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NBA Betting Alert: Struggling Philadelphia bet up to -9.5 vs. Cleveland

04.18.2012     01:43 PM     Printer Friendly
Looks like the old "must win" situation is getting some love from the betting markets with Philadelphia bet up from -6.5 to -9.5 for tonight's road game at Cleveland. Unless there was some sort of pregame agreement that the Cavs were only going to play four players, supporting the 76ers at this price in this type of situation seems a bit risky, no? (0-3 SU/ATS last three, 6-13 SU/ATS since 3/14). Line history courtesy of CRIS.


Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Cleveland Cavaliers

Kentucky Derby's large field remains a challenge for bettors

04.18.2012     01:29 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article on the difficulty of betting the Kentucky Derby. For some, the solution has been a $1 eight-horse superfecta box ($1,680).

There is a Hall of Fame trainer who became know a decade or so ago for the frequency with which he cashed large superfecta tickets, particularly during the summer meeting at Saratoga. Eventually, his method became known to those with connections on the other side of the betting windows. When a specific set of circumstances were in place -- specifically the wide-open race with a large field -- the bet was -- and in all likelihood still is -- an eight-horse superfecta box. The key was anchored not in picking winners but in the process of elimination.

Since 2008 -- admittedly a small sample but nevertheless current and reflective of recent trends -- only one Derby winner, Big Brown, has returned less than $10.00. The favorite that year, the last horse to win both the Derby and Preakness, paid $6.80 at Churchill. In subsequent years, Mine That Bird paid $103.20, Super Saver $18 and Animal Kingdom $43.80.

Read more

MLB Gambling Notes: Target Field wind remains big obstacle for hitters

04.18.2012     12:20 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry. did an extensive article on the impact Minnesota's Target Field has had on offenses due in large part to wind patterns. Nothing we as bettors weren't already aware of but still well worth the read.

- Target Field allowed the third-fewest home runs per game in the American League in 2010 and 2011, according to ESPN's Home Run Tracker.

-It is the fourth-toughest park in the AL for hitters, according to ESPN's Park Factors, which calculates how each ballpark plays in comparison to the league average.

"When it's warm, and the ball wants to carry, the winds are fighting that, and they're blowing through that gap in right," Huttner said. "It boils down to the way the park is laid out. The wind and weather is almost always working against the ball traveling out of Target Field."

"It's definitely frustrating as a left-handed hitter," Mauer said. "I'd be lying if I told you there aren't times at the plate where you're like, 'Oh, I've got to maybe pull a ball,'

Read more

Tags: MLB Minnesota Twins

NBA Handicapper Free Play: New York Knicks at New Jersey Nets

04.18.2012     11:11 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
New York at New Jersey +8.5 O/U 193
Recommendation: New Jersey

It’s been another long, ugly season in New Jersey, but head coach Avery Johnson still has his team fighting hard down the stretch.  A matchup with their rivals from across the river isn’t likely to change that.  We saw the Nets take Miami down to the wire in their last game; a wire-to-wire pointspread cover as +8.5 underdogs.  Now the betting markets are trying to tell us that the Knicks – playing on the second night of back-to-backs, one night after hitting a whopping 19 three pointers in a national TV win over Boston – deserve the same market respect as Miami did two nights ago. 

Plain and simple: I’m not buying that argument.  If Miami was -8.5 at Jersey two days ago, the tired Knicks have no business laying the same spread.  Here’s a pertinent quote from Coach Johnson following the Nets loss to Miami.  “(Monday) was the first time Read more

Tags: NBA New York Knicks New Jersey Nets Teddy Covers

Sportsbook BetOnline shuts down poker room

04.18.2012     11:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Sportsbook BetOnline has temporarily pulled the plug on its poker room, a move that reportedly caught players (some of which from the US) completely off guard. Other reports have surfaced that pro players were accused of cheating and had difficulty withdrawing funds.

Tags: Poker

Free MLB Betting Pick: Chicago Cubs at Miami Marlins

04.18.2012     10:03 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Chicago (Garza) at Miami (Buehrle)
Recommendation: Chicago +110 1st 5 innings

We cashed a 5-inning wager this week on the Padres with underrated pitcher Cory Luebke at a plus-price over Colorado’s Jeremy Guthrie. San Diego led 5-1 after five innings on its way to a 7-1 win. Today we’ll fire with another strong starter on the road at a plus price.

Matt Garza is pitching in his prime and elevating himself among the games top pitchers. Garza is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA in two home starts this season. He has 14 strikeouts in 14+ innings with just three walks and eight hits allowed for a 0.75 WHIP. Opponents are hitting just .160 against Garza as his ground ball profile has improved and made him even tougher to hit. Last season was Garza’s first with the Cubs after coming over to the National League from Tampa Bay. Garza went just 10-10, but he was one of the stronger pitchers in the NL with a 197 Ks in 198 innings, a 1.26 WHIP, 3.32 ERA and .245 BAA. While his road ERA was over 4.50, note he allowed just three HRs in 81 innings and he’ll face an average Marlins lineup that’s hitting just .243.

Mark Buehrle has Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago Cubs Miami Marlins __

Sports Betting Podcast 4-18-2012 with Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

04.18.2012     09:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Teddy broke down tonight's NBA games while Erin took care of the MLB card from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NBA Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA MLB Teddy Covers Erin Rynning

NBA Betting News: Miami Heat favored to win NBA title

04.18.2012     08:04 AM     Printer Friendly
The Las Vegas Sun breaks down this year's contenders for the NBA Championship.

Odds to win the NBA Championship (Cantor Gaming)
Miami — Even
Oklahoma City — 3-to-1
Chicago — 9-to-2
San Antonio — 6-to-1
Los Angeles Lakers — 8-to-1
Los Angeles Clippers — 10-to-1
Boston — 15-to-1
New York — 20-to-1
Memphis — 20-to-1
Dallas — 20-to-1
Orlando — 40-to-1
Philadelphia — 50-to-1
Atlanta — 75-to-1
Denver — 100-to-1
Houston — 100-to-1

Tags: NBA Miam Heat

LVH Sportsbook will post NFL Week 1 lines today

04.18.2012     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
According to Sportsbook Director Jay Kornegay, LVH will be posting sides, totals and moneylines for Week 1 NFL at some point today.



Tags: NFL

MLB Handicapping: Washington's starting rotation thrives with the fastball

04.18.2012     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article on the Washington Nationals and they stellar starting rotation which is a combined 5-1 with a 1.69 ERA and .179 BA against. They've been getting the job done in large part by committing to the fastball. The group's average heater is 93.4 mph – the highest mark from a rotation since FanGraphs starting tracking the data in 2002. In 74.2 innings, the starting five has amassed 108 swinging strikes.

“Against these guys, it’s like you don’t get a chance to catch your breath,” Cincinnati Reds center fielder Drew Stubbs said. “You get done with one, it’s just on to the next one. We were here for four days. All four guys, and we missed Strasburg, can hit the mid-90s. That’s tough. It’s very rare. Usually, you only have one guy in the rotation who throws like that.”

“It does go along with my philosophy,” General Manager Mike Rizzo said. “The radar readings, per se, there’s no philosophy there.

Read more

Tags: MLB Washington Nationals

NHL Playoffs Adjusted Series Betting Prices

04.18.2012     06:54 AM     Printer Friendly
Adjusted series prices for the first round of the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs courtesy of The Greek.

NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Adjusted Series Prices 4/18/2012
Matchup (Series Leader)
Philadelphia Flyers (3-0)
Pittsburgh Penguins   
Los Angeles Kings (3-0)
Vancouver Canucks   
Ottawa Senators   
New York Rangers (2-1)
Washington Capitals   
Boston Bruins (2-1)
San Jose Sharks   
St Louis Blues (2-1)
Chicago Blackhawks   
Phoenix Coyotes (2-1)   
New Jersey Devils   
Florida Panthers (2-1)   

Tags: NHL

NFL releases schedule, sportsbook hangs Week 1 lines

04.18.2012     06:26 AM     Printer Friendly
The NFL released the 2012-13 regular season schedule yesterday. Early reports indicate that the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants have the league's most difficult schedule (slow down ESPN pundits, it’s only April). Regardless, we're not worried about where the Detroit Lions play Week 8, we want to see some lines and BetOnline was kind enough to grant bettors that wish.

2012 NFL Week 1 Lines - BetOnline
Week 1 Matchup
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears
Jacksonville Jaguars
Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo Bills
New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
Houston Texans
New England Patriots
Tennessee Titans
St. Louis Rams
Detroit Lions
Washington Redskins
New Orleans Saints
Philadelphia Eagles
Cleveland Browns
Atlanta Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs
San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals
Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
Denver Broncos
San Diego Chargers
Oakland Raiders

Tags: NFL

Betting against the Minnesota Timberwolves in April is not a bad idea

04.18.2012     06:09 AM     Printer Friendly
The last time the Minnesota Timberwolves won a game in April was back in 2009 (0-27 SU). The against-the-spread results during that span are also awful (7-20). These outcomes aren't that shocking considering that Aprils in the NBA are notorious for bringing out the best in "tank mode" from bottom-tier teams. This year's Minnesota squad however was looking to reverse that trend but a brutal schedule following the All-Star break and various injuries made it too difficult to overcome. The T-wolves play at Detroit tonight, host fellow "tanker" Golden State on Sunday, and close out the year vs. Denver.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Results April 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012
Minnesota ATS
L 84-91
Win +9.5
at Indiana
L 88-111
Loss +10.5
Oklahoma City
L 110-115
Win +11.5
L.A. Clippers
L 82-95
Loss +7.5
at Denver
L 107-113
Win+ 8
L 90-114
Loss +2.5
at New Orleans
L 90-99
Loss -3
Golden State
L 94-97
Loss -6
at Sacramento
L 108-116
Loss +3
at Portland
L 106-119
Loss +3.5
L 102-121
Loss +5.5
at Phoenix
L 127-135 (OT)
Win +9
at Denver
L 106-130
Loss +13.5
L 98-108
Loss +4.5
at New Jersey
L 105-107
Win +5.5
at Memphis
L 89-106
Loss +14
L 92-111
Loss +11
L 98-103
Loss -1
at San Antonio
L 111-133
Loss +14.5
at New Orleans
L 86-114
Loss +5.5
L.A. Lakers
L 88-97
Loss +7.5
Golden State
L 107-116
Loss +2
at Oklahoma City
L 108-116
Win +13.5
L 84-97
Loss +6.5
L 90-97
Loss -7.5
at Dallas
L 94-96
Win +11.5
L 97-110
Loss +2

Tags: NBA Minnesota Timberwolves





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