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December

14

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College Basketball Gambling: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part I

03.08.2017     01:03 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA National Champion among my elite level teams. Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Three years ago, Kevin Ollie’s Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

Here is a list of the last 19 NCAA champions and the teams they beat in the title game: Kentucky over Utah in ’98, UConn over Duke in ’99, Michigan St over Florida in 2000, Duke over Arizona in ’01, Maryland over Indiana in ’02, Syracuse over Kansas in Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Preview: Villanova Wildcats vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

04.04.2016     10:06 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Villanova vs. North Carolina -2 O/U 149.5

Coming off of pointspread covering performances in their Final Four matchups, these teams left no doubt they’ve been the best in the tournament field. Combined they are 9-1 against the spread thus far (Villanova 5-0, North Carolina 4-1) with nine double-digit victories. They are 7-3 over the total (Villanova 3-2, North Carlina 4-1) with six of those seven exceeding tonight’s current number of 149.5. Tonight’s championship game has numerous intriguing fundamental matchups which appear far more significant than the situationals or technicals in determining which tickets get cashed.

It’s no secret that UNC has a distinct interior edge in this one with ultra-athletic 6’10” Brice Johnson (team’s leading scorer, rebounder, FG%, FT% and shot blocker) 6’10” 260 pound Kennedy Meeks, 6’9” 235 Isaiah Hicks, 6’8” Justin Jackson and 6’11” 280 lb. Joel James. These five players form a group that features every asset imaginable from speed to inside force and figure to be difficult for Villanova which only has two post players that Read more



Tags: College Basktball Villanova Wildcats North Carolina Tar Heels Rob Veno




NCAA Tournament Gambling: North Carolina -150 favorites to win National Championship

03.28.2016     06:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Field of 68 has been whittled down to four as both Final Four matchups are set for Saturday in Houston. Villanova will take on Oklahoma at 3 pm PT. The Wildcats opened -1.5 and were bet up to -2.5. The total got peppered under from 149.5 to 146.5. North Carolina faces Syracuse for a third time. The Tar Heels opened and remain -9.5 with a total of 147. According to The Greek, UNC is a -150 to win the title followed by Villanova (+250), Oklahoma (+300), and Syracuse (+600).




Tags: College Basketball North Carolina Tar Heels




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to beat your NCAA Tournament office pool

03.14.2016     10:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I could go off on the NCAA Tournament committee for screwing the mid-majors again, something that’s becoming an annual tradition.  But complaining about the committee is akin to complaining about the weather – everybody does it, but it doesn’t help one iota.  Instead, in this week’s Wiseguy Report, I’m going to focus on the casual fan and strategies for winning office pool bracket contests.

It’s bracket time, the annual intrusion every March of the general public into our college basketball sportsbetting world.  And when it comes to filling out brackets, there aren’t many bigger experts than Ed Feng from thepowerrank.com, who I had the chance to interview last week.

Feng is an interesting guy, earning his PhD from Stanford – he’s no dummy.  He’s written for Grantland , Deadspin and Bleacher Report, just to name a few of the sites he’s been affiliated with.  Last year, advanced analytics website FiveThirtyEight.com conducted a study that found Feng’s predictions for the 2015 NCAA Tournament to be the most accurate among their forecasts, culminating in Duke’s Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




College Basketball Gambling: Villanova Wildcats favored to win 10-team Big East Tournament

03.08.2016     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Big East Tournament tips off on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden. It's a traditional 10-team format with top seeds Villanova and Xavier playing the winners of Wednesday's two play-in games. The Wildcats won last year's title, 69-52, over the Musketeers. Below are the futures odds to win the tournament courtesy of The Greek.

Villanova -125
Xavier +200
Butler +500
Providence +800
Seton Hall +800
Creighton +1200
Georgetown +2000
Marquette +2000
DePaul +50000
St. John's +50000




Tags: College Basketball Villanova Wildcats Xavier Musketeers




College Basketball Free Betting Pick: Villanova Wildcats at Xavier Musketeers

02.24.2016     10:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Villanova -1.5 at Xavier O/U 145
Recommendation: Villanova


The most important Big East game of the season tips tonight in Cincinnati as Villanova will be defending its No. 1 ranking on the road vs No. 5 ranked Xavier with first place on the line for both teams.  Xavier has played well of late winning eight of nine games and the Musketeers will be looking to avenge their first loss of the season to the Wildcats, a 31-point blowout. Villanova has been Xavier’s kryptonite. In the past three years spanning six games, the Musketeers are 0-6, losing by an average of 17 ppg a game. The Wildcats destroyed the Musketeers in December as Ryan Arcidiacono went for 27 points including 50% from behind the line.

The Wildcats are No. 1 thanks to 16 wins in the past 17 games after an 8-2 start to the year. Josh Hart has been a huge part of that success, averaging a team-high 15.0 points to go along with 7.6 rebounds per game. Daniel Ochefu has been rock-solid since coming back from injury, averaging 14.5 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.3 blocks in the past four games.

Xavier has played well at home, not losing since a 9-point Read more



Tags: College Basketball Villanova Wildcats Xavier Musketeers Drew Martin




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Seton Hall Pirates at Villanova Wildcats

01.06.2016     09:38 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seton Hall at Villanova
Recommendation: Over 66 1st half


Villanova's offense looked like a well oiled machine in Big East wins over Xavier and Creighton. The Wildcats hit a combined 51-of-64 from two and 19-of-43 from three. They can score from all over the court and have an endless array of offensive weapons. Seton Hall has been serviceable on the offensive end with 83 and 78 point efforts in wins over Marquette and DePaul. Both games also featured a fair amount of pace with 80 and 72 possessions respectively. What I don't buy is any of Seton Hall's defensive numbers as multiple metrics indicate the schedule has been extremely favorable in terms of its opponent's offensive potency. In fact, six of their foes are currently averaging less than a point per possession. The Pirates allowed 1.09 ppp in Big East play last season which means we can put little stock into their current output of 0.94 (32nd nationally). Tonight serves as a massive step up in class considering Villanova ranks sixth in offensive efficiency despite struggling from beyond the arc to start the season. You do have to be concerned about Villanova's ability on the defensive end which Read more



Tags: College Basketball Seton Hall Pirates Villanova Wildcats Andrew Lange




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