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College Football Betting Preview: Washington State Cougars at Oregon State Beavers

10.27.2016     12:11 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Washington State at Oregon State
Saturday, 7:45 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Washington State -15.5 O/U 65.5
CRIS Current: Washington State -13 O/U 57
Recommendation: Oregon State

My clients and I cashed in betting against Washington State as road chalk last week in a closer-than-expected non-covering win at Arizona State.  And there’s absolutely no reason to think that the Cougs are being priced appropriately as double-digit road favorites as they travel to Corvallis on Saturday night.

This is the wrong price range for Washington State in a very hostile road environment.  It’s also the wrong pointspread range for an Oregon State team that has been getting killed on the highway, but consistently playing competitive football at Reser Stadium.

There’s been one very consistent facet of Mike Leach coached teams, dating back to his tenure at Texas Tech – they have letdowns, not a coach who’s prone to guiding his team to extended winning streaks.  In his fifth season at Washington State, the Cougars current five game winning streak is the longest Read more

Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars Oregon State Beavers PAC-12 Teddy Covers

Las Vegas Bowl Betting Preview: BYU Cougars vs. Utah Utes

12.17.2015     07:53 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Las Vegas Bowl
BYU vs. Utah
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Utah -2.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Utah -2.5 O/U 51.5
Recommendation: BYU

Utah has been drawing significant support in recent bowl games, in large part due to Kyle Whiitingham’s impressive track record: 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in his eight bowls with the Utes.  They blew out Colorado State 45-10 last year.  And bettors certainly haven’t forgotten outright bowl upsets against the likes of Alabama, Cal, and Georgia Tech (twice) in the Whiitingham era.

The Utes have also enjoyed great success in recent seasons against their in-state rival.  The Utes have won each of the last four meetings since 2010 – three tight victories by a touchdown or less, and a 54-10 wipeout in Provo back in 2011. The two teams didn’t meet in the regular season this year, making this matchup a highly anticipated revenge meeting for the slight underdog.

For many of these minor bowls, motivation is a key element of the handicap.  That’s most assuredly not the case in this game.  These two programs Read more

Tags: College Football BYU Cougars Utah Utes PAC-12 Teddy Covers

College Football Gambling: Miami looks to end bowl win drought

12.14.2015     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's been a long time since Miami won a bowl game. You'd have to go back to the Larry Coker era when the Hurricanes defeated Nevada in the 2006 MPC Computers Bowl. Last season, they lost to South Carolina, 24-21, as -3 favorites. And the year before that they were woodshedded by Louisville, 36-9. Miami is currently a +3 underdog for its Sun Bowl matchup vs. Washington State. Note that the Cougs are also hungry to get into the bowl win column. They've been to the postseason once since 2003; a 48-45 loss to Colorado State in the 2013 New Mexico Bowl.

"We have to change that, definitely. It looks bad for our bowl record," quarterback Brad Kaaya said of the Hurricanes' postseason losing streak.

"We've just got to change it this game. I mean, that's the plan right now. … Miami's been known in the past for winning big games and postseason games. We have to bring that tradition back and hopefully, this starts it off for the next however many decades."

Tags: College Football Miami Hurricanes ACC Washington State Cougars PAC-12

College Football Betting Preview: UCLA Bruins at Utah Utes

11.18.2015     08:47 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
UCLA at Utah
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Utah -2 O/U 59.5
CRIS Current: Utah -2 O/U 58
Recommendation: Utah

My clients and I cashed our 20* PAC-12 Game Of The Year last week with Washington State as the Cougars got the dramatic outright win at UCLA. This week, the Bruins and opponent Utah are both in the mix (along with USC) to win the South Division and get to the PAC-12 Championship game so this game is obviously very important for both sides.

We’ve seen multiple key injuries throughout the season decimate UCLA’s defense highlighted by cluster injuries at LB with Myles Jack and Isaako Savaiinaea going down earlier in the season. The Bruins have yielded 24+ points to every team they have faced in the PAC-12 this season with the exception of a struggling and injury riddled Oregon State offense that didn’t have its starting quarterback. The Bruins’ defense simply didn’t make any key stops in crunch time last week as it allowed Washington State’s offense led by quarterback Luke Falk to march down the field for the game winning touchdown in the Read more

Tags: College Football UCLA Bruins Utah Utes PAC-12 Ian Cameron

College Football Handicapping: Oregon State's defense is a total mess

10.14.2015     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Three games, 918 yards, and 6.0 ypc is what Oregon State allowed on the ground to Michigan, Stanford, and Arizona. The good news is Beavers' offensive coordinator Kalani Sitake said, " can't get any worse."

Following last week's blowout loss to Arizona, Sitake said it would be impossible to simplify the defense more than it already has.

Saturday's opponent, Washington State, isn't going to run for 300 yards but it’ll assuredly be able to move the ball via the pass against an OSU team that has a hard time applying pressure on the quarterback and making open field tackles.

The total was bet up from 55.5 to 59.5.

Tags: College Football Oregon State Beavers Washington State Cougars PAC-12

College Football Betting Preview: Washington State Cougars at Oregon Ducks

10.06.2015     01:54 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Washington State at Oregon
Saturday, 3 pm PT - PAC-12 Network
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -17 O/U 74
CRIS Current: Oregon -17 O/U 70
Recommendation: Washington State

Last week the Oregon Ducks took control in the second half against Colorado turning a tie game at half into a 41-24 win as they rebounded at least temporarily from the embarrassing 62-20 home loss to the Utah Utes. However, I feel the Washington State Cougars have enough edges and a good enough offense right now to make this a competitive game for a full 60 minutes.

Oregon is on a 0-3 ATS slide at home failing to even sniff pointspread covers in games against Eastern Washington (won by 19 laying -35), Georgia State (won by 33 laying -42.5) and the aforementioned loss to Utah. Washington State is getting very solid quarterback play from Luke Falk who has completed 72.6% of his passes for 1,459 passing yards and a strong 10-2 TD-INT ratio. The ability to move the football through the air is exactly what Oregon has struggled against dating back to last season. In 2013, the Ducks' secondary was one of the best in the country as opposing Read more

Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Ian Cameron

College Football Gambling Update: Cal takes big early money for fifth straight week

09.29.2015     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly

Another big early week market move towards the California Golden Bears (3-1 ATS) as they play host to Washington State. Last week, the Bears were bet up from -2 to -5 against Washington. However, late money had the Huskies go off as -1 favorites at some offshore sportsbooks. It was the wrong opinion as Cal won the game 30-24. This week, CRIS opened Cal -13.5 and it has since been bet up to -19.5. Again, we're talking about a Week 4 college football power conference side, not some soft Week 1 Sun Belt total.

College Football Handicapping: Cal Golden Bears remain hot commodity in betting markets

09.22.2015     02:31 PM     View Original Blog

Another week, Read more

Tags: College Football California Golden Bears Washington State Cougars PAC-12

College Football Betting Preview: Boise State Broncos at BYU Cougars

09.09.2015     08:34 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Boise State at BYU
Saturday, 7:15 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Boise State -2 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current: Boise State -3 O/U 54.5
Recommendation: Under

A lot of angles to consider with this matchup as Boise State travels to BYU. The biggest of course is the season-ending injury to BYU's Taysom Hill. No doubt Hill was a special player but the Cougars have plenty of experience playing without him and during his absence last season, there wasn't a significant drop off in offensive production. In four games with Hill, BYU averaged 450 ypg and 37.5 ppg. In eight games without Hill, BYU averaged 470 ypg and 39 ppg. Freshman Tanner Mangum is slated to take over for hill. Magnum, who just turned 22 years old, comes in highly regarded.

I have my concerns with Boise State's quarterback Ryan Finley who didn't look particularly comfortable in Week 1's narrow win over Washington. Finely threw for only 129 yards on 26 pass attempts including an interception. It was clear in the second half when the Huskies narrowed the margin that head coach Bryan Harsin didn't have a lot of confidence in his sophomore signal Read more

Tags: College Football Boise State Broncos Mountain West BYU Cougars OTTO Sports

College Football Betting: Washington State see turnovers as a way to defensive improvement

08.27.2015     09:18 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article on Washington State's first-year defensive coordinator Alex Grinch. Grinch has never been a DC though spent the last three years coaching Missouri's secondary. There's obviously work to be done as Wazzu sported one of the worst power conference defenses in the country (38.6 ppg allowed). Some of their struggles were no doubt because of a lack of talent/ability/PAC-12 offenses. However, the unit was up against it on a regular basis thanks to an offense that coughed up the football 25 times. Turnovers are a part of who the Cougs are so to remedy that, Grinch is focused on takeaways this season which is nice in theory but something that isn't always controllable. That said, the extra emphasis can't hurt as Wazzu forced only eight turnovers last season; tied for the worst mark in the country. In 2013, they had 30 takeaways but committed 35 turnovers. Basically Washington State is the nation's best team at not being able to get out of its own way. Read more

Tags: College Football Washington State Cougars PAC-12

College Football Gambling: BYU has history of Week 1 success

07.29.2015     09:09 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
There's a longstanding theory that BYU has somewhat of an advantage in Week 1 due to the older age of many of its players. It's a logical thought process that 22 and 23 year olds who attended Mormon missions will be better prepared than teams forced to play first-year starters and underclassmen. Out of curiosity, we went back and looked at the pointspread history and results of BYU's first game dating back to 2006. Of those nine games, the Cougs went 7-2 straight up and 6-2 against the spread (the game vs. FCS Northern Iowa wasn't lined). Ironically, one of the articles we found on the "phenomenon" was prior to 2013's game vs. Virginia in which the Cavaliers had the most underclassmen in the country on their depth chart. UVA won outright as home underdogs, 19-16. In the end, the short term results suggest there is some truth to the theory but bettors should still incorporate other factors into their handicap.

2015 - BYU at Nebraska
Opener: BYU Read more

Tags: College Football BYU Cougars


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