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MLB Gambling Notes: Numbers suggest Cleveland has been fortunate

05.16.2012     07:23 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
On May 23 of last year, the Cleveland Indians had a seven game lead (30-15) in the American League Central but finished 15 games out. Most bettors knew some sort of decline was inevitable but perhaps not that dramatic. This year's start (20-16) is a little more realistic but a closer look shows that the Tribe may be once again overachieving.

The first thing that stands out is a -0.3 run differential. That equates to a pythWL of 17-19. Next is the schedule Cleveland has played. Of their 36 games, 27 came against team below .500 while only nine were against teams above .500. Those marks far and away "lead" the American League. Not surprising, the Indians have played the fewest games (7) of any AL team against the East Division. Note that they are 2-5 in those contests. Also of note is the fact that Cleveland is an amazing 8-1 in one-run games. Good teams often finish above .500 in one-run games but an 89% is a rate simply cannot be maintained.

Lastly, let's look at Cleveland's schedule the remainder of the season. The American League Central is pretty watered down at this point though Detroit and Kansas City have yet to play their best baseball. The Read more

Tags: MLB Cleveland Indians Andrew Lange

Free MLB Betting Pick: Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets

05.16.2012     07:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Cincinnati (Leake) at NY Mets (Santana)
Recommendation: New York -135 5-inning

It doesn't appear that Cincinnati's Mike Leake (7.11 ERA) is fooling anyone these days. His strikeouts are down, his walks are up and it all takes place with velocity that hoovers around the high-80s. The only thing separating him from a batting practice pitcher is a decent curveball. He's potentially pitching for his job today and in a favorable ballpark but I still don't trust him. After missing all of 2011, Johan Santana has bounced back with strong numbers across the board. His velocity is down a tick but he's gotten 12 or more swinging strikes in five of seven starts which suggest his stuff is still effective. In the matchup of Leake vs. Santana, Santana has the edge and is worth a play on the 5-inning line at this price.

Tags: MLB Cincinnati Reds New York Mets Andrew Lange



Bodemeister and I'll Have Another square off at Preakness

05.15.2012     02:30 PM     Printer Friendly
Satursday's Pimlco Stakes is expected to feature a 12-horse field including Kentucky Derby winner I'll Have Another and runner-up Bodemeister. There will be as many as six horses that did not run in the Derby. Bodemeister is the early favorite; 2-1 according to the Daily Racing Form's Watchmaker Odds. The gate draw is tomorrow.

Nevada needs to create safe environment for online gambling

05.15.2012     01:03 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article from the Las Vegas Sun on the security measures needed to be put in place before poker goes online in Nevada. Not only do players need to feel confident that their money and information is safe but companies must be able to identify suspicious activities.

“With all those elements in place, you’d think a red flag would go up somewhere,” Ryan said. “Some companies just don’t have the level of security in place that they should.”

Ryan said his company had systems to detect players by location and by age. The system can also thwart excluded players, potential problem gamblers, individuals who have self-excluded themselves, potential money launderers and frauds and players engaged in collusion.

Tags: Poker

NBA Playoff Betting Notes: Miami now -6.5 vs. Indiana for Game 2

05.15.2012     12:04 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Indiana at Miami -6.5 O/U 186

Some news and notes on tonight's Game 2 matchup between Indiana and Miami.

Indiana head coach Frank Vogel didn't blame the refs for Game 1's loss but he willingly took a fine to let them know the Heat do a lot of flopping.

‘(The Heat) are the biggest flopping team in the NBA,’ Vogel said to the media Thursday. ‘It’ll be very interesting to see how the referees officiate the series and how much flopping they reward. Every drive to the basket, they have guys not making a play on the ball,’ Vogel continued, ‘but sliding in front of drivers. Oftentimes they’re falling down even before contact is even being made.’”

Indiana’s Danny Granger talks about what to expect Read more

Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Miami Heat

If you are a monk, you apparently aren't allowed to let loose – at all

05.15.2012     11:33 AM     Printer Friendly
Sorry, but we don't see what all the fuss is about with these Buddhist monks partaking in a little drinking and poker with the boys. If you're going to list "vows of individual liberation" as your calling card, well, these types of things are bound to happen. The real issue is finding the buzz kill that filmed it. Not very Zen-like if you ask us.

Tags: Poker

Sports Betting Podcast 5-15-2012 with Teddy Covers and Sammy P

05.15.2012     09:50 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers and Sammy P. Teddy broke down tonight's MLB and NBA games while Sammy tackled the NHL Playoffs from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB and NBA Every Game on the Board

Sammy P - NHL Playoffs

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: MLB NBA NHL Teddy Covers Sammy P

NBA Handicapping: Winning Wagers on Round 2 Home Favorites

05.15.2012     08:07 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
We cashed a pair of NBA winners last night when the 76ers (+4.5) beat Boston outright and the Thunder (-7.5) romped over the LA Lakers 119-90. Miami and Oklahoma City won and covered their opening games in Round 2, and those victories highlight a proven and profitable playoff parameter on Round 2 home favorites.

Over the past decade, Round 2 home favorites have experienced more success than any other round of the NBA playoffs. Miami won and covered all three home games as favorite last season against Boston, and NBA home favorites have covered over 58% of their games since the start of the 2003 playoffs (sample size over 170 games).

That’s a solid base situation with a large sample size. This season, Round 2 home favorites are 2-2 as the Celtics failed to cover either game, and last season those Round 2 home favorites went 11-4. But add in this line parameter and the bigger home favorites provide a stronger profitable profile. Since 2003, home favorites of -5 or more points are now 84-22 straight-up and 67-38-1 ATS (64%).  In fact, over the past 30+ games, these home favorites of -5 or more points have covered over 70% of the time! That includes 2-0 Read more

Tags: NBA __

MLB Betting News: Injuries take their toll on Washington Nationals

05.15.2012     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Things have gone extremely well for the Washington Nationals (22-13) this season but injuries are starting to mount. Within the span of three days, the Nats lost catchers Wilson Ramos (ACL) and Sandy Leon (ankle) – Leon was injured in his MLB debut last night. That leaves Jesus Flores and likely Triple-A call-up Carlos Maldonado. Flores is a downgrade offensively from Ramos but the pitching staff has near perfect numbers with him behind the plate (13 games, 1.92 ERA, .155 BAA). Things could get tricky though when Flores needs a break. Maldonado caught sparingly last season and has only 17 career starts under his belt since 2006. Overall, Washington has 10 players currently on the DL.


Tags: MLB Washington Nationals

Cantor Gaming NFL Season O/U Wins, Golden Nugget College Football GOYs upcoming

05.15.2012     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
Rumor has it that within the next two weeks, Cantor Gaming will release its NFL Regular Season Over/Under Wins and the Golden Nugget will do the same with its College Football Games of the Year.

Tags: NFL College Football

New Jersey residents say no to online gambling, but yes to sports betting

05.15.2012     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
This makes sense. According to a recent poll, 58% of New Jersey residents are against the legalization of online gambling. But the same amount favors the legalization of sports betting.

"Online gambling may be a good bet for new state revenue, but lots of voters don't think it's a good bet for New Jersey," said Peter Woolley, director of the poll. "I suppose there is something to be said for losing money without the inconvenience of leaving town, but that's usually called property tax or alimony."

Nevada eyes online poker by the end of 2012

05.15.2012     06:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Nevada Gaming Control Board Chairman Mark Lipparelli said that the state will issue its first online poker license within the next two months – with the hopes of providing actual games by the end of 2012. For all of the online legalization talk throughout the country, Nevada remains the only state where online gambling has been legislatively authorized.

Tags: Poker





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