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SPECIAL OFFER: Crush this Week in All Sports for only $99
05.20.2013 10:26 AM
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Coverage through Sunday, May 26.
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MLB Gambling News: A Unique Look at Offenses
05.20.2013 10:02 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
As you probably know, I’ve been playing around with 5-inning options in Major League Baseball this year. Part of the fun of that is doing record-keeping that you know nobody else is doing. Helps you see things from different perspectives.
I’ve been logging all the results by hand because there aren’t any websites I know of that go in-depth with this stuff. That’s GREAT, because it’s easier to gain and maintain an edge over the market when information isn’t widely available. Don’t think I’ll be giving away anything to vital in this post…though creative readers may find a way to use the data.
Here’s the percentage of time that each offense has reached at least two runs in the first five innings this year, through the games of Sunday afternoon…
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Detroit 76%
Baltimore 73%
LA Angels 68%
Boston 68%
Tampa Bay 67%
Cleveland
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
05.20.2013 09:44 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Arizona
(Corbin) -110 at
Colorado
(Garland) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: Arizona
Arizona's Patrick Corbin has been flawless this season with a 1.52 ERA and solid 41-to-17 K-to-BB ratio. He’s a young lefty arm who has seen an uptick in velocity and plays on a quality team that is not overpriced in the betting markets. It would be foolish to think Corbin isn't going to regress some (see 3.91 xFIP) but despite his success the betting markets continue to bet against this kid and as a result his value has remained. He should be north of -125 in this particular matchup yet you can get him for as cheap as -110. Colorado's Jon Garland has thrown three straight games in which he's lasted only five innings and allowed three earned runs. With 26 strikeouts in 46 innings Garland simply isn't able to fool many batters at this point in his career. There are some metrics that suggest the starting pitching matchup is close but the eye test tells me to support the premium lefty arm at a discounted price.
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Arizona Diamonbacks
Colorado Rockies
Andrew Lange
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NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs bomb from deep, take 1-0 series lead
05.20.2013 08:36 AM
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Stat Intelligence
Even when I was thinking the Spurs would need to shoot treys like the Knicks if they wanted to beat Memphis, I hadn’t imagined THIS for the start of the Western Conference Finals.
Three-Pointers: Memphis 5 of 12, San Antonio 14 of 29
That’s +9 in makes, which is +27 on the scoreboard, in a game the Spurs won by 22.
Don’t want to get too cute here. We had the KRIB Index for the Knicks when they were making a lot of treys while not turning the ball over (Knicks Re-Invent Basketball). San Antonio was actually +3 in that differential today. SPARE-RIB? SPurs ARE Re-Inventing Basketball? Nah.
And, besides, this kind of ball movement and brains is something we’ve associated with San Antonio for years. It’s important to remember that we were all associating it with them last year at this time, just as they were jumping ahead of Oklahoma City 2-0 before losing four straight. San Antonio plays a beautiful game…which is art when
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Memphis Grizzlies
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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four
05.20.2013 08:26 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now. With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs. This year’s results stand out in that regard. In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs. San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds.
In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin. And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.
When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here
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Memphis Grizzlies
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Miami Heat
Indiana Pacers
Teddy Covers
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