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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals
06.14.2012 02:00 PM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Chicago WS
(Floyd) +115 at
St. Louis
(Westbrook) O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Chicago
St. Louis starter Jake Westbrook has been an absolute disaster area for a month now; 0-4 with an ERA approaching 8.00 in his last six starts while giving up 48 hits in just 31 innings of work. He’s been pitching with a cut on the middle finger of his throwing hand; a lingering issue that has clearly affected his mound presence. The Cardinals bullpen behind Westbrook has been struggling mightily, ranked in the bottom quartile of the majors in ERA, blown saves and losses. The White Sox had scored 25 runs in their previous three games prior to getting blanked last night – their high octane lineup has been clicking on all cylinders for weeks, ranked #6 out of 30 MLB teams in runs scored this year. There’s absolutely no reason to think that Chicago won’t be able to tee off on Westbrook and the bullpen behind him tonight; producing runs in bunches.
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Chicago White Sox
St. Louis Cardinals
Teddy Covers
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Shaun Marcum has apparently been granted the ability to pick opposing teams and pitchers
06.14.2012 01:29 PM
Printer Friendly
Milwaukee's Shaun Marcum has always been an interesting study. From a stuff standpoint, he isn't flashy, but he's managed to keep batters off balance for much of his career. But we’re not here to call out Marcum as some smoke-and-mirrors fraud. Instead we'll make mention of the fact that few starting pitchers if any have faced an easier slate of opposing offenses.
Marcum's Opponents (NL total runs rank out of 16)
vs. San Diego (15)
vs. Pittsburgh (16)
at LA Dodgers (6)
vs. San Francisco (11)
at Houston (8)
vs. Chicago (14)
at San Francisco (11)
at San Diego (14)
vs. Houston (8)
vs. Colorado (1)
at Atlanta (3)
at Chicago (14)
Note that Marcum faced Colorado in Milwaukee (the Rockies have scored the fewest road runs of any team in the NL) and also had the luxury of facing LA in pitcher friendly Dodgers Stadium. But wait! Let’s take this a step further and check out the opposing pitchers during Marcum's 12 starts. Now he did face two quality arms in Matt Cain (twice) and Erik Bedard. But beyond that, it has been a litany of below average pitchers: Edinson Volquez (twice), JA Happ (twice), Chris
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Milwaukee Brewers
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Irish sportsbook Paddy Power is at it again and this time it's below the belt
06.14.2012 10:59 AM
Printer Friendly
As popular and accepted as betting on soccer is in Europe, wearing underwear with a
sportsbook's logo
– and showing the viewing audience – is probably not the best decision if you are a player in the Euro Cup. And it doesn't take a genius to figure out that the sportsbook in question was Paddy Power. Still we dream of a day when LeBron James conducts a postgame interview with a 5Dimes scarf.
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Soccer
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NFL Gambling News and Notes: CRIS posts lines on Week 1
06.14.2012 10:37 AM
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CRIS finally posted its NFL Week 1 lines today. LVH was one of the first sportsbooks to do so – and offer good limits – back on April 18. Pinnacle followed suit on April 23. Below are CRIS and Pinnacle's openers as well as Pinnacle's current lines.
2012 NFL Week 1 Opening Lines - CRIS and Pinnacle
Away
Home
CRIS Opener
Pinnacle Opener
Pinnacle Current
Dallas
NY Giants
NYG -3 (-124)
NYG -3 (-120)
NYG -3 (-120)
Indianapolis
Chicago
CHI -10
CHI -9 (-104)
CHI -9.5 (-115)
Philadelphia
Cleveland
PHI -8.5
PHI -6.5 (-104)
PHI 9 (+102)
Buffalo
NY Jets
NYJ -4.5
NYJ -6 (-104)
NYJ -4.5 (+102)
Washington
New Orleans
NO -9.5
NO -8.5 (-104)
NO -9.5 (-104)
New England
Tennessee
NE -6.5
NE -7 (-104)
NE -7 (+110)
Jacksonville
Minnesota
MIN -4.5
MIN -4.5 (-104)
MIN -4.5 (-104)
Miami
Houston
HOU -7
HOU -6.5 (-104)
HOU -7 (-103)
St. Louis
Detroit
DET -9
DET -9.5 -9 (-104)
DET -9 (+104)
Atlanta
Kansas City
ATL -1
ATL -1 (-104)
ATL -1 (-108)
San Francisco
Green Bay
GB -6.5
GB -7 (-104)
GB -6.5 (-104)
Carolina
Tampa Bay
CAR -3
CAR -3 (ev)
CAR -3 (+104)
Seattle
Arizona
ARI -1.5
ARI -1 (-104)
ARI -1 (-119)
Pittsburgh
Denver
DEN -2
DEN -3.5 (+110)
DEN -3 (+120)
Cincinnati
Baltimore
BAL -6.5
BAL -7 (+104)
BAL -6.5 (+104)
San Diego
Oakland
OAK PK
OAK -1 (-104)
OAK 1 (ev)
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NFL
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Online casino disputes dude's crazy gambling run
06.14.2012 10:05 AM
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Back in 2009, an Italian man hopped online and with 20 euros in his account, started playing a lottery game. A few hours later,
he was pumped up £650,000
. The company, Eurobet.com, says there was a bug in the software that allowed the gentleman to risk so little and win so much in such little time. They obviously are doing everything in their power to avoid paying out. The issue is currently in court.
Speaking through an interpreter, Mr Venturi told the court: "I had always lost previously... but when I started to win I had a very good feeling. I'm a player and my instincts told me to keep betting."
"I realised the amount that I was winning and I realised that I had to stop. I had been lucky enough... I am only human. I was taken by the emotions and there was a lot of euphoria."
He added: "I've never had so much money... It's a very big win; it's not something that happens every day."
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Sports Betting Podcast 6-14-2012 with Handicapper Sammy P
06.14.2012 09:22 AM
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Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Sammy P. Sammy broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Sammy P - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
MLB
Sammy P
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MLB Handicapping: Kansas City's Luke Hochevar should improve
06.14.2012 08:14 AM
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Milwaukee
(Marcum) -115 at
Kansas City
(Hochevar) O/U 8.5
On the surface, Kansas City's Luke Hochevar has been one of the worst starters in baseball with a 3-7 record and 6.57 ERA. But there is no question he's been unlucky this year. He sports the second highest BABIP (.364) among qualified starters and has a dismal 57.5% left-on-base rate (the league average is around 70%). Also, his Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 3.61 is above league average. Does that mean he's going to immediately turn things around? Probably not, especially with his confidence level not being very high at this point. The good news is the Royals don't have a lot of options so he'll continue to get the ball every fifth day. If his "luck" can turn around, he has the potential to eventually get back to last year's post-All-Star break form when he posted a 6-3 record and 3.52 ERA.
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MLB
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
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MLB Gambling News: Cincinnati's Leake ready to go after bout with flu
06.14.2012 07:46 AM
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Cleveland
(Tomlin) at
Cincinnati
(Leake) -120 O/U 9
Unfortunately we don't have a database for how pitchers fare after a bout with the flu. According to reports, Cincinnati's Mike Leake – one of many on the team that caught the bug – is ready to go for this afternoon's start against Cleveland. Leake spent yesterday recovering and claimed he was fe
eling better
. He has been pitching better of late with a 2.84 ERA over his last five starts. In five career Interleague starts, Leake owns a 3.48 ERA.
Tags:
MLB
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
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Oklahoma City Thunder bet up to -5.5 for tonight's Game 2
06.14.2012 07:30 AM
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Miami
at
Oklahoma City
-5.5 O/U 196
Oklahoma City once again appears to be the popular betting choice heading into tonight's NBA Finals Game 2. The Thunder opened -5 at CRIS and -4.5 at Pinnacle and are now -5.5 across the board.
Line history courtesy of Pinnacle.
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NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
Miami Heat
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MLB Betting News: Tigers put Smyly on DL, Fister his likely replacement
06.14.2012 06:59 AM
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The Detroit Tigers placed
Drew Smyly on the DL
due to a blister. Doug Fister, who has been on the DL with a side strain, threw a bullpen session yesterday and may start in Smyly's place on Saturday.
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MLB
Detroit Tigers
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MLB Handicapping: American and National League Run Differentials
06.14.2012 06:46 AM
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Update of MLB's runs scored, runs allowed, run differential and luck. Luck is a tool from Baseball-Reference that provides the difference between a team's actual record and Pythagorean W-L. For example, the Cardinals are second in the NL in run differential yet only one game over .500 and in third place in the Central. Based on their run differential, they should be 37-26 not 32-31. Baltimore is 10 games over .500 yet a modest +4 in run differential. Pittsburgh is three games over .500 but has been outscored by 25 runs.
MLB Runs Scores/Runs Allowed as of 6/13/2012
American League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
Texas Rangers
332
252
+80
-2
New York Yankees
293
247
+46
+1
Chicago White Sox
297
258
+39
-1
Boston Red Sox
319
293
+26
-3
Toronto Blue Jays
300
276
+24
-3
Los Angeles Angels
262
242
+20
0
Tampa Bay Rays
263
253
+10
+3
Baltimore Orioles
278
274
+4
+5
Detroit Tigers
274
287
-13
-1
Seattle Mariners
261
275
-14
-3
Oakland Athletics
229
251
-22
-1
Cleveland Indians
265
289
-24
+4
Kansas City Royals
230
258
-28
-1
Minnesota Twins
264
328
-64
0
National League
RS
RA
Run Diff
Luck
Los Angeles Dodgers
276
224
+52
+2
St. Louis Cardinals
309
258
+51
-5
Washington Nationals
240
198
+42
+2
Atlanta Braves
294
269
+25
0
Cincinnati Reds
259
235
+24
+1
San Francisco Giants
255
237
+18
+2
New York Mets
282
284
-2
+3
Philadelphia Phillies
277
281
-4
-2
Arizona Diamondbacks
257
263
-6
0
Milwaukee Brewers
268
290
-22
-1
Pittsburgh Pirates
198
223
-25
+5
Miami Marlins
235
269
-34
+4
Colorado Rockies
314
352
-38
-3
Houston Astros
264
305
-41
-1
Chicago Cubs
230
286
-56
-4
San Diego Padres
211
279
-68
-2
Tags:
MLB
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