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Sportsbooks offer lines on women's college and pro basketball
03.29.2012 08:08 AM
Printer Friendly
Article in
ESPN the Magazine
about betting on women's basketball – the best example of bet-it-and-forget-it we can think of.
"But in women's college hoops, the disparity between the three or four great teams and everyone else is too big," Kornegay says. "No one wants to bet those games unless it is a marquee matchup. There is no edge."
"Pros assume they are betting something off the beaten path, but we pay attention to it," Kornegay says. "It is just another gambling event we can offer. One in which we all think there is an opportunity."
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NBA Handicapping: Miami Heat get back to basis after two straight losses
03.29.2012 07:53 AM
Printer Friendly
Dallas
at
Miami
-8 O/U 188.5
After back-to-back double-digit losses, the Miami Heat got
back to basics
in preperation for tonight's game against Dallas. Head coach Erik Spoelstra noted that the pedal-to-the-metal philosophy used early in the season has been missing. Over their last 13 games, the Heat are 7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS and 3-9-1 O/U.
"You watch our Christmas Day game compared to the last two games, of the force and pace that we played with that day, it's night-and-day different," Spoelstra said. "We can control that. We respect the Dallas Mavericks obviously from last year . . . but right now, out of due respect, it's about us, it's about getting to our game, our identity."
"Today was about recalibrating," Spoelstra said following the session. "It's not about watching film. It's not about talking. It's about getting
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NBA
Miami Heat
Dallas Mavericks
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MLB Gambling Notes: Kuroda's numbers suggest he may struggle at Yankee Stadium
03.29.2012 07:22 AM
Printer Friendly
Great find by
ESPN
as they pointed out the potential struggles for newly acquired starter Hiroki Kuroda at Yankee Stadium. The left-handed power numbers vs. Kuroda last year were alarmingly high. This of course not a good recipe to have with such a short porch in right field – not to mention tossing in the American League.
Lefties hit 33 fly balls and line drives against Kuroda along the right field line (we started at that line and extended out 15 degrees from that point to define this area). That’s a rate of about one per game.
Those 33 fly balls traveled an average of 315 feet, the furthest for any pitcher in the majors last season. Ex-Yankee A.J. Burnett ranked second, 310 feet.
Why is that particularly worrisome in Yankee Stadium? Remember the distance from home plate to the fence in the right field corner?
It’s 314 feet.
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MLB
New York Yankees
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March
28
MLB Handicapper Free Play: Oakland A's vs. Seattle Mariners
03.28.2012 06:02 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Oakland
(Colon) -110 vs.
Seattle
(Vargas) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under
We saw very clearly late last night/early this morning that the situational spot was simply too much for either of these anemic lineups to overcome in their regular season opener. Spring training isn’t over yet – both the Mariners and A’s will return to the U.S. following tonight’s late night/early morning affair and play five more exhibition games. Other than Tokyo fan favorite Ichiro, there wasn’t a single lineup player who hit the ball well in yesterday’s opener. The A’s did what they’ve been doing for years now: 1-14 with runners in scoring position. The Mariners finished dead last in the majors in runs scored in 2011 by a wide margin, without much more potency expected in 2012 – their #4 through #7 hitters last night finished a combined 0-17. At this early stage of the season, both bullpens are in excellent shape, even
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Boston Red Sox Betting News and Notes
03.28.2012 01:43 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
A 7-20 freefall that caused them to miss the playoffs after holding a nine-game wild-card lead. Fallout included the departures of general manager Theo Epstein and manager Terry Francona, replaced by Ben Cherington and Bobby Valentine, respectively.
Can Daniel Bard succeed as a starting pitcher? Who is the shortstop? Do the Red Sox have a viable No. 4 or 5 starter? Alfredo Aceves, Felix Doubront or Aaron Cook?
One thing that remains certain: The offense will be formidable. The Red Sox led the majors in runs scored last season, and the core of the lineup is returning. Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia, Adrian Gonzalez and David Ortiz are back, and Kevin Youkilis is healthy after dealing with several injuries, including a sports hernia, last season. Carl Crawford is seeking to rebound from a disappointing Red Sox debut, although he's likely to open the season on the disabled list after offseason wrist surgery.
The top of the rotation, with Jon Lester and Josh Beckett, is reliable, and Clay Buchholz is returning after an injury-shortened 2011. And new closer Andrew Bailey, an All-Star with the Oakland Athletics, replaces Jonathan Papelbon at the back of
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Toronto Blue Jays Betting News and Notes
03.28.2012 01:21 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Can Jose Bautista do it for the third year in a row?
Nothing but positive, upbeat and enthusiastic quotes coming from Blue Jays players and manager John Farrell on the upcoming season. Toronto is 19-4 in exhibition play. I'm not going to go crazy over that since good preseason records mean nothing once April rolls around but the vibes from the Jays are very positive. They feel they have the pieces in place to compete right with Boston, New York and Tampa Bay in the AL East this season and have a vastly improved bullpen which will feature a solid back end of Casey Janssen, Darren Oliver, Francisco Cordero and new closer Sergio Santos. Toronto's bullpen was a disaster last season but gone now are: Jon Rauch, Frank Francisco, Marc Rzepczynski among other Blue Jays relievers which were quite simply not reliable enough to get the job done in the late innings. It's worth noting the Jays managed to get another key reliever in Jason Frasor back in their pen for this season. They traded him to the White Sox last year but he's back with the Jays.
The starting rotation looks like it will be ace Ricky Romero, followed by Brandon Morrow, Brett Cecil, Henderson Alvarez
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MLB Gambling Notes: Scouts voice concern over Pineda's lack of velocity
03.28.2012 12:19 PM
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Article from the
New York Post
on some concerns with Yankees starter Michael Pineda. Pineda threw 171 IP last season and earned a spot on this year's
Verducci Effect
list. The Mariners spaced out his starts but his velocity was way down during the second half. In seven of his first 13 starts, Pineda's fastball averaged 95 or better. In his last 15 starts, he averaged that speed only once.
“It’s not as good as last year,’’ the scout said of Pineda’s fastball, which topped out at 93 mph yesterday but sat at 90 with a few 88s mixed in. “The fastball has no life.’’
“Some guys fall in love with the cutter and they lose velocity,’’ said the scout, who explained that some of Pineda’s pitches cut naturally.
“Right now I see a guy who can pitch in the bottom of the rotation with the stuff he had,’’ the scout
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MLB Handicapping: Miami Marlins will play majority of home games with roof closed
03.28.2012 12:01 PM
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Article on the Miami Marlins' new stadium,
Marlins Park
. The facility will have a retractable roof. According to team officials, they plan on playing around 70 games with the roof closed.
Field Dimensions
Left Field Line – 340 feet
Left-Center Power Alley – 384 feet
"Bermuda Triangle" In Left-Center – 420 feet
Center Field – 416 feet
Right-Center Power Alley – 392 feet
Right Field Line – 335 feet
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Cleveland Indians Betting News and Notes
03.28.2012 11:41 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Cleveland’s -56 run differential last year was the worst of any team that won at least 80 games. 84-70 to the OVER; pretty amazing for a team that couldn’t hit worth a lick.
The Indians' preparations for the season suffered two key blows before spring training even began. They began camp knowing that Fausto Carmona, the club's opening day starter last year, and Grady Sizemore, the team's leadoff hitter and center fielder, would not be on the opening day roster.
Carmona, club officials learned, isn't even Carmona. He's Roberto Hernandez, and he's 31 years old, not 28 as the club believed. All that came to light when Hernandez was arrested in the Dominican Republic for identity theft. Carmona hopes to pitch at some point this season, but he will open the season on the restricted list.
Sizemore will open the season on the disabled list. He underwent back surgery right as spring training was beginning. He is not expected to be back in the lineup until late May or early June.
With two weeks left in training camp it appears that they filled Hernandez's spot in the rotation. Right-hander Jeanmar Gomez out-pitched three other
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Detroit Tigers Betting News and Notes
03.28.2012 11:35 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Detroit was the most profitable team in MLB last year behind Arizona and Milwaukee. 84-66 to the OVER and now they add Prince Fielder.
Hidden gem moneywise was Rick Porcello (21-10 in 31 starts; almost as profitable as Justin Verlander’s 25-9).
Good potential in minors: not what they look like in April, but what they look like in July and September.
Rookie pitching prospects: Andy Oliver had the highest ceiling but has control issues. Drew Smyly was the organization's Minor League Pitcher of the Year but made only a sprinkling of starts at Double-A. No. 1 pick from 2009 Jacob Turner, a right-hander, was shelved by right shoulder soreness midway through the spring and was expected to begin the season with Triple-A Toledo.
The lone lineup issue was Austin Jackson's presence at the top of the order. Jackson reduces his speed impact by not getting on base enough, which is because he strikes out way too much (170 and 181 times his first two seasons). But Leyland doesn't feel he has viable alternatives.
Octavio Dotel was signed as a free agent between seasons to add veteran depth at the back of the bullpen, which the organization
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Sports Betting Podcast 3-28-2012 with Handicapper Rob Veno
03.28.2012 09:23 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob broke down tonight's NBA card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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NBA Handicapping: Chicago Bulls look to bounce back after poor effort vs. Denver
03.28.2012 08:16 AM
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Chicago
-4.5 at
Atlanta
O/U 181.5
The Chicago Bulls are off a rare
poor defensive performance
against Denver on Monday in which they allowed the Nuggets to shoot 50% from the field. Denver scored 25+ points all four quarters en route to a 108-91 victory. Prior to the loss, the Bulls were on a 25-0 SU run when they shot better than 45% from the floor. Another impressive stat shows that Chicago has gone 83 games without losing two straight, which according to STATS, LLC. is the fourth longest streak in NBA history.
“Each game counts,” Lucas said. “Playoffs are right around the corner and we want homecourt advantage throughout the whole playoffs.”
“(The defense) is something we need to clean up. I know (Thibodeau) is going to address us with it and you’ll see a difference on Wednesday.”
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Betting handle on March Madness surpasses Super Bowl
03.28.2012 07:55 AM
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Reports say that the
betting handle
generated from March Madness has surpassed that of the Super Bowl in Las Vegas. Not entirely shocking considering how many postseason college basketball games there are for bettors to wager on.
“You take all those games and combine them all, it surpasses what we take in on the Super Bowl,” Kornegay says. “It’s 67 games, as opposed to one game.”
But the state's legalized sports books typically see a $100 million jump in total basketball betting every March, Streshley says.
In 2011, gamblers wagered $256.6 million on college/pro basketball in March vs. $114.3 million in February. With the Big Dance wrapped over by early April, the basketball handle for that month then dropped back to $78.2 million.
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NBA Gambling Trends: Los Angeles Lakers on 11-1 run to the OVER
03.28.2012 07:30 AM
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Over the last two and a half seasons, the Los Angeles Lakers have been one of the stronger UNDER teams in the league. They went a 200-game stretch dating back to the 2009-10 season where 58% of their games went UNDER the total. But a few weeks back, things starting to change...dramatically. LA has now gone OVER the total in 11 of its last 12 (4-8 ATS). Note that both overtime games went OVER in regulation.
Lack of defense
has played a part as the team allowed 100+ points six times during that stretch. Prior to that, the Lakers allowed 100+ just eight times in 38 games.
Los Angeles Lakers Over/Under Betting Results 3/7/2012-3/27/2012
Date
Opponent
Score
O/U
3/27
at Golden State
W 104-101
Over 197
3/25
Memphis
L 96-102
Over 192
3/23
Portland
W 103-96
Over 194
3/21
at Dallas
W 109-93
Over 190
3/20
at Houston
L 104-107
Over 191
3/18
Utah
L 99-103
Over 193.5
3/16
Minnesota
W 97-92
Under 196
3/14
at New Orleans
W 107-101 (OT)
Over 180.5
3/13
at Memphis
W 116-111 (OT)
Over 183
3/11
Boston
W 97-94
Over 179
3/9
at Minnesota
W 105-102
Over 193
3/7
at Washington
L 101-106
Over 193.5
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NBA Handicapping: Charlotte Bobcats pick up pace amid horrific season
03.28.2012 07:11 AM
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Submitted by
Many public bettors struggle to bet on bad teams, and the Charlotte Bobcats (7-40 SU, 17-30-1 ATS) certainly fit that profile. Note that both records are currently NBA-worsts. The Bobcats are losing games by over 13 ppg – another league-worst – and nearly double that of the next closest team (Washington, 7 ppg).
But there is an opportunity to make money on this team, as assistant coach Stephen Silas and recently stated, “We have to play faster; we can’t be a slow-down team.” Charlotte’s defense is deficient, allowing 100 ppg and over 47% shooting; both near the very bottom of the NBA. They have allowed their last seven opponents to score over 100 points, and combined with their increased pace of play and preferred up-tempo style, six of the last seven Charlotte games have gone OVER the total.
The Bobcats next two home games are against Minnesota and Denver; two teams with efficient and high-scoring offenses and poor scoring defenses. Then the challenge to play higher scoring games becomes a little tougher with four straight road games against poor offensive teams including Detroit and Toronto.
Still, the Bobcats look like they will continue to push the pace with nothing to lose down the stretch, and combined with little defensive effort, OVER bets should continue to cash at a solid rate.
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NFL may allow casinos ads at stadiums
03.28.2012 06:57 AM
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Seeing the potential for more dollar signs, the NFL may allow teams to
advertise casinos
at stadiums. The one catch is the casino is not allowed to have a sportsbook.
“It’s an interesting situation, because that’s a great segment in which to develop relationships anyway,” Jets owner Woody Johnson told the Post. “But it’s also a delicate situation because you’d want to be sensitive to the league’s existing policy on gambling.”
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March
30
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27
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