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MLB Gambling Notes: Bettors show confidence in Rockies, gladly fade Astros
04.06.2012 01:03 PM
Printer Friendly
Colorado
(Guthrie) -125 at
Houston
(Rodriguez) O/U 7.5
The betting markets seem to think the Rockies and Jeremy Guthrie are the right side for tonight's matchup against the Astros. Houston’s Wandy Rodriguez has typically been a strong pitcher at home (3.32 ERA in 13 starts last season) but no one is going to mistake the Astros for having even a mediocre lineup. Check out these numbers for Houston's starters: .339, .335, .319, .311, .308, .305 (minor leagues), .297, and .286. Those are the career on-base percentages of the eight position players.
Line history courtesy of CRIS.
Tags:
MLB
Colorado Rockies
Houston Astros
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MLB Betting Trends: Texas Rangers vs. Left-Handed Starters at Home
04.06.2012 10:40 AM
Printer Friendly
UPDATE
An update from a trend we followed last year – Texas vs. left-handed starters at home. By late July, the Rangers/Over parlay was nearly an automatic following that format. But it cooled off late in the year. Still, Texas averaged nearly 6.5 runs per game. The one thing we will point out is a lot of the production came against bottom-tier southpaw starters. Tonight they face a pretty decent arm in Chicago's John Danks. The Rangers beat Danks last season, 4-0.
Texas Rangers vs. Left-Handed Starters at Home - Regular Season 2011
Opposing Pitcher
Texas Runs
Final Score
Texas Result
O/U Result
C. Furbush
12
12-5
Win
10 Over
A. Vasquez
5
5-3
Win
10 Under
D. Huff
9
9-1
Win
10 Push
J. Outman
8
8-1
Win
9 Push
A. Miller
0
0-6
Loss
10 Under
E. Bedard
4
4-0
Win
8.5 Under
J. Vargas
3
3-4
Loss
9.5 Under
C. Furbush
9
9-2
Win
9.5 Over
B. Duensing
2
2-7
Loss
9.5 Under
B. Cecil
0
0-3
Loss
9.5 Under
J. Reyes
12
12-2
Win
10.5 Over
G. Gonzalez
8
8-5
Win
8.5 Over
B. Hand
5
5-9
Loss
10.5 Over
J. Niese
5
5-14
Loss
9 Over
J. Happ
8
8-3
Win
10 Over
P. Coke
7
7-3
Win
9 Over
D. Duffy
7
7-6
Win
9 Over
J. Danks
4
4-0
Win
8.5 Under
B. Anderson
7
7-2
Win
8 Over
C. Sabathia
5
5-12
Loss
9 Over
J. Reyes
7
7-6
Win
9.5 Over
B. Chen
8
8-7
Win
9.5 Over
J. Francis
11
11-6
Win
9 Over
E. Bedard
6
6-4
Win
9 Over
J. Lester
9
9-5
Win
8.5 Over
Results
6.44
18-7
16-7-2 O/U
MLB Handicapping Update: Texas vs. Left-handed starting pitchers at home
07.27.2011 10:50 AM
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Minnesota (Duensing) at Texas (Lewis) -195 O/U
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Mega Millions lottery OK, online gambling still taboo
04.06.2012 10:15 AM
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Article from the
Off Shore Gaming Association
on the hypocrisy of the lottery and online gambling.
“Whichever company or organization that can generate the most revenue will be given the license to run the online gambling in New Jersey,” the legislator said. “Obviously the state wants to ensure that the horse racing industry and casino owners are treated fairly and are given some of the revenue to offset any losses that occur as a result of online gambling but the vast majority of revenues must go to the state. And this revenue has to be undesignated.”
“It’s very hypocritical. That’s why when I had some influence I urged the Governor to legalize all gambling and to also take bets from everywhere. Telling Americans that they’re doing a service to the state by betting at a local casino but also telling them that they are committing a crime by wagering at a website that is legal in another country is just selling them snake oil. And Americans aren’t buying it. Even with all the websites that were closed down, Americans
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-6-2012 with Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
04.06.2012 09:58 AM
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Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob broke down today's MLB games while Erin took care of the NBA card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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MLB Betting Alert: Chase Field roof slated to be open for San Francisco series
04.06.2012 08:34 AM
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San Francisco
(Lincecum) at
Arizona
(Kennedy) -105 O/U 7
According to Arizona’s homepage, Chase Field’s roof is expected to be
open
for their three-game set vs. San Francisco. It will be mild today (low 80s) but could warm to the low 90s starting Saturday. The roof hotline number is 602-462-6262.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
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MLB Betting Notes: Berkman claims Marlins Park is massive
04.06.2012 08:22 AM
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St. Louis' Lance Berkman offering his
opinion
on Miami's new Marlins Park…
“It’s huge ... the biggest ballpark in the game,” Berkman said. “If they don’t move the fences in after this year, I’ll be surprised. I’ll go with two years with the over/under on that."
“People have tried this big ballpark deal and it never works. Detroit moved the fences in. New York moved the fences in. There’s a reason why it’s 330-375-400. That’s a fair baseball game. You try to get too outrageous, you end up with something that I think will be detrimental to their ballclub.”
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MLB Gambling Tips: A list of 2012's Umpire Crews
04.06.2012 07:34 AM
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Here are the not-official-but-look-pretty-accurate 2012 MLB Umpire Crews.
Cederstrom, Culbreth, Barksdale, Johnson
Cousins, Kulpa, Wolf, [AAA Fill-In] (AAA / Hirschbeck: DL)
Darling, Meals, Emmel, Barry
Davis, Cooper, Cuzzi, Dreckman (medical leave)
DeMuth, Danley, Eddings, Nauert
Gorman, Vanover, Randazzo, Tichenor
Hallion, O'Nora, Marquez, Fairchild
Joyce, Reynolds, DiMuro, Hoye (Joyce -CC / Hirschbeck: DL)
Kellogg, Cooper, Foster, Timmons
Layne, Davidson, Wendelstedt, Bellino
McClelland, Barrett, Runge, Hudson
Rapuano, Hernandez, Diaz, Hickox
Scott, Miller, Bucknor, Iassogna
Tschida, Nelson, Welke (B ), Guccione
Welke (T), Everitt, Schrieber, Carlson
West, Holbrook, Fletcher, Drake
Winters, Bell, Wegner, Knight
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MLB Betting Preview: AL East rivals New York and Tampa Bay square off
04.06.2012 07:11 AM
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NY Yankees
(Sabathia) -125 at
Tampa Bay
(Shields) O/U 7
Hitter and pitchers very familiar with one another in this matchup as New York's CC Sabathia takes on Tampa Bay's James Shields in the season opener for both squads. Below are some historical pitcher vs. hitter numbers.
Career vs. Shields
Cano 22-for-57, .386 BA, 1.161 OPS
Gardner 7-for-28, .250 BA, .526 OPS
Jeter 21-for-67, .313 BA, .540 OPS
Rodriguez 11-for-39, .282 BA, .953 OPS
Swisher 5-for-29, .172 BA, .683 OPS
Teixeira 6-for-41, .146 BA, .385 OPS
Russell Martin 1-for-11, .100 BA, .282 OPS
Career vs. Sabathia
Longoria 10-for-30, .333 BA, 1.333 OPS
Pena 4-for-35, .114 BA, .519 OPS
Scott 2-for-11, .182 BA, .762 OPS
Zobrist 10-for-40, .250 BA, .702 OPS
Damon 7-for-30, .233 BA, .615 OPS
Shields vs. New York Career
5-11, 130.1 IP, 4.14 ERA, 1.30 WHIP
Sabathia vs. Tampa
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NBA Handicapping: Utah Jazz seek better defensive effort vs. Warriors
04.06.2012 06:52 AM
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Golden State
at
Utah
-8 O/U 203
The Utah Jazz will try to
tighten up the defense
after allowed 100+ in three of their last four games.
"We have to be tougher on the ball," said coach Tyrone Corbin. "We have to take the assignments personally — you and your man. …
"It’s that time of year where everything has to be up a notch. And we have to figure out how to get there with our young group of guys."
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Utah Jazz
Golden State Warriors
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April
5
MLB Betting Notes: St. Louis adjusts to life without pitching guru Dave Duncan
04.05.2012 12:12 PM
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Article on St. Louis Cardinals
pitching coach Derek Lilliquist
and what he is doing to maintain the teachings of Dave Duncan. Duncan was forced to take a leave of absence when his wife was diagnosed with cancer.
"The program is very similar to the way Dunc used to run things," Wainwright said. "I think he learned a lot from Dave and he's incorporated some (new) things that he believes in, and it really works.
"He's great because he played in the big leagues. He understands the game. He understands the travel and the way things work (with) pitching. He understands the body and mechanics of pitching. It's an all-around good fit."
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NBA Handicapping: Van Gundy says Knicks playing better defense
04.05.2012 12:02 PM
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New York
at
Orlando
-3 O/U 189
Taking a quick break from trying to explain why his
star player wanted him fired
, Orlando head coach Stan Van Gundy offered some opinions on the New York Knicks. Van Gundy noted that defensively, the
Knicks are much better
without Amar'e Stoudemire and Jeremy Lin.
“They’re better defensively in my mind,’’ Van Gundy added. “The thing that’s helped them defensively, is Carmelo is playing real, real hard but they got Shumpert back in the lineup. That’s been a big part of that. And Baron Davis is probably a better defender than Jeremy Lin at this point. What’s happened is their injuries have made them a far better defensive
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New York Knicks
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NBA Betting Free Pick: Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons
04.05.2012 09:47 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Washington
at
Detroit
-8 O/U 191
Recommendation: Detroit
When teams don’t look past the Wizards, they beat the Wizards. Washington is a tired team. They played back-to-backs on Sunday and Monday. They endured a back-to-back-to-back stretch last week, and are in the middle of a second ‘three games in three nights’ stretch tonight with this game against the Pistons. And for a team that was competing hard for an extended stretch in March, we’re starting to hear excuses for Washington’s poor results (1-8 SU in its last 9 games, 3-13 in its last 16, with only four pointspread covers in defeat during that entire span
Wizards head coach Randy Wittman: “Hopefully we can get our injured guys back as soon as possible, but if not, we have to find a way to pull through. It is hard being in this situation with some new guys. Some players are not used to certain plays, but that’s the nature of this business.”
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Detroit Pistons
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MLB Betting Notes: Getting to know Texas' Yu Darvish
04.05.2012 09:39 AM
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Good article from a former MLB scout on
Texas' Yu Darvish
. It was pointed out that Darvish looked especially strong this spring against right-handed batters. He is expected to make his MLB debut on Monday against Seattle.
One trend I noticed was the differential between Darvish's ability handling right-handed versus left-handed hitters. He looks to be devastating against righties. He uses pitches that jam hitters, or he throws breaking balls that leave hitters totally off balance and flailing at the ball.
In contrast, lefties have a better and longer look at the ball, and to my observation, they see pitches that allow them to extend their arms and drive the ball. Darvish's pitches to lefties seem to move into the hitting zone. The righty-lefty differential is one that opposing teams may expose and exploit.
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New online poker tournament allows live wagering for bettors
04.05.2012 09:20 AM
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A new
online poker tournament
,
iSeries Live
, is set to launch today that will allow fans to watch via live stream as well as make live wagers through Irish sportsbook Paddy Power.
The first iSeries Live poker tournament has been slated for April 5 in Dublin, Ireland. The format of the tournament is as exciting. It is a €10,000 buy-in, winner takes all 10-person shootout. Some of the biggest poker professionals have confirmed their participation. These include Daniel Negreanu, Phil Hellmuth, Carlos Mortensen, and Dave “Devilfish” Ulliott. Because of the live betting involved, players will be quarantined without mobile phones or any other communication with the outside world.
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NBA Handicapper Free Play: Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings
04.05.2012 09:13 AM
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Submitted by
LA Clippers
-3 at
Sacramento
O/U 206
Recommendation: Over
The Kings have been on a high-scoring streak their last 12 games averaging over 109 ppg. Their lowest point production over that stretch was 99 points. The Kings play the Clippers in revenge mode following a 108-100 home loss in their only meeting of the season. The teams will play again in Los Angeles April 7, but tonight figures to be a high-scoring shootout with the Kings holding nothing back.
The Clippers had their six-game losing streak snapped last night in a 113-108 loss to the Lakers. They figure to lack defensive energy following that loss, and while the Clippers defense has been improved the past month, note that they ranked near the bottom of the league in points per possession through late February (103 ppg). Also note that the Clippers played 12 of their past 15 games at home, and in their three road games they allowed 97, 102 and 114 points.
The Clippers (32-22) are still in solid playoff
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-5-2012 with Handicapper Teddy Covers
04.05.2012 09:05 AM
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Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange provided betting analysis on today's Major League Baseball card.
Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Teddy Covers
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MLB Handicapping: Philadelphia Phillies expected to juggle lineup in April
04.05.2012 08:17 AM
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Philadelphia
(Halladay) -165 at
Pittsburgh
(Bedard) O/U 7
With injuries to Ryan Howard and Chase Utley as well as the departure of Raul Ibanez, Philadelphia manager Charlie Manuel plans on
toying with his lineup
early this season. Below is today's slated lineup vs. Pittsburgh.
"I'm going to play a lot of different guys early in the season and see what our best lineup is," Manuel said.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
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MLB Gambling Alert: Wind blowing at at Wrigley for Nationals-Cubs opener
04.05.2012 07:38 AM
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Washington
(Strasburg) -150 at
Chicago Cubs
(Dempster) O/U 6
CRIS opened today's Washington-Chicago game at Wrigley Field at 6.5 (was immediately bet to 6.5un-115, then 6.5un-120 and now 6ov-120). Weather reports show fairly strong winds (15+ mph) blowing in from dead center. If you are looking for a decent ballpark weather website, some of us at Sportsmemo use
Ballpark Analyzer
.
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Washington Nationals
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MLB Betting Game Notes: Miami's Buehrle set to go after sluggish spring
04.05.2012 07:24 AM
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Miami
(Buehrle) at
Cincinnati
(Cueto) -145 O/U 7.5
Nothing out of the ordinary but Miami's Mark Buehrle once again
limped his way through spring training
. The veteran is notorious for poor preseason performances. This afternoon he makes his National League debut in Cincinnati. Of today's lineup for the Reds, Scott Rolen, Brandon Phillips, Jay Bruce, Ryan Hanigan are a combined 4-for-26 lifetime against Buehrle. The rest of the lineup has never faced him.
"I feel like I've thrown terrible, as always, but it's not all about results, it's about getting your work in, innings up, pitch count up, get ready for opening day," Buehrle said.
I made a couple of mistakes, I had the ball up," Buehrle said. "Whenever I'm good and my ball is moving the way I want it to we get a lot of groundballs. When they're hitting the ball in the air it just
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Miami Marlins
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NBA Handicapping: Chicago's Rose nears return from injury
04.05.2012 07:05 AM
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Boston
at
Chicago
The Chicago Bulls are eyeing the return of both Derrick Rose (groin) and Rip Hamilton (shoulder) this week. Both players have been
sidelined with injuries
but practiced at full speed Wednesday. The Bulls went 7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS in Rose's absence. The team is coming off back-to-back losses for the first time in over a year. Early reports have Rose "doubtful" for tonight vs. Boston but "probable" for Sunday's game at New York.
“I really don’t know,” Rose said when asked if he would recover fully or be at less than 100 percent for the rest of the season. “This is my first time ever having this injury. Usually people, after they have it, they don’t have it anymore, but my biggest thing is coming back too quick and reinjuring
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Chicago Bulls
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