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NFL Handicapping: Teams destine to decline after breakout campaigns
07.16.2012 12:08 PM
Printer Friendly
Good article by the
National Football Post
on the decline of teams off of "comeback" double-digit win seasons. This is hardly a new concept to oddsmakers and the betting markets but it continues to churn out very consistent results. Detroit, San Francisco and Houston are all "qualifiers" heading into the upcoming campaign.
And in 26 of those instances, teams followed up that impressive 10-win campaign with a record of 9-7 or worse. What does that tell us? Since 2002, there’s an 89.6% chance that a team who bounces back from a losing season to post ten or more wins the following fall is headed for a step in the wrong direction come year three.
What’s even more shocking is that the drop-off that takes place in year three is more significant than you might expect. In those aforementioned instances, the 26 teams that qualified for this study lost an average of 3.9 more games the year after they broke through with ten or more wins the previous season.
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Sports Betting Podcast 7-16-2012 with Handicapper Rob Veno
07.16.2012 10:03 AM
Printer Friendly
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory
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MLB Gambling Notes: Zambrano still not right after June back issues
07.16.2012 08:04 AM
Printer Friendly
Washington
(Jackson) -105 at
Miami
(Zambrano) O/U 8
A tale of two seasons for Miami's Carlos Zambrano. Prior to having back problems – which have plagued him for much of his career – Big Z went 11 starts and posted a rock solid 2.81 ERA. But after leaving a June 9 outing will back discomfort, he's been nothing short of a mess with a 8.00 ERA in six starts. Note that Miami was 0-6 in those games and outscored 44-18.
Pre-back issues
73.2 IP, 53 hits, 29 BBs, 56 Ks, .207 BAA, 2.81 ERA
Post-back issues
27 IP, 33 hits, 24 BBs, 19 Ks, .300 BAA, 8.00 ERA
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Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
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MLB Betting News: Philadelphia's Halladay slated for Tuesday return
07.16.2012 07:51 AM
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The Philadelphia Phillies, who trail the first place Washington Nationals by 14 games in the National League East, will send
Roy Halladay to the hill tomorrow
in Los Angeles. According to pitching coach Rich Dubee said Halladay will be on some sort of pitch count.
“All right, fine,” is how Dubee described that outing. “There is rustiness and inconsistency there, but arm wise and working wise, he’s feeling a lot better than he has in a long time.”
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Philadelphia Phillies
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Vegas oddsmakers talk customer comps
07.16.2012 07:13 AM
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Various Las Vegas sportbook directors discuss their philosophies on
customer comps
.
"It's difficult when you have a different operator running the casino than you do the book," said Vic Salerno, chief technology officer and chairman of the board at William Hill in Las Vegas. "There is an automatic conflict between the two businesses."
"The comps have really dwindled ... with each property being different," said Mark Goldman, director of race and sports operations at Cantor Gaming.
"We've kept it pretty much the same for 23 years," Kornegay said. "We've made some adjustments over the years to recover costs, but that's it."
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Las Vegas
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Irish sportbook Paddy Power featured on Undercover Boss episode
07.16.2012 06:53 AM
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Have you ever seen the show Undercover Boss? It is where higher-ups from various corporations hide their identity and see what life is like for everyday workers. Of course each worker they come across is amazingly efficient and driven and provides copious amount of inspiration. Anyway,
Irish sportsbook Paddy Power
will send one of its execs out into the field for an upcoming episode that will be broadcast in the United States later this year.
He goes undercover in various departments within the betting firm’s Irish and UK operations. These include its high street betting shops, e-gaming division, phone betting and customer services department. There, he works with fellow employees without them ever realising who he is.
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July
15
Slot machines stand no chance against angry gamblers
07.15.2012 06:32 AM
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So beating up
slot machines
out of anger is apparently the cool thing to do in New York these days.
“I hit the machine because I lost five grand,’’ said a 34-year-old man, identified in court records as Jashim Uuddin, after he caused $2,000 in damage with a punch in January, according to a complaint.
‘‘It happens like three, four times a week, and that’s only on my shift,’’ said Mike Persaud, a security guard at the casino.
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The one about the artist who paid off his bookie in paintings
07.15.2012 06:20 AM
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This is a pretty
weird story
. It involves a bookie, a famous artist, a few paintings, some gambling debts, and a ton of money.
'Lucian, who was a fanatical gambler, then pricked up his ears when he realised this man was a bookmaker from Ballymena and started betting with McLean.'
A friend added: 'Freud ran up massive debts, but apparently found Alfie McLean an irresistibly huge and ugly man.
'Freud painted people as he saw them, and that was not necessarily in a flattering light.
'Lucian introduced him to Francis Bacon, who was also a gambler.'
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According to poll, California residents favor sports betting, split on online poker
07.15.2012 06:00 AM
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UPDATE
California residents were polled on the
current topic of gambling
and the results were interesting. Nearly 60% were on board with
sports betting
in the state while the decision was split on government regulated online poker.
"We'll have a whole new clientele. A lot of poker players do like to gamble on sports, but there's a lot of sports gamblers who just like to be on their teams. So that would definitely bring more business," Ryan Frazier, casino host at the 500 Club, said.
"Where they have the opportunity to provide that service or amenity to the public then, of course, they have to hire more staff, which means that staff is purchasing more goods and services. So it's just the multiplier effect of how that dollar starts to turn over," Perea
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MLB Handicapping: Atlanta's Sheets makes first start since July 2010
07.15.2012 05:47 AM
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NY Mets
(Santana) at
Atlanta
(Sheets) -105 O/U 8.5
Back from the dead,
Ben Sheets and his surgically repaired arm
are slated to go today against the New York Mets. Sheets last pitched in the Majors in mid-July of 2010. He made two Double-A starts, striking out 10 and walking one in 10.2 innings.
"Everything's working," Sheets said Thursday. "Everything's feeling great. I've been throwing the ball good. Keep making good pitches, you'll get outs."
"I wasn't watching anything other than that he felt good and all of a sudden, 'Oh, my shoulder's sore or my arm's sore,'" Gonzalez said. "But he was fine and threw some pretty good curveballs."
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Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
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