT was playing the entire game from behind. However, as a result, we appear to be laying a tax with the Irish to go along with the early market support.

Virginia didn’t play its best in a 34-16 loss at UCLA but it is never an easy travel/scheduling situation Read more

Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Virginia Cavaliers ACC Ian Cameron

College Football Handicapping: Back to the drawing board for Texas' offense

09.08.2015     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Not every team can make a seamless transition from traditional to up-tempo offense. Texas managed only 163 yards in Week 1's 38-3 blowout loss at Notre Dame. Keep in mind that the Irish defense, when healthy and not littered with suspensions like what occurred the back half of last season, is a top 20 unit. That said, the performance didn't bode well for the Longhorns after saying they wanting to pick up the pace in 2015. UT's next three opponents present far better opportunities to move the football with Rice (55th in total defense LY), Oklahoma State (93rd), and California (124th) all headed to Austin. Of course one game into the season and head coach Charlie Strong is already questioning his offensive coordinator.

"We have to change. We have to get better on offense," Strong said of his Texas team.

"Things can always get fixed," Strong said, continuing saying that it's just about rolling up your sleeps and getting things done.

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII

College Football Betting Preview: Texas Longhorns at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

09.04.2015     10:14 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Texas at Notre Dame
Saturday, 4:30 pm - NBC
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -8.5 O/U 54.5
CRIS Current: Notre Dame -9 O/U 49
Recommendation: Under

The theme of the entire offseason for Texas was the adoption of a new "up-tempo" system. This after the Longhorns averaged 337.3 ypg of total offense in 2014. It's a logical choice considering the current climate of college football and the Big XII in particular but not every move to up-tempo yields instant results like what we witnessed with TCU. Initial reports suggest that the Longhorns aren't really changing the playbook but rather attempting to play at a faster pace. Either way, expect some early season growing pains. And it's not just the offense you worry about. Typically when teams decide more plays and possessions is the route to go, the defense tends to suffer. And defense was the sole reason why Texas was halfway competitive last season.

It was a tale of two seasons for Notre Dame's defense last season. Aided by health, depth, and a favorable slate in terms of opponents' offensive potency, the Irish had the look of a top 10 unit. But Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII Notre Dame Fighting Irish OTTO Sports

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Texas Longhorns at West Virginia Mountaineers

02.24.2015     08:54 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas +4.5 at West Virginia O/U 136.5
Recommendation: Texas

Going to step in play Texas at +4.5 (a few +5's available) as it heads to West Virginia this evening. Some bettors will undoubtedly point toward the revenge angle (UT won 77-50 in Austin) and the Longhorns' spotty play of late (back-to-back losses). But at the current price there is some value on the underdog as WVU enters off back-to-back upsets and doesn't match up particularly well against UT's front court. While Texas has plenty of weakness -- most notably a lack of consistency -- they do defend well in the paint. In their last two losses, Oklahoma and Iowa State shot a combined 28-of-77, 36.3% from two. What did them in what allowing 20 three-pointers. But unlike the Sooners and Cyclones, the Mountaineers don't have much of any outside shooting prowess. On the season, they've connected on only 30.9% of their three-point attempts. Another angle to consider is WVU's element of surprise, or lack thereof in this spot. In five "second meets" in Big XII pay, the Mountaineers have covered only once; against bottom feeder Texas Tech. Teams clearly know what to expect and while Texas Read more

Tags: College Basketball Texas Longhorns West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting: Iowa State holds players-only pow-wow

01.26.2015     10:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Following Saturday's clunker at Texas Tech, Iowa State held a players-only meeting to ensure they get things right before playing host to Texas tonight. It was a classic letdown spot following wins over Kansas and Kansas State in Ames and an isolated road trip before returning home to face ranked Texas. The Cyclones mailed it in and paid for it with an embarrassing loss.

"It's about as angry a locker room as I've been in, especially since I've been here," said Jameel McKay after scoring nine points and grabbing 10 rebounds. "It was a very emotional locker room.

"We get amped up against Kansas, but when we play Texas Tech, it's not the same outcome," said Morris, who scored 20 points. "We saw 'Tech' across their jersey and took them for granted. That's all it was. They gave it their best shot."

Tags: College Basketball Iowa State Cyclones Texas Longhorns Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII

College Football Handicapping: Arkansas seeks better run game vs. Texas

12.11.2014     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Arkansas is hoping the time off leading up to its Texas Bowl matchup vs. Texas will result in more success running the football. After racking up over 700 yards against Texas Tech and Texas A&M, the Razorbacks averaged only 131 ypg (3.12 ypc) their last six SEC contests. Texas' rushing defense allowed 3.9 ypc on the season.

"We need to get back to the basics of what we do," Cook said. "That's being physical, pounding the rock. That's soothing we can do and something we like to do and something we will focus on and get after it."

Tags: College Football Arkansas Razorbacks Texas Longhorns


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