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NFL Handicapping: Week 1 lines are up but no one's betting...yet

05.21.2015     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Two weeks ago, CRIS posted lines on every Week 1 NFL game -- not the first sportsbook it do so but arguably the most important. Betting on the NFL is really popular -- way more so that the current lineup of MLB, NBA and NHL Playoffs and Arena Football. And despite providing bettors with a 3+ month head start, there has been literally no movement in the betting markets. Sure, the limits are reduced and a lot of teams still have various questions regarding personnel. But unlike college football, everyone has a pretty good understanding of who's going to take the field in Week 1. Yet, of the 16 lines games, not one has moved off of a key number both side and total -- we're not counting the Tom Brady fiasco. There are currently nine games sitting on 2.5, 3, and 6 -- numbers that typically lend themselves to opinion. And while CRIS obviously knows what they are doing when it comes to hanging an NFL line, one would think bettors would want to jump in and take advantage. Not the case. Based on last year's line history most Week 1 games started to move in July and even more so after preseason play got underway. Until then, if you see something you like, take a shot, but if you think Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Update: Brady-less Patriots settle in at -2.5 for Week 1 vs. Steelers

05.18.2015     02:46 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Now that everyone has had a chance to return their heart rate to normal following the announcement that Tom Brady will be suspended for the first four games of the regular season (could be less following his obligatory appeal), a handful of offshore and Las Vegas sportsbooks have posted bettable lines for Week 1's game vs. Pittsburgh. Here's what we got...

Pinnacle: New England -2.5 O/U N/A
5Dimes: New England -2.5 O/U 49
BetOnline: New England -2.5 O/U 48.5
CG (Cantor): New England -2.5 O/U 49.5
Westgate (LVH): New England -2.5 O/U 49
Golden Nugget/Stations: New England -2 O/U 49





NFL Handicapping: Betting markets react to Brady suspension

05.12.2015     07:19 AM     Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Handicapping: Betting markets react to Brady suspension

05.12.2015     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
No shock to see some betting market chaos following the announcement of Tom Brady's four-game suspension. Not only did it impact the Week 1 and Game of the Year lines but futures odds as well. A few Las Vegas oddsmakers chime in with what they feel Brady is worth to the pointspread. Cantor (CG Gaming) is one of the few sportsbooks currently offering a line of New England's Week 1 game vs. Pittsburgh. They reopened the game Patriots -1 and it was bet up to -1.5. The game originally opened -6.5.


The adjustments “are not enough,” The Wynn’s John Avello told The Linemakers on Sporting News. “I could see it as a pick or even the Steelers as the favorites.”






Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Update: Steelers-Patriots a pick 'em if Brady suspended

05.11.2015     07:50 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE


According to various media reports it's likely that Tom Brady will be suspended for his "role" in Deflategate. Every sportsbook offering a Week 1 line took New England's game against Pittsburgh off the board. The Patriots were around -6.5 but if Brady is suspended, Westgate SuperBook oddsmaker Jay Kornegay said the game would likely reopen around a pick 'em.




NFL Gambling News: Bettors, sportsbooks react to Wells Report findings

05.07.2015     08:22 AM     View Original Blog


With the Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




NFL Gambling News: Bettors, sportsbooks react to Wells Report findings

05.07.2015     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
With the Deflategate files now public there are rumblings that Tom Brady should/will be suspended in some capacity. It didn't take long for bettors to jump in on the New England's Week 1 opponent, Pittsburgh. It also didn't take long for sportsbooks to take the game off the board. Check out 5Dimes' line history...

copy_pats_steelers_2015.JPG




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Pittsburgh Steelers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Drafting quarterbacks in the first round

05.04.2015     08:06 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
To QB or not to QB; that is the question. And when it comes to breaking down the NFL Draft, those QB questions stand paramount.

Jameis Winston was loaded with character questions; a QB with a lack of maturity and poor decision making off the field made his tenure in Tallahassee controversial, to say the least.  Marcus Mariota didn’t have those same character concerns but he can’t match Winston’s full skill set either – there was no ‘Manning- Leaf debate’ over who would go #1 overall between the two prospects.  And yet that duo was drafted #1 and #2 overall by the Bucs and Titans in the NFL draft this past weekend.

There are two basic schools of thought when it comes to taking a QB with a first round pick in the NFL Draft.  One thought is that high draft choice QB busts set the franchise back, often for years.  There are as many (or more) busts as there are QBs that develop into effective starters.  Wasting a first round pick on a QB that doesn’t pan out – particularly when reaching or trading up to acquire the pick – can be nothing short of devastating for a franchise.  Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship matchups are set

01.12.2015     07:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL has never embraced the Final Four moniker, but that’s exactly what we’ve got left in this NFL season.  Four teams.  Three remaining meaningful games (sorry, I’m not counting the pro bowl as meaningful, even if you choose to wager on it).  One champion, yet to be crowned.

And there’s one strong commonality among the four teams still standing after two weekends of NFL Playoff action.   Each of the four teams still standing is there because of their quarterback.  As the league has adjusted their rules year by year, making it more difficult to defend the passing game, the very best QB’s have taken advantage of those rule changes, making them nearly impossible to defend.

Bettors probably remember the Patriots gameplan when they travelled to Indy in Week 11; one of four games this year where the Pats were installed as underdogs by the betting markets.  Bill Belichick installed a radically different gameplan than most Pats fans (and their betting supporters) were used to.  New England played for extended stretches with six offensive linemen in power rushing formations, finishing the game with Read more



Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC Playoff Contenders

12.15.2014     08:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Week 15 of the NFL season is in the books and four teams have emerged as clear co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.  Green Bay and Seattle are at the top of the power ratings spectrum in the NFC while Denver and New England look poised for a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game.

In my Wiseguy Report over the next two weeks, I’m going to poke holes in every other team that is still alive in the playoff chase.  Can any of the fringe contenders knock off the favorites when January rolls around?  Read on to find out.  This week I’ll focus on the second tier contenders in the NFC, and next week, I’ll shift my focus to the AFC.

The Dallas Cowboys have looked good on national TV repeatedly this year.  They are a perfect 7-0 SU on the road, including impressive wins at Seattle and Philly.  But the Cowboys have at least one fundamental flaw – their defense isn’t much better than it was last year when the Cowboys ranked at or near the bottom of nearly every statistical category. 

In 2013, the Cowboys stop unit was ridiculed nationally, allowing 6.1 yards per play (ranked #30 out of 32 Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Detroit Lions at New England Patriots

11.20.2014     02:14 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New England -6 O/U 48
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 47.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: New England -9
Teddy Covers’ Recommendation: Under

On the one hand, the Patriots are as hot as any team in the NFL right now, reeling off six straight wins since that Monday Night Football debacle at Kansas City, while going 5-1 ATS in the process.  That includes impressive blowouts over the likes of Denver, Indy and Cincinnati the three teams that would win the other three AFC Divisions if the season ended today.  The Pats currently are a full game better than any team in the conference, with tiebreaker wins against all of them. As of now, the road to the Super Bowl goes through Foxboro.

But on the other hand, the betting markets are telling us clearly Read more



Tags: NFL Detroit Lions New England Patriots Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Power Ratings Movers and Shakers

11.17.2014     08:20 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Following the Week 11 results, for the first time since 2012, I have a team other than the Denver Broncos or the Seattle Seahawks ranked #1 in my NFL Power Ratings.  Seattle has been steadily declining in my power ratings for most of the season.  The Seahawks lack of defensive line depth was problematic in early season losses to Dallas and San Diego, both of whom wore them down in the second half and were able to run the football successfully throughout.  The loss of stud lineman Brandon Mebane only made those depth concerns greater prior to their game at Kansas City this past weekend; a game where the Chiefs ran all over the Seahawks defense. 

Seattle also lacks consistent downfield playmakers at the wide receiver position since trading away Percy Harvin.  In their loss to the Chiefs, Seattle lost star center Max Unger to injury as well, truly an impact injury.  If the playoffs started today, the Seahawks would be on the outside looking in.  Clearly, this is not the best team in the NFL as we approach Thanksgiving and the December stretch run.

Denver has been ranked #1 or #2 in my power ratings in every single week since 2012, Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 25, 2015 12:27 PM.