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Arena Football Gambling: Handicapper Teddy Covers gears up for 2012 campaign
03.07.2012 01:50 PM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
The Arena Football League has been in existence since the 1980’s, but we’ve seen quite a bit of turmoil around the league in recent years. The entire 2009 season was cancelled as the league “restructured” its finances. When the league returned in 2010, it was a merger between the AFL and their minor league franchises, from a league called AF2. Several of the smaller market teams crashed and burned – locations like Bossier, Louisiana and Huntsville, Alabama simply couldn’t draw enough support to keep the teams profitable.
In comparison to recent offseasons, the 2011-12 offseason was rather calm. No new teams entered the league. No existing teams folded. The only difference, franchise-wise, between this year and last year is that the Tulsa Talons moved to San Antonio. However, storm clouds are lurking on the horizon…clouds that could find themselves producing a downpour in a matter of days.
Numerous published reports have come out this week, talking about the possibility of a player strike before the season kicks off on Friday night. AFL non-quarterbacks make $400 per game for a 20 week season, with each team getting
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Teddy Covers
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College Basketball Handicapping: SEC one of the slowest conferences in the country
03.07.2012 01:30 PM
Printer Friendly
Article from
Basketball Prospectus
on how slow of a conference the SEC has become. There are 33 "conferences" according to Ken Pom – including Independents and the Great West (whatever that is). The SEC's 63.3 possessions per game ranks 29th. This after ranking first in 2009 and fifth in 2010. Below are the SEC's stats as a whole in conference play. The only thing they have to brag about is blocks – thanks in large part to a one Mr. Anthony Davis.
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College Basketball
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WAC Tournament Odds: Top seed Nevada priced as betting favorite
03.07.2012 01:11 PM
Printer Friendly
WAC Tournament odds courtesy of 5Dimes. The tournament takes place at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. This year marks another change in format with all eight teams playing in the first round. Last year, the WAC experimented with a double-bye system. Prior to that, there was a No. 8 vs. No. 9 play-in game, followed by the normal eight-team format. Since 2006, no team seeded No. 5 or below has reached the finals.
Matchups
Thursday
No. 1 Nevada vs. No. 8 San Jose State
No. 2 New Mexico State vs. No. 7 Fresno State
No. 3 Idaho vs. No. 6 Hawaii
No. 4 Utah State vs. No. 5 Louisiana Tech
Odds to win WAC Tournament
Nevada +140
New Mexico State +160
Utah State +650
Idaho +750
Louisiana Tech +2000
Hawaii +2200
Fresno State +2200
San Jose State +10000
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Nevada Wolf Pack
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PAC-12 Tournament Gambling Preview
03.07.2012 12:56 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Of all the major conference tournaments in play this week, the PAC-12 has the weakest field and the least fan support. It’s been a second consecutive down year for the PAC-12. Last year, the league sent only three teams to the Big Dance, all seeded #5 or higher. This year, the at-large bid situation is even worse. The PAC-12 doesn’t have a single team that is comfortably in the Big Dance, with Cal, Oregon and Washington still needing wins to secure potential bids. So while the Staples Center will be half empty for most of the weekend, in a league without a clear favorite to win the title, the PAC-12’s automatic bid from winning the conference championship title just might be the only bid this league gets in 2012.
The odds clearly show how deep this field is, and how weak the top teams truly are. Cal and Washington are the two favorites, despite both teams coming up short in their ‘must win’ games for the conference title last weekend. The Bears lost back-to-back games at Colorado and Stanford, negating their chance to win the regular season title. Meanwhile, the Huskies lost at UCLA,
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Teddy Covers
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Odds of where Peyton Manning plays this year
03.07.2012 12:07 PM
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Are you as excited about where Peyton Manning lands as we are? No? Are you sure? Last chance. OK. Your loss, man.
Odds courtesy of BetOnline.
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March Madness means big profits for Las vegas casinos
03.07.2012 11:57 AM
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Some
facts and figures
associated with sports betting, March Madness and Las Vegas.
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Las Vegas
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NBA Handicapping: Amazingly, the New York Knicks are having chemistry issues
03.07.2012 09:32 AM
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An experiment that while sexy on paper looks to be doomed as the New York Knicks are reportedly having
chemistry issues
. Carmelo Anthony was benched during last night's 95-85 loss at Dallas. Anthony finished the game 2-of-12 from the floor for six points. His offensive numbers while on the court with Jeremy Lin are awful. Anthony said after the game that going from being the main distributor (i.e. shot taker) to waiting for the ball to come his way has been a difficult adjustment. Overall, clearly not a good situation as the Knicks are on a 3-5 SU/ATS slide.
Carmelo Anthony‘s PER with Jeremy Lin off court this season: 21.8. Carmelo’s PER with Lin ON court? 12.2…. Knicks’ offensive efficiency (pts per 100 trips): Lin on/Carmelo off? 105.0. Lin off/Carmelo on? 98.8. Both on? 97.9.
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New York Knicks
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Sports Betting Podcast 3-7-2012 with Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
03.07.2012 09:17 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob broke down the College Basketball card while ER took care of the NBA slate from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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NBA
Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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Big East Tournament Free Pick: Villanova Wildcats vs. South Florida Bulls
03.07.2012 08:18 AM
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Submitted by
Villanova
vs.
South Florida
-2.5 O/U 120
Recommendation: South Florida
Don’t be fooled by Villanova’s win over Rutgers, their season is going to end today. Prior to that victory, the Wildcats were on a 2-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS slide. South Florida (19-12, 12-6 Big East) dominated Villanova this season with their signature defense resulting in a pair of 65-51 and 74-57 wins. South Florida’s last eight games to close the Big East season saw them hold opponents to 50, 51, 45, 56, 47, 51, 48, and 51 points. The Bulls went 6-2 ATS in those games led by the league’s no. 1 scoring defense (57 ppg) and field goal defense (38%), and now face a ‘Nova offense that tied for last in the league in field goal shooting (40%). Villanova also takes plenty of long range shots, but USF holds Big East foes to just 28% shooting from the arch. Add in a rebounding advantage for the Bulls and this becomes a defensive dandy at a fair price
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Villanova Wildcats
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Northern Nevada adds sports betting kiosks
03.07.2012 07:12 AM
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Just in time for March Madness. Various Northern Nevada sports bars are now offering Leroy's
betting kiosks
.
"Guys like me can come in here to their local tavern, make a bet, watch the game, have a drink, have some food, and hopefully win," Golden Gaming's Jimmy Wadhams said.
"As basketball's gearing up and getting a little bit crazier, in March Madness fever, people are asking more about the kiosk and how they sign up and place bets," Wexelblatt said.
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Big XII Tournament Gambling Notes: Oklahoma State short on bodies vs. Texas Tech
03.07.2012 07:03 AM
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Texas Tech
vs.
Oklahoma State
-8 O/U 122.5
Worth pointing out the
injury situation
for Oklahoma State heading into tonight's Big XII Tournament first round game against Texas Tech. The only problem with a fade of the Cowboys is that the Red Raiders are really bad.
Along with Jurick, OSU has also lost Jean-Paul Olukemi (torn ACL in right knee) and Le'Bryan Nash (fractured left hand) to season-ending injuries.
Add in the two point guard departures (Fred Gulley and Reger Dowell), and there is a noticeable vacancy in production.
When healthy and present, those five players combined for 58 starts, 33.8 points per game and 18.9 rebounds this season.
On Wednesday, it will be blank across the board.
"It's been rough, unlike anything I've ever experienced," Ford
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Oklahoma State Cowboys
Texas Tech Red Raiders
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Big East and Atlantic-10 betting favorites perfect in first round
03.07.2012 06:53 AM
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As pointed out by Caesars oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman, favorites in the opening round of the Big East and Atlantic-10 tournaments were a perfect 8-0 ATS yesterday.
Big East Favorites 1st Round 4-0 ATS
UConn -10 over DePaul
Seton Hall -6 over Providence
Pittsburgh -6 over St. John's
Villanova -2 over Rutgers
Atlantic-10 Favorites 1st Round 4-0 ATS (on-campus)
Dayton -9 over George Washington
St. Joe's -9.5 over Charlotte
La Salle -5 over Richmond
UMass -5 over Duquesne
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College Basketball
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College Basketball Betting Tips: Things to look for in second half wagers
03.07.2012 06:36 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Wanted to point out this halftime box score (see below) of the Eastern Washington-Montana game. Everyone has their own philosophies for making halftime bets but I thought I'd share a few of my own as far as what I look for. For starters, I leaned Eastern Washington +10.5 as Montana's home court, while tough, is often inflated. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to watch the game – something I usually like to do when betting halftimes. But in this instance, I was very familiar with both sides and was able to track the contest using live stats.
In the first half, Montana obviously couldn't shoot straight while Eastern Washington was at 50%. This is already out of the norm as Montana defends and EWU typically does not. And this late in the season, you are what you are, especially on defense. So with five minutes to play, Eastern took an 11-point lead. It was a big moment because down 10 or more at half likely keeps me off of any 2nd half play with Montana. But the Grizzlies knocked down a shot, and a few more, and went into the break only down 5 – a nice swing in momentum which is always nice to have. But while the margin was more
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Andrew Lange
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March
6
Big East Tournament Betting Trends: First round teams vs. Bye teams
03.06.2012 01:49 PM
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The Big East Tournament started including all 16 teams back in 2009. Here are the betting numbers for those teams "rested and ready" vs. teams that played in the opening round. Despite the rest and extra time to prepare, the bye teams have performed worse each of the last three tournaments. Not a lot of data to work with but oddsmakers are once again likely to shade the lines in favor of those that didn't play in the first round.
Second round top seed
2009: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS
2010: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS
2011: 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS
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College Basketball
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MLB Betting News: Decline in scoring attributed to umpires
03.06.2012 01:15 PM
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Article from
baseballanalytics.org
on perhaps the real reasoning for the decline in offense across the board in MLB. The “disappearance” of steroids is what most point to as the source but one study shows that umpires may be the main culprits. It turns out the over the last four seasons, umps are calling more and more strikes – almost as if they are carrying out what it clearly states in the rule book.
In 2008, umpires called a strike 74.5% of the time that a hitter took a pitch that was thrown within the strike zone. By 2011, that called strike rate on pitches taken in the zone was over six percent higher as compared to '08:
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Lawmakers push for sports betting at California race tracks
03.06.2012 11:35 AM
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Legislation for legalized
sports betting
in California was introduced last week. The bill is asking for sports betting at racetracks and off-track betting facilities.
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College Basketball Gambling: NCAA reveals science behind tournament selection
03.06.2012 11:23 AM
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The NCAA normally doesn't like to show its card but it for whatever reason decided to release a seven-page document titled:
PRINCIPLES AND PROCEDURES FOR ESTABLISHING THE BRACKET
. One of the more interesting notes was that the committee tries to avoid sending teams cross country two consecutive years. They also want to avoid situations where "home crowd disadvantage" could take place; i.e. shipping Michigan to Columbus. None of this is really groundbreaking stuff, but it is always nice to hear from the man behind the curtain.
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NBA Betting Notes: Average minutes per game for starters
03.06.2012 11:11 AM
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Good article from
denverstiffs.com
breaking down the NBA's crazy schedule and what teams are doing, if anything at all, to budget the minutes of their starters. In terms of teams in the playoff race, San Antonio’s starters average the fewest (27.48 per game) while Memphis' average the most (33.34).
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San Antonio Spurs
Memphis Grizzlies
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Sports Betting Podcast 3-6-2012 with Rob Veno and Teddy Covers
03.06.2012 09:12 AM
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Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Teddy Covers. Rob broke down the College Basketball card while Teddy took care of the NBA slate from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - College Basketball Every Game on the Board
Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory
Tags:
College Basketball
NBA
Rob Veno
Teddy Covers
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Sportsbooks don't give SEC much of a chance against Kentucky
03.06.2012 07:43 AM
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While every league has a full listing of team odds, a few sportsbooks are daring bettors to fade the Kentucky Wildcats in the upcoming SEC Tournament. Check out of the plus prices The Greek and Pinnacle are offering on the field.
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Kentucky Wildcats
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NBA Handicapping: Fatigued and banged up, Dallas plays host to New York
03.06.2012 07:34 AM
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New York
at
Dallas
-2.5 O/U 191.5
Tough spot
for Dallas after losing a hard fought game to Oklahoma City last night. Veterans Dirk Nowitzki, Shawn Marion and Jason Terry all logged 36+ minutes. More concerning is the status of center Brendan Hawyood who sprained his ankle in the loss. Haywood is listed as doubtful leaving the Mavs extremely thin in the front court.
The loss was the Mavs' sixth in eight games and tonight's game, the sixth during this nine-in-12 stretch, is the last before Dallas embarks on its lone back-to-back-to-back of the season starting Thursday at Phoenix.
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Dallas Mavericks
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Mountain West coaches none too pleased about UNLV hosting tourney
03.06.2012 07:20 AM
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Various Mountain West Conference coaches
voiced their displeasure
over the perceived advantage host UNLV has over the remainder of the field. The Rebels enter this year's tourney with a 16-0 mark on their home floor. But despite the complaints, the postseason results historically show that the Thomas & Mack Center hasn't been the death trap some are making it out to be. After a three-year stretch in Denver, this will mark the sixth straight year the MWC Tournament will take place in Las Vegas. The Rebels have won only two of the last five titles – the last coming back in 2008. Interesting the San Diego State head coach Steve Fisher is one of those complaining – his Aztecs have won two straight titles with two wins over UNLV.
“I think it’s absolutely unfair,” San Diego State coach Steve Fisher said during Monday’s MW coaches’ teleconference. “It’s not done in any other major conference. ... It makes no sense, other than it’s good for the TV when it pans to the crowd and shows all those
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NBA Handicapping: Miami Heat expect to have Bosh back in the lineup
03.06.2012 06:50 AM
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New Jersey
at
Miami
The Miami Heat return home after
back-to-back losses
to close out a short west coast road trip. Chris Bosh expects to return to the lineup after missing three games due to a death in the family. Head coach Erik Spoelstra noted that
Bosh's absence
hurt the team on both ends of the floor.
“No question about it, Chris Bosh is a major component to what we do on both ends of the court,” Spoelstra said. “That’s why we don’t listen to anybody when they talk about Chris’s importance or value. He’s one of the best players in this league, but more importantly, he has a great impact on how we play, and he settles us.”
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Miami Heat
New Jersey Nets
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Big XII Tournament Odds: Kansas favored to win sixth title in seven years
03.06.2012 06:34 AM
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Odds on this year's Big XII Tournament courtesy of The Greek. For the third straight year, the event will take place at Kansas City's Sprint Center. Kansas has won five of the last six titles. Not surprising, five of the last six titles have featured No. 1 vs. No. 2 or No. 3 matchups. Small trend towards the OVER at this venue with a 14-10 O/U mark the last two tournaments.
Odds to Win Big XII Title
Baylor +500
Iowa State +1000
Kansas -125
Kansas State +800
Missouri +175
Texas +1200
Field +1500
Matchups
Wednesday
#8 Oklahoma vs. #9 Texas A&M
#7 Oklahoma State vs. #10 Texas Tech
Thursday
#4 Baylor vs. #5 Kansas State
#8/9 Winner vs. #1 Kansas
#7/10 Winner vs. #2 Missouri
#3 Iowa State vs. #6 Texas
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College Basketball
Kansas Jayhawks
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College Basketball Betting: Western Kentucky battles North Texas for Sun Belt crown
03.06.2012 06:10 AM
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Western Kentucky
vs.
North Texas
The No. 5 seed will take on the No. 7 seed in tonight's Sun Belt Conference Championship.
North Texas defeated Arkansas State
while Western Kentucky pulled off another upset with a victory over No. 3 Denver. The once proud Western Kentucky program hit near rock bottom earlier in the year and went so far as to fire head coach Ken McDonald after a 5-11 start. Ray Harper took over but the losing continued. The Hilltoppers were at one point 6-15 overall and 2-6 in Sun Belt play. But things started to turn around after a few wins, including a big victory over Middle Tennessee in the season finale. From there, three straight coin-flip wins in the conference tournament and they find themselves
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
North Texas Mean Green
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March
8
March
5
NFL by Rob Veno
NFL by Teddy Covers
NCAAF by Rob Veno
NCAAF by Teddy Covers
Accu-Stats
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Schedule Sheet
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NFL Team Pages
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