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College Basketball Gambling: Vanderbilt defense struggles without Ezeli
11.21.2011 02:38 PM
Printer Friendly
Oregon State
vs.
Vanderbilt
-7 O/U 151.5
Vanderbilt head coach Kevin Stallings voiced his opinion about his team's
lack of defense
thus far. The Commodores have been without the services of 6-11 center Festus Ezeli (knee). They ranked near the bottom nationally in 2-pt. FG defense at 54.9%.
"We have to play better defensively," he said. "We're a pretty good offensive team, but we suck on defense. Until we get better defensively, it doesn't matter who we put out there. We've got to get better defensively. Period."
Tags:
College Basketball
Vanderbilt Commodores
Oregon State Beavers
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NFL Handicapping: New England steamed up to a -17 point favorite over Chiefs
11.21.2011 01:49 PM
Printer Friendly
Kansas City
at
New England
-17 O/U 47
Thoughts on tonight's Monday Football contest between the Patriots and Chiefs from Hilton oddsmaker Jay Kornegay.
Jay Kornegay says: "Outside of Indy, Green Bay and San Francisco teams can't seem to get or lose momentum longer than three weeks. This type of support or lack of it mirrors the type of action we see at the betting windows. We opened the Patriots minus-16.5 and a total of 47.5. The line dropped to minus-14.5 on Tuesday, as well as the total to 46.5.
"Since then, it has crept up to the current number of minus-16.5 with the total remaining the same. I expect nothing but Patriot money on game day but it will be the 'small' money. The sharps will only touch it if it goes to minus-17.5 or above. Expect this line to get to minus-17 and remain there. The total might come down another step to 46."
Prediction: Line will close at minus-17; total will close at 46
Tags:
NFL
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
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NCAA Basketball Betting Alert: UMass pounded up to -4.5 vs. Boston College
11.21.2011 12:54 PM
Printer Friendly
Massachusetts
-4.5 at
Boston College
O/U 141.5
Even with the season only two weeks old, it is rare to see a six-point line move on a side. Bettors have been peppering UMass since the opener of +2.5 and based on the results, you can hardly blame them. Boston College is one of only a handful of teams not to have a single returning starter and the impact has shown with the Eagles barely beating New Hampshire at home and getting waxed by 22 on the road against a Holy Cross team that lost to Fairfield by 21. The Minutemen return a wealth of experience and appear to be headed the right direction following a 3-0 start – all three wins by 16 or more. Perhaps BC will come with a big effort following its embarrassing loss though it may not be enough considering the personnel changes. Line history courtesy of CRIS.
Tags:
College Basketball
UMass Minutemen
Boston College Eagles
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TURKEY DAY SHOOTOUT: All Sports Special Offer $149
11.21.2011 12:14 PM
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Our annual
Thanksgiving All Sports Special
is now available! Purchase the handicapper of your choice and get all sports coverage for the rest of the month for only $149. You'll get all of the plays (10*, 15* and 20*), NFL, College Football and College Basketball through next Wednesday for one low cost. Purchase online or call the office at 1-800-575-3069.
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NFL Gambling Notes: Extensive injury report for Buffalo Bills
11.21.2011 10:27 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Buffalo
at New York Jets- -8 O/U 42
I watched the Buffalo-Miami game start to finish yesterday and there's no doubt the
cluster of injuries
for the Bills are having an effect. Head coach Chan Gailey's quote is a customary line when coaches know their team is in a bit of trouble. The article doesn't even mention safety George Wilson who was out yesterday and leads the team in interceptions. He's listed as questionable for Sunday vs. the Jets.
"We're not where we need to be," Gailey said. "We've got to have guys that can go out and execute. And I got to put them in position to be able to play. They're good football players or they wouldn't be on an NFL team."
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Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
Rob Veno
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NFL Handicapping: Chicago Bears lose Cutler, plan to start Hanie vs. Raiders
11.21.2011 10:08 AM
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Chicago
at
Oakland
-3.5 O/U 42.5
Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler will have surgery on his
broken thumb
. There is no timetable for his return though reports indicate he'll likely miss the rest of the regular season. The Bears will now turn to back-up Caleb Hanie who has yet to play a snap this season. Chicago is currently tied for the NFC's third best record at 7-3. They continue their four-game set against the AFC West on Sunday with a trip to Oakland.
"I'm not going to play doctor right now," Smith said when asked how long Cutler will be sidelined. "We're going through the process. We will be able to tell you a little bit more. That's all we can tell you right now. That's all we know right now."
"(I expect) the same play from our quarterback position," Smith said. "Caleb has played a lot for us around
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NFL
Chicago Bears
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New Jersey sports betting nice in theory but still a long ways off
11.21.2011 09:59 AM
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Pro-sports betting editorial from
nj.com
that is also realistic about its future as a moneymaker. The author points out that sports betting generates only a small fraction of gaming revenue in Nevada (1.2 percent to be exact). And assuming that sports betting becomes legalized in New Jersey – something unlikely to occur anytime soon – neighboring states will likely want a piece of the pie. So while legalized sports betting is obviously a good thing, it is by no means be a game changer in terms of revenue. Unfortunately, that is the main reason politicians take a pro-gaming stance. They may claim "personal freedoms" – a few genuinely hold that belief – but the ultimate goal is money and based on the historical data, they are likely to be disappointed.
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NCAAB Betting Notes: Oregon starting guard leaves team, starting center hurt
11.21.2011 09:23 AM
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Oregon got some
disappointing news
this weekend when five-star recruit and starting guard Jabari Brown decided Eugene wasn't the right fit. Brown reportedly cleaned out his locker though head coach Dana Altman tried to talk him out of it and is leaving the door open for a return. The Ducks also may be without starting center Tony Woods who hurt his ankle in Saturday's win over Southeast Missouri. Woods was the team's third leading scorer at 8.7 pgg. The Ducks travel to Nebraska on Wednesday.
“I will say right up front, I don’t want him to leave,” said Altman. “I did try to talk him out of it, I wanted him to reconsider, I hope he does reconsider. The door is still open. He’s a good young man who hasn’t gotten off to the start he wanted.”
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Oregon Ducks
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College Basketball Handicapping: Gearing up for Thanksgiving tournament action
11.21.2011 09:05 AM
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Submitted by
We’re off to a sizzling 8-2 start in college basketball following Valparaiso’s 84-68 demolishing of Duquesne Sunday. The Crusaders were a 3-point home underdog as the host of the 2k Classic and money came in strong on Valpo prior to tip off. Strong support was also in favor of our top play Saturday as Long Beach State (+3) had an adjusted power rating line of at least three points following their big upset of Pittsburgh November 16th (a Big Drive winner for us). But we could have use an extra few points Saturday as we suffered a very tough loss when Long Beach State lost to San Diego State 71-67 in overtime. If you missed the final seconds of regulation and overtime, Long Beach was trailing by two points with three seconds remaining in regulation. The 49ers had the ball after a timeout planning their final possession and shot. Long Beach State planned a 3-point shot off a screen for premier point guard Casper Ware. But a San Diego State player committed an ill-advised foul on the screen as the ball was being put into play. Ware calmly made both free throws under pressure to send the game into overtime. Long Beach was already penalized by the officials when their top
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College Basketball Early Start Free Play: Winthrop Eagles vs. Drexel Dragons
11.21.2011 08:54 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Winthrop
vs.
Drexel
-6.5 O/U 120
Recommendation: Under
You'd be hard pressed to find a worse combo of poor offensive teams than Winthrop and Drexel. In four games, the Eagles have shot 36.2, 39.2, 42.1 and 40.5 percent from the floor. Their 60.5 ppg average was boosted when Marquette ran them out of the gym and the game produced 71 possessions. Drexel opened the year with 80 points against Rider. It looked promising at the time but Rider's defense has been awful, allowing over 80 ppg on the season. Since then, the Dragons have produced 56 and 35 points in two games. Combined, the Dragons shot 36-110, 32.7% from the floor and 6-34, 17.6% from three. Even with Drexel primed for a better offensive showing, the pace of this game is expected to be slow – somewhere around 60 possessions. Early start for both teams could also produce a sluggish start. The betting markets are always leery of letting games dip below 120, but I just don't see much potential for
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College Basketball
Winthrop Eagles
Drexel Dragons
Andrew Lange
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Handicapper Teddy Covers: Week 11 NFC Betting News and Notes
11.21.2011 08:34 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
We’re officially into the homestretch of the NFL season. Every team has now had their bye week, with the last four (Texans, Colts, Saints, Steelers) coming this past Sunday. The three Thanksgiving Day games and the full Sunday slate that follows are the start of that final push towards the postseason.
Just to illustrate how much can change, last year at this time, the Falcons and Patriots were the only teams in the NFL with eight wins and ranked at or near the top of nearly every set of power rankings. As you probably recall, both Atlanta and New England lost their home opener in the playoffs; complete non-factors in January and (of course) February. Meanwhile, the Lions were in the midst of a 4-38 SU run dating back to 2008, arguably the single worst team in the NFL; prior to their late season surge that set the stage for their 2011 revival.
We’ll see a handful of teams morph again this year, turning a positive late season run into a strong pointspread record or a negative late season run into dismal pointspread results. My goal this week is to break down the 16 teams in the NFC, hoping to identify some of these potential ‘morphers’
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Teddy Covers
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NCAA Basketball Betting: Notre Dame welcomes back Abromaitis vs. Missouri
11.21.2011 08:06 AM
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Notre Dame
vs.
Missouri
-4 O/U 146
Notre Dame welcomes back
forward Tim Abromaitis
back for today's game against Missouri after serving a three-game suspension. Abromaitis averaged 15.4 ppg and shot better than 42% from three last season. Irish head coach Mike Brey noted that in Abromaitis' absence, the team was able to play a host of players but moving forward, he would shorten the bench and use more of a set rotation.
"We've got a heck of a challenge Monday," he said. "They're really good, really fast. We've got to change some tempo on them — we can't run around with them all 40 minutes. I knew we were going to play different guys without [Abromaitis]. I didn't know it was going to be this much musical chairs. It's paid off, and different guys have
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College Basketball
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Missouri Tigers
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NCAAF Gambling News: Arizona State's Erickson rumored to be on his way out
11.21.2011 07:55 AM
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California
at
Arizona State
-5.5
It doesn't look like Arizona State head coach Dennis Erickson is going to be around for the 2012 season. Rumors are circulating that the long time head coach will
retire at the end of the year
. The Sun Devils are in the midst of one off their annual meltdowns – 0-3 SU/ATS run. With USC ineligible for the postseason and a 4-1 start to PAC-12 play, ASU look primed to represent the PAC-12 South Division in the conference championship. On Saturday however, Arizona State below a 10-point fourth quarter lead to rival Arizona. It was the second straight game ASU lost outright as a double-digit favorite. Erickson denied the rumors that he was stepping down and told reporters that there is
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College Football
Arizona State Sun Devils
California Golden Bears
PAC-12
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NFL Handicapping: Another view of rushing success and pointspread profit
11.21.2011 07:40 AM
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Submitted by
Every week I write a variety of articles and post blogs discussing and reviewing NFL information to better assist you in pursuit of profits. Some of my processes in becoming a winning pointspread prognosis professional are well documented. Success starts with fundamentals, preparation and production at the point of attack. I thought I would share some additional stats to hammer home the importance of controlling the line of scrimmage and having success running the ball and/or stopping the run.
As a refresher, teams that have a meaningful rushing advantage over their opponent in a NFL game cover the pointspread approximately 75% of the time (I have a 10-year data base to support). And it’s even stronger when teams run the ball at least 30 times in a game.
So here is some additional evidence in support of a strong running game. In Week 11 NFL action (Monday pending), teams that rushed the ball 30 times or more went 7-0-1 ATS (yes, our top-play on Atlanta was the push). Teams that rushed the ball 20 times or less went 1-5-1 ATS (yes, Tennessee with 14 running plays was the push). Over the past four weeks, this simple profile has seen teams that run the
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November
22
November
20
NFL by Rob Veno
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