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MLB Gambling Alert: OVER in play with McClelland behind the plate in New York
07.16.2012 01:44 PM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Tim McClelland is one of the few umpires I still consider playing blind (Hirscbeck the other) even though he hasn't been as OVER heavy this year (10-7 O/U). I did notice five of his last six have cashed tickets with those six averaging 11.5 runs per game (9.5 runs per game avg. on the season). There were some mediocre arms in those six games but that is exactly what we are getting tonight in New York with Phil Hughes and Henderson Alvarez. Also note that both lineups have combined for 242 home runs and there were eight hit in last night’s Angels/Yankees game in the Bronx. Toss in the hot temps and grabbing the 10.5ov-115 is a bet worth making.
Follow me on Twitter:
@LangeSportsmemo
Tags:
MLB
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
Andrew Lange
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Paddy Power interested in joining US market
07.16.2012 01:18 PM
Printer Friendly
Joining the likes of other United Kingdom betting conglomerates,
Paddy Power
has expressed interest in entering the United States market, specifically in Nevada.
"The US is a key potential new market for us," he said. "We're looking at all opportunities in the US but our expertise is in online gaming. That's obviously what we're looking at doing in Nevada and in other states."
Paddy Power is publicly listed on both the Irish and London stock exchanges and has a market capitalisation of approximately $6 billion.
80% of Paddy Power's revenues come from online gaming activities in markets such as Britain, Ireland and - the most recent entry - Italy.
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MLB Betting News: Pirates may regress but have favorable upcoming schedule
07.16.2012 01:10 PM
Printer Friendly
LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay weighs in on the
Pittsburgh Pirates
and their chances at not falling off the face of the earth the second half of the season. The Pirates are currently 49-39 and trail Cincinnati by one game in the National League Central. As much fun as it is to root for the Pirates the reality is it is going to be tough for them to finish above .500 let alone remain in the mix for a playoff berth. Concerns have already surfaced about Erik Bedard who has looked rough over his last three starts (14.1 IP, 8.16 ERA). AJ Burnett has also not been as sharp (5.40 last four starts). Pittsburgh is an amazing 13-3 in Burnett's starts this season despite a relatively modest 4.5 runs per game worth of support. And let's also not forget the offense has averaged six runs per game over the last month – a stat that simply cannot be sustained especially with that many holes in the lineup. But before we write them off, note their very favorable upcoming schedule. The Pirates play at Colorado (3), vs. Miami (3), vs. Chicago (3), at Houston (4), at Chicago (3), at Cincinnati (3), vs.
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MLB Gambling News: Trade rumors and velocity concerns for Zach Greinke
07.16.2012 12:34 PM
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Keep an eye of Milwaukee's Zach Greinke over the next few weeks. He's been involved in a lot of trade rumors and doesn't seem like the type of guy who performs well with distraction. The Brewers
scratched his Wednesday start
saying that Greinke needed to "recharge his batteries". Greinke of course had an odd ending to the first half, making three starts in six days – one of which only last four pitches due to an ejection. In the other two starts, he allowed 12 hits and eight earned runs in eight innings. His
velocity was reportedly down
in his most recent outing.
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Milwaukee Brewers
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World Series of Poker whittled down to final nine after today
07.16.2012 12:17 PM
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The
World Series of Poker
is winding down its summer session as the nine finalists for October's final table will be determined later today. First prize is $8.5 million. Montreal's Marc Ladouceur is currently in first place with over 15,000,000 in chips.
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NFL Handicapping: Teams destine to decline after breakout campaigns
07.16.2012 12:08 PM
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Good article by the
National Football Post
on the decline of teams off of "comeback" double-digit win seasons. This is hardly a new concept to oddsmakers and the betting markets but it continues to churn out very consistent results. Detroit, San Francisco and Houston are all "qualifiers" heading into the upcoming campaign.
And in 26 of those instances, teams followed up that impressive 10-win campaign with a record of 9-7 or worse. What does that tell us? Since 2002, there’s an 89.6% chance that a team who bounces back from a losing season to post ten or more wins the following fall is headed for a step in the wrong direction come year three.
What’s even more shocking is that the drop-off that takes place in year three is more significant than you might expect. In those aforementioned instances, the 26 teams that qualified for this study lost an average of 3.9 more games the year after they broke through with ten or more wins the previous season.
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Sports Betting Podcast 7-16-2012 with Handicapper Rob Veno
07.16.2012 10:03 AM
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Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory
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MLB Gambling Notes: Zambrano still not right after June back issues
07.16.2012 08:04 AM
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Washington
(Jackson) -105 at
Miami
(Zambrano) O/U 8
A tale of two seasons for Miami's Carlos Zambrano. Prior to having back problems – which have plagued him for much of his career – Big Z went 11 starts and posted a rock solid 2.81 ERA. But after leaving a June 9 outing will back discomfort, he's been nothing short of a mess with a 8.00 ERA in six starts. Note that Miami was 0-6 in those games and outscored 44-18.
Pre-back issues
73.2 IP, 53 hits, 29 BBs, 56 Ks, .207 BAA, 2.81 ERA
Post-back issues
27 IP, 33 hits, 24 BBs, 19 Ks, .300 BAA, 8.00 ERA
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Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
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MLB Betting News: Philadelphia's Halladay slated for Tuesday return
07.16.2012 07:51 AM
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The Philadelphia Phillies, who trail the first place Washington Nationals by 14 games in the National League East, will send
Roy Halladay to the hill tomorrow
in Los Angeles. According to pitching coach Rich Dubee said Halladay will be on some sort of pitch count.
“All right, fine,” is how Dubee described that outing. “There is rustiness and inconsistency there, but arm wise and working wise, he’s feeling a lot better than he has in a long time.”
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Vegas oddsmakers talk customer comps
07.16.2012 07:13 AM
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Various Las Vegas sportbook directors discuss their philosophies on
customer comps
.
"It's difficult when you have a different operator running the casino than you do the book," said Vic Salerno, chief technology officer and chairman of the board at William Hill in Las Vegas. "There is an automatic conflict between the two businesses."
"The comps have really dwindled ... with each property being different," said Mark Goldman, director of race and sports operations at Cantor Gaming.
"We've kept it pretty much the same for 23 years," Kornegay said. "We've made some adjustments over the years to recover costs, but that's it."
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Irish sportbook Paddy Power featured on Undercover Boss episode
07.16.2012 06:53 AM
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Have you ever seen the show Undercover Boss? It is where higher-ups from various corporations hide their identity and see what life is like for everyday workers. Of course each worker they come across is amazingly efficient and driven and provides copious amount of inspiration. Anyway,
Irish sportsbook Paddy Power
will send one of its execs out into the field for an upcoming episode that will be broadcast in the United States later this year.
He goes undercover in various departments within the betting firm’s Irish and UK operations. These include its high street betting shops, e-gaming division, phone betting and customer services department. There, he works with fellow employees without them ever realising who he is.
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