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Saturday MLB Free Betting Pick: St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
04.06.2012 06:52 PM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
St. Louis
(Wainwright) at
Milwaukee
(Greinke) -120 O/U 7
Recommendation: Milwaukee
Last season, the Milwaukee Brewers went an MLB-best 57-24 at home – a number that they are unlikely to duplicate. Contributing in large part to that success was Zach Greinke who went a perfect 11-0 (Milwaukee was 17-0 in his starts) at Miller Park – again a number that simply cannot be matched. But, the Brewers should once again be contenders in the NL Central and to see a premium arm like Greinke at home at such a cheap price has my interest. At no point last year was Greinke cheaper than a -130 home favorite and despite opposing starter Adam Wainwright's pedigree, the fact that he didn't pitch at all last season leaves me leery that he'll be dialed in immediately (he’ll likely be on some sort of pitch count). St. Louis is off to a 2-0 start but remain a team I am looking to bet against in the early going. The spot seems ripe today to exercise that opinion.
Tags:
MLB
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
Andrew Lange
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MLB Betting Trends: Trying to figure out why Wakefield and Dickey show day/night splits?
04.06.2012 01:56 PM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Back in 2010, we posted a blog on the oddity of
Tim Wakefield's day/night splits
. For whatever reason – who couldn't come up with anything logical – Wakefield's career numbers during the day were dramatically better than at night.
Wakefield Day: 3.69 ERA/1.22 WHIP/.238 BAA
Wakefield Night: 4.72 ERA/1.41 WHIP/.261 BAA
This from a guy who showed little to no split both righty/lefty and home/road. It stood out even more considering some of his fellow knucklers – Phil Niekro, Tom Candiotti, and Charlie Hough – didn't have any day/night dichotomy.
Well with Wakefield now retired – he'll be on the Yankees by mid-June – that leaves us with our main man R.A. Dickey as the lone knuckleballer. Dickey is slated to start tomorrow at home against Atlanta...for a 1:10 pm ET start. Remembering Wakefield's split, we out of curiosity checked Dickey's career numbers during the day. What we found further cemented Wakefield's splits as being random; Dickey's career numbers
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MLB Gambling Notes: Bettors show confidence in Rockies, gladly fade Astros
04.06.2012 01:03 PM
Printer Friendly
Colorado
(Guthrie) -125 at
Houston
(Rodriguez) O/U 7.5
The betting markets seem to think the Rockies and Jeremy Guthrie are the right side for tonight's matchup against the Astros. Houston’s Wandy Rodriguez has typically been a strong pitcher at home (3.32 ERA in 13 starts last season) but no one is going to mistake the Astros for having even a mediocre lineup. Check out these numbers for Houston's starters: .339, .335, .319, .311, .308, .305 (minor leagues), .297, and .286. Those are the career on-base percentages of the eight position players.
Line history courtesy of CRIS.
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Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
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MLB Betting Trends: Texas Rangers vs. Left-Handed Starters at Home
04.06.2012 10:40 AM
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UPDATE
An update from a trend we followed last year – Texas vs. left-handed starters at home. By late July, the Rangers/Over parlay was nearly an automatic following that format. But it cooled off late in the year. Still, Texas averaged nearly 6.5 runs per game. The one thing we will point out is a lot of the production came against bottom-tier southpaw starters. Tonight they face a pretty decent arm in Chicago's John Danks. The Rangers beat Danks last season, 4-0.
Texas Rangers vs. Left-Handed Starters at Home - Regular Season 2011
Opposing Pitcher
Texas Runs
Final Score
Texas Result
O/U Result
C. Furbush
12
12-5
Win
10 Over
A. Vasquez
5
5-3
Win
10 Under
D. Huff
9
9-1
Win
10 Push
J. Outman
8
8-1
Win
9 Push
A. Miller
0
0-6
Loss
10 Under
E. Bedard
4
4-0
Win
8.5 Under
J. Vargas
3
3-4
Loss
9.5 Under
C. Furbush
9
9-2
Win
9.5 Over
B. Duensing
2
2-7
Loss
9.5 Under
B. Cecil
0
0-3
Loss
9.5 Under
J. Reyes
12
12-2
Win
10.5 Over
G. Gonzalez
8
8-5
Win
8.5 Over
B. Hand
5
5-9
Loss
10.5 Over
J. Niese
5
5-14
Loss
9 Over
J. Happ
8
8-3
Win
10 Over
P. Coke
7
7-3
Win
9 Over
D. Duffy
7
7-6
Win
9 Over
J. Danks
4
4-0
Win
8.5 Under
B. Anderson
7
7-2
Win
8 Over
C. Sabathia
5
5-12
Loss
9 Over
J. Reyes
7
7-6
Win
9.5 Over
B. Chen
8
8-7
Win
9.5 Over
J. Francis
11
11-6
Win
9 Over
E. Bedard
6
6-4
Win
9 Over
J. Lester
9
9-5
Win
8.5 Over
Results
6.44
18-7
16-7-2 O/U
MLB Handicapping Update: Texas vs. Left-handed starting pitchers at home
07.27.2011 10:50 AM
View Original Blog
Minnesota (Duensing) at Texas (Lewis) -195 O/U
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Mega Millions lottery OK, online gambling still taboo
04.06.2012 10:15 AM
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Article from the
Off Shore Gaming Association
on the hypocrisy of the lottery and online gambling.
“Whichever company or organization that can generate the most revenue will be given the license to run the online gambling in New Jersey,” the legislator said. “Obviously the state wants to ensure that the horse racing industry and casino owners are treated fairly and are given some of the revenue to offset any losses that occur as a result of online gambling but the vast majority of revenues must go to the state. And this revenue has to be undesignated.”
“It’s very hypocritical. That’s why when I had some influence I urged the Governor to legalize all gambling and to also take bets from everywhere. Telling Americans that they’re doing a service to the state by betting at a local casino but also telling them that they are committing a crime by wagering at a website that is legal in another country is just selling them snake oil. And Americans aren’t buying it. Even with all the websites that were closed down, Americans
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-6-2012 with Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
04.06.2012 09:58 AM
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Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob broke down today's MLB games while Erin took care of the NBA card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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MLB Betting Alert: Chase Field roof slated to be open for San Francisco series
04.06.2012 08:34 AM
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San Francisco
(Lincecum) at
Arizona
(Kennedy) -105 O/U 7
According to Arizona’s homepage, Chase Field’s roof is expected to be
open
for their three-game set vs. San Francisco. It will be mild today (low 80s) but could warm to the low 90s starting Saturday. The roof hotline number is 602-462-6262.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
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MLB Betting Notes: Berkman claims Marlins Park is massive
04.06.2012 08:22 AM
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St. Louis' Lance Berkman offering his
opinion
on Miami's new Marlins Park…
“It’s huge ... the biggest ballpark in the game,” Berkman said. “If they don’t move the fences in after this year, I’ll be surprised. I’ll go with two years with the over/under on that."
“People have tried this big ballpark deal and it never works. Detroit moved the fences in. New York moved the fences in. There’s a reason why it’s 330-375-400. That’s a fair baseball game. You try to get too outrageous, you end up with something that I think will be detrimental to their ballclub.”
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MLB Gambling Tips: A list of 2012's Umpire Crews
04.06.2012 07:34 AM
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Here are the not-official-but-look-pretty-accurate 2012 MLB Umpire Crews.
Cederstrom, Culbreth, Barksdale, Johnson
Cousins, Kulpa, Wolf, [AAA Fill-In] (AAA / Hirschbeck: DL)
Darling, Meals, Emmel, Barry
Davis, Cooper, Cuzzi, Dreckman (medical leave)
DeMuth, Danley, Eddings, Nauert
Gorman, Vanover, Randazzo, Tichenor
Hallion, O'Nora, Marquez, Fairchild
Joyce, Reynolds, DiMuro, Hoye (Joyce -CC / Hirschbeck: DL)
Kellogg, Cooper, Foster, Timmons
Layne, Davidson, Wendelstedt, Bellino
McClelland, Barrett, Runge, Hudson
Rapuano, Hernandez, Diaz, Hickox
Scott, Miller, Bucknor, Iassogna
Tschida, Nelson, Welke (B ), Guccione
Welke (T), Everitt, Schrieber, Carlson
West, Holbrook, Fletcher, Drake
Winters, Bell, Wegner, Knight
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MLB Betting Preview: AL East rivals New York and Tampa Bay square off
04.06.2012 07:11 AM
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NY Yankees
(Sabathia) -125 at
Tampa Bay
(Shields) O/U 7
Hitter and pitchers very familiar with one another in this matchup as New York's CC Sabathia takes on Tampa Bay's James Shields in the season opener for both squads. Below are some historical pitcher vs. hitter numbers.
Career vs. Shields
Cano 22-for-57, .386 BA, 1.161 OPS
Gardner 7-for-28, .250 BA, .526 OPS
Jeter 21-for-67, .313 BA, .540 OPS
Rodriguez 11-for-39, .282 BA, .953 OPS
Swisher 5-for-29, .172 BA, .683 OPS
Teixeira 6-for-41, .146 BA, .385 OPS
Russell Martin 1-for-11, .100 BA, .282 OPS
Career vs. Sabathia
Longoria 10-for-30, .333 BA, 1.333 OPS
Pena 4-for-35, .114 BA, .519 OPS
Scott 2-for-11, .182 BA, .762 OPS
Zobrist 10-for-40, .250 BA, .702 OPS
Damon 7-for-30, .233 BA, .615 OPS
Shields vs. New York Career
5-11, 130.1 IP, 4.14 ERA, 1.30 WHIP
Sabathia vs. Tampa
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NBA Handicapping: Utah Jazz seek better defensive effort vs. Warriors
04.06.2012 06:52 AM
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Golden State
at
Utah
-8 O/U 203
The Utah Jazz will try to
tighten up the defense
after allowed 100+ in three of their last four games.
"We have to be tougher on the ball," said coach Tyrone Corbin. "We have to take the assignments personally — you and your man. …
"It’s that time of year where everything has to be up a notch. And we have to figure out how to get there with our young group of guys."
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Utah Jazz
Golden State Warriors
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