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MLB Handicapping: Bettors likely to maintain fade of Tim Lincecum
04.17.2012 02:07 PM
Printer Friendly
UPDATE
FanGraphs
tries to make the case that Tim Lincecum's rough start to the season may only be temporary. They use previous seasons to indicate dramatic drops in velocity early on followed by eventual turnarounds. We've talked a lot of about velocity in these pages of late and Lincecum isn't the only one currently in decline (not to mention his BAbip is an ungodly .435). Perhaps it is a small nagging injury and coming from a guy who rarely misses starts (and reportedly doesn't ice his arm) admitting as such would be embarrassing. That or maybe he is just wearing down after reaching 1,000 innings in just five years. Either way, while many have righted the ship before him, betting on Lincecum at this point remains difficult.
MLB Gambling Update: Lincecum tries to bounce back after back-to-back
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San Francisco Giants
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Free MLB Betting Pick: Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox
04.17.2012 11:51 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Baltimore (Chen) +115 at Chicago (Danks) O/U 8
Recommendation: Baltimore
John Danks is a notoriously slow starter, with a history of miserable early season results. The numbers don’t lie. Last year, Chicago went 1-10 in Danks’ first 11 trips to the hill, and he had an ERA above 5.00 heading into June. His career splits show a 16-25 record for the first two months of the season, compared to seven games over .500 from June 1st onwards. He struggled in both starts against this Orioles lineup last year: ten runs and 15 hits allowed in just 12.1 innings of work. The White Sox bullpen behind him isn’t fresh, after short stints from Phil Humber and Chris Sale over the past two days. And Chicago’s lineup isn’t exactly tearing the cover off the ball with their bats, ranked 12th among 14 American League teams in runs scored this year while hitting just .237 as a team. While Chicago has lost two straight following its surprisingly hot start – coming back to earth – the Orioles remain alone in first place in the best division in baseball. They are in excellent current form,
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Chicago White Sox
Baltimore Orioles
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NFL Gambling News: New York Jets wisely focus on improving run game
04.17.2012 11:23 AM
Printer Friendly
New York Jets guard Matt Slauson did his best to hype up next year's offense with quarterbacks
Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow
. According to Slauson, the team is set on returning to a "Ground and Pound" attack. In other words they don't want to rely on either quarterback's arm to win games. The Jets were 22nd in the league in rushing last year at 105.8 ypg after ranking first in 2009 (172.3 ypg) and fourth in 2010 (148.4 ypg).
"You guys will be really surprised by what Mark's going to do this year," Slauson said. "The way we're going to be running things plays right into Mark's strengths, running the ball. It'll be very similar to what we did in Rex's first two years, very much a style like that -- heavy run, heavy play action and whipping out a deep ball every now and again. That's all the stuff Mark does really well."
"There's no question about it. That's how we look at it, but we know that Tim can help us, too. There's no doubt. ... Mark is our starting quarterback," Ryan said
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NBA Handicapping: Allen returns vs. Knicks, Celtics eye Atlantic Division title
04.17.2012 11:08 AM
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Boston
at
New York
-3 O/U 183
The Celtics can clinch the Atlantic Division title tonight with a win over New York and a Philadelphia loss (vs. Indiana). Ray Allen is
expected to suit up
after missing four games with swelling in his ankle. Paul Pierce remains "questionable" with a toe injury. Boston has won and covered two of the three meetings this season.
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Boston Celtics
New York Knicks
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Sports Betting Podcast 4-17-2012 with Handicapper Teddy Covers
04.17.2012 09:33 AM
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Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy broke down tonight's MLB and NBA games from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB and NBA Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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MLB
Teddy Covers
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Pay Per Head shops gain popularity among bookies and bettors
04.17.2012 08:22 AM
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Article in the
New York Times
about the popularity of Pay Per Head sportsbooks.
“There is always going to be a huge market for local bookmakers because they are the ones who let players bet with credit, with money they don’t have to produce,” Steve Budin, a gambling expert who formerly operated an online sports book, said. “People don’t want to give out their credit cards or send money offshore someplace. They like dealing with real people and real cash. These sites just make it a whole lot easier for the bookies serving them.”
“Younger bettors are used to ease and quality — they don’t want busy signals or guys who don’t answer their phone,” Budin said. “They want Web sites. They want a number they can trust where someone says, ‘How can I help you?’ if they have to call.”
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MLB Gambling Notes: Scout not impressed with Darvish, compares him to Dice-K
04.17.2012 08:13 AM
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UPDATE
One scout
has not been impressed
with Texas' Yu Darvish through two starts. Texas won both games but Darvish allowed 17 hits and eight walks in 11.1 innings. More importantly, he was a -235 home favorite and -155 road favorite – prices that are unlikely to change much given Texas' current place in the betting markets. Darvish is slated to start Friday in Detroit.
“He’s going to give up a ton of hits,” the scout said. “A lot of his fastballs are very straight. The guy is supposed to throw hard. But he basically pitched at 89 to 92, touching 93-94. That’s pretty good in Japan. It’s not very good here.
“He has a good cutter, a good curveball. But when he gets in trouble, he turns into a breaking-ball guy – nibble, nibble, he won’t let it go. He reminded me of
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British bookmaker William Hill runs into trouble gaining US gaming license
04.17.2012 08:04 AM
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UPDATE
British bookmaker William Hill has run into some difficulty attaining a
gaming license
in the United States. Rumor has it some of Hill's higher-ups were involved in past shady dealings that Nevada regulators are thoroughly investigating.
"We said that this process would take between 12 to 18 months and we believe that a decision will be made in that timeframe. We are fully complying with the whole process and have no further comment to make."
"I've been through licensing processes before but, I have to say, nothing as extensive as this. And it's not only at a corporate level that we're investigated and scrutinised, but at the personal level too. I haven't felt this closely assessed since I met my prospective father-in-law for the first time!!"
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Of course there is a website for hedging wedding gifts
04.17.2012 07:52 AM
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Going to wedding this summer that has little to no chance of working out? No worries thanks to a website that allows guests to
hedge on the purchase of wedding gifts
.
After buying a gift, guests simply register on the company's website, pay 8% of the gift's purchase price, and upload a copy of the receipt. If the marriage dissolves within three years, Wedding Gift Refund will reimburse the full price of the present.
For example, according to numbers compiled by The Wall Street Journal, Massachusetts has 1.8 divorces per thousand marriages, the lowest rate in the country, while Nevada has a staggering 6.6 divorces per thousand marriages. In other words, a Vegas marriage is nearly four times as likely to fail as a Boston one.
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Full Tilt Poker updating website, hiring customer service reps
04.17.2012 07:37 AM
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Appears to be some activity going on with Full Tilt Poker as reports are out that the website was up and running yesterday. According to
Poker News Report
, Full Tilt was testing out its latest version and is also hiring customer service reps.
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MLB Betting Notes: Boston's Bard shows signs of promise
04.17.2012 07:32 AM
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Boston's Daniel Bard is becoming an interesting case study after switching from the bullpen to starting rotation. Yesterday, Bard allowed one earned run in 6.2 innings against Tampa Bay but walked seven batters thanks to some
spotty command with the fastball
. He did however fan seven batters and had 13 swinging strikes. In his first start against Toronto he recorded an amazing 17 swinging strikes. Clearly, this kid has
legit stuff
even though it may take some time for him to put everything together.
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MLB Handicapping Update: Molina, umpire help key Tampa Bay win
04.17.2012 07:22 AM
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UPDATE
Yesterday, we posted a blog (see below) on the impact catchers can have in preventing runs. One of those highlighted was Tampa’s Jose Molina who has developed a reputation for being one of the better pitch framers in the game. Nowhere was this more apparent than during yesterday's infamous Cody Ross at-bat to end the game. Part of it may have had to do with umpire Larry Vanover but according to
FanGraphs
, Molina seemed aware of Vanover's tendencies and took advantage. That or Vanover had somewhere to be after the game.
MLB Handicapping Tips: The impact catchers have on preventing runs
04.16.2012 12:05 PM
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April
18
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16
NFL by Rob Veno
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Schedule Sheet
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