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MLB Betting Trends with Low Totals

05.04.2012     10:29 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
We cashed our top-rated 20* Big Drive over/under Game of the Month yesterday and provided our thoughts and written analysis of the Cardinals/Pirates over the total winner. While I noted the strong current hitting of the Cardinals and pitching performances and match-ups, my research and noted totals trends below may have you searching out more UNDER the total plays in the next few months.

On May 1, the Padres beat the Brewers 2-0 at Petco Park. The over/under line was 6 runs and both starting pitchers Shawn Marcum and Edison Volquez threw seven shutout innings of three-hit baseball. The Padres were a home underdog in that contest and I’ve noted some solid UNDER the total results on home underdogs with low posted totals below.

There have been 17 games played at Petco Park this season and we have yet to see a posted total above 7 runs. Despite the low posted totals, Padres home games have still gone 7-9-1 over/under.

Through the month of April, MLB teams were batting a combined .249. The last time MLB teams combined to hit under .250 for an entire season Read more

Tags: MLB __

Sports Betting Podcast 5-4-2012 with Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

05.04.2012     09:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno and Erin Rynning. Rob broke down tonight's MLB games from a betting perspective. ER tackled the NBA Playoffs for this weekend.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB and NBA Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - NBA Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA Rob Veno Erin Rynning

NBA Playoff Gambling: Denver wants to continue up-tempo play

05.04.2012     08:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
LA Lakers at Denver -3.5 O/U 204

The Denver Nuggets are looking to continue pushing the pace after notching 30 fastbreak points in Game 2 vs. the Lakers. The Nuggest were 13-20 O/U at home this season.

"If you buy into the concept," Lawson said. "You can't knock it until you try it."

Tags: NBA Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers

NBA Betting Update: Thunder win marks yet another cash for the underdog

05.04.2012     07:51 AM     Printer Friendly

Oklahoma City -1.5 at Dallas O/U 192

Last night's Oklahoma City win over Dallas mark the 11th straight against the spread victory for the underdog in the series. For Saturday, the Mavs opened -1 but the money has come in on the Thunder who are currently -1.5.

NBA Playoff Gambling: Underdog cashes 10 straight in OKC-Dallas series

05.03.2012     07:00 AM     View Original Blog

Amazingly, the underdog has covered 10 straight games in the Oklahoma City-Dallas series. The Read more

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Dallas Mavericks

MLB Betting News: Halladay not in top form this season

05.04.2012     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
When a top-tier starter is off of his game, bettors have to be ready to pounce. Practically everyone has been aware of Tim Lincecum's struggles and those who have played against him have been rewarded. Another big name pitcher that may not be right is Philadelphia's Roy Halladay. On Wednesday, Halladay had one of the worst outings of his career, allowing eight earned runs and 12 hits against Atlanta. Following the outing, Halladay took a non-baseball related leave of absence from the team and is scheduled to return today. His next start is slated for Monday. Prior to the outing vs. Atlanta, Halladay's ERA of 1.95 made it seems as if nothing was wrong. But his strikeout numbers are down and his walks are up. There may not being anything wrong with the soon-to-be 35-year-old but he is certainly worth keeping an eye on.

“I was good, honestly,” Halladay said after the game. “I wish I had a better reason, but I don’t. It was just a lack of execution on pitches in key

Read more

Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies

Free MLB Betting Pick: Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians

05.04.2012     07:22 AM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports blog entry.
Texas (Lewis) -140 at Cleveland (Gomez) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Under

Two of the hottest pitchers in the American League match up tonight in Cleveland with Colby Lewis taking on Jeanmar Gomez.  Possibly the best kept secret in the AL this season is Jeanmar Gomez.  A young pitcher out of Caracas, Gomez has shown considerable growth after his first two seasons in the majors and he has been lights out for the Indians to start the young campaign.  In his first start this season he was thrown out of the game in the 2nd inning for throwing at a Kansas City batter prompting the benches to clear.  Since then, he has two quality starts posting an overall WHIP of 0.85 and an ERA of 2.35.  He is definitely a young pitcher to keep your eye on as this is by no means the same Gomez from past seasons, and I'm being proactive with him until the marketplace catches up despite the probable return of Josh Hamilton and Adrian Beltre to the Texas lineup tonight.  Texas hurler Read more

Tags: MLB Texas Rangers Cleveland Indians Sammy P

MLB Handicapping: Tigers try to pinpoint Scherzer's problems

05.04.2012     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Trying to get a beat on Detroit Max Scherzer is extremely difficult. When he's on, he performs like a front-of-the-rotation arm and when he's not, he looks like Rick Porcello on a bad day. Mechanical flaws seem to be Scherzer's biggest enemy and after five starts and a 7.77 ERA, the Tigers have apparently caught what he is doing wrong. We recommend a wait-and-see approach. Scherzer is slated to throw at home on Saturday against the White Sox.

Scherzer and Tigers pitching coach Jeff Jones believe they’ve found a flaw in the righty’s mechanics, the Detroit Free Press reports. “We’re trying to get him to keep his hands more in the middle of his body as opposed to taking them behind him,” Jones said. “He’s gotten into a little bit of a habit of carrying them behind his body too far. That affects his lead arm getting on the target and staying there long enough.”

Tags: MLB Detroit Tigers

Business Insider calls out Simmons' NBA MVP wager

05.04.2012     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Why is this a story? And since when did Business Insider have a sports betting tactical unit? Alas, Bill Simmons' NBA MVP vote has been voided because he placed a wager on the outcome. Geesh. Say what you want about Simmons, but his vote is probably one of the few that comes from a place of actual knowledge.

"Bill had never received a ballot before and didn't find out he had one until two-thirds of the season had passed. By that time he had made multiple MVP bets, two of which he had discussed on podcasts. He ended up withdrawing his MVP vote to avoid the perception of any conflict."

Tags: NBA

MLB Gambling News: Yankees lose Rivera for the season

05.04.2012     06:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Now don't go getting all teary eyed on us but Mariano Rivera is going to be out for a while. We know, we know, the guy is a warrior and still one of the best relievers in the game. Don't worry, the Yankees have some decent arms that can fill his spot. David Robertson hasn't given up a run all season. Rafael Soriano has closed games before. No, neither one is as trustworthy and you can bet someone is going to blow a save here in the next week or so causing the earth's crust to shift. We can't wait either.

Tags: MLB New York Yankees



2012 College Football Regular Season Over/Under Win Odds as of 5/3

05.03.2012     01:36 PM     Printer Friendly
5Dimes has expanded its list of College Football Regular Season Over/Under Wins to 23 teams. Here is a link to this year's schedules to help you get started.

2012 College Football Regular Season O/U Wins as of 5/3
Alabama 10.5
Alabama 10.5
Arkansas 8.5
Arkansas 8.5
Auburn 7.5
Auburn 7.5
Florida 7.5
Florida 7.5
Florida State 9.5
Florida State 9.5
Georgia 9.5
Georgia 9.5
Kentucky 5.5
Kentucky 5.5
LSU 10.5
LSU 10.5
Marshall 6.5
Marshall 6.5
Michigan State 8.5
Michigan State 8.5
Mississippi 5.5
Mississippi 5.5
Mississippi State 7.5
Mississippi State 7.5
Missouri 7.5
Missouri 7.5
Ohio State 8.5
Ohio State 8.5
Oklahoma 9.5
Oklahoma 9.5
Oregon 9.5
Oregon 9.5
South Carolina 8.5
South Carolina 8.5
Southern Cal 9.5
Southern Cal 9.5
Tennessee 6.5
Tennessee 6.5
Texas 8.5
Texas 8.5
Texas A&M 7.5
Texas A&M 7.5
Vanderbilt 6.5
Vanderbilt 6.5
West Virginia 8.5
West Virginia 8.5

Tags: College Football

Free MLB Betting Pick: Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox

05.03.2012     12:48 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cleveland (Masterson) at Chicago WS (Danks) -120 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

Justin Masterson made a few adjustments prior to his last start and got better results in allowing only two runs in 8.1 innings – albeit against the soft hitting Angels. But his velocity remains down and his command is very erratic. In his last three outings, Masterson has walked 15 batters. This after walking less than two per start last season. Like Masterson, John Danks hasn't been "right" at all this season and a lack of command has been the main culprit. Danks walked only 46 batters last season and has already issued 15 in five starts including four in each of his last two outings. As a result, he's allowed three or more runs in every outing. These struggles were apparent from both pitchers in an early season meeting where the duo combined for seven earned runs, 15 hits, six walks and five strikeouts with neither pitcher lasting past the sixth inning. Unseasonably warm weather with gusty Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Chicago White Sox Andrew Lange

MLB Betting News: Milwaukee Brewers banged up, Braun injures Achilles

05.03.2012     11:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Injuries are starting to mount for the Milwaukee Brewers. Ryan Braun left yesterday's game against San Diego with an Achilles strain. He's questionable for tomorrow's opening game series against San Francisco. Matt Gamel is out with an ACL tear. Gamel hadn't done much with the bat this season but the Brewers were banking on him eventually turning things around. Now they are considering moving Corey Hart to first base. And two weeks ago, Chris Narverson was lost for the season with rotator cuff injury.

Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers

Handicapping picks for the Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks

05.03.2012     09:34 AM     Printer Friendly
A friend of Sammy P broke down the fields for the Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks. Here is the link. Enjoy.

Selections for the Kentucky Derby (Grade 1) $2,000,000
1. Union Rags
2. Went the Day Well
3. Gemologist

Selections for the Kentucky Oaks (Grade 1) $1,000,000

1. Hard Not To Like (20-1)
2. Grace Hall
3. On Fire Baby

Sports Betting Podcast 5-3-2012 with Teddy Covers and Sammy P

05.03.2012     09:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers and Sammy P. Teddy broke down today's MLB and NBA games from a betting perspective. Sam took care of the NHL Playoffs for Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB and NBA Every Game on the Board

Sammy P - NHL Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA NHL Teddy Covers Sammy P

Crazy live wagering swings during last night's Philadelphia-Atlanta game

05.03.2012     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
Check out some of the lead changes and live wagering prices at Pinnacle during last night's wild Philadelphia-Atlanta game. Roy Halladay allowed eight earned runs, there were 12 relievers used – five of which allowed two or more earned runs, and Chipper Jones hit a bomb in the 11th to give the Braves a 15-13 victory.

Scoring summary
3rd inning: Phillies lead 4-0
5th inning: Phillies lead 6-0
5th inning: Game tied 6-6
6th inning: Braves lead 8-6
7th inning: Phillies lead 9-8
8th inning: Phillies lead 12-8
8th inning: Braves lead 13-12
9th inning: Game tied 13-13
11th inning: Braves win 15-13

Live wagering moneyline progression
Philadelphia -1500/Atlanta +875
Philadelphia -2000/Atlanta +1026
Philadelphia -5000/Atlanta +1621
Philadelphia -9000/Atlanta +1922
Philadelphia -120/Atlanta +103
Philadelphia +139/Atlanta -163
Philadelphia +672/Atlanta -1000
Philadelphia +1313/Atlanta -3000
Philadelphia -250/Atlanta +208
Philadelphia -450/Atlanta +354
Philadelphia +101/Atlanta -118
Philadelphia +169/Atlanta -200
Philadelphia -450/Atlanta +354

Tags: MLB Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves

NBA Betting Alert: Atlanta's Smith doubtful for Friday's Game 3 at Boston

05.03.2012     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Atlanta at Boston -8 O/U 173.5

Atlanta's Josh Smith (knee) is listed as doubtful for Friday's Game 3 in Boston. Smith went for 22 points and 18 rebounds and 16-12 in Games 1 and 2 respectively.

“I’m always concerned in these type of situations,’’ Drew said Wednesday, before results of the MRI were revealed. “I know Josh is a guy that if it’s just hurting, he’s going to play. He has that kind of toughness.

“But if it’s a situation where he absolutely, positively can’t play, then he won’t be out there. He’s just been so good for us. And certainly he’s a key component in order for us to have success.’’


Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics

Plan to charge for phoned in horse racing bets tossed out

05.03.2012     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Can you imagine having to pay a $1 every time you called in a bet? It nearly happened courtesy of the New York Racing Association. Luckily, enough people justifiably bitched and complained so the NYRA backed off of its plan.

"The fee was originally announced due to rising costs associated with maintaining live operator phone service," NYRA spokesman Dan Silver stated in an email. "However, after listening to feedback from our customers, we have decided that NYRA Rewards will not institute a $1 fee per call for live operator phone service and these calls will continue to be free of charge."

NBA Playoff Gambling: Underdog cashes 10 straight in OKC-Dallas series

05.03.2012     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly
Amazingly, the underdog has covered 10 straight games in the Oklahoma City-Dallas series. The Thunder currently hold a 2-0 lead but the Mavs came away with both ATS victories. Despite that trend, Dallas was bet up from an opener of -1 to -3.5 for tonight's contest.

Oklahoma City-Dallas Series Betting History 2011-present
ATS Winner
OKC 102 - DAL 99
Dallas +6.5
OKC 99 - DAL 98
Dallas +7.5
OKC 95 - DAL 91
Dallas +6.5
DAL 86 - OKC 95
Oklahoma City +1
DAL 100 - OKC 87
Dallas +2.5
OKC 104 - DAL 102
Dallas +5
DAL 100 - OKC 96
Oklahoma City +6.5
OKC 105 - DAL 112(OT)
Dallas +4
OKC 87 - DAL 93
Dallas +3
DAL 100 - OKC 106
Oklahoma City +5
Underdog 10-0

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Dallas Mavericks

MLB Handicapping: Walks and lack of change-up hurt Chicago's Danks

05.03.2012     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cleveland (Masterson) at Chicago WS (Danks) -120 O/U 8

Chicago's John Danks has always been a notoriously slower starter but this season has been particularly rough. His command has been very spotty (15 walks) which is uncharacteristic for a guy who issued just 46 free passes in 170 innings last season. Danks himself commented that his normally effective change-up has been off and on.

"Walks have bit me in the ass all year to this point," Danks sighed. "[It's] definitely something we're going to have to focus on, that and keeping the ball in the ballpark. It's frustrating, it sucks. It sucks to go out there and get your hat handed to you. We're all competitive, we don't want that to happen, and what are you gonna do? Try to be ready for the next one."

"It was hit or miss.

Read more

Tags: MLB Chicago White Sox Cleveland Indians

Longshot money provides value on true contenders for Kentucky Derby

05.03.2012     06:33 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Because of the recent success of longshots in the Kentucky Derby (see: Mine that Bird's 50-1 win in 2009), casual bettors haven't been shy about trying to find the next big underdog. But for more serious players, the influx of longshot money – which is expected again this year – has provided extra value among the contenders. It also shortens the odds of horses than have virtually no shot yet come Saturday, they’ll be priced at less than 40-1.

The dumb money phenomenon does not show up nearly as much in the exotic pools because novice horseplayers tend to stay away from wagers like the exacta and trifecta. The win and even place and show pools are where all the value is.

So sit back and enjoy the race on Saturday, and bet to win on the horses that make sense. You may not cash, but at least you will have made a smart wager.





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