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June

18

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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers

06.12.2018     10:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Colon) at Los Anegels (Ferguson) -175 O/U 8
Recommendation: Over

My clients and I have been cashing winners betting the Dodgers Over the total in recent days, and there’s little reason to expect a dramatically different result from LA’s hot lineup against Bartolo Colon tonight.

To say that the Dodgers bats are on fire right now would not be an overstatement. LA has scored 11, 12, 10, 5, 9, 8, 7, 3 and 7 runs in their last nine ballgames, cashing eight Overs in the process. Just about every power bat that Dave Roberts has at his disposal is crushing the ball. LA has hit three home runs or more seven times in nine June games while leading the majors (by far) with 26 dingers already this month.

That’s bad news for Bartolo Colon, who needed 97 pitches to labor through five innings of work in his last outing. Colon is extremely vulnerable to the home run ball, allowing 16 bombs in just 71.1 innings of work so far this season. Current Dodgers have hit .288 against him with five home runs in a decent sample size of 104 at bats. Behind Colon, the Rangers bullpen has already taken 11 losses this Read more



Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Los Angeles Dodgers Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners

05.28.2018     07:48 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Fister) +150 at Seattle (Gonzales) O/U 8
Recommendation: Texas

Weekend sweep of Minnesota was a pretty impressive feat by the banged up Mariners. The cumulative 9-5 final score for the three game series displays Seattle’s current need to pitch extremely well in order to win games. Their depleted lineup was missing another solid piece yesterday when SS Jean Segura was held out due to a possible concussion. He went through the protocol and is likely going to be held out today as a precautionary measure. Newly acquired OF Denard Span figures to make his Seattle debut and it will be interesting to see if his insertion isn’t more disruptive than helpful since he’ll probably replace currently hot Ben Gamel (7-for-15 last 4 games). The good news for Seattle is the rest closer Edwin Diaz was able to get yesterday after working four of the last five games. Alex Colome who came over with Span in the trade with the Rays picked up the save yesterday and now really fortifies the back third of the M’s bullpen.

Texas has quietly heated up offensively with an .841 OPS the past week which was the third highest Read more



Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners Rob Veno




MLB Handicapping: Understanding the profile for the best and worst teams to bet on

05.21.2018     11:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Finding the perfect MLB "betting profile" can be tricky. The best teams who post impressive run differentials and a top-tier statistics are almost always well accounted for in the betting markets. It's tough to support these teams with traditional moneyline bets when they are routinely laying north of -200. On the flip side, the worst teams flatout struggle to win. A 65-win team needs to be priced, on average, +150 in order just to break even. Below we broke down the best and worst teams from a profits perspective over the last five seasons. To no surprise, the most common ingredient is under- and over-achievement based on preseason expectations. For example, Arizona was lined at 77.5 wins last season and won 93 games. Meanwhile, San Francisco undershot its win total by 24 games, hence it's historic -37.8 units. Another factor, is "luck." In 2016, Texas won 95 games but "should" have been at or near .500 based on its miniscule +0.2 run differential. The markets never caved on the Rangers' soft statistical profile; they were on average a -106 favorite. In fact, if you combined both 2015 and 2016, Texas went 188-141 +58.9 units. Their pythagorean W-L during that span was 165-159 Read more



Tags: MLB




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers

05.07.2018     10:34 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit (Fulmer) at Texas (Moore) -110 O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Under

Short card tonight in MLB but not short in opportunities including this one. Tigers begin a three game set in Arlington fresh off an unproductive four game series in Kansas City where they lost three and also developed a widespread case of clubhouse flu symptoms. Already down hot hitting offensive leader Miguel Cabrera, Detroit’s second best threat Nick Castellanos was relegated to pinch-hitting duties because of the flu yesterday. Along with that, third baseman and #2 hitter Jeimer Candelario was out due to a jammed thumb and today it’s being reported by the Dallas Morning News that SS Jose Iglesias could miss tonight’s game due to an ankle injury. All added up, that’s Detroit’s 2-4 hitters plus their best defensive player who could all be out tonight. One look at yesterday’s lineup shows how shaky the Tigers are on offense right now. They only scored seven runs in the three games after Cabrera went down this weekend and over their last 12 games they’ve been held to three or less 10 times. That should bode well for Read more



Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers Texas Rangers Rob Veno




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers

05.04.2018     10:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston (Porcello) at Texas (Colon) +165 O/U 9
Recommendation: Texas

The betting markets want no part of Bartolo Colon against the potent Red Sox lineup. At 44 years old, without much of a strikeout pitch, Colon is routinely disregarded by the wiseguys. Due to his flyball ways and his lack of strikeouts, Colon’s FIP is more than a full run higher than his ERA. No surprise, then, that he’s been an underdog in every previous start this season.

Colon is coming off a quality start at Toronto, cashing as a +155 underdog. He had a perfect game through seven innings against the potent Astros lineup. The Rangers lineup behind him is clicking right now, coming off an 11 run outburst last night; pounding out 47 runs while going 5-3 in their last eight ballgames. It’s surely worth noting that four of those five wins came at an underdog price of +140 or higher, and the fifth came in pick ‘em priced game – right now, this Texas team is showing real signs of profitability. And it’s surely worth noting that the Rangers bullpen is rested and ready tonight after a rough series in Cleveland to open the Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays

04.27.2018     09:34 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Minor) at Toronto (Stroman) -150 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Toronto

The Rangers took a flyer on veteran Mike Minor and he's delivered thus far with a 3.86 ERA through four starts. Minor's early success, however, doesn't look sustainable. The strikeout rate is fine (8.57 per 9) but he's allowed 40 fly balls and only two have left the yard. This will mark a second turn against the Blue Jays. When Houston saw Minor for a second time, he coughed up five runs in five innings and fanned only two. Marcus Stroman has no doubt been unlucky with a .350 BABIP, 69.4% GB rate and 20% FB/HR rate. But there are still signs for concern. According to FanGraphs, Stroman's career "hard hit rate" is around 30%. This season, it's 50%. He also owns the fourth-highest exit velocity in MLB at 94.2 MPH. Last season, it was 88.5. Adding to my worries is Stroman's command issues. He's walked 14 batters in only 20 innings. It suggests than he either doesn't trust his stuff to come in the zone or something is physically wrong which may be the case as the soon-to-be 27-year-old righty dealt with shoulder issues during spring training. This will also mark a Read more



Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Toronto Blue Jays Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Gambling Pick: Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

03.30.2018     10:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) at Texas (Fister) O/U
Recommendation: Houston -1.5 -120

From all indications, the defending World Series champs are primed to be every bit as good in 2018, and there’s no reason to expect any sort of hangover. Dallas Keuchel: “We’re not the Cubs”; in reference to Chicago’s ‘hangover’ season last year following their World Series title in 2016.

Houston picked up right where they left off last October, taking care of business against the Rangers on opening day. This is a rotation loaded with legitimate aces, like Dallas Keuchel who is starting today. Keuchel dominated the Rangers on three separate occasions last year right here in Arlington – two earned runs allowed in 18.1 innings of work while striking out 22 batters and holding the Rangers to a .206 batting average against.

The Astros bullpen is truly elite – there’s a reason the Rangers notched only six hits at home on opening day; struggling to make contact even after Justin Verlander left the game and scoring their only run on a truly meaningless wild pitch in the ninth inning when Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Texas Rangers Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers

07.05.2017     12:33 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston (Fister) at Texas (Cashner)
Recommendation: Over 6 1st 5-innings

There a reason this 5-inning total is sitting at 6: Two above average offenses that rank in the top four in runs scores in the American League going up against two very suspect starting pitchers in a ballpark that has a tendency to play "small" during the summer months.

Boston's Doug Fister has been serviceable since being called (11 IP, 6 ERs) up but the 33-year-old veteran wasn't pitching in The Show for a reason. After parlaying his success in Detroit for a big pay day in Washington, Fister's stuff started to diminish. North of 30-years-old, Fister was then shipped to the Astros and thus the American League where he was pounded around throughout the 2016 season (4.64 ERA, 32 starts). The Red Sox are hoping he can chew up a few starts but it's not likely he'll produce much long term.

On the other side is Andrew Cashner, who after a strong April and May, saw his numbers skyrocket. While only recording 22 IP in June, Cashner gave up 33 hits. Cashner's new pitch-to-contact style got him through the first two months of the season but his stats Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers Drew Martin




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

06.02.2017     10:46 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) -120 at Texas (Darvish) O/U 8
Recommendation: Houston

Yes, May is in the rear view mirror now. But what the Astros did in May has all the makings of continuing right here into June! Houston went 22-7 in May, with a remarkable 14 of those 22 wins coming by three runs or more. They entered June ranked #1 in MLB in batting average, slugging percentage and OPS; #2 in on-base percentage. Their pitching has been every bit as good, Top 5 in baseball in both traditional (ERA) and advanced metric (FIP) stats.

Oftentimes, after a team puts together a huge run like the one the Astros have been on, we can and should expect some regression – after all, Houston isn’t going to win 70% of their games for the full season. But this Carlos Correa quote makes me think that the Astros aren’t about to take their foot off the gas pedal here, especially against hated in-state rival Texas: “I think we’re in a good position right now but I’m not going to get comfortable. We’re going to have to try for more. We’re going to try to be 30 games over .500 if we can.”

Astros Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Texas Rangers Teddy Covers




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox

05.24.2017     08:43 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas (Perez) at Boston (Sale) -260 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under

Nine of Boston's last 10 games have gone over the total including last night's 11-6 softball score. The lone exception was last week's 3-2 loss at Oakland in which Chris Sale fanned 10 over seven innings but the bullpen coughed one up in the 10th. Sale is back on the hill tonight and we'll look for another lower scoring affair. The numbers thus far are borderline ridiculous with Sale striking out over 13 batters per nine innings. As of today, he's been the most dominant starter in MLB. And he walks into another situation tonight where we can expect stellar results. The Rangers rank in the bottom third in virtually every offensive category vs. lefties including OPS (23rd, .672). And a closer look shows they've faced a fairly soft slate of southpaw starters. When asked to step up in class against Seattle's James Paxton and Kansas City's Danny Duffy, Texas failed to plate a single run over 15.1 innings. Texas counters with Martin Perez who has shown improvement across the board this season. His strikeout rate is up, home run rate down, and over his last three starts Read more



Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Boston Red Sox Andrew Lange



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"Texas Rangers'"

June

14


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jun 18, 2018 02:20 PM.