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Las Vegas casino opens its trailer doors for business
06.20.2012 02:06 PM
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This isn't the first time or the last that a
Las Vegas casino
had to get creative in order to keep its gambling license. The makeshift Moulin Rouge opened its 40-foot trailer doors for a full business day on Tuesday. The Nevada Gaming Control Board board requires that a property must offer gambling at least once every two years. The original Moulin Rouge is still on the market for $19 million if you are interested.
Tags:
Las Vegas
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Vegas bettors show interest in Euro 2012
06.20.2012 12:13 PM
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According to various Las Vegas oddsmakers,
Euro 2012
has been a popular choice for local bettors. The tournament is down to eight teams with Spain and Germany the co-betting favorites at 2-to-1.
“It’s a good time of year for it because there’s not much going on during the day,” said Jeff Sherman, assistant race and sports director who oversees soccer at the LVH Superbook. “It’s the second largest tournament we’ll book. It’s behind the World Cup, and it’s not close to the World Cup when it comes to handle.”
“Germany’s playing a little bit better than Spain and getting supported more at the betting window, too,” Sherman said. “Germany has been by far the most popular bet team on an individual game basis.”
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Soccer
Las Vegas
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From behind the counter: How oddsmakers use power ratings
06.20.2012 12:04 PM
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Oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman posted a blog on how
power ratings
are used in the bookmaking industry.
For example, if power numbers indicate a line should be 3 points different than the market, you can’t ignore everyone else and hang a 6 when the world’s at a 3. Instead, the objective is to shade the price just enough (say 3, -125 in football) realizing that any sharp bettor who shares the same power numbers or thought process on a game as you will be discouraged from betting the “correct side” at your shop.
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Companies position themselves by creating free online poker websites
06.20.2012 11:23 AM
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The owners behind Station Casinos are launching a
free online gambling website
later this week. Ultimate Poker will be available on Facebook as a free social game – eventually offering cash games once they become legal.
“We are trying to provide an authentic experience for people who care about the game,” Derossi said. “As we move from the social side of gaming to a real money space, we will have serious players.”
“We’re also going to utilize Station Casinos’ customer relationship model, which is very important in any online enterprise,” Prior said. “You need people to return to your product.”
“We view this as a global opportunity,” Breitling said. “When looking at online gaming, it’s going to be a domino effect with Nevada leading the way.”
Tags:
Las Vegas
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Sports Betting Podcast 6-20-2012 with Handicapper Teddy Covers
06.20.2012 09:50 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Teddy Covers
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It has now become officially impossible to bet on the Colorado Rockies
06.20.2012 08:11 AM
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This
has a great chance of not working out.
In what amounts to an overhaul of his pitching staff, Tracy first said Colorado would send the struggling Jeremy Guthrie to the bullpen (OK, so far pretty normal), and that instead of replacing him in the rotation, the Rockies would go with a four-man rotation, with each starter limited to 75 pitches per start -- what!?!
“We have two rookies in the rotation, so you have to be very careful,” Tracy said. “You can’t just throw them loose on three days’ rest.”
“We had to do something that was unconventional,” Tracy said.
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New Jersey pretty confident they'll get this sports betting thing passed
06.20.2012 07:59 AM
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Update on New Jersey's push for
legalized sports betting
. Note the last quote from state Sen. Jennifer Beck. We don't know if it was transcribed incorrectly or taken out of context but we're not sure what she is getting at by saying the NFL "gives the point spread of the games."
“I think the attorneys in the [state] Attorney General’s Office have studied this issue and they feel the federal law is probably unconstitutional,” she said. “You can’t prohibit or limit certain industry to certain states. I think there is a sense that the federal law won’t survive and that is why the governor has been so strongly advocating for (sports betting).”
“This is in some ways after the fact because the bill was signed into law, the referendum was passed by New Jersey voters and now the governor spent a little bit of time focusing on the issue,” she said. “New Jersey is going to move forward and wait for the federal government in essence to come and tell us we
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MLB Betting News: White Sox decide to cart Floyd out for another start
06.20.2012 07:40 AM
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Chicago Cubs
(Wells) at
Chicago WS
(Floyd) -175 O/U 10
The Chicago White Sox are apparently going to give Gavin Floyd another chance. Floyd has a 10.38 ERA over his last six starts and hasn't had a quality outing since May 11. According to well-respected pitching coach Don Cooper, Floyd's problems stem from a
lack of command
.
"It's not about stuff. Everyone in the league has stuff," Cooper said by phone from Los Angeles where the White Sox play the Dodgers Friday night on Comcast SportsNet. "You've got to command it more. You've got to pitch, and he's not commanding at the level he needs to command to put himself in a better position to win the game. That's what it comes down to."
"He's got enough fastball. He's got enough curve ball. He's got a major league slider, a major league changeup,"
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Chicago White Sox
Chicago Cubs
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MLB Gambling Notes: The list of starting pitcher injuries is comically long
06.20.2012 07:24 AM
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We’ve never really tracked starting pitching injuries league-wide but it seems like there are an awful lot of guys currently on the shelf. This is just a rough estimate, but close to 33% of the league’s starting pitchers are hurt – everything from a skipped start to out for the season.
Atlanta
Brandon Beachy (elbow)
Boston
Josh Beckett (shoulder)
Aaron Cook (leg)
John Lackey (elbow)
Chicago Cubs
Ryan Demspter (back)
Chicago White Sox
John Danks (shoulder)
Cleveland
Carlos Carrasco (elbow)
Colorado
Jorge De La Rosa (elbow)
Juan Nicasio (knee)
Jhoulys Chacin (shoulder)
Detroit
Drew Smyly (finger)
Houston
Kyle Weiland (shoulder)
Kansas City
Danny Duffy (elbow)
Felipe Paulino (groin)
Los Angeles Angels
Jered Weaver (back) – slated to start today
Jerome Williams (heart)
Los Angeles
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MLB Handicapping: Rays send Hellickson to DL, call up Archer for debut
06.20.2012 06:50 AM
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The amount of starting pitchers to hit the DL of late continues to climb as the Tampa Bay Rays placed Jeremy Hellickson on the 15-day due to shoulder fatigue. Tampa’s Chris Archer was called up from Triple-A and will make his
MLB debut tonight
at Washington against Stephen Strasburg. Archer was a sixth round pick in 2006 and had a 4.81 ERA (3.41 FIP) with 90 strikeouts and 45 walks in 76.7 innings at Durham this season.
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June
19
Las Vegas roulette wheel goes on a little run
06.19.2012 02:22 PM
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Hi, Steve? Yeah, this is Kathy down on the casino floor. Listen, when you get done with lunch, we have a job for you. No, shouldn't take you much time at all. Just make sure you bring your leveler and while you are at it, a couple of those new
roulette
balls just in case. Thanks. See you in a bit.
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Las Vegas
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MLB Handicapping: Fading pitchers after a no-hitter or perfect game
06.19.2012 11:37 AM
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We've tried to find some type of betting trend to use with pitchers off of no-hitters or perfect games. Unfortunately, there simply isn't much there.
FanGraphs
broke down the numbers and while overall, there tends to be a decline in performance the next time out, the results are pretty random. A few pitchers (see: Carlos Zambrano, Philip Humber, Johan Santana) got smacked around, others were solid (see: Mark Buehrle, Roy Halladay), and a few didn't miss a beat (see: Justin Verlander, Ervin Santana). The betting markers tried to fade Matt Cain last night and were correct in projecting a letdown (5 IP, 3 ER, 4 BBs, 4 Ks) but the Giants still won. For Johan Santana, it may have been the combination of a complete game shutout and then a no-hitter. He's been hit around each of his last two starts though it came on the road against the Yankees and Rays. Humber has had a rough go of it since tossing his perfect game. Weaver has seen his ERA climb a full run since his no-no, though it was in large part because of one bad outing (3.1 IP, 8 ERs at Texas). His other three starts were fine. In
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MLB Betting News: LA's Jered Weaver slated to start on Wednesday
06.19.2012 11:17 AM
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Los Angeles' Jered Weaver (back) is expected to make his
first start off the DL
tomorrow against San Francisco. Weaver had a few bullpen sessions but the team refrained from giving him a rehab start. The Angels are likely to send Garrett Richards back to Triple-A. Richards was 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA.
"Jered is going to start Wednesday and Haren will start Friday" against the Dodgers, Scioscia said. "Then, we'll see where we're going from there."
The Angels could have sent Weaver out for a one-game rehabilitation stint, "but we didn't want him to waste bullets in the minor leagues," Scioscia said. "There's no reason he shouldn't get through five or six innings."
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NBA Finals and Playoff Betting Profiles: Oklahoma City vs. Miami Heat
06.19.2012 11:09 AM
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Submitted by
We’re having a winning and profitable postseason and chipped in a Big Drive UNDER the total winner in Game 3 of the NBA finals. I’m well connected in the sports handicapping and betting business, and many Fairway followers and fans also send me stats, information and insight. Some scoring information was shared with me regarding the Heat along with their strong results vs. winning teams and I thought I would pass it along to you.
Recall in May I posted a NBA blog about
Round 2 home favorites
being the biggest profit producers in any round of NBA playoff action. Additionally, I noted some other ATS profiles regarding teams off three or more consecutive ATS playoff wins and how to use that in your handicapping (Game 2 winner on Heat). We Tweeted a recommendation on the Oklahoma City Thunder as an underdog over the Spurs in the Western Conference Finals and also recommended a play on the Miami Heat as an underdog in the NBA Finals. The public’s overreaction to oddsmakers’ already adjusted prices
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Oklahoma City Thunder
Miami Heat
__
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Sports Betting Podcast 6-19-2012 with Handicapper Erin Rynning
06.19.2012 09:57 AM
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Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Erin Rynning. ER broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective and also offered his opinion on tonight's NBA Finals Game 4.
Today's segments
Erin Rynning - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
MLB
NBA
Erin Rynning
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MLB Handicapper Free Pick: Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox
06.19.2012 08:26 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Chicago Cubs
(Wood) at
Chicago WS
(Peavy) -200 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over
With yesterday's wind pattern (right-to-left and gusty) we saw seven home runs and 15 runs at Chicago's Cellular Field. With a similar forecast projected for tonight, I think we can expect more than a few balls to leave the yard. Jake Peavy has allowed a modest eight home runs in nearly 90 innings – a very fortunate stat considering his fly ball rate is around 67%. For a pitcher to be that heavy towards the fly ball, his HR/FB rate should be well north of 10% instead of 6.8%. His rate is slightly higher at home (9.4%) but I still feel that he's going to have issues pitching in this park with temperatures on the rise and his innings starting to mount. Chicago's Travis Wood hasn't been very impressive this year (4.58 ERA) despite a handful of favorable matchups (at Minnesota, at San Francisco, vs. San Diego, at Houston). This may be his most difficult start of the season as the White Sox like to hit the
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Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
Andrew Lange
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MLB Betting Alert: Milwaukee Brewers call up rookie Thornburg for spot start
06.19.2012 07:59 AM
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Toronto
(Chavez) at
Milwaukee
(Thornburg) -130 O/U 9.5
With Shaun Marcum out with a bum elbow, the Milwaukee Brewers will turn to righty
Tyler Thornburg
for tonight's game against Toronto. Thornburg was a third round pick back in 2010 and went 8-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 75 innings at Double-A. Here is a
scouting report
on Thornburg from last season.
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Milwaukee Brewers
Toronto Blue Jays
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MLB Gambling News: Lincecum's struggles have little to do with being unlucky
06.19.2012 07:47 AM
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It would be interesting to see the amount of man hours the blogosphere has dedicated to dissecting San Francisco's Tim Lincecum this year. The Giants are 38-30 overall but only 2-12 in Lincecum's starts. According to
FanGraphs
, his struggles have little to do with being unlucky but rather lack of command, falling behind in counts, and simply throwing too many hittable pitches.
But that doesn’t mean he hasn’t earned his poor results to date. The word luck absolves him of blame for the outcome, which shouldn’t be what we’re trying to do. Blame Tim Lincecum for throwing terrible pitches – just realize that it doesn’t mean that he’s going to keep throwing terrible pitches in the future.
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Cantor Gaming to build new sportsbook at Silverton Casino
06.19.2012 07:35 AM
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Cantor Gaming announced it will be building a new sportsbook at Las Vegas’
Silverton Casino
. The venue will feature wireless gaming and is slated to be complete by October.
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MLB Betting Notes: Coors Field producing runs at an old school rate
06.19.2012 07:30 AM
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No hitters, perfect games, RA Dickey, totals of 5.5...there sure is a lot of great pitching going on these days. One of the outliers though has been
Coors Field
. How about 12.75 runs per game this year, with totals now at 22-12-2 O/U.
"I wish I had an explanation," Rockies general manager Dan O'Dowd said. "It is significantly different, and we didn't anticipate that in our planning, as it has been somewhat consistent over the last five years."
"We don't control the humidor settings," O'Dowd said. "That is handed down by the [MLB] New York office, so we can't randomly change those."
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MLB Handicapping: Marine layer helps bettors cash UNDER tickets
06.19.2012 07:19 AM
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Most bettors have heard the term "marine layer" when describing ball parks on the west coast. Here is an article from
MLB.com
that discusses the impact it has on the game. Unders have cashed at a 57% rate at the six ball parks this season (see results below).
"You can tell by the stadiums that are closer to the beach, with the marine layer, how the ball doesn't carry as well," said Weaver, whose first career no-hitter came on May 2 in front of family and friends in Anaheim against the Twins. "The cold weather at night knocks balls down.
"You can see how hitters react -- that look that they can't believe it -- when they think they get one and it doesn't go out. In the day, the ball travels a lot better. We're fortunate we have a great outfield, and those guys can run balls down in the gaps."
West Coast Teams Over/Under
LA Dodgers 15-18-3 O/U
San Francisco 11-22-2
San Diego 16-18-1
Seattle* 15-16
LA Angels 13-21
Oakland
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June
21
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18
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