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Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Continued love for Giants may drop line to 2.5

02.03.2012     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
ESPN's Chad Millman discusses Super Bowl XLVI line moves.

The game began as Pats minus-3.5. I think it was 12 minutes, no joke, before it was Pats minus-3. And for the past two weeks it's been sitting there, for the most part, with books choosing to move the cost of the bet (from New York plus-3, minus-110 to plus-3, minus-120 to plus-3, minus-125), rather than move off the three. This week on my podcast Jay Kornegay, a bookmaker at the Las Vegas Hotel, told me, "I am hoping to wait until the weekend before going to that 2.5."

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI

NBA Handicapping: San Antonio Spurs starting to play better defense

02.03.2012     11:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article discussing San Antonio's recent defensive improvements. Over the last three games, the Spurs have held teams to 73, 91 81 and 91 in regulation (3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS). The Spurs play host to Oklahoma City on Saturday. In the first meeting, the Thunder shot 51% from the floor en route to a 108-96 victory.

The Spurs have limited opponents to an average of 86 points and 43.2 field goal shooting after permitting an average of 96.4 points and 46.3 percent in the first 18 games of the season.

Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs

Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Tom Brady pass attempts UNDER 39.5

02.03.2012     11:08 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Tom Brady Pass Attempts
Recommendation: Under 39.5 (Greek, Pinnacle)

I think there is some value with this prop in most game scenarios. The only one that doesn't lend itself to Brady tossing 40 or more passes is if the Giants get up big early and the Patriots are forced to throw the entire game. In any tight game, or if the Pats get the big lead, the likelihood of Brady throwing 40 times is diminished. Just based on the season numbers, Brady threw 40 or more passes in the first three games of the season, then did so just three times over the final 13 games of the regular season and did not in either playoff game. I look for New England to do its best to run the ball as well in order to slow down the Giants’ pass rush.

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots Brent Crow

Sports Betting Podcast 2-3-2012 with Brent Crow, Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

02.03.2012     10:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Brent Crow, Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Brent talked about Saturday's College Basketball matchups. Teddy discussed Super Bowl XLVI and various prop bets. And Erin Rynning tackled the entire NBA slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Brent Crow - College Basketball Saturday and Super Bowl

Teddy Covers - Super Bowl and Prop Bets

Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board and Super Bowl

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball NFL NBA Brent Crow Teddy Covers Erin Rynning Super Bowl XLVI

Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Public supports the Giants, big bets made on the Patriots

02.03.2012     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Las Vegas gears up for Super Bowl XLVI weekend. According to LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay, 62% of the tickets have come in on the New York Giants but the bigger bets have been on the New England Patriots. 

“This creates so much traffic. It’s the biggest and most important week for Las Vegas in my eyes,” he said. “It’s about more than just the game anymore; it’s coming here to experience the whole weekend. From the Hoover Dam to the Strip, everybody benefits.”

“About 62 percent of our tickets are on the Giants so far. But the bigger plays have been on the Patriots,” Kornegay said. “This is the one event that the public, small money outweighs the sharp, big money.”

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Las Vegas

Super Bowl XLVI Gambling Preview: High scoring affair on the horizon

02.03.2012     07:32 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
I’m not in agreement with the recent downward move on the Super Bowl total; now at 54 and even 53 at Pinnacle. While many are pointing out that seven of the last eight Super Bowls lined at 46.5 points or higher have gone under the total, I note that the last three Super Bowls all had at least 47 points scored including last year’s 31-25 Green Bay win over Pittsburgh (a side winner for us). The Saints beat the Colts in 2009 as a touchdown underdog, 31-17 (a side winner for us), but the game finished under the posted total of 56.5 points. 

Like that contest, Super Bowl XLVI has two top quarterbacks that are supremely skilled, polished, poised and precise in their passing and play. Going against suspect secondaries on both sides in perfect conditions should result in plenty of big plays in the passing game. The linesmaker is also projecting big passing days by both Eli Manning and Tom Brady, with over/under passing yards posted at 312 and 323 respectively. Both teams will spread the field with their talented receivers and take advantage of two poor pass defenses. Each quarterback is also very comfortable and efficient operating the no-huddle offense.  Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI __

Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Will each team have the lead in the first half?

02.03.2012     07:20 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Will each team have the lead in the first half?
Recommendation: Yes +105 (Greek)

In what figures to be a back and forth contest from the outset, the plus end of this prop bet is especially attractive. There’s a strong possibility that this game could see each of these teams have the lead in the first two series. It’s interesting to note that six of the eight Patriots away games this season have seen each team have a lead in the first half. That’s quite a contrast from their 10 home games in which only once did both teams have the first half lead. The drastic difference in their home-road performances adds a very positive angle to this play. Super Bowls the last six years have seen this prop have streaky results going 3-0 from 2006-08 and 0-3 from 2009-11. For this prop play, it’s helpful to have a first quarter field goal by one side so the team scores don’t run parallel and the Patriots have had a first quarter field goal in eight of their last 10. Since these offenses are more than capable of responding to a score, this game should see each team have the lead at some point in the first Read more

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Rob Veno

NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks push pace and find offensive stride

02.03.2012     07:05 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
We cashed our Eastern Conference O/U Game of the Month to close out January and followed it up with another 20* O/U Game of the Month winner last night when the Bulls beat the Knicks 105-102. That’s back-to-back top-play 20* Big Drive winners on Knicks games over the total after they pounded the Pistons in their previous game 113-86. Both games went over the posted total by at least 15 points. With Carmelo Anthony out of the lineup, the Knicks pushed the pace in a pair of losses before the last two games, and ‘Melo scored 25 and 26 points in his return the past two games as New York opened up their offense, hit more shots and pushed the pace. The Pistons were the perfect opponent to appease the restless New York fans, and despite yesterday’s loss to the Bulls, New York is a team worth riding over the total with their sub-par defense and more open offense.

Here is my game write-up of the Knicks-Pistons game provided to clients earlier this week.  Recent play, insightful information and positive pointspread prognosis led us to another over the total Big Drive winner.

We’re projecting plenty of running, shooting and scoring

Read more

Tags: NBA New York Knicks __

Chad Millman and oddsmaker Jay Kornegay talk Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bets

02.03.2012     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly
ESPN's Chad Millman did a recent podcast with LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay in which they discussed Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bets. Kornegay explains the history of the famous Will There Be Three Straight Scores? prop. He also said a safety and/or overtime are two things the books do not want to occur. Worth a listen.

Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI





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