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Handicapper Fairway Jay spots the Most Improved Teams in college basketball
01.13.2012 01:40 PM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Here is a list of under the radar teams that have shown significant improvement from KenPom’s preseason rankings to current play as of January 13, 2012. I note this along with each team’s current SU record, ATS results and (wins) last year. Also included is each team’s adjusted defensive ranking by KenPom, as many improvements can be traced to a stronger commitment on the defensive end of the floor along with improved rebounding. We cashed a top-rated 20* Big Drive play on Western Illinois last night in its 71-70 double OT loss to Summit League leader Oral Roberts. Like many of the teams listed below, their defense is improved and providing strength in numbers; both SU and ATS. While the secret is out for some of these squads, note that everyone on the list has been a money-maker ATS; many with huge profit-producing results.
College Basketball's Most Improved Teams
Team
Preseason RPI
Current RPI
Coach
SU Record /ATS
Adjusted Defense
Wyoming
273
65
Larry Shyatt
14-2 / 8-3 (10)
33
Western Illinois
332
129
Jim Molinari
9-6 / 7-2 (7)
111
La Salle
217
61
John Giannini
13-4 / 9-2 (15)
43
Mercer
247
101
Bob Hoffman
12-7 / 2-1 (15)
93
Georgia State
182
54
Ron Hunter
12-4 / 9-3 (12)
10
Wagner
206
86
Danny Hurley
13-3 / 3-0 (13)
85
Middle Tenn State
178
52
Kermit Davis
16-2 / 13-3(16)
41
Lamar
214
111
Pat Knight
11-6 / 2-0 (13)
80
UT-Arlington
188
79
Scott Cross
10-5 / 2-1 (16)
69
Cal Poly
192
87
Joe Callero
11-6 / 8-6 (15)
36
Illinois State
181
74
Tim Jankovich
11-5 / 7-5 (12)
112
Murray State
110
34
Steve Prohm
17-0 / 8-4 (23)
64
Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. He’s on a record-breaking college basketball run, as Fairway Jay’s top-play ‘Big Drives’ are 25-4 since late November, including 11-1 on his 20* Big Drive
Read more
Tags:
College Basketball
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NCAA Basketball Betting Free Pick: Penn Quakers at Columbia Lions
01.13.2012 01:30 PM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Pennsylvania
at
Columbia
-1.5 O/U 123.5
Recommendation: Under
We continued our remarkable run in college basketball with a pair of Big Drive winners last night on Western Illinois and Arkansas-Little Rock. Since the end of November, the run is 25-4 on our top-rated Big Drive college basketball plays. Time to join the profit-producing party!
We passed on Friday’s card from a service perspective, but here is a Fairway Free Forecast that is part of my personal betting interests. Ivy League play tips off tonight with Columbia (11-5) winning 11 of its last 12 games. As I often discuss, the improvement starts with defense, and the Lions rank 81st in KenPom’s adjusted defensive rankings after finishing 226th last season. Their effective field goal defense is also significantly improved this season (41st, 44%). Columbia is a slow-down team with an adjusted tempo ranking of 284 out of 345 which has assisted in a 2-5 O/U mark this season. One of
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Pennsylvania Quakers
Columbia Lions
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College Basketball Free Play: Missouri State Bears at Northern Iowa Panthers
01.13.2012 01:18 PM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
Missouri State
+6 at
Northern Iowa
O/U 128
Recommendation: Missouri State
Northern Iowa has been really struggling of late, dropping four of its past six games. Two of the losses (Ohio and Evansville) came at the McLeod Center which has been one of the better home venues in the country over the past few seasons. The Panthers did bounce back with two wins before losing a close game at Creighton last time out. Missouri State on the other hand has been playing solid basketball. They have won four of their last five, including road wins at Creighton and Indiana State. Missouri State has not missed a beat without head coach Cuonzo Martin, as new leader Paul Lusk has implemented his system smoothly while emphasizing the same defense first approach as Martin. This should be a typical Missouri Valley Conference game with both teams with a shot in the final minutes. As such, six points in too high as we fire away with the underdog.
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College Basketball
Missouri State Bears
Northern Iowa Panthers
Brent Crow
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NHL Handicapper Free Play: Phoenix Coyotes at Columbus Blue Jackets
01.13.2012 01:10 PM
Sammy P Sports
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Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Phoenix -115 at Columbus O/U 5.5
Recommendation: Under
We cashed an UNDER ticket with Phoenix on the road last night in Detroit and we’ll use the same play for their game in Columbus this evening. I mentioned yesterday the Coyotes’ lack of scoring on the road of late and I’m expecting the trend to continue against the Blue Jackets. At first glance this Columbus team is very poor defensively (3.29 goals per game allowed, 29th), but upon closer examination we find that there is a bit of home/road dichotomy to the numbers. At home, Columbus allows a league average 2.60 gpg which has resulted in 13 of 19 games going UNDER the total. The Blue Jackets will be very limited offensively tonight with three top offensive producers (Jeff Carter, RJ Umberger, and Kristian Huselius) all out due to injury. Add in the previous injury to offensive defenseman James Wisniewski – he’s missed the last five games due to an ankle injury – and you are left with a team starving for offense. All signs point to a low scoring game where both teams will have to rely on their defense to win. Lay the juice and
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Phoenix Coyotes
Columbus Blue Jackets
Sammy P
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Sports Betting Podcast 1-13-2012 with Rob Veno and Teddy Covers
01.13.2012 09:28 AM
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Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Rob covered tonight's College Basketball and this weekend's NFL Playoffs while Teddy tackled every game on the NBA card.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball and NFL Playoffs
Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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NBA
NFL
Rob Veno
Teddy Covers
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NCAA Basketball Betting: Princeton travels to Cornell for Ivy League opener
01.13.2012 07:42 AM
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Princeton
-1 at
Cornell
O/U 124.5
New and notes on tonight's Ivy League opener between Princeton and Cornell. Tonight will mark the
eighth straight road game
against a DI opponent for the Tigers. Cornell meanwhile has been
hammered by injuries
with 74 player games already lost.
“I feel like we’re in a slightly better position now than we were a month ago,” Princeton coach Mitch Henderson said the other day. “We had a rough start (1-5).
“What we’re seeing now is more balance; certainly on the offensive end. We’ve gotten good production out of Ian Hummer and Doug Davis, but the rest of the team is
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Princeton Tigers
Cornell Big Red
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NBA Handicapping: San Antonio's defense continues to falter
01.13.2012 07:32 AM
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Portland
at
San Antonio
-1.5 O/U 193.5
Following last night's 106-103 loss to Milwaukee, San Antonio dropped to 26th in FG% defense and
23rd in points per game allowed
.
“That just won’t get anything done,” Popovich said. “That will portend a very mediocre basketball season for the San Antonio Spurs.”
“We’ve got a lot of work to do,” Duncan said. “We’ve got a long ways to go to get to where we believe the Spurs’ defense should be.”
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San Antonio Spurs
Portland Trailblazers
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College Basketball Betting: South Florida continues play at off-campus arena
01.13.2012 07:25 AM
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Seton Hall
-1 at
South Florida
O/U 120
Telling quote from a South Florida player on the feeling of having to play
home games
at an off-campus arena while the Sun Dome undergoes repairs.
"It's like playing an away game every single night," junior forward Toarlyn Fitzpatrick said.
Head coach Stan Heath downplayed the minor inconvenience and to the Bulls' credit, they've gone 7-1 "away" from home this year.
"The pluses by far outweigh the minuses," USF coach Stan Heath said of the Bulls' hybrid home-court arrangement this season. "We're going to play in a fantastic building next season. I can't complain about it a whole lot.
"Maybe it would be different if we had lost a lot of games," said Heath, whose team is 7-1 at the
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South Florida Bulls
Seton Hall Pirates
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NCAA Basketball Gambling: Scoring in the Missouri Valley on the rise
01.13.2012 07:10 AM
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Article on the
increase in scoring
in the Missouri Valley Conference this season. The league is collectively averaging over 70 ppg – nearly 5 ppg higher than a season ago.
"We have some amazing talent in the league right now, some of the best I've seen," said Illinois State head coach Tim Jankovic. "We're in year five and just shaking our heads with some of these guys. There is some high, high level talent in the league this year."
"You can let it rip and run when you have better players. When you have lesser players, you want fewer possessions from my perspective," said Wichita State head coach Gregg Marshall. "Creighton is playing really fast, they're doing a great job running. Illinois State is running. Evansville has a lot of guys who can shoot the ball."
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January
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