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Teddy Covers' NFL Season O/U Wins Report is here!
07.19.2012 09:56 AM
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Click here to purchase
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Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 7-19-2012 with Handicapper Rob Veno
07.19.2012 08:33 AM
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Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Rob Veno - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Rob Veno
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William Hill hires three of Nevada's top oddsmakers
07.19.2012 07:22 AM
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William Hill is expected to announce the hiring of longtime Las Vegas oddsmaker Nick Bogdanovich who will serve as Director of Operations in the United States. Bogdanovich held the same position at Cal-Neva. William Hill also inked Leroy's Bob Smith and Lucky's Tony DiTommaso. Some are calling the trio the
Dream Team of bookmakers
.
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Las Vegas
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MLB Handicapping: Scherzer needs more than luck for strong second half
07.19.2012 07:09 AM
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LA Angels
(Williams) at
Detroit
(Scherzer) -145 O/U 9
Article calling for a big second half turnaround from
Detroit’s Max Scherzer
. They say he's been the unluckiest pitcher in baseball and while there is some truth to that, it is quite possible his unlucky ways will continue. A lot of folks point to his BABIP (.356) as an indicator but teammate Rick Porcello's is even higher at .358 and a host of other Tigers have BABIP's above .300. This of course because the defense is awful and has no range. Scherzer can better control the outcomes of his games because of his ability to miss bats but don't expect his BABIP to fall to .300 anytime soon. Lastly, Scherzer isn't exactly the soundest pitcher in the game when it comes to mound smarts. He's notorious for mowing down hitters for three of four straight innings and then losing focus at seemingly the
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Detroit Tigers
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MLB Betting Notes: Red Sox welcome back Pedroia, Ortiz to the DL
07.19.2012 06:43 AM
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Just when it looked like the Boston Red Sox might have a full complement of players, the team announced that David Ortiz (Achilles) will be making an appearance on the DL. This after the Red Sox finally got Jacoby Ellsbury and Carl Crawford back in the lineup. And
Dustin Pedroia is slated to return
today after his stint on the DL. Ortiz is currently the only hitter in the American League win an OPS above 1.000.
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July
18
MLB Gambling Free Pick: Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals
07.18.2012 01:54 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Seattle
(Millwood) at
Kansas City
(Chen)
Recommendation: Seattle Team Total Over 4
The Seattle Mariners have scored 4 or more runs in 56% of their road games this season. Since June 1, no doubt assisted by the warm weather, they've played 17 road games and notched four or more runs 10 times with more than half of those games played in the pitcher friendly environments of Oakland, San Diego and Anaheim. After notching nine runs on back-to-back nights against the Royals, they have another shot at big production against Bruce Chen and a potentially weary bullpen. In Chen's 19 starts, the Royals allowed four or more runs 10 times including four of his last six outings. Chen is in his preferred role at home and the Mariners do struggle against lefties – though Chen doesn't have much of a split. Still, he's hardily in good form having allowed 18 earned runs over his last three starts. The Mariners have quietly scored the most runs in baseball (238) on the road. And while they've
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Andrew Lange
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Polls, schmolls. Just give me a side and a total and let me handicap
07.18.2012 01:05 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
In my world, college football polls are pretty much meaningless. Just tell me the matchup, maybe an injury report, hang a side and total and let me work. Oddsmakers and bettors are without question more knowledgeable about what goes in in the world of college football compared to say, Chris Berman. But when asked to rank the top five teams in the country, I simply couldn’t do it – in part because I don't care. Sure, some of us use "power ratings" as a way of judging teams, but again, for much of the season, we deal with situation where one teams is "good" and the other team is "bad" and the betting markets determine the gap. So the question came up, should our
industry get involved
in determining who gets a bid into the newly formatted college football playoff system? The short answer is no, because I don’t have the time nor the desire to do anything but try cash tickets.
“That’s not what we do,” said Pete Korner, owner and head oddsmaker for The Sports
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Sportsmemo welcomes the addition of Handicapper Alf Musketa
07.18.2012 10:50 AM
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Sportsmemo is proud to announce the addition of handicapper Alf Musketa. Musketa has been a Las Vegas-based bettor and handicapper for over 25 years and specializes in NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball, CFL, PGA, UFC and tennis. He routinely puts in 15 hours a day of handicapping and oddsmaking and his power ratings and line odds numbers over the years have been considered some of the best in the industry. When it comes to betting on golf, Musketa has set the standard. He has an unprecedented golf handicapping record that dates back to 1991 when all PGA Tour events became available on the board.
“I'm happy to join the excellent staff at Sportsmemo and look forward to working with everyone there. I've worked with Teddy Covers and Brent Crow before at Vegas Insider and I can recall reading Rob Veno's Blue Chip Report back in the days of the Stardust Invitational. I’ve always been a huge fan of the Sportsmemo Podcast which to me is without question the best in the industry. I’m excited about providing the Sportsmemo clients with the very best in winning sports information.”
Alf was kind enough to kick off his tenure at Sportsmemo with some British Open matchup recommendations. You can read them in the
Sportsmemo Forum
.
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College Football Handicapping: Alabama's opponents with fewer bye weeks
07.18.2012 10:28 AM
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Compared to the rest of the SEC, over the last two years Alabama got the shaft by playing a ridiculous amount of teams
coming in off of a bye week
. Nick Saban
wasn't too pleased
about it. This year, nearly all of the Crimson Tide's opponent won't enjoy such an advantage – not that it matters for a majority of them. Of Bama's 12 opponents, only two come in off byes and one of them is Western Carolina. The other though is arguably the biggest game of the season as LSU will be rested and ready when Alabama heads to Baton Rouge on November 3.
Alabama's Schedule (Opponent's Previous Game)
9/1 vs. Michigan (1st game)
9/8 vs. Western Kentucky (vs. Austin Peay)
9/15 at Arkansas (at UL-Monroe)
9/22 vs. Florida Atlantic (at Georgia)
9/29 vs. Ole Miss (at Tulane)
9/6 BYE WEEK
10/13 at Missouri (vs. Vanderbilt)
10/20 at Tennessee (at Mississippi State)
10/27 vs. Mississippi
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MLB Handicapping Notes: Sabathia's velocity up in first start off DL
07.18.2012 09:55 AM
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Some positives on CC Sabathia's first start off of the DL in which he tossed six innings of shutout ball (1 BB, 6 Ks) against Toronto. According to one
Yankees blog
, his velocity was up as was the movement on his pitches.
Comparing his pre-DL and post-DL starts above, you’ll see that he’s gained from .5 to a full 1 MPH of additional velocity in both the average speed and maximum speed. The difference in movement is the most exciting change, he’s adding adding 2 inches of additional rising action on both his fastballs, as well as an inch on the slider.
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Blog accuses Sheldon Adelson of profits from prostitution
07.18.2012 09:48 AM
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Everyone knows casino mogul – and
anti-online gambling
advocate – Sheldon Adelson has floated the GOP a boatload of money. So it shouldn't come as a surprise to see the Democrats try to dig up some dirt on this guy. Someone in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee decided to fire out a blog about Adelson's money somehow coming from a
Chinese prostitution operation
. Adelson in turn is threating to sue for libel.
"Breaking: House Republicans' Biggest Donor Approved 'Prostitution Strategy' in China" was the headline of a June 29 statement from the DCCC and a July 2 statement asked what House Republicans will do when their "Chinese prostitution money comes from billionaire Sheldon Adelson."
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What we can learn from prediction markets
07.18.2012 09:31 AM
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Cool article from the
New York Times
on prediction markets.
(It is sometimes said that Las Vegas-type sports-event betting markets, such as the one that produced the odds on the Chicago Cubs, are not pure prediction markets because some participants are bookmakers and others are casual bettors, so the odds do not reflect precisely how the money is bet. But that’s my point: successful prediction markets do not consist solely of insider traders).
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A few requests for Pete Rose's new reality TV show
07.18.2012 09:24 AM
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Pete Rose on
reality TV
? OK, but before we proceed, here are our demands. We want a list of everything he bet for that particular day. Did he 20* the Reds? Does he have an account at 5Dimes? Does he play totals or sides? These are things we NEED to know. Also, we'd love to hear the audio of a conversation with his local. "Yeah, Steve? It's Pete. What do you mean you're putting me on 20 cent lines? You got to be kidding." We see no reason why The Learning Channel can't incorporate that kind of stuff into the show.
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Sports Betting Podcast 7-18-2012 with Handicapper Teddy Covers
07.18.2012 09:22 AM
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Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy broke down the MLB card from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Teddy Covers - MLB Every Game on the Board
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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MLB Betting Notes: White Sox call up rookie Hernandez vs. Boston
07.18.2012 07:38 AM
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Chicago WS
(Hernandez) at
Boston
(Doubront) -165 O/U 11
Chicago lefty
Pedro Hernandez will make his MLB debut
tonight in Boston. Hernandez has been in the minors since 2007. In 80.2 IP at Double- and Triple-A this season, he accumulated 48 strikeouts and 19 walks.
“He and [Jose Quintana] were in the same role [during spring training],’’ manager Robin Ventura said. “You kind of hope to catch lightning twice, really.’’
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MLB Gambling News: Does Aaron Cook still have value?
07.18.2012 07:15 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Boston's Aaron Cook and his
two strikeouts in 29.2 innings
are a hot topic in the blogosphere. Some will immediately point to his inevitable regression. While others, like
Deadspin
, argue that his lack of walks (2) and strike throwing ability allow him to "defy the odds" when it comes to sabermetrics. My take on Cook is this: He's a veteran guy who is trying to prove he can still pitch at the MLB level. That motivation alone is certainly worth something. Next, he's getting a good amount of groundballs (58.5%) which has always been a huge part of his success. He also
added a cutter
to his arsenal which is a nice compliment to a sinker.
Now unfortunately, Cook IS going to regress. When that many balls are being put in play (.248 BABIP), some will eventually find holes, gaps
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Alf has put up a profitable run over the last five UFC Events and he's ready to pound home a big 20* this Saturday as UFC 160 gets under way live from Las Vegas. Pick up this two unit parlay report for just $20 and it's guaranteed to win or his next fight card is free.
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