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Sportsmemo Weekly All Sports Special Offer
04.16.2012 02:24 PM
Printer Friendly
Coverage through April 22. Order
online
or call 1-800-575-3069.
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NBA Betting Notes and Quotes 4-6-2012
04.16.2012 01:46 PM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
It’s been a few weeks since I’ve offered some notes and quotes from around the NBA. The end of this hurried and abbreviated regular season is looming – the playoffs start next weekend. It’s time for a 1500 word tour around the league in an effort to identify some “bet-on” and “bet-against” teams between now and the beginning of the postseason.
The
Minnesota Timberwolves
enter the stretch run of the season on their longest losing streak since their 15 game skid to close out last year. Leading scorer and rebounder Kevin Love has no current timetable to return from his lingering concussion. Point guard Ricky Rubio has been out for months, and his replacement, Luke Ridnour, is dealing with a sprained right ankle that has caused him to miss their last six defeats.
Center Nikola Pekovic made it very clear what Minnesota’s biggest issue is right now: “We need some other players to step up.” But even with 20+ point efforts from JJ Barea, Michael Beasley and Anthony Randolph last Saturday against Oklahoma City, the T-wolves couldn’t snap their losing
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MLB Betting Notes: Pittsburgh Pirates continue to thrive at not playing smart baseball
04.16.2012 12:32 PM
Printer Friendly
Just in case you thought the Pittsburgh Pirates organization was moving in the right direction we present to you the chart below. Those are top nine players in terms of plate appearances. You'll notice that in 220 trips to the plate, those nine have a grand total of six walks! As a team, the Pirates have taken 13 base on balls and struck out 73 times in 310 PAs. Note that of their nine games, four were against Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee, Clayton Kershaw and Matt Cain – premium arms that don't give too many free passes. But even with last year’s small stretch of success early on, the overall philosophy in Pittsburgh simply has not changed. Weaker offensive teams have to find ways to manufacture runs and it starts with plate discipline. The fact that first round pick Pedro Alvarez is batting .051 and has yet to take a walk would never fly on a team like Tampa Bay. Wonder if
these guys
are back in action this year?
Pittsburgh Pirates Batting Stats through 4/16/2011
Player
PA
AB
BB
SO
BA
OBP
Alex Presley
37
35
1
8
0.286
0.306
Andrew McCutchen
37
33
3
4
0.333
0.405
Jose Tabata
31
30
0
6
0.133
0.161
Neil Walker
30
29
1
5
0.172
0.200
Clint Barmes
29
26
0
8
0.115
0.179
Casey McGehee
22
22
0
2
0.318
0.318
Rod Barajas
21
20
1
4
0.050
0.095
Pedro Alvarez
19
19
0
12
0.053
0.053
Garrett Jones
18
18
0
6
0.222
0.222
Results
244
232
6
55
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Pittsburgh Pirates
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MLB Handicapping Tips: The impact catchers have on preventing runs
04.16.2012 12:05 PM
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A few very interesting articles regarding the impact catches can have on "runs saved." Baseball Prospectus took
multiple variables
and ranked them with Tampa Bay's Jose Molina atop a majority of the categories. According to BP, from 2008-11
Molina prevented 103 runs
based on his defense, the throwing out of would be base stealers and perhaps most important, the ability to frame pitches. Even more impressive is that Molina played in about half the amount of games as others on the list.
As we have learned from reading Jonah Keri’s The Extra 2%, the Rays are looking for wins that can be bought at a low price, just as the Moneyball Athletics were. It’s quite likely that the 10-to-20 runs above average Jose Molina could contribute by inducing the umpires to call a few more borderline strikes would come cheaper than an equivalent amount produced by the bat of another catcher.
I’m positive that the Rays are aware of Jose Molina’s framing skill
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NBA late-season situational handicapping
04.16.2012 10:20 AM
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Submitted by
I started a thread in the Sportsmemo posting forum about the late season playoff push and Western Conference teams playing for the final playoff spots. Here is a list of the teams battling for a playoff position and a top-8 spot along with their remaining schedules.
5. Memphis (35-25)... at Minn, NO, at Char, Port, Cleve, Orl
6. Dallas (34-27)...at Utah, Hou, GS, at Chic, at Atl
7. Denver (33-27)...at Hou, LAC, at Phoenix, Orl, at OKC, at Minn
8. Houston (32-28)...Denver, at Dallas, at NO, GS, at Miami, NO
9. Phoenix (31-29)...Port, OKC, LAC, Denver, at Utah, SA
10. Utah (31-30)...Dallas, at Port, Orl, Phoenix, Port
Phoenix holds the tiebreaker advantage over Utah while the Jazz have the tiebreaker edge over Houston and Denver.
The Nuggets beat the Rockets last night in Denver and play at Houston tonight in a home and away back-to-back. The Suns are a huge, adjusted favorite (-11) over the Trailblazers tonight after Portland saw their final outside chance at the playoffs slip away with a last second loss at Sacramento Sunday.
Utah has a huge game tonight at home against the defending champion Dallas
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-16-2012 with Rob Veno and Erin Rynning
04.16.2012 10:13 AM
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Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob broke down tonight's MLB games while Erin took care of the NBA card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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NBA
MLB
Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
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NBA Handicapping: Atlanta Hawks in tank mode for sixth seed?
04.16.2012 08:08 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Last night's half assed performance at home vs. a depleted Toronto team (102-86) caused ESPN's John Hollinger to tweet this:
Interesting playoff tanking situation emerging between Atlanta and Orlando -- I imagine both greatly prefer facing Indy to facing Boston...
Hawks are 11-2 SU vs. Indiana L13 but after reading some extremely positive player quotes about the team's current form prior to yesterday's upset loss, I can't personally see them shying away from anyone.
We'll see what happens tonight where the money has already poured in on Philadelphia in their road game at Orlando while Atlanta could solidify themselves as tankers if they blow back-to-backs vs. Toronto. Bettors have faith in the Hawks pushing them to -5.5.
Eastern Conference Playoff Standings as of 4/16
1. Chicago --
2. Miami 3.5
3. Indiana 8.0
4. Boston 10.5
5. Atlanta 11.0
6. Orlando 11.0
7. Philadelphia 14.5
8. New York 15.0
9. Milwaukee 17.0
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Atlanta Hawks
Orlando Magic
Rob Veno
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Sportsmemo's Crow and Lange win weekend bass tournament
04.16.2012 07:56 AM
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Sportsmemo handicappers Brent Crow and Andrew Lange took home the $1,000 first place prize at a bass tournament on Alabama's Smith Lake this past Saturday. When asked how it felt to win his first-ever tournament Lange responded, "I'll be honest, the fact that I didn't hook my partner in the back or fall in the lake was in my eyes a pretty big accomplishment."
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Brent Crow
Andrew Lange
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MLB Betting Update: Los Angeles Angels continue to struggle
04.16.2012 07:41 AM
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UPDATE
Slow start for the hyped
Los Angeles Angels
(3-6, -5.50 units) who are set to begin a seven-game home stand against Oakland and Baltimore. One scout said he found it hard to believe the Angels won't be in the mix considering the team's starting pitching depth. But, the bullpen has been shaky as has the plate discipline (.315 OBP).
"They can be pitched to, because they have so many free swingers. They have a lot of guys who like to swing the bat."
Even after adding patient hitters Pujols and Chris Iannetta, the Angels went into Sunday having walked in 6.5 percent of their plate appearances, putting them 24th in the league in that category. Vernon Wells, Peter Bourjos and Morales still haven't taken a walk. Decline, obviously, could also be a factor. The average age of the Nos. 3 through 6 hitters Friday was nearly 35.
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Philadelphia Eagles eager to cash in on casino advertising
04.16.2012 07:31 AM
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With multiple casinos in the area, the Philadelphia Eagles are eager to cash in on the NFL’s recent ruling on
casino advertisements
. Teams are now able to promote casinos on stadium signs, game programs and radio broadcasts. Gaming facilities with sports betting will not be included.
"As Philly's casino, SugarHouse 'bleeds green,' so we would welcome the opportunity to work with the Eagles," general manager Wendy Hamilton said.
"Obviously, the NFL can't claim any moral certitude to its opposition to sports betting any longer," said New Jersey Sen. Ray Lesniak (D., Union), who sponsored a bill to allow sports betting at Atlantic City casinos and racetracks that passed in January and who is behind an effort to overturn the federal ban. "It's a further example of the hypocrisy of the NFL."
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Philadelphia Eagles
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MLB Gambling Update: Lincecum tries to bounce back after back-to-back stinkers
04.16.2012 06:39 AM
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UPDATE
Philadelphia
-115 (Halladay) at
San Francisco
(Lincecum) O/U 6
Article on the
current state
of Tim Lincecum. Lincecum (0-1, 12.91 ERA) is off of the shortest start of his career (2.1 IP, 6 runs) and squares off against Roy Halladay tonight.
"I know he's going to be pitching on his 'A' game," Lincecum said, "and it just makes me want to be on my 'A' game even more so. ...
"Eliminating all doubts in myself, that's the biggest thing I can do. Just go out there and have confidence in my stuff because you see guys time and time again (having conviction) in whatever pitch they're throwing that day.
"Whether it's 85 or 95 (mph), you've got to have commitment in it, and I think
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San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
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MLB Betting Tips: Declines in velocity can lead to profits
04.16.2012 06:28 AM
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Some notes on a few pitchers who have seen
declines in their velocity
compared to previous years – Stephen Strasburg and Tim Lincecum are slated to start tonight. Strasburg's decline doesn't appear to be an issue but more an attempt to "pace" himself this season. You'll notice than in the blog, we try to emphasize the importance of losses and gains in velocity. A vast majority of pitchers
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NBA Handicapping: Philadelphia 76ers start back-to-back-to-back in Orlando
04.16.2012 06:18 AM
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Philadelphia
-5 at
Orlando
O/U 181.5
Tonight marks the start of the second set of
back-to-back-to-backs
for Philadelphia this season. After tonight's game at Orlando, the 76ers return home to face Indiana and then back in the road to take on Cleveland. Philly is currently in seventh place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Magic are likely to be without Dwight Howard, Glen Davis and Hedo Turkoglu.
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Philadelphia 76ers
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April
15
Upcoming movie about illegal online gambling
04.15.2012 07:59 AM
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What are the odds of this being good? Ben Affleck and Justin Timberlake are set to star in an upcoming movie about
illegal online gambling
called
Runner, Runner
. Brad Furman is slated to direct, something he did on
Lincoln Lawyer
which was not nearly as bad as it looked on paper. The script for
Runner, Runner
was reportedly done by the two guys who wrote Rounders.
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Sunday MLB Free Betting Pick: Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
04.15.2012 07:50 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Detroit
(Porcello) at -Chicago- (Sale) -105 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Chicago
I'm buying Chicago lefty Chris Sale, especially early in the season when fatigue isn't an issue and teams are getting their first extended look at him. Sale was one of the better middle relievers in the American League last season and is starting to develop some solid off-speed offerings. He looked sharp in his first start, allowing one earned run in 6.2 innings (and a modest 100 pitches). I enjoy watching Detroit's Rick Porcello but he's never going to be a front-of-the-rotation arm. He generally throws strikes and mixes things well, but without big time velocity or an outpitch, he has trouble going entire games without getting into trouble. The White Sox are obviously familiar with Porcello having seen him seven times (6.91 ERA). Let's also not forget that the White Sox are playing some good baseball having won four straight with a chance for the three-game sweep against the Tigers. I think it happens.
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Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
Andrew Lange
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NBA Gambling Preview: Miami and New York clash on ABC
04.15.2012 07:34 AM
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Miami
at -3 at
New York
O/U 188.5
Possible first round preview with Miami taking on New York for an
early start
(10 am PT) today. The Knicks are currently tied with Philadelphia for the seventh and eighth spots in the Eastern Conference (NY owns tiebreaker). Defense seems to be the main reason behind New York's late season surge (13-4 SU/ATS run). On Friday the Knicks held Washington to 65 points. Only four teams during that 17-game stretch topped 100 points. The Miami-New York series has trended heavily towards the under at 0-5-1 the last six including this year's two meeting that went under by 14.5 and 8.5 points.
“We know they’re good,” Heat forward Chris Bosh said. “We know what they’re capable of. Any series, even last year, the two-seven matchup we had with Philly, it was a tough series. They were a tough team. You have to
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April
17
April
14
NFL by Rob Veno
NFL by Teddy Covers
NCAAF by Rob Veno
NCAAF by Teddy Covers
Accu-Stats
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Schedule Sheet
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Brent Crow
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Marty Otto
Andrew Lange
Sammy P
Alf Musketa
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