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NCAA Tournament Betting Notes: Round of 32 action gets underway

03.17.2012     10:09 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Round of 32 action tips off Saturday and we saw some huge upsets in opening round action. With a pair of #15 seeds winning with Norfolk State over Missouri and Lehigh over Duke, there have now been six #15 seeds pull the opening round upset since the NCAA field expanded in 1985. And Friday’s #15 seed shockers had not happened since 2001. Who could forget when some freshman named Steve Nash led #15 seed Santa Clara to the upset over Arizona in 1993?  And how about #13 Ohio completing the big upset trifecta over Michigan yesterday?

Well, history is not profitable for the #15 seeds in the round of 32, as Cinderella #15 is just 1-3 ATS in their next NCAA Tournament game. Note however that Lehigh will play another upset winner with #10 seed Xavier bet up from the -2.5 opening line.

Kentucky and Florida are double-digit favorites in the round of 32, and over the past 10 years, double-digit favorites in this round are a solid 18-8 ATS.

From a totals perspective, the last three years have seen an ‘over’ bias, as the round of 32 over/unders are 31-16-1.  Note that Friday’s totals went 4-12 over/under.

I have two Read more

Tags: College Basketball __

The guys who help shape the Las Vegas sports betting scene

03.17.2012     06:56 AM     Printer Friendly
Article from the Las Vegas Sun on some of Sin City's legendary sportbook figures.

Tags: Las Vegas

NIT Betting Free Play: UMass Minutemen at Seton Hall Pirates

03.17.2012     06:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
UMass +7 at Seton Hall O/U 151
Recommendation: UMass

Early start here in the NIT and a matchup that will be won by who brings the most intensity. Seton Hall didn't look very sharp in its first round win over Stony Brook, escaping with a 63-61 win. Now they face a squad in UMass that requires 40 minutes of concentration. If not, the Minutemen will run the Pirates out of the gym – similar to what they did for much of the time in their win at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs finally woke up but it was too late as UMass (+6.5) won outright in overtime. Look for UMass's relentless press and tempo to cause problems for a potentially lethargic home side in this 11 am local start.

Tags: College Basketball UMass Minutemen Seton Hall Pirates Andrew Lange

Norfolk State and Lehigh cash big tickets for moneyline bettors

03.17.2012     06:40 AM     Printer Friendly
Because these are nice to look at and a healthy reminder that no matter how "chalky" things may get for a stretch, outcomes like these WILL inevitably happen every NCAA Tournament.



Tags: College Basketball

NCAA Tournament Gambling Notes: Indiana preps for tough VCU defense

03.17.2012     06:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
VCU vs. Indiana -6 O/U 140

Indiana showing concern for facing VCU's vaunted press on such short notice. Note that the total in this game has climbed to as high as 140 yet VCU has been played just one game over 132 its last two trips to the NCAA Tournament (7 games).

"There are some definitive places that VCU wants you to catch the ball, which is like most pressing teams, which is deep in the corner, and then try to get you to throw it back underneath the basket,'' Crean said. "And this is not a game where I think we're going to be able to bring fatigue to the game. I thought we were able to bring fatigue to the game (against New Mexico State). I think this team is deep. I think they're used to the way they play . . . So it's really a lot more about how strong we are with the ball, what our vision is like and what

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Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hoosiers VCU Rams

NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Baylor Bears

03.17.2012     06:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Colorado vs. Baylor -8 O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Baylor

My clients and I cashed a Big Ticket winner with Colorado over UNLV on Thursday Night, as the Buffaloes jumped out to a 20 point lead and hung on late for the victory. But Colorado’s weakness down the stretch of that ballgame speaks volumes about their inability to compete in this ‘step-up-in-class’ contest on Saturday.

The Buffs are on quite an impressive run: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS since the start of the PAC-12 tournament, winning outright four different times as an underdog. But there was one common denominator in all five of those wins. Colorado didn’t face a team with a strong low post presence at any point during that run. Now, this tired team (this is their sixth game since last Wednesday) must find a way to battle against Baylor’s dominant low post trio of Perry Jones III, Quincy Acy and Quincy Miller. The PAC-12 didn’t have a trio like that anywhere in the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Baylor Bears Colorad Buffaloes Teddy Covers



NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Ohio Bobcats vs. Michigan Wolverines

03.16.2012     11:37 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Ohio vs. Michigan -5.5 O/U 125.5
Recommendation: Michigan

The Wolverines program has progressively improved under head coach John Beilein culminating in this season’s 24-9 record, national ranking, and more importantly a share of the Big Ten title. Entering the conference tournament, you got the feeling that the Wolverines were fat, happy and satisfied with their regular season and would be looking forward to the Big Dance. That scenario played out as the Wolverines were fully embarrassed in a 77-55 loss to Ohio State. However, the loss likely serves as a wake-up call for Big Blue, and they just might be sitting on their best performance of the season tonight in Nashville. Beilein has proved himself over the years as a heady tournament coach. The NCAA Tournament provides a sound platform for the Wolverines’ system of play. Their half-court offense is difficult to prepare for and Beilein’s ability to mix up his defense’s anchored by their Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Ohio Bobcats Erin Rynning NCAA Tournament

NCAA Tournament Betting Stats: Teams struggle to shoot on Thursday

03.16.2012     08:42 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Pretty tough shooting day for most teams overall are the venue "totals" breakdowns:

Pittsburgh (Consol Energy Center) - 1 over / 3 under - Avg 134.8

All 4 games fell between 131-137

Louisville (KFC Center) - 3 over / 1 under - Avg 135.8

Three games between 141-156...Murray State game 99

Albuquerque (The Pit) - 2 over / 2 under - Avg 132.8

Three games between 122-132...Harvard-Vandy game 149

Portland (Rose Garden) - 1 over / 3 under - Avg 135.0

Two games 143 & 145...Other Two 121 & 131

Of the 10 games that stayed under the total yesterday...6 were below the closing number by 10.5+, one was 8 points under and the other three were 1.5, 2 & 4.5.

Of the 6 games that went over the total...One made it over by double digits (26) and the other five got over by between 2.5 & 5.5 points.

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno

NCAA Tournament Betting: Live Posting Forum Chat 3-16-2012

03.16.2012     08:33 AM     Printer Friendly
Join the Sportsmemo Handicappers today starting at 9:30 am PT for live NCAA Tournament betting discussion including free halftime recommendations. If you aren't a posting forum user, you can sign up for free right here. Here is a link to today's thread. Enjoy.

NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks tweak offense under interim coach

03.16.2012     08:02 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Indiana at New York -4 O/U 200.5

Article on the reported change in offensive philosophy for the New York Knicks under interim head coach Mike Woodson. Sounds like more shots for Carmelo and Amar’e which has absolutely no chance of not working (our weak attempt as sarcasm).

"I just think he's going to utilize his leading scorers, myself and Carmelo," Stoudemire said of Woodson. "He's going to utilize us and take advantage of every opportunity out there on the court. We've been profound scorers all our careers, so he's going to make sure he takes advantage of that."

"It's going to be different for sure," Stoudemire said. "Coach Woodson has his philosophy and his offensive schemes, so we've got to readjust to that. I think so far everyone's receiving it well. We're all

Read more

Tags: NBA New York Knicks Indiana Pacers

NCAA Tournament Betting News: Florida wants to control tempo vs. Virginia

03.16.2012     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Virginia vs. Florida -3 O/U 122.5

Article on Florida's game plan for Virginia. Looks as if the Gators are going to try and push the pace with the hopes of avoiding the Cavs' strong half court defense. Easier said than done. In three games against up-tempo Duke and North Carolina, there were 59, 66 and 61 possessions with games scores of 119, 122 and 105.

“They do a great job holding teams down, and they have done that all year long,” UF coach Billy Donovan said. “It will be a little different for us, so to speak. We have played teams that don’t necessarily do exactly the same thing, but there are teams that have similar philosophies, similar mindsets in terms of how they play defensively.”

“Sometimes it can be difficult when a team is really disciplined with the ball and doesn’t turn

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Virginia Cavaliers Florida Gators

NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds vs. Michigan State Spartans

03.16.2012     07:44 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
LIU Brooklyn vs. Michigan State -19.5 O/U 154
Recommendation: LIU-Brooklyn

The Big Ten’s second best delivered a Fairway forecast winner on these pages Thursday when Ohio State pulled through as a big favorite over Loyola-MD. Now the Big Ten’s best is asked to win big for their betting backers as the Midwest Region’s top seed. Michigan State (27-7) has had a magical season as co-Big Ten champs and conference tournament champions. They are a together team with a star senior leader in Draymond Green inside and a quick, dynamic point guard in Keith Appling. As usual, the Spartans are one of the nation’s top rebounding teams and play superior defense under head coach Tom Izzo. Following a buzzer beater by Ohio State to beat Michigan State in their regular season finale 12 days ago, the Spartans swept through the Big Ten tournament to beat the Buckeyes in the championship game five days ago. That redemption game for all the marbles Read more

Tags: College Basketball LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds Michigan State Spartans __

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Bettors fade early start for San Diego State

03.16.2012     06:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
NC State -3 vs. San Diego State O/U 137.5

This time of year, it isn't hard for teams to get motivated but San Diego State's Tim Shelton is using the pointspread as a pick-me-up for today's early start contest against NC State. The game opened a pick 'em but has now climbed to as high as -3 in favor of the Wolfpack. The move is in large part a fade on the west-to-east travel and early start (9:40 am PT) – especially after Colorado State wore down in the second half against Murray State.

"Little things like that do motivate us," he said. "But look at the odds for our team before the season and we weren't supposed to be here in the first place."

Tags: College Basketball NC State Wolfpack San Diego State Aztecs

NCAA Tournament Betting Podcast 3-16-2012 with Handicapper Brent Crow

03.16.2012     06:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Brent Crow. Brent broke down all 16 games from a betting persecptive for Friday's NCAA Tournament.

Today's segments
Brent Crow - NCAA Tournament Friday Games

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow





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